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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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09/29/2011 10:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LDE C ...
 Quoting: TruthSeeker66


yup...long drawn out...just the start for today I think
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


yup

Right now-

Sunspot 1302:
Chance of a M flare = 60%
Chance of a X Flare = 63%

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 10:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It amazes me how few people realize how narrowly we escaped such a disaster. We were lucky and I hope we stay that way.
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/29/2011 10:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning and Namaste to all.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Good Morning brutha....

My gut is telling me this could be a interesting day with the sun..it seems like the last 3 or 4 active periods we went through the charts have a certain rythym to them..the flares always seem to be spaced about the same distance...like a pulse...

[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


i noticed the same thing

and a good morning to everyone :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 10:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LDE C ...
 Quoting: TruthSeeker66


yup...long drawn out...just the start for today I think
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


yup

Right now-

Sunspot 1302:
Chance of a M flare = 60%
Chance of a X Flare = 63%

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1135433


Fuck. People don't realize how much danger this poses right now. 63% chance of a horrible disaster. great.
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 923851
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09/29/2011 10:12 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It amazes me how few people realize how narrowly we escaped such a disaster. We were lucky and I hope we stay that way.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1603952


Yep and I can`t never understand how our luck keeps running.....what influences this...something sure seems to control it..perhaps the earth/sun magnetic connection sompared to say like the sun /jupiter connection...I don`t know but I find it awful strange how the big CMEs continuely miss us...

Let`s see if the flux drops below the level it was at before the C class started...looks to me like it was ramping up..

[link to www.solarham.com]
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/29/2011 10:13 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we did juts have a filament lift off from the southwestern area of the solar disk
nothing showing on STEREO but it is on there on SDO
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/29/2011 10:18 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LDE C ...
 Quoting: TruthSeeker66


yup...long drawn out...just the start for today I think
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


yup

Right now-

Sunspot 1302:
Chance of a M flare = 60%
Chance of a X Flare = 63%

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1135433


Fuck. People don't realize how much danger this poses right now. 63% chance of a horrible disaster. great.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1603952


sit back and have a cup of coffee with us
always hard to tell what it's planning on doing
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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09/29/2011 10:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The flux chart is leveling outand showing a upward movement again..the baseline is definately rising and this first C could just be the start of todays fireworks..
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/29/2011 10:43 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
they are questioning if this is solar related

Thread: WTF is going on in vancouver???????
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 11:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
they are questioning if this is solar related

Thread: WTF is going on in vancouver???????
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Now a 57% chance of an x flare from 1302:

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
XP...

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09/29/2011 11:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sol I know you've had a real public image problem in the doom community. I'm afraid your loosing your street cred... I mean face it you really haven't had a real hit since the Carrington Event... Sure you pop a satellite here and there and even throw down some rad disco lights but your becoming yesterday's news.... So what do you say we layout a comeback tour! Yep just stroll in with a couple LDE M flares then through down a double X10 LDE, then drop down te beat and bammm grand finale X28 right in center stage! This would put you back on top of the charts my friend....,
"The world will not be destroyed by evil, it will be destroyed by the ones who do nothing to stop the evil."
"Lead or follow just get the hell out of my way!"
XP...
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/29/2011 11:32 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is a morning summery of giant sunspot region 1302

Today region 1302 is facing right at us
Any event today from region 1302 would be Earth directed
Here we can see this monster sunspot on the current Magnetogram image
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
-----------------------------------------------

The background Xray levels have now risen back up a bit, showing an increase in detected solar activity
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
-----------------------------------------------

Region 11302 [N13W06] has a magnetic delta structure in the southeastern part of the main penumbra. There are signs of fragmentation both in the leader and trailing penumbra.
[link to www.solen.info]
Region 1302 remains a beta-gamma-delta structure capable of producing a major flare
-----------------------------------------------

AR1302 has quieted down since unleashing dual X-flares on Sept. 22nd and 24th. Nevertheless, NOAA forecasters estimate a 25% chance of more X-flares during the next 24 hours. Any such eruptions would be Earth-directed as the sunspot crosses the center of the solar disk

Sunspot 1302 is beginning to decay but still poses a threat for X-class solar flares.
[link to spaceweather.com]
-----------------------------------------------

SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts

Updated at: 2011 Sep 28 2205 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 50 % 50 %
CLASS X 30 % 30 %
-----------------------------------------------

Right now-

Sunspot 1302:
Chance of a M flare = 60%
Chance of a X Flare = 63%

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
----------------------------------------------

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/29/2011 11:59 AM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
El Quisqueyano

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09/29/2011 11:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.rense.com]

A Wave of Destruction Will
Destroy America's East Coast
By Ian Gurney

Excerpt;

Recently, scientists have realised that the next Mega Tsunami is likely to begin on one of the Canary Islands, off the coast of North Africa, where a wall of water will one day race across the entire Atlantic Ocean at the speed of a jet airliner to devastate the east coast of the United States, the Caribbean and Brazil.
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/29/2011 11:46 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
also today keep an eye on 1305
it is showing signs of plasma activity and produced a small C1.3 this morning
[link to www.lmsal.com]

Region 11305 [N12E28] added several spots and has minor polarity intermixing
[link to www.solen.info]

look at the magnetic loops between 1302 and 1305
amazing! thats is quite a distance between the 2 regions

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1603952
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09/29/2011 11:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
also today keep an eye on 1305
it is showing signs of plasma activity and produced a small C1.3 this morning
[link to www.lmsal.com]

Region 11305 [N12E28] added several spots and has minor polarity intermixing
[link to www.solen.info]

look at the magnetic loops between 1302 and 1305
amazing! thats is quite a distance between the 2 regions

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I noticed the giant loops between the two earlier. Definitely a lot of energy there, IMO
NiNzrez (OP)

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09/29/2011 12:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A Solar Storm Strikes Earth—and Provides a Warning for the Future
[link to ecocentric.blogs.time.com]


The Sunspots That Kicked Off This Week's Solar Storm May be Just Warming Up
[link to www.popsci.com]


Super Sun Blast Fears Put Russian Nuke Plants In Lockdown
[link to thetruthbehindthescenes.wordpress.com]


Rising Solar Radiation Called Risk for Air Travelers and Astronauts
[link to www.ibtimes.com]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
joinca

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09/29/2011 12:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Could be a busy day!
Ninz Thank you for the updates!
Glad that you seem to be doing better!
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 12:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.cbc.ca]
another problem
tomasgod1

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09/29/2011 12:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning and Namaste to all.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Good Morning brutha....

My gut is telling me this could be a interesting day with the sun..it seems like the last 3 or 4 active periods we went through the charts have a certain rythym to them..the flares always seem to be spaced about the same distance...like a pulse...

[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


i noticed the same thing

and a good morning to everyone :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Good Morning guys and gals. Just checking in to see what thing are looking like today. Old Sol has had a couple of days to recharge his batteries since throwing us a couple of big sparks, lets see if we get any more bolts before Region 1302 rotates out of favor.
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Mahala

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09/29/2011 12:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ustream.tv]

Asteroid News from WISE
10 a.m. PDT (1 p.m. EDT) on Thurs., Sept. 29

NASA will hold a news conference to reveal near-Earth asteroid findings and implications for future research. The briefing will take place at NASA Headquarters in Washington.

NASA’s Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) mission, launched in December 2009, captured millions of images of galaxies and objects in space. During the news conference, panelists will discuss results from an enhancement of WISE called Near-Earth Object WISE (NEOWISE) that hunted for asteroid



Just thought I would remind some of you guys of the NASA conference that is going to be held soon..hf
Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.”
Mia41

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09/29/2011 12:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ustream.tv]

Asteroid News from WISE
10 a.m. PDT (1 p.m. EDT) on Thurs., Sept. 29

NASA will hold a news conference to reveal near-Earth asteroid findings and implications for future research. The briefing will take place at NASA Headquarters in Washington.

NASA’s Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) mission, launched in December 2009, captured millions of images of galaxies and objects in space. During the news conference, panelists will discuss results from an enhancement of WISE called Near-Earth Object WISE (NEOWISE) that hunted for asteroid



Just thought I would remind some of you guys of the NASA conference that is going to be held soon..hf
 Quoting: Mahala


Spaceweather is saying it is about Mercury..

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 12:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ustream.tv]

Asteroid News from WISE
10 a.m. PDT (1 p.m. EDT) on Thurs., Sept. 29

NASA will hold a news conference to reveal near-Earth asteroid findings and implications for future research. The briefing will take place at NASA Headquarters in Washington.

NASA’s Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) mission, launched in December 2009, captured millions of images of galaxies and objects in space. During the news conference, panelists will discuss results from an enhancement of WISE called Near-Earth Object WISE (NEOWISE) that hunted for asteroid



Just thought I would remind some of you guys of the NASA conference that is going to be held soon..hf
 Quoting: Mahala


Spaceweather is saying it is about Mercury..

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Mia41


NEOs at 1:00, Mars at 2:00.

"We'll make the first part short. We need to get off the planet... and that brings us to our next point. We need to figure out how to get to Mars."

:D
Mahala

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09/29/2011 12:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ustream.tv]

Asteroid News from WISE
10 a.m. PDT (1 p.m. EDT) on Thurs., Sept. 29

NASA will hold a news conference to reveal near-Earth asteroid findings and implications for future research. The briefing will take place at NASA Headquarters in Washington.

NASA’s Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) mission, launched in December 2009, captured millions of images of galaxies and objects in space. During the news conference, panelists will discuss results from an enhancement of WISE called Near-Earth Object WISE (NEOWISE) that hunted for asteroid



Just thought I would remind some of you guys of the NASA conference that is going to be held soon..hf
 Quoting: Mahala


Spaceweather is saying it is about Mercury..

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Mia41


Looks like there might be 2 conferences?1 p.m. EDT [link to www.ustream.tv] and 2 p.m. EDT [link to www.nasa.gov]
Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.”
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 12:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
flux turning north again
tomasgod1

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09/29/2011 01:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Type II Radio Emission released today during the C 2.7 LDE flare.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 754
Issue Time: 2011 Sep 29 1412 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2011 Sep 29 1257 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 608 km/s

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 09/29/2011 01:06 PM
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 01:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Some pretty strong statements in here...like-- if the last cme would have been a direct hit--"all hell would have broke lose"


 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


this guy is a puppet..
he says what ever they want him to say...
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 01:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ustream.tv]

Asteroid News from WISE
10 a.m. PDT (1 p.m. EDT) on Thurs., Sept. 29

NASA will hold a news conference to reveal near-Earth asteroid findings and implications for future research. The briefing will take place at NASA Headquarters in Washington.

NASA’s Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) mission, launched in December 2009, captured millions of images of galaxies and objects in space. During the news conference, panelists will discuss results from an enhancement of WISE called Near-Earth Object WISE (NEOWISE) that hunted for asteroid



Just thought I would remind some of you guys of the NASA conference that is going to be held soon..hf
 Quoting: Mahala


Spaceweather is saying it is about Mercury..

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Mia41


NEOs at 1:00, Mars at 2:00.

"We'll make the first part short. We need to get off the planet... and that brings us to our next point. We need to figure out how to get to Mars."

:D
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1603952


been there done that humans destroyed that too no one is getting off this planet there is a BIG ass net out there...
we are considered a cancer... thats why we cant venture out..
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 01:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ustream.tv]

Asteroid News from WISE
10 a.m. PDT (1 p.m. EDT) on Thurs., Sept. 29

NASA will hold a news conference to reveal near-Earth asteroid findings and implications for future research. The briefing will take place at NASA Headquarters in Washington.

NASA’s Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) mission, launched in December 2009, captured millions of images of galaxies and objects in space. During the news conference, panelists will discuss results from an enhancement of WISE called Near-Earth Object WISE (NEOWISE) that hunted for asteroid



Just thought I would remind some of you guys of the NASA conference that is going to be held soon..hf
 Quoting: Mahala


darn I forgot...is it over? I can't find it online
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 01:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
"bodies collided with the planet, I'm sorry, bodies collided with Vesta" -Lucy McFadden, scientist, NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md. 9/29/11
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2011 01:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ustream.tv]

Asteroid News from WISE
10 a.m. PDT (1 p.m. EDT) on Thurs., Sept. 29

NASA will hold a news conference to reveal near-Earth asteroid findings and implications for future research. The briefing will take place at NASA Headquarters in Washington.

NASA’s Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE) mission, launched in December 2009, captured millions of images of galaxies and objects in space. During the news conference, panelists will discuss results from an enhancement of WISE called Near-Earth Object WISE (NEOWISE) that hunted for asteroid



Just thought I would remind some of you guys of the NASA conference that is going to be held soon..hf
 Quoting: Mahala


darn I forgot...is it over? I can't find it online
 Quoting: Shenue



found it. missed the first 25 minutes.....grrrrr

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