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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Simple27

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07/09/2014 02:08 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hmmm......Where are the flares? Lol
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


ididnt
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
TS66

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
sleepy

Last Edited by TS66 on 07/09/2014 05:53 AM
TS66
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07/09/2014 12:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
My dad is going to wake soon from rest. We can't keep him down much longer.
If you don't understand, look @ it this way.
Ursa Major is the best exemplification & real.


You're @ a crossroads.
You are either going to or not.
Energy can be destroyed compassionate or not.

black_hearblack_hearblack_hear
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07/09/2014 12:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
& it's for the world.
Not the Glp players.
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe a little C spike before the big one goes off.......



[link to halpha.nso.edu]


Looks like that large filament, mid disk,may have left the building! That would almost definitely be geo.

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 07/09/2014 03:07 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe a little C spike before the big one goes off.......
 Quoting: shadahoochie


We would like to think that. Lol
Geoshill


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shadahoochie

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Maybe a little C spike before the big one goes off.......
 Quoting: shadahoochie


We would like to think that. Lol
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


it does look like the big filament left


[link to halpha.nso.edu]
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadahoochie

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07/09/2014 03:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]


looks like its missing us, may get some grazing.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]


looks like its missing us, may get some grazing.
 Quoting: shadahoochie

This was from two days ago, not today's filament

To me it looks like a majority of the filament went towards the eastern limb but we'll have to wait for more data
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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07/09/2014 03:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]


looks like its missing us, may get some grazing.
 Quoting: shadahoochie

This was from two days ago, not today's filament

To me it looks like a majority of the filament went towards the eastern limb but we'll have to wait for more data
 Quoting: Voluntaryist 17754867


That's what I see also.
Geoshill


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shadahoochie

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]


looks like its missing us, may get some grazing.
 Quoting: shadahoochie

This was from two days ago, not today's filament

To me it looks like a majority of the filament went towards the eastern limb but we'll have to wait for more data
 Quoting: Voluntaryist 17754867


The simulation I'm looking at says 7/9 at around 1700 hours.

The simulation starts on the 7th but the cme leaves today, date stamp it mi amigo.

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 07/09/2014 03:42 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
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07/09/2014 04:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

RT @RT_com · 1 min

Solar tsunami hits @NASA Voyager I in interstellar space [link to on.rt.com]

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07/09/2014 04:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
RT America @RT_America · 6 min

Ex-Greenpeace member scared of imminent ‘global cooling’ [link to on.rt.com]
shadahoochie

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07/09/2014 05:19 PM
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RT @RT_com · 1 min

Solar tsunami hits @NASA Voyager I in interstellar space [link to on.rt.com]


 Quoting: Luisport


“But when our sun has a burst, it sends a shock wave outward that reaches Voyager about a year later. The wave causes the plasma surrounding the spacecraft to sing.”

Scientists studied these waves and came to the conclusion, in the fall of 2013, that Voyager had departed the sun's bubble and entered a new frontier.

“All is not quiet around Voyager,” said Don Gurnett of the University of Iowa, Iowa City, the principal investigator of the plasma wave instrument on the craft. “We're excited to analyze these new data. So far, we can say that it confirms we are in interstellar space.”



Thats awesome stuff Luis!rockon
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadahoochie

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07/09/2014 05:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
RT America @RT_America · 6 min

Ex-Greenpeace member scared of imminent ‘global cooling’ [link to on.rt.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


good article


I feel a minimum coming around the corner, hopefully it doesn't get to cold!verycold


sc24

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 07/09/2014 06:43 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]


looks like its missing us, may get some grazing.
 Quoting: shadahoochie

This was from two days ago, not today's filament

To me it looks like a majority of the filament went towards the eastern limb but we'll have to wait for more data
 Quoting: Voluntaryist 17754867


That's what I see also.
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Me three. SOHO C3 seems to show a CME going mostly north and east.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

And STEREO B also shows the densest plasma going north of the ecliptic.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Most definitely a 'possible glancing blow', hehe.

:7/9-filamentCME:
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOAA & Solarsoft both seem to have missed this filament eruption. NOAA attributes the C5 to 2104 in the west, and Solarsoft lists the source at a ridiculous 41 degrees south. I'm fairly certain the filament liftoff produced the C5 double-ribbon flare just north of the equator in the NE. How could they miss something so obvious? That legal weed must be spectacular!

SOHO C2 movie of CME:

[link to www.lmsal.com]

NOAA 24 hr Summary...

Solar activity reached minor levels (R1) due to an M1 event at 09/0026
UTC from Region 2113 (N09E35, Dai/beta-gamma). A type II radio sweep was
associated with this event and there was a hint of a very small, faint
coronal mass ejection off the east limb beginning at about 09/0125 UTC.
This CME is not expected to have any impact at Earth. The only other
activity of note was a C5/Sf at 09/1839 UTC from Region 2104 (S12W67,
Dso/beta).

Regions 2108 (S07W39, Ekc/beta-gamma-delta) and 2109 (S08W17,
Eki/beta-delta) continue to dominate the disk in size and complexity but
only produced a few small flares. Region 2108 continues to show rotation
in the large leader spot and the trailer portion of the group was
spreading out thereby weakening the overall magnetic field gradient.
Region 2109 showed slight growth in the leader spots and decay in the
trailer spots. Overall the areas of these groups were down and the
activity was reduced.


Region 2113 showed signs of decay today. The area of the group is small
(about 60 millionths) and the magnetic field strengths are relatively
weak. The magnetic structure is somewhat complicated and consists of
three or possibly four negative-to-positive polarity pairs that are
abutted and stacked within the group.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Our big unproductive sunspots are gradually decaying and blushing with embarrassment being shown-up by tiny 2113. I still think 2108 is our best bet for Big Event, but it hasn't shown us anything so far.

AR2108-
:7/9-2108:

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 191 Issued at 0030Z on 10 Jul 2014
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 09 Jul
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 09/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2104 S12W67 269 0130 Dso 05 05 Beta
2106 N14W62 264 0120 Cao 04 03 Beta
2107 S20W53 255 0220 Hsx 04 02 Alpha
2108 S07W39 241 0830 Ekc 12 22 Beta-Gamma-Delta
2109 S08W17 219 0620 Eki 11 27 Beta-Delta

2111 N06W02 203 0070 Dso 04 05 Beta
2113 N09E35 167 0060 Dai 08 17 Beta-Gamma
2114 S20E52 150 0140 Dai 04 06 Beta
2115 N08W53 255 0040 Dao 05 06 Beta

AR2108 Magnetogram-
:7/9-2108mag:
shadahoochie

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07/09/2014 09:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
filacme

looking north, but maybe the ones we aren't expecting will hit.lol

Those SS should have flared, tired of watching them, turning the xray off
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
sleepy
 Quoting: TS66


he he he he
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
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Simple27

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07/09/2014 10:53 PM

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Simple27

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07/09/2014 10:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C5.7

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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Simple27

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07/10/2014 08:22 AM

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[link to www.youtube.com]
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shadahoochie

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07/10/2014 11:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
solcres

looks like sol is doing its best crescent moon interpretation.lol
Halphas been locked up for awhile.



ffilsol

nice western prominent liftoff!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Simple27


I'm a bit perplexed by this CME. According to Solarsoft the C5 flare came from AR2106 which is about 30 degrees from the NW limb. Yet the iSWA cone model shows a backside (beyond the limb) source of this CME

Solarsoft movie of C5 flare:
[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

NASA/iSWA cone model:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

To top it off, NOAA says it's too far west to affect Earth, yet we've seen potent storms and proton events come from the west limb (sometimes from over the limb events!). If the CME came from AR2106 I would predict at least a glancing blow, maybe even a strong one.

NOAA .24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was low. Region 2104 (S11W73, Dso/beta) produced a C5/Sf
at 09/1839 UTC. Region 2106 (N16W68, Cao/beta) produced the only other
notable flare, a C5/1n flare at 10/0253 UTC. Region 2111 (N06W10,
Dso/beta) was the only region to display any type of growth. The
remaining regions were either stable or exhibited signs of decay, and
all were relatively inactive. Despite their size and complexity, Regions
2108 (S07W39, Ekc/beta-gamma) and 2109 (S08W17, Eki/beta) remained
predominantly inactive and only produced a few small sub flares.

An approximately 18 degree long filament, centered near S02E11, was
observed in SDO AIA/304 imagery lifting off of the visible disk from
approximately 09/1640-1757 UTC. This coronal mass ejection (CME) could
be seen in Lasco C2/C3 imagery shortly before 09/1900 UTC. A subsequent
Enlil run determined this CME will likely only be a glancing blow at
Earth, with little impacts expected. Anticipated arrival time at Earth
is around midday on 13 Jul. A large prominence on the southwest
limb could also be seen in SDO AIA/304 imagery, as well as an
asymmetric, partial halo CME in Lasco C2/C3 imagery, around 10/0800 UTC.
An additional Enlil run was submitted for the second CME, but the
results clearly indicate that it was too far west to have an impact at
Earth.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The STEREO B cor 2 movie shows 2 nice CMEs from near the west limb:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

EDIT:After closr review I notice the CME came 5 or 6 hours after the flare, so it may have been a far-side eruption.

SOHO C3 image of CME:
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
farside

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 07/10/2014 03:54 PM
shenue

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sorry if this is a repeat:

"Earth's magnetic field, which protects the planet from huge blasts of deadly solar radiation, has been weakening over the past six months, according to data collected by a European Space Agency (ESA) satellite array called Swarm."

Article: [link to news.yahoo.com]
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sorry if this is a repeat:

"Earth's magnetic field, which protects the planet from huge blasts of deadly solar radiation, has been weakening over the past six months, according to data collected by a European Space Agency (ESA) satellite array called Swarm."

Article: [link to news.yahoo.com]
 Quoting: shenue


It's OK 'cause the sun is weakening even faster, LOL.

We have a C7.4 from itty-bitty AR2113.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Simple27

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07/10/2014 06:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M1.5!!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Simple27


Looks like the NW limb again. Go figure......

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Simple27

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07/10/2014 06:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Simple27


Looks like the NW limb again. Go figure......

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


hi Hiya Hugh hugs


Question for you, do you know what happened during that blank/"glitched" area? Any M flares earlier today at all? I just got home from work but when I saw that earlier it looked strange to me...
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