SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
rachel3108 User ID: 46102424 United States 10/26/2014 09:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Cryptananiro User ID: 45545855 Canada 10/26/2014 10:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The x ray flux is going up all day soon were going to be riding in the M scale as a baseline. [link to www.solarham.net] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 64491674 France 10/26/2014 10:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 61822228 United States 10/26/2014 10:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | When it is gone, it will come back and it will be the biggest sunspot in history. Wanna make a bet? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 64546357 I can bet your wrong Anyway, when it will come back? in 2 weeks? 1 year? 6 months? Approx. 13 days. 26.4 for a full rotation. Might be off a tad not gonna bother looking it up. |
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hugh User ID: 62646444 United States 10/27/2014 12:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't think it does .... solar flares and their resulting cme's are simply a random result of internal and external influences at any given time. Quoting: TS66 As mere mortals, were limited to keeping track of patterns ... since this is the first solar cycle available to the public, it may take some time ;) She's right, you know. |
Digital mix guy User ID: 60306314 United States 10/27/2014 12:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I bet your right. I believe we need an X5 or above to make a CME happen. I just wish we had SOHO type satellites in the stereo A and B positions. Then we could of seen how this spot even fired a CME in the first place. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61822228 ????? even a c-class flare will generally produce a CME. the fact that NO CMEs have occurred recently is due to factors which are....um, anomalous. Last Edited by Digital mix guy Spock on 10/27/2014 12:42 AM Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP |
Digital mix guy User ID: 60306314 United States 10/27/2014 12:44 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: Anonymous Coward 64491674 something is, that's for sure. although shields usually protect against external existing hazards. whatever is protecting us is suppressing the CMEs completely. I'm not sure what the correct name would be, but any technology involved [if that's what this is] would probably be far beyond the ability of any of us to comprehend. Last Edited by Digital mix guy Spock on 10/27/2014 12:46 AM Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 10/27/2014 12:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.space.com] Quoting: Anonymous Coward 34799298 at 6:45 p.m. some of you up north might be able to see this launch it takes place at 6:45 so if you are in Mass. look south you can watch LIVE at this link [link to www.space.com] on your cell phone out side so that you know its launched I didn't see this one but I saw one last year, pretty cool. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
hugh m eye User ID: 62646444 United States 10/27/2014 12:50 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hi, Goofy , unfortunately my computer time is very limited. I'm burdened with performing on the streets for 6-8 hours a day. I only have internet hot-spot access for an hour or two in the morning and maybe an hour before sleep-time, if I'm lucky. Today I was lucky (ie., Blessed!). Hoever, GLP was inaccessible for a time so I must go after this post until morning. Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5 Serial Number: 123 Issue Time: 2014 Oct 27 0050 UTC SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5 Begin Time: 2014 Oct 27 0006 UTC Maximum Time: 2014 Oct 27 0034 UTC End Time: 2014 Oct 27 0044 UTC X-ray Class: M7.1 Optical Class: 3b Location: S14W44 NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The Beast is still growing!!! Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 300 Issued at 0030Z on 27 Oct 2014 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 26 Oct I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 26/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2192 S12W46 248 2750 Fkc 17 60 Beta-Gamma-Delta 2193 N06W87 289 0060 Hax 02 01 Alpha 2194 S12W09 211 0060 Hax 02 02 Alpha 2195 N08E21 181 0100 Esi 11 10 Beta 2196 S03E40 162 0020 Hax 01 01 Alpha .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached high levels. Region 2192 (S12W46, Fkc/beta-gamma-delta) produced an X2/2b flare (R3-strong radio blackout) at 26/1056 UTC. No corresponding Type-II or Type-IV radio emissions were observed with this event nor was there an associated coronal mass ejection (CME). This flare was followed by an M4 event at 26/1815 UTC. Region 2192 continued modest growth and magnetic flux emergence. The remaining five regions were either stable or decaying. .Forecast... The continued development of Region 2192 suggests moderate (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) activity will continue, with another X-class (R3 or greater) event likely, for the next three days (27-29 Oct). [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] This region is very likely to survive another rotation, so we may get a kick in the ass from it 3 weeks from now. Maybe the Lord is giving folks a little more time to repent and focus on their souls than on football or poly-tricks. When the Big Doom comes, there will be no notice given. Latest HMI magnetogram: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Goodnight Friends, and thank you for your prayers because they are being realized by me. I feel blessed and am truly humbled by it. Peace to all. |
Digital mix guy User ID: 60306314 United States 10/27/2014 12:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Recapping the rapid-fire flares: There was an X3 on Oct. 24th (2140 UT), an X1 on Oct 25th (1709 UT), and an X2 on Oct. 22nd (1059 UT). All three of these explosions produced strong HF radio blackouts over the dayside of Earth. In each case, communications were disturbed over a wide area for approximately one hour. Such blackouts may be noticed by amateur radio operators, aviators, and mariners. Usually, strong flares are acompanied by massive CMEs--billion-ton clouds of electrified gas that billow away from tthe blast site. So far, however, none of the eruptions from AR2192 has produced a major CME. Without a series of CMEs to rattle our planet's magnetic field, there have been no geomagnetic storms nor any widespread auroras. Earth-effects have been limited to radio blackouts. Solar flare alerts: text, voice [link to spaceweather.com] Last Edited by Digital mix guy Spock on 10/27/2014 01:20 AM Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 61822228 United States 10/27/2014 06:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I bet your right. I believe we need an X5 or above to make a CME happen. I just wish we had SOHO type satellites in the stereo A and B positions. Then we could of seen how this spot even fired a CME in the first place. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61822228 ????? :spockwtf: even a c-class flare will generally produce a CME. the fact that NO CMEs have occurred recently is due to factors which are....um, anomalous. I usually agree with that statement but I have to disagree with this particular sunspot. Obviously this is an amateur guessing but take it for what it's worth, I personally think that due to the larger area this sunspot holds it is Making it much harder to produce a cme. I think it's holding much more plasma just due to the magnetic fields being much longer and having the capability due to a larger area. It's baffling g that 5 x flares and nearly 20 M flares could not do it. That's the only reason I say X5 or greater but hell Idk if X5 will even do it. |
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Digital mix guy User ID: 60306314 United States 10/27/2014 06:57 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I bet your right. I believe we need an X5 or above to make a CME happen. I just wish we had SOHO type satellites in the stereo A and B positions. Then we could of seen how this spot even fired a CME in the first place. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61822228 ????? even a c-class flare will generally produce a CME. the fact that NO CMEs have occurred recently is due to factors which are....um, anomalous. I usually agree with that statement but I have to disagree with this particular sunspot. Obviously this is an amateur guessing but take it for what it's worth, I personally think that due to the larger area this sunspot holds it is Making it much harder to produce a cme. I think it's holding much more plasma just due to the magnetic fields being much longer and having the capability due to a larger area. It's baffling g that 5 x flares and nearly 20 M flares could not do it. That's the only reason I say X5 or greater but hell Idk if X5 will even do it. those are all good points, and normally, I could try to consider those various theories as options. however, right now it seems that the main overriding fact seems to be that Active Region 2192 is Earth-facing. there seems to be some correlation between that current state, and the fact that no CMEs have occured. it is at least something that we have to consider. Last Edited by Digital mix guy Spock on 10/27/2014 07:05 AM Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 61822228 United States 10/27/2014 07:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I bet your right. I believe we need an X5 or above to make a CME happen. I just wish we had SOHO type satellites in the stereo A and B positions. Then we could of seen how this spot even fired a CME in the first place. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61822228 ????? :spockwtf: even a c-class flare will generally produce a CME. the fact that NO CMEs have occurred recently is due to factors which are....um, anomalous. I usually agree with that statement but I have to disagree with this particular sunspot. Obviously this is an amateur guessing but take it for what it's worth, I personally think that due to the larger area this sunspot holds it is Making it much harder to produce a cme. I think it's holding much more plasma just due to the magnetic fields being much longer and having the capability due to a larger area. It's baffling g that 5 x flares and nearly 20 M flares could not do it. That's the only reason I say X5 or greater but hell Idk if X5 will even do it. those are all good points, and normally, I could try to consider those various theories as options. however, right now the main overriding act is that Active Region 2192 is Earth-facing. there seems to be some correlation between that current state, and the fact that no CMEs have occured. it is at least something that we have to consider. I will agree to that but only until we have xray measurement devices tracking all parts of the sun. We just don't have the full picture. |
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