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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 04:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.0!
 Quoting: Simple27


1967
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
Luisport

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02/02/2014 05:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.0!
 Quoting: Simple27


1967
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17754867


still M1.0!!!
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 05:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.0!
 Quoting: Simple27


1967
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17754867


Strange flat top flare, LoL
Luisport

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02/02/2014 05:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
RISING AGAIN!
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 05:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
RISING AGAIN!
 Quoting: Luisport


Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 05:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
RISING AGAIN!
 Quoting: Luisport


M1.1
~fish out of water~

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02/02/2014 05:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
RISING AGAIN!
 Quoting: Luisport


M1.1
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28239113


M 1.2
Luisport

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02/02/2014 05:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.3
°Lucy°
Watching

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02/02/2014 05:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.0!
 Quoting: Simple27


1967
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17754867


Strange flat top flare, LoL
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28239113



Maybe the background is rising now to M level.... lol
Who am I and who are you to tell people what they should believe in and what not?
Everyone needs to make up his own mind and needs to have his own experiences.
-------------------------------------------
We confer on others the very traits that we are horrified to acknowledge in ourselves.
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 05:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.0!
 Quoting: Simple27


1967
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17754867


Strange flat top flare, LoL
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28239113



Maybe the background is rising now to M level.... lol
 Quoting: °Lucy°


Hahahaha, with That background can easily reach X level
Spittin'Cesium

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02/02/2014 05:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello0o Folks : )
hf

Did you catch AR1967s' size!?
2440 Millionths! [link to www.solen.info]
The largest region of Cycle 24 was this spot on the last rotation weighing in at 2600 Millionths - The largest of Cycle 23 was AR9393(I think!?)at 2400 Millionths which makes 1967 the Second largest region for quite some time.

I am having trouble finding a good list of SCs and Sunspot Area,so I may be incorrect...if anyone has a clue where I can source better info it would be muchos apprecito!

BL².

sun hf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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02/02/2014 05:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17754867


Strange flat top flare, LoL
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28239113



Maybe the background is rising now to M level.... lol
 Quoting: °Lucy°


Hahahaha, with That background can easily reach X level
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28239113


LoL : )
Hello Solar V - Luv your posts btw!

I'd say the background at present would work out around C3/4 which is still pretty darn good!

Solen appear to expect muchness from 1967 also,quotage 'Region 11967 [S12E17] developed quickly in the central and northwestern section. There is a contiguous penumbral structure of approximately 15 degrees longitudinally. Multiple strong magnetic delta structures could be the origin of a major X class flare at any time during the next 2-3 days'

Here that folks!?
Major X Class Flare potential!!!

popcorn

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
°Lucy°
Watching

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02/02/2014 05:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello0o Folks : )
hf

Did you catch AR1967s' size!?
2440 Millionths! [link to www.solen.info]
The largest region of Cycle 24 was this spot on the last rotation weighing in at 2600 Millionths - The largest of Cycle 23 was AR9393(I think!?)at 2400 Millionths which makes 1967 the Second largest region for quite some time.

I am having trouble finding a good list of SCs and Sunspot Area,so I may be incorrect...if anyone has a clue where I can source better info it would be muchos apprecito!

BL².

sun hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Maybe this will help a little?

[link to sites.stat.psu.edu]

[link to users.telenet.be]

[link to www.ips.gov.au]
Who am I and who are you to tell people what they should believe in and what not?
Everyone needs to make up his own mind and needs to have his own experiences.
-------------------------------------------
We confer on others the very traits that we are horrified to acknowledge in ourselves.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 28239113
Venezuela
02/02/2014 05:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello0o Folks : )
hf

Did you catch AR1967s' size!?
2440 Millionths! [link to www.solen.info]
The largest region of Cycle 24 was this spot on the last rotation weighing in at 2600 Millionths - The largest of Cycle 23 was AR9393(I think!?)at 2400 Millionths which makes 1967 the Second largest region for quite some time.

I am having trouble finding a good list of SCs and Sunspot Area,so I may be incorrect...if anyone has a clue where I can source better info it would be muchos apprecito!

BL².

sun hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Hey SC, in link below you can find what you are looking for, is easy to use, but require time to find that.

[link to hirweb.nict.go.jp]
whiteangel

User ID: 43857184
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02/02/2014 06:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Gotta say it.................

Had to remove it. They are embarrassing!

Last Edited by whiteangel on 02/02/2014 07:45 PM
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
God is NOT dead!
Thread: Being Prepared
Hugh M Eye

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02/02/2014 06:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Judging by the ACE proton flux, there's still a chance that our slow-poke, glancing-blow CME from the M6.6 is still on the way. The 1271 km/s speed estimate may have been for the central shock-front rather than for the slower edges headed in our direction.

ACE 24-hr. EPAM:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE 6-hr. EPAM:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE 2-hr. Plasma:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

...Or maybe another 'Halo Miss', lol.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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02/02/2014 06:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Gotta say it.................
broncos broncos broncos broncos
 Quoting: whiteangel


Woooo!!!
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 06:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello0o Folks : )
hf

Did you catch AR1967s' size!?
2440 Millionths! [link to www.solen.info]
The largest region of Cycle 24 was this spot on the last rotation weighing in at 2600 Millionths - The largest of Cycle 23 was AR9393(I think!?)at 2400 Millionths which makes 1967 the Second largest region for quite some time.

I am having trouble finding a good list of SCs and Sunspot Area,so I may be incorrect...if anyone has a clue where I can source better info it would be muchos apprecito!

BL².

sun hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Maybe this will help a little?

[link to sites.stat.psu.edu]

[link to users.telenet.be]

[link to www.ips.gov.au]
 Quoting: °Lucy°


Thanks to Lucy links, I'm posting on image below "Top 50 largest regions (sunspot groups) since 1874"

[link to img853.imageshack.us]
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 07:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have never seen two regions interact this much and for this long.
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 49823879
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02/02/2014 07:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Judging by the ACE proton flux, there's still a chance that our slow-poke, glancing-blow CME from the M6.6 is still on the way. The 1271 km/s speed estimate may have been for the central shock-front rather than for the slower edges headed in our direction.

ACE 24-hr. EPAM:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE 6-hr. EPAM:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE 2-hr. Plasma:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

...Or maybe another 'Halo Miss', lol.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hello Hugh : )

As with most all CMEs' of late ,no matter how fast,dense or wide,we will have little induced Geostorming due to how fast they are expanding into the Interplanetary Medium - I would expect very little from the CME Imo.

Heliospheric Pressure is down 40% remember -

[link to www.youtube.com]

The best bet for Geostorming 'these days' will be from CHs/Sector Boundary Crossings/CIRs.
Even that last(X Flare)hellacious Velocity CME had very,very,very little effect at Terra...not even a G1 was registered.

Still,we watch hf

sun
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 49823879
United Kingdom
02/02/2014 07:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello0o Folks : )
hf

Did you catch AR1967s' size!?
2440 Millionths! [link to www.solen.info]
The largest region of Cycle 24 was this spot on the last rotation weighing in at 2600 Millionths - The largest of Cycle 23 was AR9393(I think!?)at 2400 Millionths which makes 1967 the Second largest region for quite some time.

I am having trouble finding a good list of SCs and Sunspot Area,so I may be incorrect...if anyone has a clue where I can source better info it would be muchos apprecito!

BL².

sun hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Maybe this will help a little?

[link to sites.stat.psu.edu]

[link to users.telenet.be]

[link to www.ips.gov.au]
 Quoting: °Lucy°


Hello0o Folks : )
hf

Did you catch AR1967s' size!?
2440 Millionths! [link to www.solen.info]
The largest region of Cycle 24 was this spot on the last rotation weighing in at 2600 Millionths - The largest of Cycle 23 was AR9393(I think!?)at 2400 Millionths which makes 1967 the Second largest region for quite some time.

I am having trouble finding a good list of SCs and Sunspot Area,so I may be incorrect...if anyone has a clue where I can source better info it would be muchos apprecito!

BL².

sun hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Hey SC, in link below you can find what you are looking for, is easy to use, but require time to find that.

[link to hirweb.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28239113


Hello0o Folks : )
hf

Did you catch AR1967s' size!?
2440 Millionths! [link to www.solen.info]
The largest region of Cycle 24 was this spot on the last rotation weighing in at 2600 Millionths - The largest of Cycle 23 was AR9393(I think!?)at 2400 Millionths which makes 1967 the Second largest region for quite some time.

I am having trouble finding a good list of SCs and Sunspot Area,so I may be incorrect...if anyone has a clue where I can source better info it would be muchos apprecito!

BL².

sun hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Hey SC, in link below you can find what you are looking for, is easy to use, but require time to find that.

[link to hirweb.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28239113


Ta' folks hf
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 49823879
United Kingdom
02/02/2014 07:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello0o Folks : )
hf

Did you catch AR1967s' size!?
2440 Millionths! [link to www.solen.info]
The largest region of Cycle 24 was this spot on the last rotation weighing in at 2600 Millionths - The largest of Cycle 23 was AR9393(I think!?)at 2400 Millionths which makes 1967 the Second largest region for quite some time.

I am having trouble finding a good list of SCs and Sunspot Area,so I may be incorrect...if anyone has a clue where I can source better info it would be muchos apprecito!

BL².

sun hf
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Maybe this will help a little?

[link to sites.stat.psu.edu]

[link to users.telenet.be]

[link to www.ips.gov.au]
 Quoting: °Lucy°


Thanks to Lucy links, I'm posting on image below "Top 50 largest regions (sunspot groups) since 1874"

[link to img853.imageshack.us]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28239113


Ah,so - we have one in SC23 that was larger than AR1944 - AR10486 at 2610 Millionths - just 10 Millionths larger.
Still - This region(AR1944/67)is up there with the largest of 23 and 24 so far!

Thank you for posting Lucy!
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 49823879
United Kingdom
02/02/2014 07:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
O00ooo,a little deviation [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 07:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi Cesium.... long time HF
whiteangel

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02/02/2014 07:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Gotta say it.................

 Quoting: whiteangel


Woooo!!!
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


It's totally embarrassing!
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
God is NOT dead!
Thread: Being Prepared
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 49970192
United States
02/02/2014 07:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Something may be hitting now as the density has gone up and the velocity, too. It does appear pathetically weak though.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I never noticed any CMEs disappearing like this until October. This is a relatively recent development, not apparent earlier in the cycle.
Simple27

User ID: 51550563
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02/02/2014 07:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Gotta say it.................

 Quoting: whiteangel


Woooo!!!
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


It's totally embarrassing!
 Quoting: whiteangel


They're not doing so great...so far : (
Learn from yesterday, live for today, hope for tomorrow. The important thing is not to stop questioning.

The world is a dangerous place to live; not because of the people who are evil, but because of the people who don't do anything about it.

The difference between stupidity and genius is that genius has its limits.

You have to learn the rules of the game. And then you have to play better than anyone else.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

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02/02/2014 08:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Gotta say it.................

 Quoting: whiteangel


Woooo!!!
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


It's totally embarrassing!
 Quoting: whiteangel


Manning needs to get his shit together. Seahawks are scum!
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2014 08:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Something may be hitting now as the density has gone up and the velocity, too. It does appear pathetically weak though.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I never noticed any CMEs disappearing like this until October. This is a relatively recent development, not apparent earlier in the cycle.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Yup, started way after the EF quiet or even this low cycle began.
Hugh M Eye

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02/02/2014 08:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Mr. Alvestad at Solen lists AR1967 at 1410 millionths, not 2440.

[link to www.solen.info]

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 34 Issued at 0030Z on 03 Feb 2014
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 02 Feb
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 02/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1967 S13E01 114 1510 Fkc 18 94 Beta-Gamma-Delta
1968 N10E03 112 0300 Ekc 13 35 Beta-Gamma

1970 S18E54 061 0080 Dao 04 04 Beta

AR1967 & 1968 (AIA171)-
:2/2-6867_171a:

NOAA Solar Activity .24 hr Summary...

Solar activity reached high levels with a total of seven M-class flares
observed from both Regions 1967 (S13E01, Fkc/beta-gamma-delta) and 1968
(N10E03, Ekc/beta-gamma). Region 1967 produced for all but two of them,
including the largest, an M4/1b at 0931 UTC as well an M3 at 02/1811 UTC

which was associated with a Tenflare (180 sfu) at 02/1809 UTC. This
region grew, with multiple deltas along its trailing and intermediate
spots and a southeast-northwest orientation
. Region 1968s intermediate
and trailing spots grew. Three coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were
observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery, including one to the west at 0712
UTC, one to the southwest at 0912 UTC and another to the southwest at
1936 UTC. The first CME to the southwest appears be correlated with a
backsided filament eruption seen in STEREO A EUVI 195 imagery beginning
at 02/0825 UTC
. The remaining CMEs do not appear to be Earth-directed.
New Region 1970 (S18E54, Dao/beta) was numbered today.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind speed at ACE reached 426 km/s at 02/1515Z. Total IMF reached
6 nT at 02/1522Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
02/0309Z. At the end of the period, EPAM measurements indicated a rise
in the low energy particles suggesting the approach of the CME from 30
January was imminent.


.Forecast...
Nominal solar wind conditions are expected on day 1 (03 Feb). Reanalysis
of coronagraph imagery from 31 Jan suggests there is a chance for a weak
passage from the 31 Jan coronal mass ejection from Region 1968 on Day 2
(04 Feb). This would bring more turbulent solar wind conditions.
Day 3
(05 Feb) is expected to see a nominal solar wind environment.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 02/02/2014 08:05 PM

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