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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Blowhard
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09/10/2011 06:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This thread will probably become the most viewed on GLP as we approach the cycle 24 solar maximum scheduled May 2013, after which the world will never be the same. Richter 6 will gradually increase to 10's and 12's and finally 30.0 with the pole shift in May 2013. The pole shift event coincides with a very important Biblical event. I was wondering if there is interest among the posters for additional info on this?
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 06:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW...someone please look at this and tell me if they have ever seen this in the magnetoshere. One side is gone????

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
RelaxingVibes

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09/10/2011 06:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't know much about earth's magnetic field but does this happen normally ? [link to www2.nict.go.jp] Woops someone else already posted my question.

Last Edited by RelaxingVibes on 09/10/2011 06:52 AM
RelaxingVibes
outofspace

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09/10/2011 07:09 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If this is a super anomaly or st wrong believe me you should feel it. Because world is still, think so it's ok
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 07:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't know much about earth's magnetic field but does this happen normally ? [link to www2.nict.go.jp] Woops someone else already posted my question.
 Quoting: RelaxingVibes


Mhh if u look now at "NICT" [link to www2.nict.go.jp] all seems to be fine

When the lines are crossed or in a ball Example:
[link to api.ning.com]

The IMF is in a north direction (positive) and the magnetosphere is protecting its self from solar winds and particles. This is good.

maybe u made a screenshot?
RelaxingVibes

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09/10/2011 07:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't know much about earth's magnetic field but does this happen normally ? [link to www2.nict.go.jp] Woops someone else already posted my question.
 Quoting: RelaxingVibes


Mhh if u look now at "NICT" [link to www2.nict.go.jp] all seems to be fine

When the lines are crossed or in a ball Example:
[link to api.ning.com]

The IMF is in a north direction (positive) and the magnetosphere is protecting its self from solar winds and particles. This is good.

maybe u made a screenshot?
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Yes I took a screenshot but it is pretty similar to how the magnetic field currently looks. Thanks for clearing that up hf
RelaxingVibes
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
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09/10/2011 07:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't know much about earth's magnetic field but does this happen normally ? [link to www2.nict.go.jp] Woops someone else already posted my question.
 Quoting: RelaxingVibes


Mhh if u look now at "NICT" [link to www2.nict.go.jp] all seems to be fine

When the lines are crossed or in a ball Example:
[link to api.ning.com]

The IMF is in a north direction (positive) and the magnetosphere is protecting its self from solar winds and particles. This is good.

maybe u made a screenshot?
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Yes I took a screenshot but it is pretty similar to how the magnetic field currently looks. Thanks for clearing that up hf
 Quoting: RelaxingVibes


your welcome

NINz Magnetosphere Guide
Thread: NICT Magnetosphere Guide For Solar Watchers (service eneded)
TruthSeeker66

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09/10/2011 07:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW...someone please look at this and tell me if they have ever seen this in the magnetoshere. One side is gone????

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1501540


Awesome catch, never saw that before. Thanks for sharing .
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 07:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:newsunspot1290:

Image shows you new region 1290 which emerged yesterday at south15 east29 degrees as a simple C class type group. There is a large area of a number of groups that will rotate into view over the coming days.

Fullsize:

[link to www.lmsal.com]






[link to www.youtube.com]
TruthSeeker66

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09/10/2011 08:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is it true they shut down this site on 9/11 ??? Seems to be a lot going on, would they do that ???
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 08:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Not my photos, but you could see Northern lights from **downtown** in Calgary last night. Pretty tare considering you normally need darkness out in a rural area to see them:

[link to i.imgur.com]

[link to i.imgur.com]
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
09/10/2011 09:38 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i see we got another M flare today.. 1283 again
i updates the list on the 1st spot for this thread
here is the list so far for September


September:
M1.1 Flare on 9/10/2011 @ 17:40 UTC - sunspot 1283
M1.2 Flare on 9/9/2011 @ 12:49 UTC - sunspot 1283
M2.7 Flare on 9/9/2011 @ 06:11 UTC - sunspot 1283
M6.7 Flare on 9/8/2011 @ 15:46 UTC - sunspot 1283
X1.8 Flare on 9/7/2011 @ 22:23 UTC - sunspot 1283 - Earth directed CME produced
X2.1 Flare on 9/6/2011 @ 22:16 UTC - sunspot 1283 - Earth directed CME produced
C9.2 Flare on 9/6/2011 -LDE Lasting 2hrs (04:57 9/6/11-06:51 9/6/11)sunspot 1282
M5.3 Flare on 9/6/2011 @ 01:50 UTC sunspot 1283 - Earth directed CME produced
M1.2 Flare on 9/5/2011 @ 07:58 UTC sunspot 1286
M1.6 Flare on 9/5/2011 @ 04:28 UTC sunspot 1286
C7.6 Flare on 9/5/2011 -LDE Lasting 2hrs (01:12 9/5/11-03:20 9/5/11) sunspot 1286
C7.9 Flare on 9/5/2011 -LDE Lasting 2hrs (23:58 9/4/11-01:25 9/5/11) sunspot 1286
M3.2 Flare on 9/4/2011 @ 11:45 UTC sunspot 1286
C9.0 Flate on 9/4/2011 @ 04:45 UTC sunspot unnamed
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/10/2011 10:06 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Today, sunspot 1289
has a 30% chance for a M flare
has a 16% chance for a X flare
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

1283 - is now on the western edge. Although 1283 still hold a chance for a M flare, it poses little threat

1289 - Now all eyes are on monster sunspot region 1289 as well as a very large region behind 1289 that will be rotation over the eastern limb in the next few days

Region 11289 added several spots in a new penumbra to the south of the large penumbra. The new penumbra could easily develop a magnetic delta structure
1289 has a beta-gamma configuration as of the time of this post
[link to www.solen.info]

here is the latest SDO magnetogram image of the sun
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

on this composite we can see well the sunspot regions
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

here we can see the sunspot region that is just over the eastern limb of the sun and will be rotating earths direction over the next few days
this is on STEREO Behind, an image taken of the left side of the sun, from earths view
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
the big bright section in the middle top section is the region i speak of
here it is on the GONG Calibrated Farside Map
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
(the spot circled in red)

lets comapre that region to 1283 that produced most of the main activity we have seen this past week
1283 is the bright spot on the top left section in this image
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/10/2011 10:24 AM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
09/10/2011 10:39 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The electric energy which motivates us is not within our bodies at all. It is a part of the universal supply which flows through us from the Universal Source with an intensity set by our desires and our will.
 Quoting: walter russell


in 1963, Walter Cronkite in the national television evening news, commenting on Dr. Walter Russell's death, referred to him as "... the Leonardo da Vinci of our time."


morning rockon

Last Edited by aether on 09/10/2011 10:44 AM
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/10/2011 10:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
there was a large filament eruption off on the northern section of the solar disk today
"A large filament eruption was observed beginning at 00:59 UTC on September 10 in the central northern hemisphere. At 03:24 UTC STEREO-A observed a CME, mainly over the northern hemisphere. It's too early to tell if this CME will impact Earth
Minor update added at 10:55 UTC on September 10: The CME earlier today was at least partial halo. While the core of the CME will not reach Earth, there's a chance of a flank impact on September 13"
[link to www.solen.info]

SDO
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
STEREO A
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


there is also another CME seen on STEREO A starting around the 10:24 area
i can not find where this came from
maybe i need more coffee haha
help on this one would be appreciated :)
here it is on STEREO A
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
miabelieves

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09/10/2011 10:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey all I know we are a little more than an hour away from Elenin being passing the P word. Do ya'll expect anything? I have noticed nothing much posted lately on Elenin...so JW
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miabelieves

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09/10/2011 10:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey all I know we are a little more than an hour away from Elenin being passing the P word. Do ya'll expect anything? I have noticed nothing much posted lately on Elenin...so JW
 Quoting: miabelieves


sorry I guys..I just found a thread talking about this..ooppss..but your input would be just lovely.
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NiNzrez (OP)

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09/10/2011 10:51 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Elenin perihelion is less than 8 hours away...
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/10/2011 10:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey all I know we are a little more than an hour away from Elenin being passing the P word. Do ya'll expect anything? I have noticed nothing much posted lately on Elenin...so JW
 Quoting: miabelieves


sorry I guys..I just found a thread talking about this..ooppss..but your input would be just lovely.
 Quoting: miabelieves


haha i was just posting on this as well
1hr 22min and counting
guess we will see...

countdown clock
[link to spaceobs.org]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
09/10/2011 10:55 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey all I know we are a little more than an hour away from Elenin being passing the P word. Do ya'll expect anything? I have noticed nothing much posted lately on Elenin...so JW
 Quoting: miabelieves


sorry I guys..I just found a thread talking about this..ooppss..but your input would be just lovely.
 Quoting: miabelieves


haha i was just posting on this as well
1hr 22min and counting
guess we will see...

countdown clock
[link to spaceobs.org]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


"Outbursts from comets at great distances from the Sun seem to be correlated with a sudden change in the solar 'wind' plasma environment due to a solar storm. The point about sudden comet outbursts is that we are dealing with a sudden, discontinuous process of plasma discharge - a switch from dark current mode to normal glow mode. It is a complex surface phenomenon that cannot be predicted. The best we can do is to say that the passage of a sudden change in the solar wind is the most likely time to see a flareup."
 Quoting: science


Last Edited by aether on 09/10/2011 10:57 AM
RelaxingVibes

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09/10/2011 10:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Anyone know what solar flare / cme is hitting us right now ?
RelaxingVibes
Awake1

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09/10/2011 11:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It's a white hot one for sure, I got an sudden headache so I knew something was hitting

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

I can't tell from this graph (below) , I don't think it's updated as there were so many after this one was posted
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

How do you find the updated simulation above ? I don't think they just refresh with correct / new info do they ?

TY for all the great info , fascinating ! <3

Last Edited by Awake1 on 09/10/2011 11:06 AM
"Any Story Sounds True until someone sets the record straight "

Proverbs 18:17(New Living Translation)
TwistedSentinel

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09/10/2011 11:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Anyone know what solar flare / cme is hitting us right now ?
 Quoting: RelaxingVibes


I think this is one of the X's
I don't suffer from insanity. I enjoy every minute.
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/10/2011 11:23 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Anyone know what solar flare / cme is hitting us right now ?
 Quoting: RelaxingVibes


i suspect it is this one
X1.8 Flare on 9/7/2011 @ 22:23 UTC - sunspot 1283 - Earth directed CME produced

September 7: Lots of CMEs were observed during the day, most were backsided. The CME associated with the X1.8 event in region 11283 may cause a flank impact at Earth on September 10 resulting in a brief increase in disturbance levels
[link to www.solen.info]

here we can see earth side CME for that timeframe
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

a few i will highlight
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
12hrs apart
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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El Quisqueyano

User ID: 1523263
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09/10/2011 11:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning all. What did I miss?

Namaste.
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
09/10/2011 11:32 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ACE
@ 14:41 UTC Sept 10th
Solar Wind Speed: 496.7
Density: 14.5
Bz: -11.0
By: 0.6

right now @ 15:21 UTC Sept 10th
Solar Wind Speed: 458.6
Density: 1.1
Bz: 5.4
By: -14.3

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Graph
[link to www.solarham.com]


SOHO CELIAS/MTOF Proton Monitor
@ 11:37 UTC Sept 10th
Solar Wind Speed: 470.2
Density: 22.43

[link to umtof.umd.edu]
Graph
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Solar-Terrestrial Activity Chart
[link to hirweb.nict.go.jp]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
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09/10/2011 11:39 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning all. What did I miss?

Namaste.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


morning Elq :)
i have been trying to get all the updates in now since it is still a bit early in the day here in the states
Elenin perihelion coming up on us
JPL shows that it is tomorrow
but on the main Spaceobs site they have a countdown to exact time on there
here it is
[link to spaceobs.org]

according to lenoid elenin himself, exact perihelion is in about 36 min

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/10/2011 11:40 AM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/10/2011 11:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i will go ahead and make a note here on this...
Elenin hitting perihelion is when it is at it's closest to the sun durring its passing in our solar system
looking on JPL as well as a few other orbital diagrams i have, Elenin will reach it's closest to the sun very close to being right above sunspot region 1289
here we can see where 1289 is
[link to www.solen.info]

what effect this will have, if any, I'm not sure
but if we see a large Flare and/or CME, i will not be surprised at all
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
El Quisqueyano

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09/10/2011 11:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning all. What did I miss?

Namaste.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


morning Elq :)
i have been trying to get all the updates in now since it is still a bit early in the day here in the states
Elenin perihelion coming up on us
JPL shows that it is tomorrow
but on the main Spaceobs site they have a countdown to exact time on there
here it is
[link to spaceobs.org]

according to lenoid elenin himself, exact perihelion is in about 36 min
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Wow. Thanks for this NIN.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1542105
Colombia
09/10/2011 11:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning all. What did I miss?

Namaste.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


morning Elq :)
i have been trying to get all the updates in now since it is still a bit early in the day here in the states
Elenin perihelion coming up on us
JPL shows that it is tomorrow
but on the main Spaceobs site they have a countdown to exact time on there
here it is
[link to spaceobs.org]

according to lenoid elenin himself, exact perihelion is in about 36 min
 Quoting: NiNzrez



For me looks like it is more than 7 hours...

who 's wrong?

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