SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 2616743 United States 10/04/2011 08:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now I am confused..this was sent to me Quoting: TryToGetTheTruth Earth Changes Media Newsletter With Mitch Battros In This Issue New Large CME Fires Off Sunspot 1309 - Earth Directed Just three days after a large CME fired away from the Sun which is Earth directed, we have a second CME which appears to be approximately the same size - and is also Earth directed. The Oct. 1st CME should hit the Earth's magnetic field tonight. The second will hit within the next 48 hours. Watch for an escalation in earth changing events such as earthquakes, volcanoes, tornadoes, hurricanes, and extreme weather. I just got that email as well. Can anyone clear up the confusion about earth directed or not? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 2598201 Germany 10/04/2011 09:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now I am confused..this was sent to me Quoting: TryToGetTheTruth Earth Changes Media Newsletter With Mitch Battros In This Issue New Large CME Fires Off Sunspot 1309 - Earth Directed Just three days after a large CME fired away from the Sun which is Earth directed, we have a second CME which appears to be approximately the same size - and is also Earth directed. The Oct. 1st CME should hit the Earth's magnetic field tonight. The second will hit within the next 48 hours. Watch for an escalation in earth changing events such as earthquakes, volcanoes, tornadoes, hurricanes, and extreme weather. I just got that email as well. Can anyone clear up the confusion about earth directed or not? Hmmmm very confusing... I'm not a expert, but to me doesn't seem to be earth directed. [link to www.solarham.com] Bright CME / Solar Update 10/04/2011 by Kevin VE3EN at 22:10 UTC Farside Blast: A bright Full-Halo, Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is seen in the latest Lasco movies and the source of the blast is an active region on the farside of the Sun. This explosion is not earth directed. Check out the movie I created below. But, I found this too.. [link to www.earthchangesmedia.com] Just three days after a large CME fired away from the Sun which is Earth directed, we have a second CME which appears to be approximately the same size - and is also Earth directed. |
Raven73 User ID: 2434033 Australia 10/04/2011 09:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1679900 United States 10/04/2011 09:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now I am confused..this was sent to me Quoting: TryToGetTheTruth Earth Changes Media Newsletter With Mitch Battros In This Issue New Large CME Fires Off Sunspot 1309 - Earth Directed Just three days after a large CME fired away from the Sun which is Earth directed, we have a second CME which appears to be approximately the same size - and is also Earth directed. The Oct. 1st CME should hit the Earth's magnetic field tonight. The second will hit within the next 48 hours. Watch for an escalation in earth changing events such as earthquakes, volcanoes, tornadoes, hurricanes, and extreme weather. I just got that email as well. Can anyone clear up the confusion about earth directed or not? Hmmmm very confusing... I'm not a expert, but to me doesn't seem to be earth directed. [link to www.solarham.com] Bright CME / Solar Update 10/04/2011 by Kevin VE3EN at 22:10 UTC Farside Blast: A bright Full-Halo, Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is seen in the latest Lasco movies and the source of the blast is an active region on the farside of the Sun. This explosion is not earth directed. Check out the movie I created below. But, I found this too.. [link to www.earthchangesmedia.com] Just three days after a large CME fired away from the Sun which is Earth directed, we have a second CME which appears to be approximately the same size - and is also Earth directed. I'm really confused about this. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1679900 United States 10/04/2011 09:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TryToGetTheTruth User ID: 1347342 Canada 10/04/2011 09:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now I am confused..this was sent to me Quoting: TryToGetTheTruth Earth Changes Media Newsletter With Mitch Battros In This Issue New Large CME Fires Off Sunspot 1309 - Earth Directed Just three days after a large CME fired away from the Sun which is Earth directed, we have a second CME which appears to be approximately the same size - and is also Earth directed. The Oct. 1st CME should hit the Earth's magnetic field tonight. The second will hit within the next 48 hours. Watch for an escalation in earth changing events such as earthquakes, volcanoes, tornadoes, hurricanes, and extreme weather. I just got that email as well. Can anyone clear up the confusion about earth directed or not? Hmmmm very confusing... I'm not a expert, but to me doesn't seem to be earth directed. [link to www.solarham.com] Bright CME / Solar Update 10/04/2011 by Kevin VE3EN at 22:10 UTC Farside Blast: A bright Full-Halo, Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is seen in the latest Lasco movies and the source of the blast is an active region on the farside of the Sun. This explosion is not earth directed. Check out the movie I created below. But, I found this too.. [link to www.earthchangesmedia.com] Just three days after a large CME fired away from the Sun which is Earth directed, we have a second CME which appears to be approximately the same size - and is also Earth directed. I'm really confused about this. Well, that's at least four of us..I know we had three average cme's headed our way. But the video this article contained showed the two biggies on Oct 1 and Oct 4. Open mind required ! I am in SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO, CANADA |
joinca User ID: 2667690 United States 10/04/2011 10:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This might be helpful: CMEs detected by Cactus [link to www.sidc.oma.be] "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
Mahala User ID: 2457520 United States 10/04/2011 10:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Don't know if this info has been put out on here yet. If it has sorry, if not than cool. LOL.. Solar Update: A long duration C7.3 Solar Flare took place around Sunspot 1302 at 09:23 UTC Tuesday morning. This region is now rotating onto the western limb and any explosions at this point will not be earth directed. An aurora watch will be in effect within the next 24-48 hours due to the expected arrival of a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) caused by a long duration M1.2 solar flare around Sunspot 1305 on Saturday morning. Minor geomagnetic storming may be possible at high latitudes. A new Sunspot which continues to expand in the southern hemisphere was numbered 1311 on Tuesday. The new region which rotated into view on the northeast limb was numbered 1312. Currently there is only a small chance for moderate solar flares. [link to www.solarham.com] IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. Region 1302 (N13W85) produced the largest event of the period, a long duration C7/Sf x-ray flare at 04/0923Z. Two new regions were numbered today, Region 1311 (S12E20) in the southeast quadrant, and Region 1312 (N22E74) in the northeast quadrant. Finally, a full halo CME was observed in LASCO C2 imagery 04/1248Z. After careful analysis, this event was determined to be a farsided, non-Earth directed event. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a slight chance for M-class flares for the next three days (05-07 October). These slightly elevated flare probabilities are due to there being over 8 active sunspot regions on the disk. Even though Region 1302 will be rotating off the visible disk in one day, Region 1311 and 1310 (S32E02) have shown some rapid development. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be active with isolated minor storm levels possible on days one and two (05-06 October), as three Earthbound CMEs are forecasted to arrive. A return to quiet to unsettled levels on day three (07 October) is expected, as the effects of the CMEs wane. III. Event Probabilities 05 Oct-07 Oct Class M 20/20/20 Class X 05/01/01 Proton 05/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 04 Oct 130 Predicted 05 Oct-07 Oct 125/120/120 90 Day Mean 04 Oct 112 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 03 Oct 003/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Oct 005/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Oct-07 Oct 015/015-018/018-008/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Oct-07 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 45/45/15 Minor storm 20/25/05 Major-severe storm 05/05/01 B. High Latitudes Active 45/45/20 Minor storm 30/35/10 Major-severe storm 05/05/01 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.” |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1055324 United States 10/04/2011 10:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TryToGetTheTruth User ID: 1347342 Canada 10/04/2011 10:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So you are saying this guy at earthchangesmedia is wrong? He is saying those are off sunspot 1309. Last Edited by TryToGetTheTruth on 10/04/2011 10:28 PM Open mind required ! I am in SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO, CANADA |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1517751 United States 10/04/2011 10:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yeah wierd huh?? When the cme's happened you could see them come off the sun, and now a very small one might hit. I guess it's nothing but Mitch Battros is wrong. Can you contact him and tell him you are getting mixed reports. Ask him. I don't have the money to be on his mailing list. But I thought he was pretty reliable. |
TryToGetTheTruth User ID: 1347342 Canada 10/04/2011 10:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yeah wierd huh?? When the cme's happened you could see them come off the sun, and now a very small one might hit. I guess it's nothing but Mitch Battros is wrong. Can you contact him and tell him you are getting mixed reports. Ask him. I don't have the money to be on his mailing list. But I thought he was pretty reliable. But nothing in Mahala's report even mentions 1309. Open mind required ! I am in SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO, CANADA |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1517751 United States 10/04/2011 10:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yeah wierd huh?? When the cme's happened you could see them come off the sun, and now a very small one might hit. I guess it's nothing but Mitch Battros is wrong. Can you contact him and tell him you are getting mixed reports. Ask him. I don't have the money to be on his mailing list. But I thought he was pretty reliable. But nothing in Mahala's report even mentions 1309. Oh well I'm not talking about 1309. When did Mitch B. say the cme's were hitting. You said you got e-mail from him?? Or do I misunderstand you? I think we are doing the time warp!!! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1679900 United States 10/04/2011 10:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TryToGetTheTruth User ID: 1347342 Canada 10/04/2011 10:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yeah wierd huh?? When the cme's happened you could see them come off the sun, and now a very small one might hit. I guess it's nothing but Mitch Battros is wrong. Can you contact him and tell him you are getting mixed reports. Ask him. I don't have the money to be on his mailing list. But I thought he was pretty reliable. But nothing in Mahala's report even mentions 1309. Oh well I'm not talking about 1309. When did Mitch B. say the cme's were hitting. You said you got e-mail from him?? Or do I misunderstand you? I think we are doing the time warp!!! I follow him on twitter. He says a cme from 1309 should hit tonight. I have sent a tweet and asked why there is no info on these cme's being earth directed on internet sites. Twitter: Mitchell Battros @mitch_battros Open mind required ! I am in SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO, CANADA |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1414904 United States 10/04/2011 11:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1517751 United States 10/04/2011 11:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: finley Yeah wierd huh?? When the cme's happened you could see them come off the sun, and now a very small one might hit. I guess it's nothing but Mitch Battros is wrong. Can you contact him and tell him you are getting mixed reports. Ask him. I don't have the money to be on his mailing list. But I thought he was pretty reliable. But nothing in Mahala's report even mentions 1309. Oh well I'm not talking about 1309. When did Mitch B. say the cme's were hitting. You said you got e-mail from him?? Or do I misunderstand you? I think we are doing the time warp!!! I follow him on twitter. He says a cme from 1309 should hit tonight. I have sent a tweet and asked why there is no info on these cme's being earth directed on internet sites. Twitter: Mitchell Battros @mitch_battros Oh thank you I didn't know. Would you let us know what he says please? tonight from 1309? Is that the one that happened when the comet hit? |
Mahala User ID: 2457520 United States 10/04/2011 11:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I can't answer a lot of your questions, but on this page of this thread: Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) Nin, puts her updates on the arrivals of the CMEs. Might give you guys some answers.. Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.” |
TryToGetTheTruth User ID: 1347342 Canada 10/04/2011 11:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Oh well I'm not talking about 1309. When did Mitch B. say the cme's were hitting. You said you got e-mail from him?? Or do I misunderstand you? I think we are doing the time warp!!! I follow him on twitter. He says a cme from 1309 should hit tonight. I have sent a tweet and asked why there is no info on these cme's being earth directed on internet sites. Twitter: Mitchell Battros @mitch_battros Oh thank you I didn't know. Would you let us know what he says please? tonight from 1309? Is that the one that happened when the comet hit? All I know is the dates..Oct 1 and Oct 4 And I will definitely try to clear this up, will tweet and tweet till he gives me an explanation..lol Open mind required ! I am in SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO, CANADA |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 2663606 United States 10/04/2011 11:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yeah wierd huh?? When the cme's happened you could see them come off the sun, and now a very small one might hit. I guess it's nothing but Mitch Battros is wrong. Can you contact him and tell him you are getting mixed reports. Ask him. I don't have the money to be on his mailing list. But I thought he was pretty reliable. But nothing in Mahala's report even mentions 1309. This is always confusing, especially when no large flares were seen on X-ray flux. The GI-NORMOUS CME from early on the 4th was a 360 degree full-halo i believe was from the far side, but due to its size we may see some effects. [link to sidc.oma.be] The later CME that was seen on Stereo Ahead was from 1302 on western limb. It was slow and not expected to be geo-effective. Stereo Behind is missing many hours of images, so all the data is not in yet. [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] [link to sidc.oma.be] The info on #1309 I believe is in error, but I could be wrong. |
MamaHasAwakened User ID: 1515402 United States 10/04/2011 11:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That would be fun to see. Tonight I was standing outside for a fire drill and I saw a bright meteor to the east break apart. It was only half an hour after sunset, so the sky wasn't that dark yet. I think I was the only one who saw it, I wonder if it was a Draconid? Seems like there has been an increase in meteor sightings lately! So much going on, huh? |
Mahala User ID: 2457520 United States 10/04/2011 11:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | plus this link may help also.. [link to www.solen.info] Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.” |
TryToGetTheTruth User ID: 1347342 Canada 10/04/2011 11:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I can't answer a lot of your questions, but on this page of this thread: Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) Quoting: Mahala Nin, puts her updates on the arrivals of the CMEs. Might give you guys some answers.. Nope, nowhere in the update does it mention any cme's from sunspot 1309. Still a mystery, but I will get to the bottom of it..lol I have found absolutely nothing on 1309, other than the article in earthchangesmedia. Last Edited by TryToGetTheTruth on 10/05/2011 12:00 AM Open mind required ! I am in SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO, CANADA |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1546285 United States 10/05/2011 12:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Mahala User ID: 2457520 United States 10/05/2011 12:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I can't answer a lot of your questions, but on this page of this thread: Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) Quoting: Mahala Nin, puts her updates on the arrivals of the CMEs. Might give you guys some answers.. Nope, nowhere in the update does it mention any cme's from sunspot 1309. Still a mystery, but I will get to the bottom of it..lol I have found absolutely nothing on 1309, other than the article in earthchangesmedia. I tried looking also and got the same as you.. Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.” |
tomasgod1 User ID: 1494107 United States 10/05/2011 01:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I thought I would try to clear up some of the confusion. First off, I am concerned about NiN as we were in the middle of a long IM session on the 2nd when she disappeared. I have not heard from her since. I have sent her an e-mail, lets just hope it is something simple. There was a backside CME today and while it is impressive on SOHO it is not Earth directed. Here we can see the CME leaving the solar disk from Stereo B C2 at 13:55UT, 10/04/2011. This is the last update from Stereo B. The Stereo Sats are riddled with lags and missing time today. See image below. [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] The second incidence of significance was a CME from Region 1310 that began approx. 11:00UT, 10/04/2011. This CME can be seen on SDO during a slideshow by running a loop for the day. It can be seen well in several AIAs but you may like the composition 094,335,193. Here is an image of that CME with that comp. See image below. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] The third major eruption we see today is a filament lift off of the SE limb. This eruption took place between 11:43 and 13:56UT, 10/04/2011. Here is an image from SDO AIA 304 of that eruption. Although the image looks more like a solar prominence than a fliament, after reviewing the SDO data I belive it was a filament. I would not expect this event to be geoeffective. See image below. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Finally, and probably the most important event of the day was a Filament Eruption from the Earth facing side of the disk beginning at 14:27UT and continuing through the last SDO image on AIA 304 at 17:30UT, 10/04/2011. This eruption snapped back from the SW limb to its attachment point on the front side of the disk. This is earth facing and has a high probability of being geoeffective. Here is the latest image of that eruption from SDO AIA 304. See images below. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Here is an image of this filament eruption as seen from Stereo A C2. [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] I hope this helps to answer some of your questions. Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 10/05/2011 02:15 AM _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
Southern Lighthouse User ID: 1548614 United States 10/05/2011 01:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Mahala User ID: 2457520 United States 10/05/2011 01:23 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey Guys, Quoting: tomasgod1 I thought I would try to clear up some of the confusion. First off, I am concerned about NiN as we were in the middle of a long IM session when she disappeared. I have not heard from her since. I have sent her an e-mail, lets just hope it is something simple. There was a backside CME today and while it is impressive on SOHO it is not Earth directed. Here we can see the CME leaving the solar disk from Stereo B C2 at 13:55UT 10/04/2011. This is the last update from Stereo B. The Stereo Sats are riddled with lags and missing time today. See image below. [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] The second incidence of significance was a CME from Region 1310 that began approx. 1100UT 10/04/2011. This CME can be seen on SDO during a slideshow by running the loop the day. It can be seen well in several AIAs but you may like the composition 094,335,193. Here is an image of that CME with that comp. See image below. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] The third major eruption we see today is a filament lift off of the SE limb. This eruption took place between 11:43 and 13:56UT 10/04/2011. Here is an image from SDO AIA 304 of that eruption. Although the image looks more like a solar prominence than a fliament, but after reviewing the SDO data I belive it was a filament. I would not expect this event to be geoeffective. See image below. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Finally, and probably the most important event of the day was a Filament Eruption from the Earth facing side of the disk beginnind at 14:27UT and continuing through the last SDO image on AIA 304 at 17:30UT, 10/04/2011. This eruption lifted back from the SW limb to its attachment point on the front side of the disk. This is earth facing and has a high probability of being geoeffective. Here is the latest image of that eruption from SDO AIA 304. See images below. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Here is an image of this filament eruption as seen from Stereo A C2. [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] I hope this helps to answer some of your questions. Thanks Tom.. Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.” |
Tipkat User ID: 2683517 United States 10/05/2011 01:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey Guys, I thought I would try to clear up some of the confusion. First off, I am concerned about NiN as we were in the middle of a long IM session on the 22nd when she disappeared. I have not heard from her since. I have sent her an e-mail, lets just hope it is something simple. Hi Tom....Nin's last post according to the thread here was on 10/2/11 at 10:34 PM. Maybe she'll be on tomorrow? Everyone needs a day to themselves ;-) Tip |
tomasgod1 User ID: 1494107 United States 10/05/2011 02:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here are the NASA ISWA predicted time of arrivals for 3 CMEs scheduled to arrive (according to their predictions)later today. Two of them are identicle minus a variance in the onset/end time of 2 seconds, meaning they think these two have merged. I will post all three in order of their issued date/time. Event Issue Date: 2011-10-03 15:39:41.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2011-10-05 11:23:07.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 14 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.5 Re Wed, 05 Oct 2011 11:23:07 GMT Thu, 06 Oct 2011 02:23:07 GMT Event Issue Date: 2011-10-03 16:05:27.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2011-10-05 10:48:04.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 15 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.5 Re Wed, 05 Oct 2011 10:48:04 GMT Event Issue Date: 2011-10-03 16:44:22.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2011-10-05 11:23:04.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 14 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.5 Re Wed, 05 Oct 2011 11:23:04 GMT Thu, 06 Oct 2011 02:23:04 GMT [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |