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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1679900
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10/22/2011 08:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hmmm Do I understand correctly that the 25th could be an impact day for earth... M class CME?
 Quoting: Shenue


well, the flare was a M class
no classing for any CME's
it was a big one
but not a direct hit
but, yes, the 25th :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks NiN
Anonymous Coward
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10/22/2011 08:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hmmm Do I understand correctly that the 25th could be an impact day for earth... M class CME?
 Quoting: Shenue


well, the flare was a M class
no classing for any CME's
it was a big one
but not a direct hit
but, yes, the 25th :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks NiN
 Quoting: Shenue


Ok...so the flares are classed...C...M...X...etc. But the CMEs themselves aren't classed that way?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/22/2011 08:41 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hmmm Do I understand correctly that the 25th could be an impact day for earth... M class CME?
 Quoting: Shenue


well, the flare was a M class
no classing for any CME's
it was a big one
but not a direct hit
but, yes, the 25th :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks NiN
 Quoting: Shenue


Ok...so the flares are classed...C...M...X...etc. But the CMEs themselves aren't classed that way?
 Quoting: Shenue


correct
CME's have no classing system at all
the light emitted from a flare can be registered and monitored here on earth as well as on satellites
for this reason, we have a classing system for them and how strong they register on the monitors

a CME is mass ejected from the surface of the sun and hurled into space and they travel at carious speeds
we can not monitor how strong it is until it hits our satellites and monitors on earths surface
for the CMEs, we basically have to go on its speed, direction of ejection, amount of mass (this we use STEREO, SDO and SOHO to determine

but it sure would be nice if we had the technology available to class the CMEs in the same manor that we do solar flares
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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10/22/2011 10:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


well, the flare was a M class
no classing for any CME's
it was a big one
but not a direct hit
but, yes, the 25th :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks NiN
 Quoting: Shenue


Ok...so the flares are classed...C...M...X...etc. But the CMEs themselves aren't classed that way?
 Quoting: Shenue


correct
CME's have no classing system at all
the light emitted from a flare can be registered and monitored here on earth as well as on satellites
for this reason, we have a classing system for them and how strong they register on the monitors

a CME is mass ejected from the surface of the sun and hurled into space and they travel at carious speeds
we can not monitor how strong it is until it hits our satellites and monitors on earths surface
for the CMEs, we basically have to go on its speed, direction of ejection, amount of mass (this we use STEREO, SDO and SOHO to determine

but it sure would be nice if we had the technology available to class the CMEs in the same manor that we do solar flares
 Quoting: NiNzrez


thanks NiN !!!
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/23/2011 12:19 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sunspot Region "NEW EASTERN LIMB" not yet named :
60% chance of a M Flare
63% chance of a M Flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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joinca

User ID: 2667690
United States
10/23/2011 12:56 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
If they have this prediction model it makes you wonder how much they really know about the sun.
-->This site was from a prior post.

SOLAR SCIENCE
Space weather prediction model improves NOAA's forecast skill
Oct 21, 2011
[link to www.spacedaily.com]

You guys are great!!

Last Edited by joinca on 10/23/2011 02:19 AM
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1480629
Netherlands
10/23/2011 08:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
bump
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
10/23/2011 11:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A minor S1 Level Radiation Storm is in pogress

Watch Proton Flux Plot:

[link to www.solarham.com]

Noaa Proton:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/23/2011 12:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A minor S1 Level Radiation Storm is in pogress

Watch Proton Flux Plot:

[link to www.solarham.com]

Noaa Proton:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


i was just going to post this, thanks :)

Space Weather Message Code: ALTPX1
Serial Number: 281
Issue Time: 2011 Oct 23 1506 UTC

ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2011 Oct 23 1505 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


we also had a large devastating quake in Turkey today

7.2 2011/10/23 10:41:21 38.628 43.486 20.0 EASTERN TURKEY

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 10/23/2011 12:16 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1690780
Sweden
10/23/2011 12:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What´s this?
Check the 20 latest images on Stereo Ahead HI2.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Valhalla 1

User ID: 3368099
United States
10/23/2011 01:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yes, Sweden I saw the same thing this morning what the hell is this coming at us.
Valhalla 1

User ID: 3368099
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10/23/2011 02:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello anyone home?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
10/23/2011 02:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello anyone home?
 Quoting: Valhalla 1


i check it...

well, atm i dont have a clue..i also asked nick from Faulkestel Program (Astronomy)

No Clue
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 3839131
Finland
10/23/2011 02:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I believe that's NIP's spaceship coming to save us
Valhalla 1

User ID: 3368099
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10/23/2011 02:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Its getting closer what the hell is it,This is a freaking RED ALERT HELP.
JMD

User ID: 3633281
United Kingdom
10/23/2011 02:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I believe it's from the CME that is hitting us.
JMD

User ID: 3633281
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10/23/2011 02:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
With a quick bit of googling, I found this (Go to Figure 6):

[link to iopscience.iop.org]

It's basically what's happening right now, you'll notice the dark/light patches fade as they get further away from the sun. I don't think there's any doom here!

Last Edited by JMD on 10/23/2011 02:59 PM
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/23/2011 02:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What´s this?
Check the 20 latest images on Stereo Ahead HI2.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1690780


i believe it is the CME that is headed our way
sure does look big and at the seep it appears to be moving, looks like it will arrive tomorrow sometime, and not on the 25th as reported by NOAA
i sent Tom a pm about this
because he knows way more than me about HI images
will report back on this ASAP
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
JMD

User ID: 3633281
United Kingdom
10/23/2011 03:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What´s this?
Check the 20 latest images on Stereo Ahead HI2.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1690780


i believe it is the CME that is headed our way
sure does look big and at the seep it appears to be moving, looks like it will arrive tomorrow sometime, and not on the 25th as reported by NOAA
i sent Tom a pm about this
because he knows way more than me about HI images
will report back on this ASAP
 Quoting: NiNzrez


NiN can I just say that this is one of the first times I've ever plucked up the courage to post on GLP, but I've been reading your thread ever since I came here in May. You do some great work! & I read all about your ordeal, hope you're on the mend!

Hi everyone else by the way!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
10/23/2011 03:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What´s this?
Check the 20 latest images on Stereo Ahead HI2.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1690780


i believe it is the CME that is headed our way
sure does look big and at the seep it appears to be moving, looks like it will arrive tomorrow sometime, and not on the 25th as reported by NOAA
i sent Tom a pm about this
because he knows way more than me about HI images
will report back on this ASAP
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yep could be, NINz have a look that beauty beast goes straight to Stereo A:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/23/2011 03:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
With a quick bit of googling, I found this (Go to Figure 6):

[link to iopscience.iop.org]

It's basically what's happening right now, you'll notice the dark/light patches fade as they get further away from the sun. I don't think there's any doom here!
 Quoting: JMD


the thing with this one though is that we do not see much fading
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/23/2011 03:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What´s this?
Check the 20 latest images on Stereo Ahead HI2.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1690780


i believe it is the CME that is headed our way
sure does look big and at the seep it appears to be moving, looks like it will arrive tomorrow sometime, and not on the 25th as reported by NOAA
i sent Tom a pm about this
because he knows way more than me about HI images
will report back on this ASAP
 Quoting: NiNzrez


NiN can I just say that this is one of the first times I've ever plucked up the courage to post on GLP, but I've been reading your thread ever since I came here in May. You do some great work! & I read all about your ordeal, hope you're on the mend!

Hi everyone else by the way!
 Quoting: JMD


heyyy hi
glad to see you posting :)
always nice to have the readers of this thread to pop into the post
pull up a chair ^^

and, i am feeling a bit better today
hoping tomorrow is the same
thanks for asking and for the care :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/23/2011 03:09 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What´s this?
Check the 20 latest images on Stereo Ahead HI2.
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1690780


i believe it is the CME that is headed our way
sure does look big and at the seep it appears to be moving, looks like it will arrive tomorrow sometime, and not on the 25th as reported by NOAA
i sent Tom a pm about this
because he knows way more than me about HI images
will report back on this ASAP
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yep could be, NINz have a look that beauty beast goes straight to Stereo A:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


wow, thats a direct hit to STEREO A
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/23/2011 03:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we talk about mainly solar events in here, be most of us watching solar events also watch quakes and volcano's
as well as the effect solar events have on those 2 (along with other earth issues)
for those of you also watching volcano's
Sakurajima volcano in Japan has been quite active for a few months now
but today, the white smoke that has been spewing from the volcano turned to black with an eruption
look at the 17:42 mark


[link to www.youtube.com]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 3734294
United States
10/23/2011 03:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Greetings,

I'm a novice in regards to Stereo Ahead H12. Dumb question: So Earth is one of the objects depicted in H12 that is in the path of the CME emerging in the frame from the viewer's right starting on or around 10/23/11, correct?

Thanks in advance!
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/23/2011 03:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Greetings,

I'm a novice in regards to Stereo Ahead H12. Dumb question: So Earth is one of the objects depicted in H12 that is in the path of the CME emerging in the frame from the viewer's right starting on or around 10/23/11, correct?

Thanks in advance!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 3734294


go here and scroll down a hair
you can see where Earth is on the image :)
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Valhalla 1

User ID: 3368099
United States
10/23/2011 03:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Oh stereo ahead and behind have stopped updating just notice this,what a time to stop updating.
The Novice
User ID: 3734294
United States
10/23/2011 03:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Will do! Thanks, great thread and really appreciate the information.

The Novice
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 3734294
United States
10/23/2011 03:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Greetings,

I'm a novice in regards to Stereo Ahead H12. Dumb question: So Earth is one of the objects depicted in H12 that is in the path of the CME emerging in the frame from the viewer's right starting on or around 10/23/11, correct?

Thanks in advance!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 3734294


go here and scroll down a hair
you can see where Earth is on the image :)
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Will do! Thanks, great thread and really appreciate the information.

The Novice
 Quoting: The Novice 3734294


We, Earth that is, are awfully close to that CME which doesn't appear to be diminishing every much. That doesn't look positive...
Valhalla 1

User ID: 3368099
United States
10/23/2011 03:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here's some past CME look on stereo ahead HI2
[link to www.nasa.gov]

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