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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
falco-herent

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02/02/2014 09:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy SUNday, team!
 Quoting: mtn_mang


Hey mtn, toes tingling?lol
One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If weve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. Were no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. Its simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that weve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back. Carl Sagan
falco-herent

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02/02/2014 09:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
These are good releases for mama earth!

I was at an arborist/ municipality conference last week and got to talk to an ITC engineer on grid mechanics, very interesting.It would seem that the east coast has the best possibility of grid failure during a massive event, the upper midwest seems to be the safest place. I was told we have nothing to worry about unless we would have multiple events , which we have discussed. I asked all kinds of questions about the weakening magnetosphere, etc.., he seemed startled at alot of my questions. I think he was more of a company guy, with learned engineer responses, but it was interesting learning about back up potential. The east coast seems very vulnerable compared to the midwest. Just throwing this out there.

edit: he mentioned their biggest worry is the increasing possibilities of super storms over the next 5 years. They also had a sema group there, state emergency, which is a first for me after 25 years of attending these shows.It was a very emergency oriented event

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 02/02/2014 09:51 AM
One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If weve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. Were no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. Its simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that weve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back. Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 09:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Another huge volcanic eruption or 7.0+ inc.
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 10:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Image below is January's Summary for GOES15.

[link to img834.imageshack.us]
whiteangel

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02/02/2014 10:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Latest of 1967

1967 020214
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
falco-herent

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02/02/2014 10:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.n3kl.org]

Goes 13 seems to be fraggled again, poor thing.lol
One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If weve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. Were no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. Its simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that weve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back. Carl Sagan
whiteangel

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02/02/2014 10:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.n3kl.org]

Goes 13 seems to be fraggled again, poor thing.lol
 Quoting: falco-herent


Feels like me!!! hugs
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
TS66

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02/02/2014 10:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.n3kl.org]

Goes 13 seems to be fraggled again, poor thing.lol
 Quoting: falco-herent


Seems they are stretching every bit of usefulness out of it until they return to 14.
TS66
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 10:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I believe that sunspot number reached on January will give a new maximum sunspot peak on Solar Cycle Progression, the previous was on 2011-11 with 96.7 sunspot. I mean for the shown on solen's table at bottom of page.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28239113


Well, my appreciation about SSN was wrong, but we got in January a new peak in Solar Flux (157.4) to Cycle 24.
Image below is daily and monthly sunspot number (last 13 years) updated till Feb 01

[link to sidc.be]
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 11:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.0 now
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 11:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.0 now
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28239113


That was from AR1968

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
falco-herent

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02/02/2014 11:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good day TS, WA, and Diego!

Hope you all are doing well and ready for a beautiful energetic solar day!
One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If weve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. Were no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. Its simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that weve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back. Carl Sagan
whiteangel

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02/02/2014 11:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good day TS, WA, and Diego!

Hope you all are doing well and ready for a beautiful energetic solar day!
 Quoting: falco-herent


Not sure about the energetic part for me....it always zaps me!
bighugs
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
mtn_mang

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02/02/2014 12:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
At work, trying to keep up with solar activity when I can. A bit of toe tingling today so keep a look out, people..
TS66

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02/02/2014 01:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wink [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
TS66
hIndsIght2020

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02/02/2014 01:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
5a
Luisport

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02/02/2014 01:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M3.1!!!
Hugh M Eye

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02/02/2014 01:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M3.1!!!
 Quoting: Luisport


From directly Earth-facing 1967.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
TS66

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02/02/2014 01:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.solarham.net]
TS66
Hugh M Eye

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02/02/2014 01:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The earlier big CME was from a far-side filament eruption seen by the STEREO Ahead EUVI instrument:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SEEDS movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
whiteangel

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02/02/2014 02:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Staying busy busy busy!!
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
Goofy for God
For by Him All Things Were Created

User ID: 51311176
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02/02/2014 02:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo.ssl.berkeley.edu]

stereo wont load can yall get it ahhh

tell me yes and to calm down
Luke 18:8I tell you that he will avenge them speedily. Nevertheless when the Son of man cometh, shall he find faith on the earth?
whiteangel

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02/02/2014 02:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo.ssl.berkeley.edu]

stereo wont load can yall get it ahhh

tell me yes and to calm down
 Quoting: Goofy for God


Won't connect for me either.
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
Goofy for God
For by Him All Things Were Created

User ID: 51311176
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02/02/2014 02:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo.ssl.berkeley.edu]

stereo wont load can yall get it ahhh

tell me yes and to calm down
 Quoting: Goofy for God


Won't connect for me either.
 Quoting: whiteangel


Where is this camera and can it get damaged by sun?????????
Luke 18:8I tell you that he will avenge them speedily. Nevertheless when the Son of man cometh, shall he find faith on the earth?
°Lucy°
Watching

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02/02/2014 02:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.isitdownrightnow.com]

The server is just down
"He who people call a fool is not a fool, but he who takes flattery for Truth, is."
Hugh M Eye

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02/02/2014 03:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo.ssl.berkeley.edu]

stereo wont load can yall get it ahhh

tell me yes and to calm down
 Quoting: Goofy for God


Won't connect for me either.
 Quoting: whiteangel


Where is this camera and can it get damaged by sun?????????
 Quoting: Goofy for God


Get your STEREO images and data here:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Luisport

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02/02/2014 03:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C4.5
Hugh M Eye

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02/02/2014 03:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M3.1 produced a brief tenflare-

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 608
Issue Time: 2014 Feb 02 1825 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2014 Feb 02 1809 UTC
Maximum Time: 2014 Feb 02 1809 UTC
End Time: 2014 Feb 02 1810 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes

Peak Flux: 180 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 177 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:2/2-M3_sam:

Another big, fast CME seems to have disappeared into hyperspace before reaching Earth.

:1/31-EnlilCME:

ACE Solar wind plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe it's just running late. A recent spike in the ACE low-energy protons still gives me some hope.

ACE EPAM:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
optimum judgment

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02/02/2014 03:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M3.1 produced a brief tenflare-

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 608
Issue Time: 2014 Feb 02 1825 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2014 Feb 02 1809 UTC
Maximum Time: 2014 Feb 02 1809 UTC
End Time: 2014 Feb 02 1810 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes

Peak Flux: 180 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 177 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:2/2-M3_sam:

Another big, fast CME seems to have disappeared into hyperspace before reaching Earth.

:1/31-EnlilCME:

ACE Solar wind plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe it's just running late. A recent spike in the ACE low-energy protons still gives me some hope.

ACE EPAM:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I wonder what is hapening to these cme's?
Luisport

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02/02/2014 04:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C8.4

Last Edited by Luisport on 02/02/2014 04:34 PM


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