SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
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shadarak User ID: 70107856 United States 09/29/2015 09:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Region 12421 [N15W50] decayed further and was quiet. Region 12422 [S20W28] gained spots and was very active producing many C and M flares. The region has 2 significant magnetic deltas. Another major flare is possible. Region 12423 [S09W79] rotated partly out of view and appears to have simplified somewhat over the last day. Region 12426 [N13E11] decayed slowly and quietly. Region 12427 [N18E35] developed further and has many small spots in the intermediate and trailing spot sections. C flares are possible. New region 12428 [S06W63] emerged on September 27 and was numbered by SWPC the next day. Thinking 2422 is taking a breather seems to like the late night life, its running in the high C range right now so the constant flux should give us a jump or two. Good work solfam. The ones we're the most against are the most lied to, give and teach a much as you can until it comes time to right matters. |
Simple27 User ID: 69659907 United States 09/30/2015 01:52 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Giant Sunspot is Crackling with Solar Flares / AR2422 Covers 800 millionths of a Solar Disk [link to www.youtube.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
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shadarak User ID: 70107856 United States 09/30/2015 03:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.msn.com] Saturn is not as simple as scientists once thought, researchers told Space.com. Unusual ripples in Saturn's rings indicate that there is a mystery substance within the gas giant. "The one thing that might produce this [series of waves] is that some sort of disturbance inside Saturn itself is spinning around with a period that's less than 7 hours," Phillip Nicholson, a planetary scientist at Cornell University in New York, told Space.com. Interesting things going on in our system. Last Edited by shadarak on 09/30/2015 03:03 PM The ones we're the most against are the most lied to, give and teach a much as you can until it comes time to right matters. |
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Simple27 User ID: 69659907 United States 09/30/2015 04:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.msn.com] Quoting: shadarak Saturn is not as simple as scientists once thought, researchers told Space.com. Unusual ripples in Saturn's rings indicate that there is a mystery substance within the gas giant. "The one thing that might produce this [series of waves] is that some sort of disturbance inside Saturn itself is spinning around with a period that's less than 7 hours," Phillip Nicholson, a planetary scientist at Cornell University in New York, told Space.com. Interesting things going on in our system. Thanks Shad! ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
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hugh User ID: 70020899 United States 09/30/2015 04:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This large CME is not Earth-directed, but Venus will get nice hit. NASA/iSWA Enlil cygnet: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov] It appears that the big fuzzy filament finally lifted off in a big way! Solarsoft/SDO movie of west limb eruptions: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com] |
hugh User ID: 70020899 United States 09/30/2015 05:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | After a closer look at the SoHO and SDO images, it looks like there were 2 CMEs from the west limb. After the filament eruption and CME from the southwest, an even more violent eruption occurred in the northwest limb area. My hunch is that its source was just beyond the limb on the far side. AR2420 was nearby, but no flares have been recorded from there today. Hopefully STEREO A caught a glimpse of whatever happened, but it hasn't any up-to-date images yet. Take a look at the AIA 193 movie and tell me what you think: [link to sdo.oma.be] Soho C2 Near-realtime images: [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] . |
shadarak User ID: 70107856 United States 09/30/2015 05:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | After a closer look at the SoHO and SDO images, it looks like there were 2 CMEs from the west limb. After the filament eruption and CME from the southwest, an even more violent eruption occurred in the northwest limb area. My hunch is that its source was just beyond the limb on the far side. AR2420 was nearby, but no flares have been recorded from there today. Hopefully STEREO A caught a glimpse of whatever happened, but it hasn't any up-to-date images yet. Quoting: hugh 70020899 Take a look at the AIA 193 movie and tell me what you think: [link to sdo.oma.be] Soho C2 Near-realtime images: [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] . Definitely looks like 2 releases , nice catch. Good look at that flopping filament in the SW corner also, sun looks very energetic. The ones we're the most against are the most lied to, give and teach a much as you can until it comes time to right matters. |
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Simple27 User ID: 69659907 United States 09/30/2015 10:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | C6.3 [link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov] Last Edited by Simple27 on 09/30/2015 10:17 PM ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
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hugh User ID: 70020899 United States 09/30/2015 10:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ha, that's the first thing I checked when I saw that CME(s). Nothing was up when I checked. Thanks for the update. It looks like a small bump at this point but may be a harbinger of a bigger proton event if 2422 wakes up again. GOES Proton Flux: [link to sol24.net] Git out yer NOAA glossary, folks. A SSBC, a CIR, and a CH HSS may be arriving soon. CME's glancing blow could add to the confusion, hehe. NOAA GEOSPACE .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (1 Oct) due to the ambient space environment and the possible SSBC event. Day two (2 Oct) is expected to experience quiet to active conditions, with a likely period of minor storming (G1, Minor) due to CIR and CH HSS effects. Active conditions are expected to continue into day three (3 Oct), with a likely period of minor (G1) storming again late in the day due to geomagnetic response to the CME events of 30 Sep should they arrive late on day three. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Space Weather Message Code: WATA20 Serial Number: 663 Issue Time: 2015 Sep 30 2035 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Oct 01: None (Below G1) Oct 02: G1 (Minor) Oct 03: G1 (Minor) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. |
hugh User ID: 70020899 United States 09/30/2015 11:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NOAA's analysis of today's CME events--(now we add EPL to our growing glossary!) A prominence along the SW limb became active after 30/0700 UTC and erupted (eruptive prominence along the limb - EPL). The EPL activity occurred through about 30/1200 UTC and was evident in SDO/AIA and GONG/H-alpha imagery. The EPL was associated with a CME first observed in SOHO/LASCO-C2 imagery at 30/0948 UTC. Additional CMEs were observed in coronagraph imagery as part of an overarching set of coronal disruptions from the vicinity Region 2420 and stretching southward towards Region 2422, and towards the western limb. Initial analysis hints at a possible Earth-directed component, however, additional analysis continues as we await all required coronagraph imagery to properly model the CME events. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Unfortunately, STEREO Ahead has no images at all for more than 24 hours. I doubt that STEREO's vantage would give any better picture of an 'Earth-directed component' anyway. A lot of plasma lifted off the sun during these events, and I wouldn't be surprised if we saw an enhanced disturbance in the solar wind. This time of year Earth seems susceptible to geomagnetic storms from even weak events. Another G3 storm is a distinct possibility if we see the right Bz or Density. STEREO: [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] |
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