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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Simple27

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12/14/2013 03:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I don't see where is the alarm.. it's any alarm about this normal meteor shower?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 51316929


Alarm? No, I was just giving a heads-up to anyone with clear dark skies to witness the Geminids at peak activity. To see 100-200 meteors an hour is a very rare and awe-inspiring thing to behold. And although meteor showers are predictable as far as timing, the actual numbers and strength of the display are not.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I saw 2 late last night/early this morning while I was still in Florida. It was pretty amazing because it was very cloudy, but a clear patch came across the sky and I got to see 2 just minutes apart : )
~*Ride the Wave*~
Anonymous Coward
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12/14/2013 04:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
PREDICTION: More X-Flares On the Way Soon!

While reviewing the SDO images from today I kept seeing tongues of plasma shooting from behind the south-eastern limb. Upon checking the STEREO Behind EUV movie, I found a large crackling, sparkling region about to berzerk. Unfortunately it's still 3-4 days away from Earth-side visibility.

STEREO B EUV movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

That old CIR (Co-rotating Interaction region) fooled me again last night, haha.

Update-Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters, measured at ACE, were indicative of a co-rotating
interaction region (CIR) followed by negative polarity coronal hole high
speed stream (CH HSS) effects.
Solar wind speed was initially steady at
around 300 - 330 km/s and increased to around 400 km/s after 14/0045
UTC. Total field strength values ranged from 4 nT to 15 nT while the Bz
component ranged from +14 nT to -11 nT. The phi angle began the period
in a positive (away) sector and transitioned to a negative (toward)
sector around 14/0000 UTC.

.Forecast...
Solar wind speed is expected to remain enhanced for days one and two (14
- 15 Dec) due to a combination of waning CH HSS influence and arrival of
the 12 Dec CMEs.
A return to nominal solar wind values are expected for
day three (16 Dec) with return to a nominal solar wind environment.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Current SW conditions at ACE:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


popcorn
Simple27

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12/14/2013 04:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
PREDICTION: More X-Flares On the Way Soon!

While reviewing the SDO images from today I kept seeing tongues of plasma shooting from behind the south-eastern limb. Upon checking the STEREO Behind EUV movie, I found a large crackling, sparkling region about to berzerk. Unfortunately it's still 3-4 days away from Earth-side visibility.

STEREO B EUV movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

That old CIR (Co-rotating Interaction region) fooled me again last night, haha.

Update-Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters, measured at ACE, were indicative of a co-rotating
interaction region (CIR) followed by negative polarity coronal hole high
speed stream (CH HSS) effects.
Solar wind speed was initially steady at
around 300 - 330 km/s and increased to around 400 km/s after 14/0045
UTC. Total field strength values ranged from 4 nT to 15 nT while the Bz
component ranged from +14 nT to -11 nT. The phi angle began the period
in a positive (away) sector and transitioned to a negative (toward)
sector around 14/0000 UTC.

.Forecast...
Solar wind speed is expected to remain enhanced for days one and two (14
- 15 Dec) due to a combination of waning CH HSS influence and arrival of
the 12 Dec CMEs.
A return to nominal solar wind values are expected for
day three (16 Dec) with return to a nominal solar wind environment.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Current SW conditions at ACE:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


popcorn
 Quoting: Goofy for God


tgnom
~*Ride the Wave*~
joinca

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12/14/2013 06:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The absorption rate is on the increase in Antarctica:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

scheming
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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12/14/2013 06:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The absorption rate is on the increase in Antarctica:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

scheming
 Quoting: joinca


Yes yes...

scheming
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
VitaAnubis
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12/14/2013 07:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Protons! [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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12/14/2013 08:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Incoming CMEs (maybe) expected this evening-

Event Issue Date: 2013-12-12 10:14:45.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-12-15 03:38:22.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 20 hours

Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.7 Re



Old 1913 is the culprit of all the far-side action. It must be extreme as even NOAA noticed it, LOL.

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. The largest flare was a C2/Sf at
14/1124 UTC from Region 1917 (S15W24, Dkc/beta-gamma). Growth and
consolidation in the northernmost spots was observed in Region 1917.
The rest of the spotted regions were relatively stable. New Region 1926
(N09W01, Cro/beta) was numbered today. Several coronal mass ejections
(CMEs) were observed today in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery, however all
appeared to be backsided. The majority of the activity on the backside
appeared to be from old Region 1913 (S14, L=268) which is due to rotate
back onto the visible disk on 17 December.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Location of 1913:

[link to www.solarham.net]



Old 1913 as of Dec. 10th (latest available farside 171 image)-
:1old1913euB:
madajs.

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12/15/2013 12:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOT NEWS TO US HERE-

Check out the top headline story on Drudge.com:

[link to www.drudgereport.com]

In case it's changed, here's the linked article:

[link to www.space.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Neat to see an article with Mr. Svalgaard with how often we use his material here.

I still feel a little queasy when they say this is one of the weakest maximums recorded, because at the same time they admit that we have not yet experienced maximum... Feels like we should perhaps wait until the poles finish flipping and this sequence finishes unfolding before we compare it to other cycles.

Last Edited by madajs. on 12/15/2013 01:00 AM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Anonymous Coward
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12/15/2013 01:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Anonymous Coward
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12/15/2013 04:16 AM
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C2.8
Anonymous Coward
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12/15/2013 09:04 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Mystery: Sun grows strangely quiet, lowest activity in 100 years

Posted on December 14, 2013 by The Extinction Protocol December 14, 2013 – SPACE — The sun’s current space-weather cycle is the most anemic in 100 years, scientists say. Our star is now at “solar maximum,” the peak phase of its 11-year activity cycle. But this solar max is weak, and the overall current cycle, known as Solar Cycle 24, conjures up comparisons to the famously feeble Solar Cycle 14 in the early 1900s, researchers said. “None of us alive have ever seen such a weak cycle. So we will learn something,” Leif Svalgaard of Stanford University told reporters here today (Dec. 11) at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union. The learning has already begun. For example, scientists think they know why the solar storms that have erupted during Solar Cycle 24 have caused relatively few problems here on Earth. The sun often blasts huge clouds of superheated particles into space, in explosions known as coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Powerful CMEs that hit Earth squarely can trigger geomagnetic storms, which in turn can disrupt radio communications, GPS signals and power grids.

But such effects have rarely been seen during Solar Cycle 24, even though the total number of CMEs hasn’t dropped off much, if at all. The explanation, researchers said, lies in the reduced pressure currently present in the heliosphere, the enormous bubble of charged particles and magnetic fields that the sun puffs out around itself. This lower pressure has allowed CMEs to expand greatly as they cruise through space, said Nat Gopalswamy of NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. Indeed, Solar Cycle 24 CMEs are, on average, 38 percent bigger than those measured during the last cycle — a difference with real consequences for folks here on Earth. “When the CMEs expand more, the magnetic field inside the CMEs has lower strength,” Gopalswamy said. “So when you have lower-strength magnetic fields, then they cause milder geomagnetic storms.” –Space.com [link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]
Isis One

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12/15/2013 03:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Mystery: Sun grows strangely quiet, lowest activity in 100 years

Posted on December 14, 2013 by The Extinction Protocol December 14, 2013 – SPACE — The sun’s current space-weather cycle is the most anemic in 100 years, scientists say. Our star is now at “solar maximum,” the peak phase of its 11-year activity cycle. But this solar max is weak, and the overall current cycle, known as Solar Cycle 24, conjures up comparisons to the famously feeble Solar Cycle 14 in the early 1900s, researchers said. “None of us alive have ever seen such a weak cycle. So we will learn something,” Leif Svalgaard of Stanford University told reporters here today (Dec. 11) at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union. The learning has already begun. For example, scientists think they know why the solar storms that have erupted during Solar Cycle 24 have caused relatively few problems here on Earth. The sun often blasts huge clouds of superheated particles into space, in explosions known as coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Powerful CMEs that hit Earth squarely can trigger geomagnetic storms, which in turn can disrupt radio communications, GPS signals and power grids.

But such effects have rarely been seen during Solar Cycle 24, even though the total number of CMEs hasn’t dropped off much, if at all. The explanation, researchers said, lies in the reduced pressure currently present in the heliosphere, the enormous bubble of charged particles and magnetic fields that the sun puffs out around itself. This lower pressure has allowed CMEs to expand greatly as they cruise through space, said Nat Gopalswamy of NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. Indeed, Solar Cycle 24 CMEs are, on average, 38 percent bigger than those measured during the last cycle — a difference with real consequences for folks here on Earth. “When the CMEs expand more, the magnetic field inside the CMEs has lower strength,” Gopalswamy said. “So when you have lower-strength magnetic fields, then they cause milder geomagnetic storms.” –Space.com [link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


Interesting hypothesis as to why the cme's aren't doing much damage on earth. Another great article Luis, you're on a roll today. Cheers!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
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Hugh M Eye

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12/15/2013 09:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AR1917 Bigger But No Flares-
:12/15-1917:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 350 Issued at 0030Z on 16 Dec 2013
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 15 Dec
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 15/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1917 S15W37 077 0340 Dkc 10 33 Beta-Gamma
1918 S10W15 055 0170 Cao 06 11 Beta-Gamma
1920 N13W07 047 0050 Hsx 02 03 Alpha
1921 N07W03 043 0400 Hkx 07 09 Alpha
1922 N10W84 124 0040 Cao 08 02 Beta
1923 N17W37 077 0030 Cro 07 10 Beta
1925 S07E28 012 0020 Hrx 02 03 Alpha
1926 N09W14 054 0010 Bxo 06 07 Beta
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 15/2400Z Dec
Nmbr Location Lo
None
II. Regions Due to Return 16 Dec to 18 Dec
Nmbr Lat Lo
1910 N02 299
1913 S14 285

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Old 1913 still active on STEREO Behind:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

AR1921 & 1920 Now Directly Earth-facing-
:12/15-1920-21:
Hugh M Eye

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12/15/2013 10:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Reverse GLP Effect? AR1917 has produced a C3.6 flare out of embarrassment.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Simple27

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12/15/2013 10:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Reverse GLP Effect? AR1917 has produced a C3.6 flare out of embarrassment.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


chuckle
~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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12/16/2013 01:38 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Goodnight all <3

:s27heartsun:
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Simple27

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12/16/2013 01:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
FlareAware &#8207;@FlareAware 19s
#CME summary: 7 coronal mass ejections have occurred in the past 24 hours. (For updates visit: [link to FlareAware.com] )

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Anonymous Coward
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12/16/2013 01:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
FlareAware &#8207;@FlareAware 19s
#CME summary: 7 coronal mass ejections have occurred in the past 24 hours. (For updates visit: [link to FlareAware.com] )

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Simple27

lolwut? seven??? hiding
Simple27

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12/16/2013 02:03 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SPACE.com &#8207;@SPACEdotcom 11m
Massive Coronal Hole To Blast Earth With Solar Wind | Video [link to dlvr.it]

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

[link to www.space.com]
~*Ride the Wave*~
optimum judgment

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12/16/2013 02:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Afternoon sol enthusiasts,looks like a slow but gradual rise on the 5min data.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Isis One

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12/16/2013 08:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
FlareAware &#8207;@FlareAware 19s
#CME summary: 7 coronal mass ejections have occurred in the past 24 hours. (For updates visit: [link to FlareAware.com] )

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Simple27


Love that flareaware link, thanks!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Simple27

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12/16/2013 08:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
FlareAware &#8207;@FlareAware 19s
#CME summary: 7 coronal mass ejections have occurred in the past 24 hours. (For updates visit: [link to FlareAware.com] )

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Simple27


Love that flareaware link, thanks!
 Quoting: Isis One


hf
~*Ride the Wave*~
optimum judgment

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12/16/2013 08:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
FlareAware &#8207;@FlareAware 19s
#CME summary: 7 coronal mass ejections have occurred in the past 24 hours. (For updates visit: [link to FlareAware.com] )

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Simple27


Love that flareaware link, thanks!
 Quoting: Isis One


hf
 Quoting: Simple27


Yes awesome link,love the daily timelapse thanxcoffee4
Simple27

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12/16/2013 09:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
FlareAware &#8207;@FlareAware 19s
#CME summary: 7 coronal mass ejections have occurred in the past 24 hours. (For updates visit: [link to FlareAware.com] )

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Simple27


Love that flareaware link, thanks!
 Quoting: Isis One


hf
 Quoting: Simple27


Yes awesome link,love the daily timelapse thanxcoffee4
 Quoting: optimum judgment


hugs
~*Ride the Wave*~
Hugh M Eye

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12/16/2013 10:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A nice prominence eruption on the SW limb produced a big CME (not Earth-directed).

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

STEREO A view of CME:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO C2 Image-
:12/17-CMEc2:

NOAA Solar Activity .24 hr Summary...

Solar activity was low. Region 1917 (S15W51, Ekc/beta-gamma) produced a
C3/Sf flare at 16/0330 UTC, which was the largest event of the period.
Newly-numbered Region 1927 (S25W73, Bxo/beta) gradually grew during the
period. The other regions on the disk were either stable or undergoing
minor decay. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were
detected in imagery.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

A new region has just appeared rapidly in the SE. Hopefully it will continue to grow and produce some flares for us soon.

Birth of an Active Region-
:12/17-new1:
Simple27

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12/17/2013 01:52 AM

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:s27goodnight:
~*Ride the Wave*~
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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12/17/2013 02:20 AM

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:s27goodnight:
 Quoting: Simple27


Bye.
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
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Anonymous Coward
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12/17/2013 05:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hiding


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]




[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


look how long it is out there
Anonymous Coward
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12/17/2013 12:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
no data

[link to www.solarham.net]
Anonymous Coward
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12/17/2013 03:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
What time is the real???

IMAGE ( [link to imageshack.us] )


wtf





GLP