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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
optimum judgment

User ID: 24021617
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10/10/2013 08:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A C3 flare from AR1861....this baby's growing by leaps and bounds. We could see a long-awaited Earth-directed X-flare in the next few days IMO.

Learmonth H-alpha movie of C3 flare:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

HMI 48-hour mpeg. showing the growth of 1861:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]

AR1861-Growing Strong!-
:10/11-1861grows:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thats a nice looking region there hugh,is it rotating?
shadasonic

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10/10/2013 08:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.n3kl.org]


Looks like the overall flux is rising, these new spots are showing some life. Maybe we'll get a c flux average for a change , tired of that lazy b line

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 10/10/2013 08:45 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 47869419
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10/10/2013 08:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SOHO C2 movie of Kreutz Comet imapct AND customary CME:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

SEEDS Difference movie of CME:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

Earlier twitpic of C3 image:

[link to twitpic.com]
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 47869419
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10/10/2013 08:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A C3 flare from AR1861....this baby's growing by leaps and bounds. We could see a long-awaited Earth-directed X-flare in the next few days IMO.

Learmonth H-alpha movie of C3 flare:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

HMI 48-hour mpeg. showing the growth of 1861:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]

AR1861-Growing Strong!-
:10/11-1861grows:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thats a nice looking region there hugh,is it rotating?
 Quoting: optimum judgment


Hi, well I posted the link for the movie so you can be the judge. I didn't notice any rotation in the leader spot but it may be just the beginning.
optimum judgment

User ID: 24021617
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10/10/2013 09:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A C3 flare from AR1861....this baby's growing by leaps and bounds. We could see a long-awaited Earth-directed X-flare in the next few days IMO.

Learmonth H-alpha movie of C3 flare:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

HMI 48-hour mpeg. showing the growth of 1861:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]

AR1861-Growing Strong!-
:10/11-1861grows:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thats a nice looking region there hugh,is it rotating?
 Quoting: optimum judgment


Hi, well I posted the link for the movie so you can be the judge. I didn't notice any rotation in the leader spot but it may be just the beginning.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


lol can't watch it on this pc it would probably self destruct if i tried to load anything moving but thanks anyway
sounds

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10/10/2013 09:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi all, I’m still playing catch-up with all the sol action while I was away, had a bright clear morning today perfect for sun pics.
So here they are:

Sunspots AR 11865, AR 11861 & AR 11861 which has slightly grown and will rotating round soon, Nice.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]
Sunspots 1861 1863 1864 1865 and a new little spot northeast quadrant.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]
Our Sun 11 10 2013.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]

peace
Political correctness without wisdom ,is just Political nonsense.
Hugh M Eye

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10/10/2013 09:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi all, I’m still playing catch-up with all the sol action while I was away, had a bright clear morning today perfect for sun pics.
So here they are:

Sunspots AR 11865, AR 11861 & AR 11861 which has slightly grown and will rotating round soon, Nice.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]
Sunspots 1861 1863 1864 1865 and a new little spot northeast quadrant.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]
Our Sun 11 10 2013.
[link to i1245.photobucket.com]

peace
 Quoting: sounds


'sounds' like a fun day in the sun, LOL. You didn't notice any comets whizzing by perchance? Thanks for the pics and keep looking up, as they say.
Hugh M Eye

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10/10/2013 09:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA Solar Activity Update-

.24 hr Summary..
Solar activity was at low levels. Regions 1861 (S10E22, Eac/beta-gamma)
and 1865 (S22E45, Dai/beta-gamma-delta) were both responsible for
multiple low level C-flares. Moderate growth was observed in Region
1861. Region 1861 appeared to develop more magnetic complexity through
the period.
Region 1865 appeared relatively stable, however it still
retains a delta in its much larger leader spot. No Earth-directed
coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed during the period.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Smilies Not Found Again....is it just me?

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 284 Issued at 0030Z on 11 Oct 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 10 Oct
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 10/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1856 N07W36 226 0010 Bxo 03 02 Beta
1857 S08W37 227 0100 Hsx 05 01 Alpha
1861 S10E22 168 0200 Eac 11 23 Beta-Gamma
1862 S23W61 251 0040 Dao 07 08 Beta
1863 S19W08 198 0030 Dro 04 05 Beta
1864 S23E34 156 0060 Hax 02 02 Alpha
1865 S22E45 145 0220 Dai 07 15 Beta-Gamma-Delta
1867 N23E07 183 0010 Axx 02 02 Alpha

I still think that 1865 has a reversed polarity. If you zoom in on the hi-res magnetogram, it looks like a mirror image of its next-door neighbor 1864. Beyond that, I think 1861 is almost twice the size of '65 now.

Ars 1865-64-
:1865revpol:


Latest HMI Color Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest HMI Color Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
shenue

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10/10/2013 10:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi all. Jeeze I am still getting bombarded with messages and emails about some kind of asteroid or commet event that is supposed to happen soon and cause a U.S. east coast tsunami. I know I mentioned it several days ago, but has anyone else heard anything about this?
Hugh I know you said it was just nonsense but where in the heck is this coming from? I usually can just ignore all this kind of stuff but I am embarrassed to admit that it is starting to set my nerves on edge.
I know I'm making myself sound a bit wacky by bringing this up again, but I'd really be interested if anyone else has heard this. And I like and trust you guys here. I'm about to get caught up on the posts I've missed since early yesterday. I doubt if there has been any discussion about this on this thread, but if there has been, I apologize for this post. I've just not gotten caught up yet.
Group Hug
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
joinca

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10/11/2013 12:23 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is EVE for the C5.5:
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
M1.618

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10/11/2013 01:08 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi all. Jeeze I am still getting bombarded with messages and emails about some kind of asteroid or commet event that is supposed to happen soon and cause a U.S. east coast tsunami. I know I mentioned it several days ago, but has anyone else heard anything about this?
Hugh I know you said it was just nonsense but where in the heck is this coming from? I usually can just ignore all this kind of stuff but I am embarrassed to admit that it is starting to set my nerves on edge.
I know I'm making myself sound a bit wacky by bringing this up again, but I'd really be interested if anyone else has heard this. And I like and trust you guys here. I'm about to get caught up on the posts I've missed since early yesterday. I doubt if there has been any discussion about this on this thread, but if there has been, I apologize for this post. I've just not gotten caught up yet.
Group Hug
 Quoting: shenue


The problem with now is things are occurring at an unprecedented scale, and frequency that seems to be accelerating/ intensifying. It could be that there is more access to data ... yet those that have experience with the math are finding anomalies that make little sense, pattern compared to the historical one they have witnessed. This pattern is unique in all regards... And intensifying... Strange days) even the shills are finding it difficult outside the herd,
wmMmw
Luisport

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Portugal
10/11/2013 03:12 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another C flare rising...
Luisport

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10/11/2013 03:24 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
banana2 M1.5!!! banana2

Last Edited by Luisport on 10/11/2013 03:24 AM
Anonymous Coward
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10/11/2013 03:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
banana2 M1.5!!! banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


Hey Luis,it looks like its maxing out @ M 1.5
Luisport

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10/11/2013 03:30 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
banana2 M1.5!!! banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


Hey Luis,it looks like its maxing out @ M 1.5
 Quoting: Dettro


yes it seams so... lets see what happen! tounge
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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10/11/2013 03:38 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
banana2 M1.5!!! banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


Hey Luis,it looks like its maxing out @ M 1.5
 Quoting: Dettro


yes it seams so... lets see what happen! tounge
 Quoting: Luisport


Luis!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

angryface
Anonymous Coward
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10/11/2013 03:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yes it seams so... lets see what happen! tounge
 Quoting: Luisport


Luis!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

angryface
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


chuckle
Luisport

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10/11/2013 03:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
banana2 M1.5!!! banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


Hey Luis,it looks like its maxing out @ M 1.5
 Quoting: Dettro


yes it seams so... lets see what happen! tounge
 Quoting: Luisport


Luis!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

angryface
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


abduct
Anonymous Coward
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10/11/2013 03:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is it possible that the coronal hole can damage our magnetosphere and then just any x-flare will complete the work of destruction?
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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10/11/2013 04:00 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is it possible that the coronal hole can damage our magnetosphere and then just any x-flare will complete the work of destruction?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 45986241


I doubt it...
Anonymous Coward
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10/11/2013 04:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is it possible that the coronal hole can damage our magnetosphere and then just any x-flare will complete the work of destruction?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 45986241


I doubt it...
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


for clarity, I'm talking about a situation where the worst case scenario is burnt transistors and cut off from electricity for at least half of the world
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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10/11/2013 04:09 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is it possible that the coronal hole can damage our magnetosphere and then just any x-flare will complete the work of destruction?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 45986241


I doubt it...
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


for clarity, I'm talking about a situation where the worst case scenario is burnt transistors and cut off from electricity for at least half of the world
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 45986241


Well.... That would take one hell of a CME. Maybe a repeat of the Carrington Event could cause trouble.
Luisport

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10/11/2013 04:14 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
banana2 M1.5!!! banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


This one is a nice LDE...
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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10/11/2013 04:18 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
She looks very grumpy off the NE Limb.


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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10/11/2013 04:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.lmsal.com]

From IRIS
AR/CME Watch ToO HOP 201 Observation
OBS 3824263204: Very large sit-and-stare
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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10/11/2013 04:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.lmsal.com]

From IRIS
AR/CME Watch ToO HOP 201 Observation
OBS 3824263204: Very large sit-and-stare
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17754867


What am I looking at? Lol
NiNzrez (OP)

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10/11/2013 05:01 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
banana2 M1.5!!! banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


This one is a nice LDE...
 Quoting: Luisport


M1.0 Flare on 10/11/2013 @ 07:25 UTC - Sunspot N21E87
CME showing up on STEREO now
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

with a nice anomaly showing up on the image as well
here is the image that is from directly before the latest one
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

sure does look like something else was caught in the image
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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10/11/2013 05:04 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
banana2 M1.5!!! banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


This one is a nice LDE...
 Quoting: Luisport


M1.0 Flare on 10/11/2013 @ 07:25 UTC - Sunspot N21E87
CME showing up on STEREO now
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

with a nice anomaly showing up on the image as well
here is the image that is from directly before the latest one
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

sure does look like something else was caught in the image
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That is dense!
Anonymous Coward
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10/11/2013 05:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.lmsal.com]

From IRIS
AR/CME Watch ToO HOP 201 Observation
OBS 3824263204: Very large sit-and-stare
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17754867


What am I looking at? Lol
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#

It's the limb of the sun, loops from a filament/prominence as Nasa was watching for a CME with their new toy IRIS

NIN -
WOW WTF is that?!

Hope that isn't headed our way hiding
NiNzrez (OP)

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10/11/2013 05:11 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
banana2 M1.5!!! banana2
 Quoting: Luisport


This one is a nice LDE...
 Quoting: Luisport


M1.0 Flare on 10/11/2013 @ 07:25 UTC - Sunspot N21E87
CME showing up on STEREO now
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

with a nice anomaly showing up on the image as well
here is the image that is from directly before the latest one
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

sure does look like something else was caught in the image
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That is dense!
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


check out the CME off that region
top right spot, for those reading

here is just before the M flare + CME
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

here is directly after
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?

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