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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
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10/01/2011 09:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
good night all........peace
 Quoting: Shenue


ni ni Shenue
stay safe
hf
Solar Alerts Blog
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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disclosure_2011

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10/01/2011 09:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M3.9 Flare, now dropping

from sunspot region 1305
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

yes^^ earth facing
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Oh dear. Flares don't cause problems though right? Only if it produced a CME? Sorry trying to learn.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 2404013
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10/01/2011 09:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily) (Page 365)

[link to www.youtube.com]
Hugh M Eye

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10/01/2011 09:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M3.9 Flare, now dropping

from sunspot region 1305
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

yes^^ earth facing
 Quoting: NiNzrez


How long until we know if a CME was associated with it?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1619119


up to 45 min or so
im watching now
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I hope nothing big was ejected this way, LOL, our poor old magnetosphere is in for a rough week. Could be seeing some satellite issues this week, too.
sfangaahtomato
NiNzrez (OP)

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10/01/2011 09:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Got back in a little while ago, enjoyed reading all of the days posts..hehe
 Quoting: tomasgod1


good evening Tom :)
Solar Alerts Blog
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Nic

User ID: 1498808
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10/01/2011 09:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yes, I'll join the question party.. I'm not entirely up to snuff with solar doom.
Does this mean we are getting something earth directed within the next few hours?

Or is it just a theory?
Would it be considered safe to go about business this weekend and spend lots of time outdoors?

My city has an art festival this evening all night long & I had planned on attending. The risk with solar doom is mainly electronics & the grid right? or are people directly at risk as well?

I apologize in advance if my questions seem stupid.
smile_kiss
tomasgod1

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10/01/2011 09:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Does anyone have an estimate of what kind of impact the CMEs will have on Earth? Is there any way to tell?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1619119


I think we are going to take a pretty hard hit from the CME launched during the M1.2 flare this morning from Region 1305. I believe this CME is moving faster than the calculated 500km/s that NOAA has estimated as well. I would expect to see todays CME arrive no later then the latter part of Oct. 3. This CME may catch up with the CME that was launched just 15 hrs prior from the same region during an M1.0 flare on Sept. 30, that was visibly moving at a much slower pace. It would be helpful if missing data would be made available. It is particularly aggravating that Stereo A is missing nearly 4 hrs of data from 10:54UT through 14:39UT today during the eruption of the CMEs from Regions 1301, 1302, and 1305. IMO we will see the Est. Planetary Kp in the 7 to 8 range, moderate to severe geomagnetic storming especially in northern latitudes.
_______

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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tomasgod1

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10/01/2011 09:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Got back in a little while ago, enjoyed reading all of the days posts..hehe
 Quoting: tomasgod1


good evening Tom :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Evening NIN!

1305 strikes again..M3.9!

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 10/01/2011 09:22 PM
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2011 09:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
BOOOOOOOOM!


[link to www.solarham.com]


Sleeping giant awakes from cat nap!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1247173
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10/01/2011 09:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This graph is insane.......the white is absolutely ridiculous!


[link to www.gdgps.net]

Has anyone ever seen it this big? I have seen it about half the size but never the size of the half of the pacific ocean.
Agapao
User ID: 2125803
New Zealand
10/01/2011 09:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Joinca thank you that link appears to work. have you got any ideas for NOAA links, every time I manage to access the site through another site the link will only work for a few days. I know its a problem with my internet provider but its really frustrating.
disclosure_2011

User ID: 1544142
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10/01/2011 09:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Joinca thank you that link appears to work. have you got any ideas for NOAA links, every time I manage to access the site through another site the link will only work for a few days. I know its a problem with my internet provider but its really frustrating.
 Quoting: Agapao 2125803


You may want to try deleting your cache, cookies, etc. It may be a fix for it.
Agapao
User ID: 2125803
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10/01/2011 09:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Disclosure 2011 been there done that (not being smart) even turned off firewall and internet protection still no joy but thanks for trying to help
Hugh M Eye

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10/01/2011 09:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M3.9 is the strongest flare in the past 5 or 6 days.

Here's a SDO movie of the double-whammy CME earlier today-A stong C flare from 1302 and a M1.2 from 1305.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
tomasgod1

User ID: 1494107
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10/01/2011 09:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M3.9 flare from Region 1305 on SDO AIA composite 94,335,193

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
disclosure_2011

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10/01/2011 09:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Disclosure 2011 been there done that (not being smart) even turned off firewall and internet protection still no joy but thanks for trying to help
 Quoting: Agapao 2125803


That sucks. Nothing worse than strange computer problems to drive you crazy. LOL
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2011 09:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks for all your hard work Nin, and while recovering. You are amazing.

Oh and Hi Tom glad your with us. Getting coffee now. Interesting night ahead.hf

I just want to tell you all that before, when I looked this up alone, and couldn't understand much, and my family thought I was crazy, that it wasn't near so much as it is to share it with you all.hf
disclosure_2011

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10/01/2011 09:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M3.9 is the strongest flare in the past 5 or 6 days.

Here's a SDO movie of the double-whammy CME earlier today-A stong C flare from 1302 and a M1.2 from 1305.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


No CME though? What does the flare do to earth? I know how the CME can effect us but not sure on the flares. Sorry folks but you've got herself a beginner here. If anyone wants to reccomend some sites to teach me how to read come of these charts feel free. Especially this group.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2011 10:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M3.9 is the strongest flare in the past 5 or 6 days.

Here's a SDO movie of the double-whammy CME earlier today-A stong C flare from 1302 and a M1.2 from 1305.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


No CME though? What does the flare do to earth? I know how the CME can effect us but not sure on the flares. Sorry folks but you've got herself a beginner here. If anyone wants to reccomend some sites to teach me how to read come of these charts feel free. Especially this group.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: disclosure_2011


can't tell yet if a cme is coming, any minute now. Cme's take a couple or more days, depending on the speed and Solar Flares hit us at the speed of light in aprox 8 minutes
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2011 10:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nothing too large, mostly small stuff.
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
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10/01/2011 10:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M3.9 flare from Region 1305 on SDO AIA composite 94,335,193

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


you see that CME on there?
one around the bottom half of 1305 and that southern filament looks like it started lifting with thie Flare and cme event

oh and...

LASCO C2 and C3 still have not updated
and now, STEREO A is not updating
all i have to go by is SDO

please hold in there SDO!

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 10/01/2011 10:12 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2011 10:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yeeeesss we see.hiding
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1819063
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10/01/2011 10:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Joinca thank you that link appears to work. have you got any ideas for NOAA links, every time I manage to access the site through another site the link will only work for a few days. I know its a problem with my internet provider but its really frustrating.
 Quoting: Agapao 2125803


It sounds to me like the site is updating and expiring your old links. You should just make the site a favorite of yours and keep up with their new updates.
disclosure_2011

User ID: 1544142
United States
10/01/2011 10:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M3.9 is the strongest flare in the past 5 or 6 days.

Here's a SDO movie of the double-whammy CME earlier today-A stong C flare from 1302 and a M1.2 from 1305.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


No CME though? What does the flare do to earth? I know how the CME can effect us but not sure on the flares. Sorry folks but you've got herself a beginner here. If anyone wants to reccomend some sites to teach me how to read come of these charts feel free. Especially this group.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: disclosure_2011


can't tell yet if a cme is coming, any minute now. Cme's take a couple or more days, depending on the speed and Solar Flares hit us at the speed of light in aprox 8 minutes
 Quoting: finley


Okay so I understand the flare travels very fast. I am still trying to understand was effect the flares have on earth.
disclosure_2011

User ID: 1544142
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10/01/2011 10:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M3.9 flare from Region 1305 on SDO AIA composite 94,335,193

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


you see that CME on there?
one around the bottom half of 1305 and that southern filament looks like it started lifting with thie Flare and cme event

oh and...

LASCO C2 and C3 still have not updated
and now, STEREO A is not updating
all i have to go by is SDO

please hold in there SDO!
 Quoting: NiNzrez


uh oh!! Another CME from 1305?? When is the last that we have had several direct hits from CME's so close together I wonder??
NiNzrez (OP)

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10/01/2011 10:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
look at the movie for Oct 2nd
you have to click "Oct 1st" then change it to the 2nd manualy
with the 304, 211, 171
what a trip!
the filters must be messed up some
but with it mess up on that composite, you can see the CME are SUPER good

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
disclosure_2011

User ID: 1544142
United States
10/01/2011 10:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
look at the movie for Oct 2nd
you have to click "Oct 1st" then change it to the 2nd manualy
with the 304, 211, 171
what a trip!
the filters must be messed up some
but with it mess up on that composite, you can see the CME are SUPER good

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Sure can! Thanks for sharing!

hf
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 1536925
United Kingdom
10/01/2011 10:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
There is alot of Darker Filaments in this Image of Sol currently that look like they are ready to start Peeling away from the Surface,
Top-Right stretching through the Top-Mid Latitude and Mid-Bottom winding through to the Bottom-Left,which already looks like it may of began Peeling itself away from the Surface at the Time the Image was Taken..
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


To follow up on the Filaments that looked unstable and ready to go..
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

The Upper-Right Filament is looking very impressive!
Its' stretching all the way from SP 1302 across the Mid Northern Latitude almost reaching the opposite side..this looks like it is tearing away from the Suns' Surface.
Look at the Bottom-Left Filament that appears to be funneling in toward the Sunspot..Awesome.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 10/01/2011 10:29 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
tomasgod1

User ID: 1494107
United States
10/01/2011 10:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M3.9 flare from Region 1305 on SDO AIA composite 94,335,193

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


you see that CME on there?
one around the bottom half of 1305 and that southern filament looks like it started lifting with thie Flare and cme event

oh and...

LASCO C2 and C3 still have not updated
and now, STEREO A is not updating
all i have to go by is SDO

please hold in there SDO!
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yes I see it on SDO..haha..you know that is where I was..haha..and damn Stereo reloading the dates over..andover..andover....ggrrrr
LOL :)
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/01/2011 10:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The M3.9 is the strongest flare in the past 5 or 6 days.

Here's a SDO movie of the double-whammy CME earlier today-A stong C flare from 1302 and a M1.2 from 1305.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


No CME though? What does the flare do to earth? I know how the CME can effect us but not sure on the flares. Sorry folks but you've got herself a beginner here. If anyone wants to reccomend some sites to teach me how to read come of these charts feel free. Especially this group.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: disclosure_2011


can't tell yet if a cme is coming, any minute now. Cme's take a couple or more days, depending on the speed and Solar Flares hit us at the speed of light in aprox 8 minutes
 Quoting: finley


Okay so I understand the flare travels very fast. I am still trying to understand was effect the flares have on earth.
 Quoting: disclosure_2011


we see people ask a lot about what the effects of Flares are and CMEs are
when we do not answer it is not because we are ignoring anyone, its because each question is a loaded question
we could talk for weeks and weeks about flare effects as well as CME effects
there is so much about each, that a google search will fill your quota for reading material for a good 6 months
you have some facts, and theories, then you have theories claimed as facts hahaha
best thing to do, is open a browser and do a dearch, then click on anything that looks super interesting
here is one that i got when doing a search
it might help with some of your answers :)

Space Weather:
What impact do solar flares have on human activities?
[link to hesperia.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?

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