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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Simple27

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04/01/2017 06:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to pbs.twimg.com (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 06:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Peaked at M4.4


IMAGE ( [link to i.imgur.com] )

 Quoting: Simple27


AR2644 again... there may be a CME with this one!

SolarDemon movie:

[link to solardemon.oma.be]

GONG movie:
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

M4.4 from #44!
:4/1-M2flare:
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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04/01/2017 06:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Simple27


Finally.
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 06:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
DRAP:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

AR2644 Wakes Up-
:4/1-AR2644:
:4/1-2644mag:
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
fred also

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04/01/2017 06:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Dont panic but

:tomatoplants:
Simple27

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04/01/2017 06:36 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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04/01/2017 06:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to solarham.net]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 07:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Simple27


CME detected by SOHO C2:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
explosionahhh
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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04/01/2017 07:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Simple27


CME detected by SOHO C2:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
explosionahhh
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


M4.4 solar flare looks highly eruptive. CME goes likely towards the north-west.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Gif in link ^^^
~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 07:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Just to show how unpredictable old Sol is, Bradford has 2644 listed as a 7% chance of an M-flare today. However they listed 2645 at 35% for an M and 22% chance of an X-flare.

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
shocked
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
mistersplinter

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04/01/2017 08:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Damn...

Step away for a few hours and we get some action!

rockon
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 08:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 532
Issue Time: 2017 Apr 01 2321 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2017 Apr 01 2150 UTC


NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

No proton spikes as of yet, but it is a possibility considering 2644's proximity to that 60-degree west 'sweet spot'.

GOES Proton Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Also we have another new AR coming over the east limb with a sizeable helmet streamer.

New AR 2648-
:4/1-newAR:
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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04/01/2017 08:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Damn...

Step away for a few hours and we get some action!

rockon
 Quoting: mistersplinter


banana2
~*Ride the Wave*~
rachel3108

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04/01/2017 08:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to solarham.net]
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 08:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Damn...

Step away for a few hours and we get some action!

rockon
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Yeah, mistersplinter, I figured these 2 AR's would just decay and fade away like so many others. After so many spotless days this year, it's nice to see some activity. Given AR2645's 22% chance of X-flares, we may see some more action this weekend. Stay on the alert, Suntards.

pump2pdancecatdance
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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04/01/2017 08:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: rachel3108


glassesoff
~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 08:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: rachel3108


Wow, I can't wait to see the CACTus and SEEDS movies. Thanks for the pic rachel!
scared
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 08:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Stereo A cor2 image of CME:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
rachel3108

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04/01/2017 08:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: rachel3108


Wow, I can't wait to see the CACTus and SEEDS movies. Thanks for the pic rachel!
scared
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Thanks for all the info from you guys as well! I saw the heads up here even though no one expected a flare
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 09:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 92 Issued at 0030Z on 02 Apr 2017
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 01 Apr
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 01/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2644 N12W52 057 0200 Eao 12 08 Beta
2645 S11W13 017 0520 Ekc 12 25 Beta-Gamma

2647 N11W13 018 0010 Bxo 03 04 Beta
2648 S03E72 293 0010 Bxo 03 02 Beta

AR2645 Quietly Growing-
:4/1-2645comp:
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 09:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Awesome Solarsoft/SDO movie of M4.44 from '44:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

I didn't notice any Earth-directed ejecta.... most went north.

ACE Electrons spike due to CME:

[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov]

.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Digital mix guy

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04/01/2017 09:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to spaceweather.com] April 2:

Sunspot AR2644 erupted on April 1st, producing a significant M4-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the explosion's extreme UV flash:



UV radiation from the flare caused a brief shortwave radio blackout on the Pacific side of Earth: map. People who might have noticed the blackout include ham radio operators and mariners using low-frequency rigs for communication at frequencies below 10 MHz.

The explosion also hurled a coronal mass ejection (CME) into space: image. The cloud is not heading directly for Earth, but a glancing blow is possible in the days ahead. NOAA analysts are evaluating this possibility now.

NOTE: The source of this flare, AR2644, is not the big sunspot discussed below. While forecasters focused their attention on the huge sunspot facing Earth, a lesser sunspot near the sun's western limb exploded instead. Tricky sun.

BIG SUNSPOT FACES EARTH: In a year of few sunspots, AR2645 is remarkable. The young spot has quickly grown from an almost invisible speck into a sprawling behemoth more than 120,000 km wide, with multiple dark cores larger than Earth. And, it is directly facing our planet:
Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Digital mix guy

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04/01/2017 09:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Predicted planetary A index is 20 on March 31 through April 2, 15 on April 3-4, 12 on April 5-6, 5 on April 7-16, then 24, 25 and 10 on April 17-19, 5 on April 20-22, then 25, 40, 35, 20, 18 and 12 on April 23-28, and 8, 16, 12, 15 and 12 on April 29 through May 3, followed by 5 on May 4-13 and 24 on May 14.

F.K. Janda, OK1HH sent us his geomagnetic activity forecast for the period March 31-April 25, 2017.

“Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on April 9-10, 14-16, 20-22
mostly quiet on April 6, 8, 11
quiet to unsettled April 4, 12-13, 19
quiet to active on April 3, 5, 7, 23, 25
active to disturbed on March 31, April 1-2, 17-18, 24

Amplifications of the solar wind from coronal holes are expected on March 31, April 1-4, (5-8,) 12-13. (14,) 16-20, 25

[link to www.arrl.org]
Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 10:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOAA Discussion

Solar Activity 24 hr Summary...

Solar activity was at moderate levels (R1 Minor) due to an M4/1f flare
at 01/2148 UTC from Region 2644 (N12W52, Eao/beta). An associated Type
IV radio sweep was observed beginning at 01/2150 UTC. Over the past 12
hours, Region 2644 developed additional spots to the north and west of
its large leader spot resulting in a slight increase in area and spot
count. The M4 flare appeared to originate in the vicinity of the new
spot growth
. The region also produced C-class level flare activity.

Region 2645 (S11W13, Ekc/beta-gamma) continued to exhibit area growth,
but remained relatively quiet producing only weak B-class activity. A B9
flare was observed at 01/1036 UTC from an area of emerging flux located
near N15W23. New Region 2648 (S03E72, Bxo/beta) rotated onto the disk
and produced a few weak B-class flares. Forecasters are awaiting LASCO
coronagraph imagery to analyze any potential Earth-directed CMEs
associated with the M4 flare.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a chance for M-class
flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) over the next three days (02-04 Apr).

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Radio Blackout Map from M4.4 event:
[link to www.spaceweather.com]

AR2645 should be Beta-Gamma-Delta now-
:4/2-ar2645:
:4/2-2645mag:
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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04/01/2017 10:41 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
What a beauty!!
~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 10:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
CME Update-

Stereo A:
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

SOHO C3:
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

CACTus diagnostics is way off as usual. They use a Belgian AS computer (AS= Artificial Stupidity). Last week they had a lazy filament liftoff clocked at 1900 km/s (no way!). This CME must be at least 750-1100 km/s IMHO. They'll probably adjust it Monday when the humans come back to work, LOL.

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

?
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Anonymous Coward
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04/01/2017 10:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
MOTHER SHIP BY THE SUN!!!!!!
[link to youtu.be (secure)]

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73882986


Really? it's a glitch camera/software AS ALWAYS

bsflag

This dude, MrMBB333, starts to be like the idiot or BPE, time will tell
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74051145


Prove to me its a glitch
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 10:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Impulsive C8 flare from AR2645--exactly at one of 2 delta regions visible on the magnetogram above.

SolarDemon movie:

[link to solardemon.oma.be]

GONG Mauna Loa movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

I predict.....more flares to come......

:4/1-C3flare:
:apr1-cme:
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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04/01/2017 11:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Impulsive C8 flare from AR2645--exactly at one of 2 delta regions visible on the magnetogram above.

SolarDemon movie:

[link to solardemon.oma.be]

GONG Mauna Loa movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

I predict.....more flares to come......

:4/1-C3flare:
:apr1-cme:
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


I love the action!!

sun
~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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04/01/2017 11:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
MOTHER SHIP BY THE SUN!!!!!!

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73882986


Really? it's a glitch camera/software AS ALWAYS

bsflag

This dude, MrMBB333, starts to be like the idiot or BPE, time will tell
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74051145


Prove to me its a glitch
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73772611


The burden of proof is on the other bloke.

Ridiculous claims require extraordinary evidence.

But don't feel bad-- not only YouTube Pseudo-scientists, but REAL Bonafide scientists are more often than not full of shit.

FEWER THAN 1% OF PEER-REVIEWED SCIENCE PAPERS ADHERE TO THE 'SCIENTIFIC METHOD'! I'm even shocked... I thought it would be more like 5%, LOL.

[link to www.breitbart.com]

Read it and weep, haha.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779





GLP