SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
#Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 44557506 United States 01/07/2014 03:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'll try. Lol |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 52600155 Portugal 01/07/2014 03:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
falco-herent User ID: 48601660 United States 01/07/2014 03:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Elemental just told me using the CME tracking tool in another group it was estimated to be : 2979km/s Quoting: TS66 I'm hoping she can add a screenshot, as I can't What? Thats waaaaay fast. I hope we don't see anything else of size anytime soon. Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 01/07/2014 03:13 PM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
#Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 44557506 United States 01/07/2014 03:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here it is.... [link to s728.photobucket.com] |
falco-herent User ID: 48601660 United States 01/07/2014 03:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At 2900 km/s that puts it here within 28 hours “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28239113 Venezuela 01/07/2014 03:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | some initial rise in protón flux? [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Luisport And this from ACE [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 52600155 Portugal 01/07/2014 03:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | some initial rise in protón flux? [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Luisport And this from ACE [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Space Weather is trying to keep up. Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 412 Issue Time: 2014 Jan 07 2008 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Extension to Serial Number: 411 Valid From: 2014 Jan 06 0837 UTC Now Valid Until: 2014 Jan 08 2100 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies. TS66 |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here it is.... [link to s728.photobucket.com] Thank you Geo TS66 |
falco-herent User ID: 48601660 United States 01/07/2014 03:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At lets say an avg. 2,500 km/s = 1,550m/s Thats 93,000 miles a minute 5,580,000 miles an hour the sun at 93,000,000 miles away, gives us about 17 hours, alot sooner than 28,wow! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
mtn_mang User ID: 30785944 United States 01/07/2014 03:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
falco-herent User ID: 48601660 United States 01/07/2014 03:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At lets say an avg. 2,500 km/s = 1,550m/s Quoting: falco-herent Thats 93,000 miles a minute 5,580,000 miles an hour the sun at 93,000,000 miles away, gives us about 17 hours, alot sooner than 28,wow! We shall see !! Can't wait to the est density on this guy... I know the density will tell us alot! Nice to have you here! [link to www.lmsal.com] solarsoft is giving 44 the credit Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 01/07/2014 03:31 PM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 52600155 Portugal 01/07/2014 03:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | nice vídeo here: [link to www.spaceweatherlive.com] |
mtn_mang User ID: 30785944 United States 01/07/2014 03:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At lets say an avg. 2,500 km/s = 1,550m/s Quoting: falco-herent Thats 93,000 miles a minute 5,580,000 miles an hour the sun at 93,000,000 miles away, gives us about 17 hours, alot sooner than 28,wow! We shall see !! Can't wait to the est density on this guy... I know the density will tell us alot! Nice to have you here! [link to www.lmsal.com] solarsoft is giving 44 the credit I'm glad to be here again. Doesn't this seem odd ??? Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF Serial Number: 208 Issue Time: 2014 Jan 07 1818 UTC ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5 Threshold Reached: 2014 Jan 07 1817 UTC NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Never updated after 18:18 ?? What are they doing ??? BTW got a hold of Nin. She ok just very cold at -35 wind chills. Hopefully she can get back here quick Last Edited by TS66 on 01/07/2014 03:37 PM TS66 |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
falco-herent User ID: 48601660 United States 01/07/2014 03:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At lets say an avg. 2,500 km/s = 1,550m/s Quoting: falco-herent Thats 93,000 miles a minute 5,580,000 miles an hour the sun at 93,000,000 miles away, gives us about 17 hours, alot sooner than 28,wow! We shall see !! Can't wait to the est density on this guy... I know the density will tell us alot! Nice to have you here! [link to www.lmsal.com] solarsoft is giving 44 the credit I'm glad to be here again. Doesn't this seem odd ??? Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF Serial Number: 208 Issue Time: 2014 Jan 07 1818 UTC ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5 Threshold Reached: 2014 Jan 07 1817 UTC NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Never updated after 18:18 ?? What are they doing ??? BTW got a hold of Nin. She ok just very cold at -35 wind chills. Hopefully she can get back here quick I've seen that before and couldn't understand the implications from a warning like that. Good to hear Nins ok, haven't talked to her in awhile. I knew she checked in the other day. “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 49970192 United States 01/07/2014 03:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Neither do I, but does it mean anything other than it's fast? Will the impact be any different due to the speed? Yes. Speed, Particle Density, and polarity all determine the severity of the impact. Anything near 2000 km/s or greater is bound to pack a strong punch to our magnetosphere. If I recall, the March 2012 CME was 1250 km/s and that was a humdinger. The ACE Satellite shut down and all the models went haywire, LOL. Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 01/07/2014 03:41 PM |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28239113 Venezuela 01/07/2014 03:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is what I received from FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC ":Issued: 2014 Jan 07 1858 UTC :Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be] #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# A shock in the solar wind data was observed around 14:20 UTC. Solar wind speed, density and temperature show an abrupt increase, as well as the magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field has achieved a maximum value of 9 nT. The Bz-component is fluctuating between -8 and +4 nT. The shock is probably related to the arrival of a CME of January 4. The estimated NOAA Kp reached values of 3, but is expected to increase to Kp=5 in the next few hours. An X1.3 flare erupted from the western part of NOAA AR 1944, peaking at 18:30 UTC. A new proton event might be possible due to this flaring activity. Further analysis will be needed to identify whether other activity is related to this flare." |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | They must be listening ... shhhh Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01 Serial Number: 96 Issue Time: 2014 Jan 07 2022 UTC SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1 Begin Time: 2014 Jan 07 1804 UTC Maximum Time: 2014 Jan 07 1832 UTC End Time: 2014 Jan 07 1858 UTC X-ray Class: X1.2 Optical Class: 2n Location: S14W12 NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong Comment: Optical Class and Location are preliminary. Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point. Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour. Everyone say hello TS66 |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Told you they were holding back ... smh Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R Serial Number: 604 Issue Time: 2014 Jan 07 2031 UTC SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2014 Jan 07 1806 UTC Maximum Time: 2014 Jan 07 1813 UTC End Time: 2014 Jan 07 1856 UTC Duration: 50 minutes Peak Flux: 8300 sfu Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 204 sfu Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications. TS66 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 28239113 Venezuela 01/07/2014 03:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We have to add that earth is passing again through Current Sheet that is why the the electron flux increased. [link to www.lmsal.com] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 49970192 United States 01/07/2014 03:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] |
whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 43857184 United States 01/07/2014 03:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So, it could be here in 18-26 hours. It wasn't a huge CME so no Carrington. Whew. We haven't been getting the boost to the electromagnetic fields like it should be because the sun have been really scared off by humans. Doesn't that mean that whatever does hit us, will hit us harder than normal because our "shields" are weaker?? Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's the NASA Cone model. Looks like Venus will get hit just ahead of Earth. Venus has no active magnetosphere. Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Pretty quick analysis this time around wouldn't you say ... looks like density is just around 30 ??? The optical gets a little confusing right at impact ... lol TS66 |
TS66 User ID: 23991963 United States 01/07/2014 03:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So, it could be here in 18-26 hours. It wasn't a huge CME so no Carrington. Whew. Quoting: whiteangel We haven't been getting the boost to the electromagnetic fields like it should be because the sun have been really scared off by humans. Doesn't that mean that whatever does hit us, will hit us harder than normal because our "shields" are weaker?? I'm thinking it's going to pick up that snail of an M 7.2 and bring it along. TS66 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 52600155 Portugal 01/07/2014 03:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's the NASA Cone model. Looks like Venus will get hit just ahead of Earth. Venus has no active magnetosphere. Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] |