SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
joinca User ID: 46553057 United States 12/20/2014 12:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to i.imgur.com] [link to www.lmsal.com] [link to www.lmsal.com] from a close by thread... Last Edited by joinca on 12/21/2014 12:55 AM "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/20/2014 12:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SEEDS Movie of latest CME: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS movie of all the LASCO C2 images from the 19th: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] Franky I don't see any major Earth-directed halo from any of these eruptions. The NASA models just don't match the images I'm seeing. I'm not expecting any strong geomagnetic storms unless AR2241 lets loose a whopper. Latest Enlil cygnet model: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] Still no sign of arrival for the first CME on the 17th: ACE 2-hour SWEPAM: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] Sol Reflector |
shadahooch-e User ID: 64936590 United States 12/20/2014 04:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.solarham.net] First wave arriving [link to solardemon.oma.be] shot of the cme release from the X Last Edited by shadasonic on 12/20/2014 05:39 PM My dreams are worthless, my plans are dust, my goals are impossible, unless they are followed by action containing integrity as its standard. |
joinca User ID: 66032745 United States 12/20/2014 07:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | WOW - Just a FYI the X flare lasted about 4hours and 15 minutes! [link to solardemon.oma.be] [link to solardemon.oma.be] Catania sunspot groups 2014-12-18 09:00:00 [link to sidc.oma.be] Region Absorption Predictions (D-RAP) [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Solar X-ray Imager (SXI) [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Solar X-ray flux 1minute: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] NOAA main list of products; [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Space Weather Enthusiasts Dashboard [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Last Edited by joinca on 12/20/2014 07:39 PM "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
shadahooch-e User ID: 64936590 United States 12/20/2014 08:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] The BZ is rolling neg. could see a decent storm if they piggyback with this polarity signature, more than likely it will flip flop. My dreams are worthless, my plans are dust, my goals are impossible, unless they are followed by action containing integrity as its standard. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 66224794 Thailand 12/20/2014 08:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/20/2014 09:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | AR2241- :12/21-2241: :12/21-2241mag: Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 355 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Dec 2014 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Dec I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2235 S08W70 266 0070 Hax 02 01 Alpha 2236 N28W43 240 0080 Hax 02 01 Alpha 2239 N14W55 252 0050 Cso 06 05 Beta 2240 N10W18 214 0050 Cao 10 04 Beta 2241 S11W21 216 0660 Ekc 12 12 Beta-Gamma-Delta 2242 S19W44 240 0790 Fkc 16 24 Beta-Gamma-Delta 2244 S05E38 159 0050 Cao 03 03 Beta AR2242- :12/21-ar2242: :12/21-2242mag: NOAA -solar wind forecast....... "A second CME, this one from 18 Dec, is expected by midday on day one. Solar wind speeds reaching the 650-750 km/s range are estimated with the arrival of this CME. A disturbed solar wind environment is expected to continue into day two (22 Dec) as CME effects linger." [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ACE 4-day plots almost flatlining: [link to www.srl.caltech.edu] ACE 2-hr SWEPAM: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] Sol Reflector |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/20/2014 11:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MAVEN Finds Strange Solar Wind Action at Mars- For example, the Solar Wind Ion Analyzer (SWIA) has found that a fraction of solar wind particles manage to dive fairly deep into Mars’s upper atmosphere by playing a chameleon game. The solar wind is charged, made up of ions whizzing through the solar system at a few hundred kilometers per second and carrying with them the solar magnetic field. This solar wind should be deflected around Mars by its ionosphere, the ionized component of its upper atmosphere. But the team found that about 1/500 of the solar wind particles bombarding the Martian atmosphere show up about 200 km above the planet’s surface — less than 1/10 the altitude of the ionosphere where they’re normally stymied. Plus, they don’t show up in the region between these two layers. It’s as though they teleport between locations. They don’t — although there is an element of poofing into and out of existence involved. SWIA instrument lead Jasper Halekas (University of Iowa) explains that upon arrival, the solar wind particles are likely stealing electrons from the uppermost atmosphere, thereby transforming to neutral particles. Unlike ionized particles, neutrals can pass through the ionosphere and any magnetic fields with impunity. They’re therefore able to drill deep into Mars’s atmosphere, sailing unencumbered until the atmosphere grows denser and there’s more stuff to run into. Then they again do a charge exchange with atmospheric particles, becoming ions again. more at: [link to www.skyandtelescope.com] MAVEN Science home: [link to lasp.colorado.edu] NASA MAVEN Mission page: [link to www.nasa.gov] Last Edited by Sol Reflector on 12/20/2014 11:04 PM Sol Reflector |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 10:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Two more M1 flares overnight...the first was an M1.2 from AR2242: [link to solardemon.oma.be] The second was a long-duration M from AR2241: [link to solardemon.oma.be] This second one may have produced an Earth-directed CME. We'll have to wait and see. x-rays: [link to sol24.net] Still no sign of anything incoming from the first 2 CMEs of the 17th and 18th. ACE SW plots: [link to www.solarham.net] [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] Sol Reflector |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 10:23 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ACE and GOES Protons are rising, so something seems to be heading our way soon. ACE EPAM plot: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Proton flux: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] Keep in mind these two detectors are approximately 1 million miles apart. Sol Reflector |
Voluntaryist User ID: 17754867 United States 12/21/2014 01:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ACE and GOES Protons are rising, so something seems to be heading our way soon. Quoting: Sol Reflector ACE EPAM plot: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Proton flux: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] Keep in mind these two detectors are approximately 1 million miles apart. [link to www.solarham.net] impact! |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 01:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ACE and GOES Protons are rising, so something seems to be heading our way soon. Quoting: Sol Reflector ACE EPAM plot: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Proton flux: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] Keep in mind these two detectors are approximately 1 million miles apart. [link to www.solarham.net] impact! Yeah, I just saw that bump in velocity. [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] Space Weather Message Code: WARSUD Serial Number: 157 Issue Time: 2014 Dec 21 1833 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected Valid From: 2014 Dec 21 1848 UTC Valid To: 2014 Dec 21 1948 UTC IP Shock Passage Observed: 2014 Dec 21 1824 UTC Sol Reflector |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 02:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Bowshock model shows a brief exposure of geosynchronous sats: [link to pixie.spasci.com] SOHO SW data: [link to umtof.umd.edu] SW-MF model: [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2014 Dec 21 1840 UTC Valid To: 2014 Dec 23 0100 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Sol Reflector |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 03:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So far we're seeing nothing close to the 600-700km/s solar wind speeds forecast by NOAA. I'm frustrated by the number of disappeared or dead links I'm experiencing. Not just NOAA's, but other links are now defuct (sic) or not displaying as they should. Anyway we do have a southward Bz and a bit of an increase in density. NASA forecasted a 38-hour event so we'll keep watching. [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] My trusty old Boulder Magnetometer readings seem to be expunged from the internets (the web is getting smaller every day,lol). Potsdam Kp: [link to www.gfz-potsdam.de] Kiruna Obsty. Magnetometer: [link to www.irf.se] Moscow Magnetometer: [link to forecast.izmiran.ru] Canada Magnetometers stackplot: [link to www.spaceweather.ca] TROMSO, Norway K-indices: [link to flux.phys.uit.no] This appears to be a very weak event, but maybe this is the glancing blow arriving late. It's possible we'll see a stronger wave hit later. I wasn't expecting much, but I figured we'd at least see a period or two of K=5 storming, so far we haven't seen K=3! Lame..... Some cool links here from NICT/Hinode site in Japan: [link to hinode.nao.ac.jp] Sol Reflector |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 03:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NASA/ESA Loses Contact with Venus Express Probe. [link to www.spacedaily.com] ....so they declare the mission a success! 9 Nov 2005: Launch 16 Dec 2014: End of Mission Status: Successful Venus Express R.I.P.- ESA's Venus Express has ended its eight-year mission after far exceeding its planned life. The spacecraft exhausted its propellant during a series of thruster burns to raise its orbit following the low-altitude aerobraking earlier this year. (snip) However, after eight years in orbit and with propellant for its propulsion system running low, Venus Express was tasked in mid-2014 with a daring aerobraking campaign, during which it dipped progressively lower into the atmosphere on its closest approaches to the planet. Normally, the spacecraft would perform routine thruster burns to ensure that it did not come too close to Venus and risk being lost in the atmosphere. But this unique adventure was aimed at achieving the opposite, namely reducing the altitude and allowing an exploration of previously uncharted regions of the atmosphere. more of VE obituary here: [link to solarsystem.nasa.gov (secure)] I wonder if it had a plutonium reactor on board? Sol Reflector |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 04:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Threshold Reached: 2014 Dec 21 2035 UTC Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Current readings-Dials: [link to mms.rice.edu] Interesting website for Space Environment: [link to spacenvironment.net] Sol Reflector |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 04:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 05:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Two very faint full halo CMEs appear on the C2 difference images from todays 2 M-flares. SEEDS movie: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SDO AIA 304 movie of the second M-flare from AR2241: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com] Current Solar Data lots: [link to www.n3kl.org] Sol Reflector |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 61974406 United States 12/21/2014 07:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Two very faint full halo CMEs appear on the C2 difference images from todays 2 M-flares. Quoting: Sol Reflector SEEDS movie: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SDO AIA 304 movie of the second M-flare from AR2241: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com] Current Solar Data lots: [link to www.n3kl.org] Sun is busy |
whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 65831434 United States 12/21/2014 08:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Bz is 16.2 SOUTH [link to www.spaceweatherlive.com] Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
RTS REDUX User ID: 63880041 United States 12/21/2014 08:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Huge loops sprung up out of nowhere in the span of an hour or two, on the western limb on the 18th. [link to www.youtube.com (secure)] [link to helioviewer.org] ETA: the CME and 'coincidental' flare @4:07-4:18 was also extremely interesting imo. Last Edited by RTS REDUX on 12/21/2014 09:20 PM |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 09:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Another M 1 from AR2242: [link to solardemon.oma.be] [link to sol24.net] NASA Magnetopause simulation: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] Current NOAA plots: [link to www.n3kl.org] Sol Reflector |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 10:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We finally reached storm level Kp=5. ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2014 Dec 22 0245 UTC Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ACE 2-hour SWEPAM: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] 6-hour plot: [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] Sol Reflector |
shadahooch-e User ID: 64936590 United States 12/21/2014 10:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Sol Reflector User ID: 62521526 United States 12/21/2014 10:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Most all the aurora cams are down or under cloudy skies. But check out this one in Tromso, Norway: [link to polaris.nipr.ac.jp] Aurora Sky Station is cloudy but some glow is visible: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Sol Reflector |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 12/21/2014 10:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | WHOA. Thar she blows matey!! [link to www.theusner.eu] Last Edited by Isis One on 12/21/2014 10:46 PM Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 12/21/2014 10:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Most all the aurora cams are down or under cloudy skies. Quoting: Sol Reflector But check out this one in Tromso, Norway: [link to polaris.nipr.ac.jp] Aurora Sky Station is cloudy but some glow is visible: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Lots of action with that Bz south, Hiya WA! Happy Holidays. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 12/21/2014 10:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | My body feels like it got slammed with a freight train. Tons of water needed. Edit, here's the likely culprit, these kill me. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Last Edited by Isis One on 12/21/2014 10:52 PM Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 12/21/2014 10:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Click this link, go to the anomaly graph, click the arrow for the movie. It shows you the tec fluctuation for the day. It got pretty hot here in North America. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Simple27 User ID: 57832527 United States 12/21/2014 10:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Click this link, go to the anomaly graph, click the arrow for the movie. It shows you the tec fluctuation for the day. It got pretty hot here in North America. Quoting: Isis One [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Thanks Isis! ~*Ride the Wave*~ |