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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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10/02/2013 06:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


WOW!! O.O sweet, is coming here?
whiteangel

User ID: 43857184
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10/02/2013 06:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Local news showed some great pics of the northern lights here in the Denver Metro area from last night. I sure didn't see them and I looked. Stated there was another chance to see them tonight though not as strong.

Kp6 at this point
[link to www.theusner.eu]

Edit: is this just round two from the filament or is this the actual impact and whatever hit last night was from something else??
 Quoting: whiteangel


Hi, whiteangel, I'm so sorry you missed them. When I was in CO Springs they never seemed to get that far south, but if I recall there's some grasslands state park in the remote NE corner of the state that always gets to see auroras. When I see the Bz dive south on the ACE data or the density spikes up dramatically I think that's a good time to run outside. The substorms flare up often without notice, but many times it's the persistence of the disturbance which fires up the magnetotail later on in the event.

Happy aurora hunting.....I have a good feeling we'll all see some amazing auroras in the next few months (wink wink).



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


They showed some from the Pawnee National Grasslands that were deep reds, it was so alien looking. Here the reporters stated they thought something was on fire it was so bright. I was out there looking and I am even a little out of town, nada!

I thought it might be the same event, thanks for clarifying for me!
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
whiteangel

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10/02/2013 07:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


WOW!! O.O sweet, is coming here?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 47660516


Naw, off the limb and not directed at us.
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
Hugh M Eye

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10/02/2013 07:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Did the sun just roll over on its side??? Or is this a spacecraft maneuver of SDO satellite (even though we know it's on robo-function due to government shutdown). WTF? Enquiring minds want to know.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
wtf
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
whiteangel

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10/02/2013 07:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Did the sun just roll over on its side??? Or is this a spacecraft maneuver of SDO satellite (even though we know it's on robo-function due to government shutdown). WTF? Enquiring minds want to know.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
wtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Now that would freak me out if you hadn't pointed it out first!
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
optimum judgment

User ID: 24021617
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10/02/2013 07:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Did the sun just roll over on its side??? Or is this a spacecraft maneuver of SDO satellite (even though we know it's on robo-function due to government shutdown). WTF? Enquiring minds want to know.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
wtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Gotta be the satalite? just sdo!

Last Edited by optimum judgment on 10/02/2013 07:22 PM
Hugh M Eye

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10/02/2013 07:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Did the sun just roll over on its side??? Or is this a spacecraft maneuver of SDO satellite (even though we know it's on robo-function due to government shutdown). WTF? Enquiring minds want to know.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
wtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Gotta be the satalite?
 Quoting: optimum judgment


Yes, it was a roll maneuver which was scheduled for today (I had to look it up). Evidently SDO maneuvers are essential government services (just like drones and chemtrails, hehe).

From the SDO Is Go Blog-

SDO Flight Dynamics' Predicted Events for the Remainder of 2013
The SDO Flight Dynamics team has generated the timing of maneuvers and other events for the next 90 days. Here is a list with the year and day of year:
2013/275 - HMI Roll (this Wednesday, October 2)
2013/282 - EVE Cruciform (next Wednesday)
2013/289 - EVE FOV & HMI\AIA Flatfield (October 16)
2013/290 - Handover Season Ends (October 19, +Z active afterward)
2013/303 - Comet ISON Offpoint Dress Rehearsal
2013/332 - Comet ISON Perihelion (~1841z Thanksgiving Day)

2013/336 - Lunar Transit (1503z - 1551z)

At this time, calibration maneuvers are considered essential activities and will happen as scheduled.
However, this blog will not be updated if NASA is closed due to a lapse in government funding.

[link to sdoisgo.blogspot.com]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 39479530
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10/02/2013 07:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Has anyone else had problems posting or uploading new smilies? I've uploaded one pic 4 times since last night and each time it says 'upload was successful' but the smilie never appears.

Is there some prescribed way to alert the MODs of the situation?

:10/2-CME magnetopause:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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10/02/2013 07:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Rising again C1.3
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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10/02/2013 07:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just for Laughs-

Remember a couple of months ago NASA was bragging that the JUNO probe was 'halfway to Jupiter'?

[link to scitechdaily.com]

Well, looky here now.....what's that square thing hiding behind the Earth in the iSWA Enlil cygnet? Haha, why it's Juno right here near good ole' planet Earth! (halfway-to-Jupiter my ass!)

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

I also just noticed that they added ISON to their model. I've never seen them do that for a comet before. Methinks NASA is really feeding some of this ISON hysteria/frenzy, don't you?

Kudos to Isis One (Is--On-? Hmmmm) for bringing ISON up in context of this recent CME!
alien16

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 10/02/2013 07:50 PM
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 47660516
10/02/2013 08:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C1.6 reached.
madajs.

User ID: 35856189
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10/02/2013 08:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Summary of the 3 major Kp index estimates for the peak of last nights storm:

IAGA/GFZ: Kp 7+ [link to www-app3.gfz-potsdam.de] : estimate with 11 of it's 13 observatories reported in so far, the estimate may decrease further as the final 2 observatories submit their readings in the next couple days

USAF: Kp 6.67 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA: Kp 6 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by madajs. on 10/02/2013 09:54 PM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Isis One

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10/02/2013 08:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just for Laughs-

Remember a couple of months ago NASA was bragging that the JUNO probe was 'halfway to Jupiter'?

[link to scitechdaily.com]

Well, looky here now.....what's that square thing hiding behind the Earth in the iSWA Enlil cygnet? Haha, why it's Juno right here near good ole' planet Earth! (halfway-to-Jupiter my ass!)

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

I also just noticed that they added ISON to their model. I've never seen them do that for a comet before. Methinks NASA is really feeding some of this ISON hysteria/frenzy, don't you?

Kudos to Isis One (Is--On-? Hmmmm) for bringing ISON up in context of this recent CME!
alien16
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Ah, thanks Hugh!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
madajs.

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10/02/2013 08:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Haha that's cool that they added Ison to cygnet #261. How convenient :)

Last Edited by madajs. on 10/02/2013 08:34 PM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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10/02/2013 08:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament eruption. Maybe a slight impact if a CME is generated.


[link to halpha.nso.edu]
whiteangel

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10/02/2013 08:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament eruption. Maybe a slight impact if a CME is generated.


[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Who needs sunspots for solar doom when we have all these lovely (lol) filaments letting loose?!

That C-flare is still going on, over 5 hours now. Glad it was on the limb.
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
Hugh M Eye

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10/02/2013 09:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament eruption. Maybe a slight impact if a CME is generated.


[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Good catch there GeoStorm. Nice double-ribbon flare, too. I think Sol's cleaning house to get ready for entertaining company for Thanksgiving (ISON). We may see some big active regions and a pole-flip soon as well.

Angry Gigantor
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Isis One

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10/02/2013 09:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament eruption. Maybe a slight impact if a CME is generated.


[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Nice catch Geo, I was wondering what that was on the purple image.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me
Hugh M Eye

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United States
10/02/2013 09:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Summary of the 3 major Kp index estimates for the peak of last nights storm:

IAGA/GFZ: Kp 7+ [link to www-app3.gfz-potsdam.de] : estimate with 11 of it's 13 observatories reported in so far, the estimate may decrease further as the final 2 observatories submit their readings in the next couple days

USAF: Kp 6.67 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA: Kp 6 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: madajs.


Thanks for the update and thanks to everyone who posted (or not) on the Storm thread last night. Over 20,000 page views ....not bad.

Special thanks to you Madajs for seeing the sudden impulse alert when no one was expecting arrival for another 12 hours; and also to NINzrez for picking me up when I started passing out. All-in-all it was a pleasant group effort and a very interesting evening/morning. Kudos to all participants.

grouphug

Peace to Agent Truthseeker 66 if you're out there....please accept my apologies and come back to your suntard peeps here. Your input here was always appreciated.
hugs
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
shadasonic

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10/02/2013 09:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Filament eruption. Maybe a slight impact if a CME is generated.


[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Good catch there GeoStorm. Nice double-ribbon flare, too. I think Sol's cleaning house to get ready for entertaining company for Thanksgiving (ISON). We may see some big active regions and a pole-flip soon as well.

Angry Gigantor
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I would agree HMI!rockon
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 12:13 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA Solar Wind update is an essential (World) government service-


Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
ACE data indicated the arrival of the CME associated with the September
29 filament eruption at about 02/0120 UTC. Solar wind speed quickly
increased to over 600 km/s (peak speed 664 km/s at 02/0241 UTC) and
imbedded magnetic fields were over 30 nT (peak IMF Bt 33 nT at 02/0424
UTC) with strong southward Bz (maximum southward deflection - 29 nT at
02/0425 UTC).
IMF Phi data indicated a negative-polarity (Toward) solar
sector during most of the period.


.Forecast...
The CME passage is expected to continue through Oct. 3 with elevated
wind speed and increased variability of the magnetic fields. Solar wind
conditions are expected to gradually return to background levels by Oct.
4.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

CME Impact Exposed Geosynchronus Satellites to Strong Solar Winds-

10/2-Magpause

New AR 1856-
:10/3-1856:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 276 Issued at 0030Z on 03 Oct 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 02 Oct
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 02/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1854 N05E04 290 0020 Hsx 01 01 Alpha
1855 S14W11 307 0130 Dsi 07 16 Beta
1856 N08E69 225 0050 Cao 02 01 Beta
1857 S06E66 228 0070 Hax 02 01 Alpha


New AR1857-
:10/3-1857:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 12:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nice post-flare loops from 1850's big LDE/CME event-
:10/3-loops:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 21765116
Netherlands
10/03/2013 01:12 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

I also just noticed that they added ISON to their model. I've never seen them do that for a comet before. Methinks NASA is really feeding some of this ISON hysteria/frenzy, don't you?

Kudos to Isis One (Is--On-? Hmmmm) for bringing ISON up in context of this recent CME!
alien16
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


They removed it AGAIN.
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 02:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

I also just noticed that they added ISON to their model. I've never seen them do that for a comet before. Methinks NASA is really feeding some of this ISON hysteria/frenzy, don't you?

Kudos to Isis One (Is--On-? Hmmmm) for bringing ISON up in context of this recent CME!
alien16
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


They removed it AGAIN.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 21765116


Wow, they're awfully busy for a shut down government agency. Now I'm even more weirded-out by this. I would email NASA for an explanation but their email, twitters, etc. are symbolically shut down now, LOL. Thanks for bringing that to our attention.
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 17754867
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10/03/2013 02:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

I also just noticed that they added ISON to their model. I've never seen them do that for a comet before. Methinks NASA is really feeding some of this ISON hysteria/frenzy, don't you?

Kudos to Isis One (Is--On-? Hmmmm) for bringing ISON up in context of this recent CME!
alien16
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


They removed it AGAIN.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 21765116


Wow, they're awfully busy for a shut down government agency. Now I'm even more weirded-out by this. I would email NASA for an explanation but their email, twitters, etc. are symbolically shut down now, LOL. Thanks for bringing that to our attention.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

wtf? I saw it too.. now it's gone!
Juno is still right by earth though...
retards2
Goofy for God
Do everything with love

User ID: 47001552
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10/03/2013 06:30 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
never seen this blurry like this , why is it??

[link to spaceweather.com]
Proverbs 15:1
A soft answer turns away wrath, But a harsh word stirs up anger.
Goofy for God
Do everything with love

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10/03/2013 06:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I did a thread on this once but have you ever noticed when sun is active there are more vehicle accidents??


[link to hisz.rsoe.hu]
Proverbs 15:1
A soft answer turns away wrath, But a harsh word stirs up anger.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 46766538
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10/03/2013 08:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Summary of the 3 major Kp index estimates for the peak of last nights storm:

IAGA/GFZ: Kp 7+ [link to www-app3.gfz-potsdam.de] : estimate with 11 of it's 13 observatories reported in so far, the estimate may decrease further as the final 2 observatories submit their readings in the next couple days

USAF: Kp 6.67 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA: Kp 6 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: madajs.


Thanks for the update and thanks to everyone who posted (or not) on the Storm thread last night. Over 20,000 page views ....not bad.

Special thanks to you Madajs for seeing the sudden impulse alert when no one was expecting arrival for another 12 hours; and also to NINzrez for picking me up when I started passing out. All-in-all it was a pleasant group effort and a very interesting evening/morning. Kudos to all participants.

grouphug

Peace to Agent Truthseeker 66 if you're out there....please accept my apologies and come back to your suntard peeps here. Your input here was always appreciated.
hugs
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I'm here blwkss
Luisport

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10/03/2013 09:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 09:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
THE IMPENDING DEMISE OF COMET ISON ?

Cometary scientist Ignacio Ferrin predicts doom for c/2012 S1/ISON.-

" In view of the evidence presented above there is a 100% probability that comet ISON will disintegrate. The reason is that it exhibits the same SDE+U-shape signature as comets Hönig and Tabur that disintegrated.

This dispels the notion that comets are not predictable.

Comets announce that they are going to disintegrate by exhibiting the SDE+U-shape signature. "

See all of his evidence and conclusions here:

[link to astronomia.udea.edu.co]

hiding
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein

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