SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Cosmogenesis12 User ID: 47381218 Portugal 09/30/2013 07:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 41746819 United States 09/30/2013 08:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: El Quisqueyano With Earth's weak magnetic field, if this lift off is Earth facing, GLE cosmic rays will sky rocket. Expect earthquake and volcanic activity. You're freakin' crazy, but I don't have the time to deal w/all the insanity here anymore. First of all, Earth's magnetic field is no weaker than it was 1000 years ago...as usual, all of you pseudo-doom freaks have no links or data except from some kook youtube or psycho-babble websites. Secondly, GLE events from the sun are very rare and have nothing whatsoever to do with volcanoes (or EQ's as has been proven time and again with no coherent counter-argument!) If you have info to prove this in a rational way, please provide it when you make such outrageous claims. I've been far too kind to all the fake-doom shills and whackos, usually I just ignore the lot of you these days. But enuf is enuf! The gloves are comin' off, folks. Too many people have committed suicide or , who knows, even murder because of crazy comet theories (fantasies) and second-sun hallucinations, fake-Nibiru sightings and other popular delusions. It used to be just a few greed & ego-based charlatans; but lately I sense a whole new class of mentally ill or drug-addled, weak-minded individuals preying on the growing American stupidity. If you make a claim you ought to include one or more links to back up your lame-ass assertions. And you better be able to defend your beliefs if challenged with contradictory evidence. In case you haven't noticed, I don't have the time or energy to respond to every flare and fake-UFO sighting like I used to do, so I implore Geo, Joinca, Madajs, TS66 and other rational posters to cover-my-back and stand up for TRUTH when I ain't around. Please help, I don't have hours of research time as I once did to debunk the idiots. Ain't it funny the pseudo-scientists have all the time in the world and huge multi-media budgets to promote their garbage. Rude and un called for. I check the solar site here often and this is so inappropriate I had to say something. It ruins the spirit of the thread which is Nins thread anyway. Not everyone is going to be like this guy Hugh and with his beliefs, if you want to live in a world like that please go start your own thread and censor the postings ( yes much like N SA) . I for one believe eqs are connected to the sun and this has been provem througj solarwatcher on YT and Astrotometry on YT. Good grief. hey Hugh where was this Earth Quake just after the hidroflare ??? have u seen the relation!? Duh go watch solarwatcher and learn something! |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 19647613 United States 09/30/2013 08:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 43003237 United States 09/30/2013 08:52 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 19647613 United States 09/30/2013 08:56 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43003237 CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re Solar System magnetopauses Overview of the Solar System magnetopauses[11] Planet Number Magnetic moment [note 2] Magnetopause distance [note 3] Observed size of the magnetosphere[note 4] variance of magnetosphere[note 5] Mercury Mercury 1 0.0004 1.5 1.4 0 Venus Venus 2 0 0 0 0 Earth Earth 3 1 10 10 2 Mars Mars 4 0 0 0 0 Jupiter Jupiter 5 20000 42 75 25 Saturn Saturn 6 600 19 19 3 Uranus Uranus 7 50 25 18 0 Neptune Neptune 8 25 24 24.5 1.5 Earth's magnetopause distance is usually at 10 Re, it being at 5.4 when this thing hits us will spell trouble. |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 19647613 United States 09/30/2013 08:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43003237 CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re Solar System magnetopauses Overview of the Solar System magnetopauses[11] Planet Number Magnetic moment [note 2] Magnetopause distance [note 3] Observed size of the magnetosphere[note 4] variance of magnetosphere[note 5] Mercury Mercury 1 0.0004 1.5 1.4 0 Venus Venus 2 0 0 0 0 Earth Earth 3 1 10 10 2 Mars Mars 4 0 0 0 0 Jupiter Jupiter 5 20000 42 75 25 Saturn Saturn 6 600 19 19 3 Uranus Uranus 7 50 25 18 0 Neptune Neptune 8 25 24 24.5 1.5 Earth's magnetopause distance is usually at 10 Re, it being at 5.4 when this thing hits us will spell trouble. The distance from Earth to the subsolar magnetopause varies over time due to solar activity, but typical distances range from 6 - 15 R_{\oplus}. Empirical models[8][9] using real-time solar wind data can provide a real-time estimate of the magnetopause location. A bow shock stands upstream from the magnetopause. It serves to decelerate and deflect the solar wind flow before it reaches the magnetopause [10] |
whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 43857184 United States 09/30/2013 09:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43003237 CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re Solar System magnetopauses Overview of the Solar System magnetopauses[11] Planet Number Magnetic moment [note 2] Magnetopause distance [note 3] Observed size of the magnetosphere[note 4] variance of magnetosphere[note 5] Mercury Mercury 1 0.0004 1.5 1.4 0 Venus Venus 2 0 0 0 0 Earth Earth 3 1 10 10 2 Mars Mars 4 0 0 0 0 Jupiter Jupiter 5 20000 42 75 25 Saturn Saturn 6 600 19 19 3 Uranus Uranus 7 50 25 18 0 Neptune Neptune 8 25 24 24.5 1.5 Earth's magnetopause distance is usually at 10 Re, it being at 5.4 when this thing hits us will spell trouble. The distance from Earth to the subsolar magnetopause varies over time due to solar activity, but typical distances range from 6 - 15 R_{\oplus}. Empirical models[8][9] using real-time solar wind data can provide a real-time estimate of the magnetopause location. A bow shock stands upstream from the magnetopause. It serves to decelerate and deflect the solar wind flow before it reaches the magnetopause [10] Thank you El Q for that info. I didn't understand it before. Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 42565868 Netherlands 09/30/2013 09:23 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sorry, GeoStorm, didn't see your post...great vigilance on your part, amigo. Anyone wishing to see an awesome event just go to the SDO data page and input the begin time 21:00 to end-time 23:59; and start with the 304a images and the middle one of the 3 composites. The humongous Hyder flare easily crossed the equator and I'm eagerly anticipating the SOHO halo CME images which I hope are forthcoming soon. SDO data access page: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Super-Hyder Flare! :9/29-hyder: Hello Hugh(and all) I thought I remember telling you guys that Charlie Hyders 'Hyder Flare' does not exist as first described in the 'Hot Poker Model'!? See this C/P comment - 'True Hyders are very rare and Charlie Hyder himself long abandoned his original ideas that led to this type of Flare - Double Ribbon Flares and Filament Eruptions due to ARs do still exist,though word direct from the mouth of Charlie to myself via Dr.Strong is that Hyder Eruptions DO NOT exist,at least as he described them Strange though that they are still very much on the SWPC/NOAA list of types of Flare. I actually disagree with Charlie on this as I have witnessed TRUE Hyder Eruptions here in the past with you guys - these are when the Filament erupts completely independent of any AR instigation - Quote Dr.Strong - 'Because there is no such thing. Charlie Hyder (a friend of mine) gave up using the term 2 decades ago. They are simple eruptive flares. Some still pursist in using the term in the context of spotless flares which is not how Charlie originally coined the term. True spotless flares are rare. PS these flares had spots. They were from region 11800 before it rotated onto the disk' My response - ''True spotless flares are rare' - I hear you..I have noticed that nearly all Filament Flares have at least one AR or a emerging region of Flux somewhere along the zone - but we do clearly see channel eruptions on occasion as well as falling Plasmas causing longer duration Flaring. I think(though you disagree,and Mr. Hyder does also)that we can call a Flare driven mainly by Filamentary Plasmas falling back 'Hyder type eruptions' ' Dr.Strong - 'That is correct, the original hyder flare was called the hot poker model (by Charlie) it was to explain the large amount of chromospheric and cool coronal material exploding up when a flare goes off. It fell into disuse when the chromospheric evaporation flare model was formulated.' ' End. Hyder 'Type' Eruptions but not 'Hyder Flares'. Awesome though.hey!? Oh,btw,what is going on with the Low Fraggle Electrons [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] !? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
abeliever Members User ID: 46293405 United States 09/30/2013 09:30 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 42565868 Netherlands 09/30/2013 09:31 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43003237 CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re Solar System magnetopauses Overview of the Solar System magnetopauses[11] Planet Number Magnetic moment [note 2] Magnetopause distance [note 3] Observed size of the magnetosphere[note 4] variance of magnetosphere[note 5] Mercury Mercury 1 0.0004 1.5 1.4 0 Venus Venus 2 0 0 0 0 Earth Earth 3 1 10 10 2 Mars Mars 4 0 0 0 0 Jupiter Jupiter 5 20000 42 75 25 Saturn Saturn 6 600 19 19 3 Uranus Uranus 7 50 25 18 0 Neptune Neptune 8 25 24 24.5 1.5 Earth's magnetopause distance is usually at 10 Re, it being at 5.4 when this thing hits us will spell trouble. I did not notice that till just then...schucks and thanks for the reminder. Folks,we now have official Velocities in [link to www.sidc.oma.be] Median Velocity - 1838 Km/S! The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 19647613 United States 09/30/2013 09:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43003237 CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re Event Issue Date: 2013-09-29 23:06:23.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2013-10-02 14:39:33.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 27 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.4 Re Solar System magnetopauses Overview of the Solar System magnetopauses[11] Planet Number Magnetic moment [note 2] Magnetopause distance [note 3] Observed size of the magnetosphere[note 4] variance of magnetosphere[note 5] Mercury Mercury 1 0.0004 1.5 1.4 0 Venus Venus 2 0 0 0 0 Earth Earth 3 1 10 10 2 Mars Mars 4 0 0 0 0 Jupiter Jupiter 5 20000 42 75 25 Saturn Saturn 6 600 19 19 3 Uranus Uranus 7 50 25 18 0 Neptune Neptune 8 25 24 24.5 1.5 Earth's magnetopause distance is usually at 10 Re, it being at 5.4 when this thing hits us will spell trouble. I did not notice that till just then...schucks and thanks for the reminder. Folks,we now have official Velocities in [link to www.sidc.oma.be] Median Velocity - 1838 Km/S! What? 1838 km/s? This one will spell trouble IMHO, I mean look at how dense it is, you can still see the dark plasma hundredth of thousands of miles after lifting off the sun. Last Edited by El Quisqueyano on 09/30/2013 09:42 AM |
muse_1111 User ID: 26558348 United States 09/30/2013 09:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I cannot get the sun-earth footprint model to load, but if that released flare was in our vicinity, I think we are seeing faster than expected effects. The global D-RAP chart is the reddest I have seen at the poles this morning - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Electrons are off - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] and we have a Proton event - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 19647613 United States 09/30/2013 10:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I cannot get the sun-earth footprint model to load, but if that released flare was in our vicinity, I think we are seeing faster than expected effects. Quoting: muse_1111 The global D-RAP chart is the reddest I have seen at the poles this morning - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Electrons are off - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] and we have a Proton event - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] That's just the front end of this. |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 42565868 Netherlands 09/30/2013 10:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 19647613 United States 09/30/2013 10:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 19647613 United States 09/30/2013 10:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 43857184 United States 09/30/2013 10:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | From today to October 4th there will be a good sizable quake and possibly some volcanoes acting up. Mark my words. Quoting: El Quisqueyano I put an alert out on my prep forum for increase in EQ's and volcanic activity last night. Earth's footprint was right next to the filament for whoever asked. Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 42565868 Netherlands 09/30/2013 10:43 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | From today to October 4th there will be a good sizable quake and possibly some volcanoes acting up. Mark my words. Quoting: El Quisqueyano I put an alert out on my prep forum for increase in EQ's and volcanic activity last night. Earth's footprint was right next to the filament for whoever asked. 'Footpoint' nae 'Footprint' The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 43857184 United States 09/30/2013 10:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I cannot get the sun-earth footprint model to load, but if that released flare was in our vicinity, I think we are seeing faster than expected effects. Quoting: muse_1111 The global D-RAP chart is the reddest I have seen at the poles this morning - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Electrons are off - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] and we have a Proton event - [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] This will show the earth facing chart at 1:34 [link to www.youtube.com] Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 43857184 United States 09/30/2013 10:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | From today to October 4th there will be a good sizable quake and possibly some volcanoes acting up. Mark my words. Quoting: El Quisqueyano I put an alert out on my prep forum for increase in EQ's and volcanic activity last night. Earth's footprint was right next to the filament for whoever asked. 'Footpoint' nae 'Footprint' OMG....seriously? I have been seeing print forever and not point. Funny how our brains work at times. That is just too funny. On my part, not yours SC Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 43857184 United States 09/30/2013 10:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Well,this should be fun,hey!? Quoting: Spittin'Cesium LoL! Who's got their virgins ready at the alter!? Just curious, I have said this isn't a dooms event, though it might cause a few outages or satellite interruptions - agreed?? Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 42565868 Netherlands 09/30/2013 11:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Well,this should be fun,hey!? Quoting: Spittin'Cesium LoL! Who's got their virgins ready at the alter!? Just curious, I have said this isn't a dooms event, though it might cause a few outages or satellite interruptions - agreed?? Agreed : ) But the future is at it shall be...we can only make (semi)educated guesses at present...supposedly very,very dense and pretty nippy at 1838 Km/S - I hope it will just be 'pretty'. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 21765116 Netherlands 09/30/2013 11:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | From today to October 4th there will be a good sizable quake and possibly some volcanoes acting up. Mark my words. Quoting: El Quisqueyano What do you see as a good sizable quake? We have seen some good sizable quakes in the last week already. I wouldn't be suprised if the 6 and 7 magnitude quakes continued in this week. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 47446969 United Kingdom 09/30/2013 11:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Why is this thread so quiet, normally any M Flare and its a hyve of activity and now this is on its way and Not much? Whats the forecast for this, I would like to know if I will need to shutdown all my computers or dig a hole to shelter in, Tomato plants?? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 41982199 United States 09/30/2013 11:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Why is this thread so quiet, normally any M Flare and its a hyve of activity and now this is on its way and Not much? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 47446969 Whats the forecast for this, I would like to know if I will need to shutdown all my computers or dig a hole to shelter in, Tomato plants?? Was thinking the same. Almost made a thread on it. They must be talking off the grid. |
madajs. User ID: 35856189 Canada 09/30/2013 11:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Why is this thread so quiet, normally any M Flare and its a hyve of activity and now this is on its way and Not much? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 47446969 Whats the forecast for this, I would like to know if I will need to shutdown all my computers or dig a hole to shelter in, Tomato plants?? You don't need to worry, it's not a big deal. Those that live in the north might see some aurorae if they're lucky. And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
madajs. User ID: 35856189 Canada 09/30/2013 12:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's the NOAA model for the incoming CME [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] (if it's not showing properly, here's a screenshot [link to s12.postimg.org] ) This run is predicting arrival on the evening of Oct 2. Nice work by the team in detecting this flare and incoming CME! Last Edited by madajs. on 09/30/2013 12:48 PM And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
muse_1111 User ID: 26558348 United States 09/30/2013 12:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's the NOAA model for the incoming CME [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Quoting: madajs. This run is predicting arrival on the evening of Oct 2. Nice work by the team in detecting this flare and incoming CME! I've refreshed my screen many times, and I am not seeing the model for this flare. The only activity I see modeled is a coronal hole stream hitting on the 4th. I don't see the flare release or the normal arc in the model. Is anyone else having the same issue? |
whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 43857184 United States 09/30/2013 12:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's the NOAA model for the incoming CME [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Quoting: madajs. This run is predicting arrival on the evening of Oct 2. Nice work by the team in detecting this flare and incoming CME! I've refreshed my screen many times, and I am not seeing the model for this flare. The only activity I see modeled is a coronal hole stream hitting on the 4th. I don't see the flare release or the normal arc in the model. Is anyone else having the same issue? Try this one: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] Agreed the one above barely shows the CME hitting us. Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 42497416 United Kingdom 09/30/2013 12:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So nobody believes CACTUS on this? [link to www.sidc.oma.be] Details and graphs for CME0011 # CME | t0 | dt0| pa | da | v | dv | minv| maxv| halo? 0011|2013/09/30 00:12| 04 | 063| 340| 1838| 0240| 0947| 1838| IV |