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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
OpenEnded

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03/09/2011 05:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
now the Bz is movin..
 Quoting: OpenEnded


What does the Bz tell us? Thanks
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1029592


it shows the magnetic polarity of the magnetosphere *roughly. It tends to go North or South or flop back and forth when an incoming CME is reaching our Msphere.
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
tomasgod1

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I uploaded a video of all four of the last CMEs over the past two days.



 Quoting: tomasgod1


I was going to do that but now don't need to hehe
thanks a ton Tom!
It looks so ahhhhhhh inspiring
so much for such a short time
and the thing is... it's not over
were going on 48hrs not being below the C range on the Xray flux
Just makes you wonder what night will bring, or what we will wake up to tomorrow

Last night i could not help but wonder how i would feel if a bad X hit while i was sleeping and i woke to no more electric
I would not miss electric too much, but i would miss the friends i have here on GLP and miss exchanging ideas and knowledge
I had that thought, so just wanted to put it out there :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks NiN. I had too bug out early last night after I came down with a severe headache out of nowhere. I too would be at a loss to wake up in a world without electricity, and my friends here. hf
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Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2011 05:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Maybe what the mayans actually ment is that the cycle of the sun would end with a massive solar flare and so everything would start over, i'm not sure about this though but it braught me some suspicious. Also there are some articles on the internet who tell the same.

And if you look at the mayan callendar actually, the middle is the sun
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 668399


Im a bit sceptic that´s what the cycle of the sun means. That would indicate that the Mayans knew what kind of technology we would have in order for all to "start over" again.
Without all our technology a massive flare wouldnt hurt so much. As it is today the biggest risk is fried electric grids which would take months or even years to rebuild.

Boom! Back to the stone age because face it. Humanity has become so weak that not half of it would survive without their IPODS or other luxurys like getting your food at the local supermarket. ;)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1287341


clappa
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Has to do with all of the above, including Fluffy...everything's cyclical...if we could just view the overall picture, the vortices are everywhere...they are everything.
tomasgod1

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03/09/2011 05:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
whats hapenin on a galactic dimension:

quoting:

link to www.etheric.com]

"Galactic superwaves are a recent discovery. During the early 60's astronomers began to realize that the massive object that forms the core of our Galaxy (the Milky Way), periodically becomes active.(9) The cores of all spiral galaxies cycle through a similar phase. During its active period, our galactic core spews out a fierce quasar-like barrages of cosmic rays, with a total energy output equal to hundreds of thousands of supernova explosions.(10, 11) In some galaxies these active emissions have been observed to equal the energy from billions of supernova explosions."

Also these superwaves affect all planets/stars within the galaxy..

"The effects on the Sun and on the Earth's climate were not due to the Galactic cosmic rays themselves, but to the cosmic dust that these cosmic rays transported into the Solar System. Observations have shown that the Solar System is presently immersed in a dense cloud of cosmic dust, material that is normally kept at bay by the outward pressure of the solar wind. But, with the arrival of this Galactic cosmic ray volley, the solar wind was overpowered and large quantities of this material were pushed inward. The Sun was enveloped in a cocoon of dust that caused its spectrum to shift toward the infrared. In addition, the dust grains filling the Solar System scattered radiation back to the Earth, producing an "interplanetary hothouse effect" that substantially increased the influx of solar radiation to the Earth. Details of this scenario are described in Paul LaViolette's book Earth Under Fire,(1) in his Ph.D. dissertation,(2) as well as in a series of journal articles he has published.(3­8)

LaViolette's research suggests that the Sun also became highly active as dust and gas falling onto its surface induced extreme flaring activity. Together with the radiation influx from the Sun's dust cocoon, this caused the Sun's corona and photosphere to inflate, much as is observed today in dust-choked stars called "T Tauri stars." These various solar effects caused atmospheric warming and inversion conditions that facilitated glacial growth which brought on ice age conditions. On occasions when the solar radiation influx to the Earth became particularly high, the ice age climate warmed, initiating episodes of rapid glacial melting and continental flooding. There is evidence that one particularly tragic solar flare event occurred around 12,900 years ago during a period when the Sun was particularly active. This involved the release of an immense coronal mass ejection which engulfed the Earth and induced a mass animal extinction."
 Quoting: Cosmogenesis11


Thanks for sharing that. This is some really good information. SickScent has a couple of threads where we went over a lot of this information as well, you may be interested in some of the material that can be accessed from those threads.
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OpenEnded

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03/09/2011 05:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
the ejection was traveling at approx. 2200kps but now after being slowed down by the coronal winds it should be more like 12 to 1500. (guessing) They are going to need a bigger scale for this one if that is so, considereing 1000 is the tops on the SC24 dial..

global d absorption heating up too..

Last Edited by OpenEnded on 03/09/2011 05:16 PM
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NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 05:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
now the Bz is movin..
 Quoting: OpenEnded


What does the Bz tell us? Thanks
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1029592


Bz = North south directions of the solar winds

imagine holding a balloon out in front of you, now tilt the top away from you
now imagine that is earth, you are the sun
now it you threw a handful of sand toward the top of the balloon, it would effect the balloon, but basically just glance off it
but it you threw the sand at the bottom of the balloon that is facing you more, it would damage the balloon
The harder you throw the sane, the more damage
(best way i could think of right now to explain it)


when the winds hit, if they go north, they glance off earth and continue on
when the winds hit south, they impact with earths magnetic field and become geo effective
Bz in the green (positive) = north winds
Bz in the red (negative) = south winds

check out my magnetosphere guide in my sig, it explains it all :)

here is the nict site to watch the magnetosphere
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 05:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Maybe what the mayans actually ment is that the cycle of the sun would end with a massive solar flare and so everything would start over, i'm not sure about this though but it braught me some suspicious. Also there are some articles on the internet who tell the same.

And if you look at the mayan callendar actually, the middle is the sun
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 668399


Im a bit sceptic that´s what the cycle of the sun means. That would indicate that the Mayans knew what kind of technology we would have in order for all to "start over" again.
Without all our technology a massive flare wouldnt hurt so much. As it is today the biggest risk is fried electric grids which would take months or even years to rebuild.

Boom! Back to the stone age because face it. Humanity has become so weak that not half of it would survive without their IPODS or other luxurys like getting your food at the local supermarket. ;)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1287341


clappa
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Has to do with all of the above, including Fluffy...everything's cyclical...if we could just view the overall picture, the vortices are everywhere...they are everything.
 Quoting: SickScent


Nice to see you show up here
hi
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2011 05:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
now the Bz is movin..
 Quoting: OpenEnded


What does the Bz tell us? Thanks
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1029592


Bz = North south directions of the solar winds

imagine holding a balloon out in front of you, now tilt the top away from you
now imagine that is earth, you are the sun
now it you threw a handful of sand toward the top of the balloon, it would effect the balloon, but basically just glance off it
but it you threw the sand at the bottom of the balloon that is facing you more, it would damage the balloon
The harder you throw the sane, the more damage
(best way i could think of right now to explain it)


when the winds hit, if they go north, they glance off earth and continue on
when the winds hit south, they impact with earths magnetic field and become geo effective
Bz in the green (positive) = north winds
Bz in the red (negative) = south winds

check out my magnetosphere guide in my sig, it explains it all :)

Thanks much :)
here is the nict site to watch the magnetosphere
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: NiNzrez
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2011 05:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Im a bit sceptic that´s what the cycle of the sun means. That would indicate that the Mayans knew what kind of technology we would have in order for all to "start over" again.
Without all our technology a massive flare wouldnt hurt so much. As it is today the biggest risk is fried electric grids which would take months or even years to rebuild.

Boom! Back to the stone age because face it. Humanity has become so weak that not half of it would survive without their IPODS or other luxurys like getting your food at the local supermarket. ;)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1287341


clappa
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Has to do with all of the above, including Fluffy...everything's cyclical...if we could just view the overall picture, the vortices are everywhere...they are everything.
 Quoting: SickScent


Nice to see you show up here
hi
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yeah, when I have time, I'm going to learn some stuff and go through it all.
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 05:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


clappa
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Has to do with all of the above, including Fluffy...everything's cyclical...if we could just view the overall picture, the vortices are everywhere...they are everything.
 Quoting: SickScent


Nice to see you show up here
hi
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yeah, when I have time, I'm going to learn some stuff and go through it all.
 Quoting: SickScent


I say the same about a lot of your threads ;)
Solar Alerts Blog
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 05:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1166 and 1169 are now starting to flare up some
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
@ 21:03 we had a C5 from 1169
[link to www.lmsal.com]

and we just had a C9.4
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
I believe that was from 1166, but need to wait for the updates photos to make sure

1166 and 1169 seem to be playing today
will be curious what they turn out if they both have a good interaction
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NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 05:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wow check out all the earthquake activity!
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
scream

I have been reading a lot how solar activity is connected to large movement of earth crust and it's starting to look like a very compelling argument

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 03/09/2011 05:44 PM
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
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tomasgod1

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03/09/2011 05:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
OK..I am caught back up...Looks like things may be starting. The wind went totally dead , and now is starting to pick up, at the same time the Bz swung + be foring going - again. Pressure, wind, Bz, are slowly ncreasing, and the Kp is up a notch. I have been waiting way too long for a sudden impulse warning from NOAA. HA!

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 03/09/2011 05:46 PM
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OpenEnded

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03/09/2011 05:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wow check out all the earthquake activity!
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
scream

I have been reading a lot how solar activity is connected to large movement of earth crust and it's starting to look like a very compelling argument
 Quoting: NiNzrez


that last one in central cali I don't like, luckily it was just a 2 :)
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2011 05:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i dont think any of this means anything but the sun is kicking into high gear.... sorry doomtards no impending disaster here
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 05:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
OK..I am caught back up...Looks like things may be starting. The wind went totally dead , and now is starting to pick up, at the same time the Bz swung + be foring going - again. Pressure, wind, Bz, are slowly ncreasing, and the Kp is up a notch. I have been waiting way too long for a sudden impulse warning from NOAA. HA!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


haha we will get the alert later on and it will be downplayed im sure

i don't think this one will creep up on us nice and slow
it think it's going to not be here one moment, and be a beast the next
Souly based on the speed it was ejected from the sun at
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NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 06:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i dont think any of this means anything but the sun is kicking into high gear.... sorry doomtards no impending disaster here
 Quoting: Gh0zt36


learn about a subject first before speaking so factual about it
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NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 06:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
damn its rising now....
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OpenEnded

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03/09/2011 06:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
watch xrays and global d..

title change again..

Last Edited by OpenEnded on 03/09/2011 06:21 PM
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tomasgod1

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03/09/2011 06:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
OK..I am caught back up...Looks like things may be starting. The wind went totally dead , and now is starting to pick up, at the same time the Bz swung + be foring going - again. Pressure, wind, Bz, are slowly ncreasing, and the Kp is up a notch. I have been waiting way too long for a sudden impulse warning from NOAA. HA!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


haha we will get the alert later on and it will be downplayed im sure

i don't think this one will creep up on us nice and slow
it think it's going to not be here one moment, and be a beast the next
Souly based on the speed it was ejected from the sun at
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I was just reviewing the stereo slideshows from core 2 Ahead, and Behind for the 7th through the 9th. If you haven't already done it, look at Ahead core2 20110307 through 20110309. Wild!
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 03/09/2011 06:25 PM
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OpenEnded

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
XXXXX
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
OpenEnded

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03/09/2011 06:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I knew that 10% chance was too low..
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 06:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X FLARE!
Thread: X FLARE! JUST NOW!
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NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 06:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i opened a new thread for it
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HarmonyH
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03/09/2011 06:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
bumping


BECAUSE 14 M's and so far 1 X in 72 hours is something
to THINK about


bumpyoda
tomasgod1

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03/09/2011 07:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I see how it's going to be...I turn my back to go eat dinner, only to find out when I get back the x flare went off!redface
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tomasgod1

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03/09/2011 07:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


You called that one ahead NiN! Way to go!

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 03/09/2011 07:36 PM
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NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 07:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I see how it's going to be...I turn my back to go eat dinner, only to find out when I get back the x flare went off!redface
 Quoting: tomasgod1


thats how it works tom hehe
go eat or smoke a cig and TSHTF
hehe
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tomasgod1

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03/09/2011 07:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It was from 1166, looking at SDO EVE SAM.
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NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2011 07:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It was from 1166, looking at SDO EVE SAM.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


sure is
we knew it was coming hehe
are you able to get any images of a possible CME
lots of things are not updating fast enough :/
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