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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 11:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
They are either trying to push this doom or trying to keep us from becoming freaked out? Very weird actions by Nasa(playing their part in the govt. bullshit) The last cme was dead on ison hit, probably was drawing to much attention , one way or the other.
They are very busy for a 97% furlough
 Quoting: shadasonic



It is quite troubling to see NASA gutted by Obama and now this 97 percent furlough thing after the sequester crap.

It seems like all they do up there in Washington is posture and lie.

Was the last cme really a dead on hit toward ISON?


Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


Howdy, Z, yes, er..uh..maybe, haha. ISON just passed Mars which is where that CME is headed. I don't have a definitive 3D map showing the position of ISON and the CME in relation to the ecliptic plane. If the comet is presently near or slightly north of the ecliptic it will probably get slammed by this energetic CME.
zacksavage
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10/03/2013 11:48 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Howdy, Z, yes, er..uh..maybe, haha. ISON just passed Mars which is where that CME is headed. I don't have a definitive 3D map showing the position of ISON and the CME in relation to the ecliptic plane. If the comet is presently near or slightly north of the ecliptic it will probably get slammed by this energetic CME.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thanks Hugh, I was checking out the pics of ISON you posted and am left wondering why in the hell they hyped this thing so much?

Holmes was 10 times better in visibility and whatnot,... and received little to zero build up or main stream press.

Hm,...

Z

Last Edited by zacksavage on 10/03/2013 11:56 AM
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 11:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ISON is still seen in this cone model of the inner planets, but I can't get the CME on there at this time:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Look under 'Heliosphere' for more cone models:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
zacksavage
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10/03/2013 12:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ISON is still seen in this cone model of the inner planets, but I can't get the CME on there at this time:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Look under 'Heliosphere' for more cone models:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I saw ISon under Mars,...I got a blank page when I clicked heliosphere.

Anyway, gotta go, have a great day Hugh,...thank you for being you.


Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 12:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Howdy, Z, yes, er..uh..maybe, haha. ISON just passed Mars which is where that CME is headed. I don't have a definitive 3D map showing the position of ISON and the CME in relation to the ecliptic plane. If the comet is presently near or slightly north of the ecliptic it will probably get slammed by this energetic CME.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thanks Hugh, I was checking out the pics of ISON you posted and am left wondering why in the hell they hyped this thing so much?

Holmes was 10 times better in visibility and whatnot,... and received little to zero build up or main stream press.

Hm,...

Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


I'm in complete agreement with you there. In the past year we had two lovely comets, Lemmon and PanSTARRS which got very little attention. I think the potential prospect of a huge tail as this comet is projected to graze the sun's corona in November gave NASA "irrational exuberance". I still hope we see a nice show whether it's naked-eye or by way of SDO, SOHO and STEREO.
popcorn
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 12:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CHINA TESTING NEW SPACE WEAPONS-

China last week conducted a test of a maneuvering satellite that captured another satellite in space during what Pentagon officials say was a significant step forward for Beijing’s space warfare program.

The satellite capture took place last week and involved one of three small satellites fitted with a mechanical arm that were launched July 20 as part of a covert anti-satellite weapons development program, said U.S. officials familiar with reports of the test.

One official described the satellite-grabbing spacecraft as a “mobile satellite launch vehicle.”

(snip)...Rick Fisher, a Chinese military affairs specialist, said the robot-arm satellite that he believes is the Shiyan-7 is part of China’s dual-use space program that includes satellites for military close-surveillance and attack missions. Civilian applications include development of space manipulator arm technology.

“As an ASAT, a future version of the SY-7 could be used to take close-up images of U.S. satellites, to remove systems from those satellites and return them to China, to directly damage U.S. satellites or to plant ‘mines’ on those satellites or close nearby,” said Fisher, with the International Assessment and Strategy Center.

[link to freebeacon.com]

Can't you smell the DOOM?
pinkDoomsday
Anonymous Coward
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10/03/2013 02:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is the ACE high energy protons (SIS) instrument now damaged by the last cme? The plot looks terrible:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
muse_1111

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10/03/2013 02:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is the ACE high energy protons (SIS) instrument now damaged by the last cme? The plot looks terrible:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37159590


I was just noticing the repetitive pattern on the SIS graph. I think it was June 2012 where it had a pattern for a few days. First glance at the chart today, and I immediately thought of the Time Wave Zero chart.

Looks like we are still in a geomagnetic storm from the filament arrival.
Anonymous Coward
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10/03/2013 02:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is the ACE high energy protons (SIS) instrument now damaged by the last cme? The plot looks terrible:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37159590


I was just noticing the repetitive pattern on the SIS graph. I think it was June 2012 where it had a pattern for a few days. First glance at the chart today, and I immediately thought of the Time Wave Zero chart.

Looks like we are still in a geomagnetic storm from the filament arrival.
 Quoting: muse_1111


Next thing that comes to my mind is some kind of a "ripple" effect in the imf caused by the plasma cloud and being detected as highs and lows on SIS... I guess we'll know for sure in a few days.
cosmicgypsy

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10/03/2013 03:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am so nauseas today, with a mild headache...is there a CME hitting right now? Something else off kilter?

I have no fever, no other-end problems, so it's likely not the flu or food poisoning, that's why I'm asking.

This sure feels like it does when we're getting slammed, but I'm not seeing any threads about it, like usual if there is one.

Thanks to whoever will be able to answer for me...hf
If you spin around in your chair really fast things around here will make a lot more sense.
Anonymous Coward
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10/03/2013 03:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am so nauseas today, with a mild headache...is there a CME hitting right now? Something else off kilter?

I have no fever, no other-end problems, so it's likely not the flu or food poisoning, that's why I'm asking.

This sure feels like it does when we're getting slammed, but I'm not seeing any threads about it, like usual if there is one.

Thanks to whoever will be able to answer for me...hf
 Quoting: cosmicgypsy


No Earth-directed cmes only one Mars-directed and one Venus/Mercury-directed (both away from Earth). Check this page [link to sol24.net] (click on the ENLIL links to check the last cme direction and size.
cosmicgypsy

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10/03/2013 03:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am so nauseas today, with a mild headache...is there a CME hitting right now? Something else off kilter?

I have no fever, no other-end problems, so it's likely not the flu or food poisoning, that's why I'm asking.

This sure feels like it does when we're getting slammed, but I'm not seeing any threads about it, like usual if there is one.

Thanks to whoever will be able to answer for me...hf
 Quoting: cosmicgypsy


No Earth-directed cmes only one Mars-directed and one Venus/Mercury-directed (both away from Earth). Check this page [link to sol24.net] (click on the ENLIL links to check the last cme direction and size.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37159590



Okay. I've bookmarked the site. Thanks!

Weird, though. This I'm feeling feels exactly like when a CME is blowin' the door down.


scratching
If you spin around in your chair really fast things around here will make a lot more sense.
Anonymous Coward
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10/03/2013 04:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]
1856,1857 lighting up

@ C 1.7
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 04:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]
1856,1857 lighting up

@ C 1.7
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17754867


Yep, '56 I think. Things may be perking up.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Voluntaryist
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10/03/2013 04:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]
1856,1857 lighting up

@ C 1.7
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17754867


Yep, '56 I think. Things may be perking up.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


[link to s18.postimg.org]

I put the images on top of each other, really shows where activity is happening
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 05:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]
1856,1857 lighting up

@ C 1.7
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17754867


Yep, '56 I think. Things may be perking up.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


[link to s18.postimg.org]

I put the images on top of each other, really shows where activity is happening
 Quoting: Voluntaryist 17754867


Thanks, that's very cool. Great job.

pump2
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 05:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CACTus Details for yesterday's Mars-directed CME. It was much slower than I thought, so I don't know how long it will take to reach Comet ISON. The SE filament CME can be seen near the end of loop:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

AR1856 Magnetogram-
:10/3-1856mag:

AR1857 Magnetogram-
:10/3-1857mag:
Southern OR

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10/03/2013 09:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Woo Hoo! Northern Lights were visible here again. And, someone took a picture (not me, but at least I know I'm not crazy or need to get my eyes checked).

[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
"Well-behaved women seldom make history." —Laurel Thatcher Ulrich

I am only one, but I am one. I cannot do everything, but I can do something. And I will not let what I cannot do interfere with what I can do. ~Edward Everett Hale
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Woo Hoo! Northern Lights were visible here again. And, someone took a picture (not me, but at least I know I'm not crazy or need to get my eyes checked).

[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Southern OR


Wow, I'm so glad you caught them, SouthernOR! banana2hf I think we'll see a lot more in the next few months....at least I'm hoping. Thanks for your report, friend.
5a
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is the ACE high energy protons (SIS) instrument now damaged by the last cme? The plot looks terrible:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37159590


Nice find, AC Bulgaria. cheers It's definitely weird but I don't see any bad data on the other ACE plots, so I don't think the detectors are damaged. ACE is getting quite old and has seen a lot of radiation; so maybe only the SIS Hi-energy Proton sensor is having a hangover from the SPE radiation storm. Hopefully someone in-the-know will chime in with a rational explanation.

ACE SIS 7-Day Plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE SIS 3-Day Plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE SIS 24-Hour Plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE SIS 6-Hour plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The oscillation appears to have about an hour-and-fifteen minutes between peaks. I have no idea what could cause this pattern to persist so long....it's a mystery to me. Thanks for noticing and posting; it may turn out to be significant. Peace.
zacksavage
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10/03/2013 10:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Woo Hoo! Northern Lights were visible here again. And, someone took a picture (not me, but at least I know I'm not crazy or need to get my eyes checked).

[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Southern OR


Nice.

I am too damn far south I guess cry



Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Hugh M Eye

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10/03/2013 10:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Woo Hoo! Northern Lights were visible here again. And, someone took a picture (not me, but at least I know I'm not crazy or need to get my eyes checked).

[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Southern OR


Wow, I'm so glad you caught them, SouthernOR! banana2hf I think we'll see a lot more in the next few months....at least I'm hoping. Thanks for your report, friend.
5a
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I just found another great gallery of aurora photos from the past two nights:

[link to www.accuweather.com]
shadasonic

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10/03/2013 10:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Woo Hoo! Northern Lights were visible here again. And, someone took a picture (not me, but at least I know I'm not crazy or need to get my eyes checked).

[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Southern OR


Wow, I'm so glad you caught them, SouthernOR! banana2hf I think we'll see a lot more in the next few months....at least I'm hoping. Thanks for your report, friend.
5a
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I just found another great gallery of aurora photos from the past two nights:

[link to www.accuweather.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


One day Hugh we'll see them dancing right above our heads. That would be something. Good night . Peace to all.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
zacksavage
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


One day Hugh we'll see them dancing right above our heads. That would be something. Good night . Peace to all.
 Quoting: shadasonic


Later Shad.

ohyeah

Edit to add: Hot damn those lights are sweet!!!
Finland was out of control!

Z

Last Edited by zacksavage on 10/03/2013 10:42 PM
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Southern OR

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10/03/2013 11:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Woo Hoo! Northern Lights were visible here again. And, someone took a picture (not me, but at least I know I'm not crazy or need to get my eyes checked).

[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Southern OR


Wow, I'm so glad you caught them, SouthernOR! banana2hf I think we'll see a lot more in the next few months....at least I'm hoping. Thanks for your report, friend.
5a
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I just found another great gallery of aurora photos from the past two nights:

[link to www.accuweather.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Wow! Those are gorgeous!!! What I saw was such a beautiful green shimmer running vertically. When I saw it I said "Girl, you need to stop letting GLP make you crazy. Or maybe you need to get your eyes checked or clean those damn windows on the side of the house." Nice to know it was real.
"Well-behaved women seldom make history." —Laurel Thatcher Ulrich

I am only one, but I am one. I cannot do everything, but I can do something. And I will not let what I cannot do interfere with what I can do. ~Edward Everett Hale
Isis One

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10/03/2013 11:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
rphunter posted this link to Comet Enke's tail breaking up on Astro's Ison thread. I thought it was soo cool.

[link to disasterpredictions.com]
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

Thread: The Universe is Funny Thread
Isis One

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10/03/2013 11:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solarsoft-SDO close-up movie of last night's filament eruption and CME in the SE. Most likely not geo-effective, but I can't see it because SOHO and STEREO weren't awake at the time; and NASA isn't filling in the missing SOHO data due to government shutdown, I guess.

Note: the jerky motions are due to the satellite roll maneuver which happened during that time frame.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

The other CME (the big one on the NW limb) seems to be headed straight at Comet ISON! We may see the comet brighten significantly in about 3 days (or possibly fall apart).

iSWA Enlil Cone model cygnet:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thread: What happens if Ison gets hit with today's CME?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

Thread: The Universe is Funny Thread
Isis One

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10/03/2013 11:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nice C flare, from mid eastern limb, it looks like

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One

Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

Thread: The Universe is Funny Thread
joinca

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10/04/2013 12:09 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
For the C2.5
Earths relation to the sun:
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Here is EVE:
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
cool2

I have been on a vacation to burning man and then a 10 day road trip to southern Oregon...wish that I was still there to see the northern lights.

Last Edited by joinca on 10/04/2013 12:28 AM
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Isis One

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10/04/2013 12:35 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A Pale Red Dot --The Most Distant Object in the Universe
[link to www.dailygalaxy.com]
 Quoting: AKObserver

Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

Thread: The Universe is Funny Thread

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