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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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10/23/2011 05:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The large spot east of AR11325 has finally been numbered AR11330. I don't know if that includes both large spots or just one. AR11329 has been assigned to a region on the southwestern limb-but I can't even find a spot there. Go figure. 1330 is one to to watch and will be with us for awhile.

[link to sidc.oma.be]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Valhalla 1

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10/23/2011 06:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hay guys, MrCometwatch.com or on youtube just put a video explaining some of the stuff happening now on Stereo Ahead HI2.
Hugh M Eye

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10/23/2011 06:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
YouTube report from Dr. Strong on yesterday's M-flare and a follow-up report on M, CME, and forecast.

[link to www.youtube.com]

[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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10/23/2011 06:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Have to work a bit...cya all next Sunday!grouphug



Stay safe and dont give up the work

:glp24h7daysaweek:
NiNzrez (OP)

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10/23/2011 08:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
is this latest CME already about to hit?
we can see a sharp drop starting in the electron flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Gabriel

User ID: 3185063
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10/23/2011 08:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
is this latest CME already about to hit?
we can see a sharp drop starting in the electron flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hi Nin..

something about to hit:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
zacksavage
~~Unbound~~

User ID: 3826069
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10/23/2011 08:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hay guys, MrCometwatch.com or on youtube just put a video explaining some of the stuff happening now on Stereo Ahead HI2.
 Quoting: Valhalla 1


These were very interesting. This one;


Near the end talks about the ozone hole being out of control to block all this incoming.
He has another put up 35 min, ago about some lava action.

Oh My,...



Z
Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one.

--- Albert Einstein
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
10/23/2011 08:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wooo hooo
real time feedback

As with many other locations on earth...when Turkeys quake hit almost all seismic activity ceased in the Canaries.
 Quoting: Idgits


because the the turkish quake discharged enough charge (telluric currents/underground lightening) to temporally remove la palma`s ability (power) to rumble, until charge built up again

thanks for that info rockon
 Quoting: aether

Thread: Best El Hierro Thread On GLP - Canary Islands - ACTIVITY HAS RETURNED - AGAIN! (Page 227)

zacksavage
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10/23/2011 08:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This one was also quite interesting.



I lot of energy it being shoved our way,...

Apparently.




Z
Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one.

--- Albert Einstein
zacksavage
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10/23/2011 08:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Opps,...double post.



Z

Last Edited by zacksavage on 10/23/2011 08:40 PM
Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one.

--- Albert Einstein
old guard

User ID: 1405158
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10/23/2011 09:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Opps,...double post.



Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


Thanks for thatSmiley
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1679900
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10/23/2011 09:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
is this latest CME already about to hit?
we can see a sharp drop starting in the electron flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hi Nin..

something about to hit:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Gabriel


Does anyone have a guess at how hard a hit we are about to take and when? Should we try to protect our electronics and when? No matter how much I keep trying to learn what all these graphs mean, I just don't get some of it.
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 3878716
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10/23/2011 09:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
is this latest CME already about to hit?
we can see a sharp drop starting in the electron flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


The CACTus (Computer-Aided CME Tracking) website shows 25 CMEs from 10/21-10/22; of course some were huge and others barely noticeable. It gets really confusing triangulating the data/imagery and then following the energies as they expand outward from the sun.

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

My hunch is the smaller CME is more Earth-directed (before the large one at North and the big-fast-blast which followed 10 hours later w/M-flare).

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]


The NEW NOAA Enlil Solar Wind Prediction model has a "storm-mode" CME-based model. According to this model, NOAA expects geo-effectiveness to begin 20-24 hours from now. But with 25 CMEs and only one shown on model, it's anyone's guess what's going on.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
old guard

User ID: 1405158
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10/23/2011 09:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It still doesn't sound right with me. Maybe several combined.
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 3890071
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10/23/2011 09:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey all...hope all is well. I havent been around much lately...just checking in and seeing what has been going on....
old guard

User ID: 1405158
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10/23/2011 09:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey!! Good to hear you
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
10/24/2011 07:35 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Stereo Ahead C2 shows two CMEs between 19:39 UTC Mar. 11, and 4:24 UTC Mar. 12.

There was an Earth facing CME that shows up beginning at 19:39:24 UTC 2011/03/11, and another (very large) CME on the far side of the Sun starting at 4:24:24 UTC 2011/03/12.
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Cool, is that from the M1 flare a little while ago? I wonder why there's a big cme now but not with the x flare?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1269377


good catch tom :)
did you happen to see this on SOHO
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

know what those are?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


as space is not a vacuum it must be an atmosphere

in an atmosphere life moves rockon
 Quoting: aether


Beyond the Atmosphere

The exosphere starts at the top to the thermosphere and continues until it merges with interplanetary gases, or space. In this region of the atmosphere, Hydrogen and Helium are the prime components and are only present at extremely low densities.
 Quoting: nasa

[link to www.nasa.gov]

our authorities confirm there are "fields" in every part of our universe, gravity, electric and magnetic, the non material dimensional forces that form and sustain units (matter) within them

now confirmation of gases (atmosphere to something(s))

Last Edited by aether on 10/24/2011 11:57 AM
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 3878716
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10/24/2011 11:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
COMET NEWS: NASA's Spitzer Space telescope spots "comet storm" in nearby solar system Eta Corvi. Said to resemble the "Late Heavy Bombardment" in our own system.
[link to www.jpl.nasa.gov]

Lovely photo of Comet Garradd:
[link to apod.nasa.gov]

Dust cloud spotted may be the remnants of Comet Elenin-photo & article.
[link to spaceweather.com]

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 3878716
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10/24/2011 12:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A new un-numbered region has come over the eastern limb. A fairly large spot at a very high latitude-I guesstimate almost 40 degrees N. Interesting.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
zacksavage
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10/24/2011 12:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A new un-numbered region has come over the eastern limb. A fairly large spot at a very high latitude-I guesstimate almost 40 degrees N. Interesting.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hey Hugh,...thank you.

Interesting indeed:)



Z
Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one.

--- Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 3929053
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10/24/2011 02:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME has hit the Earth's magnetosphere...check it out.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Hugh M Eye

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10/24/2011 02:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME has hit the Earth's magnetosphere...check it out.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Solar Wind speed increasing at 518.0 km/sec

Proton Density up to 12.5/cubic centimeter

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

NICT model image from 18:10 UTC:

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
barniss

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Lithuania
10/24/2011 02:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Hugh M Eye

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10/24/2011 03:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: barniss


Bz(nT) has been jumping back and forth from N to S to North again. I think this is good for Earth. NIN & Tom are the experts on this magnetic stuff.

Solar wind now decreased to 503.4 km/sec and Proton density down now to 2.7.
Latest NOAA spaceweather data plots here:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Tromso magnetometer shows an obvious spike:

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]
Anonymous Coward
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10/24/2011 03:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Huge I would of totally missed this if not for you.hf
Hugh M Eye

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10/24/2011 05:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like a second wave is hitting us now-shields seem to holding up well, tho.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Anonymous Coward
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10/24/2011 05:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: CME IMPACT! Strong ground currents have been detected in Norway!
siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2
Hugh M Eye

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10/24/2011 05:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like a second wave is hitting us now-shields seem to holding up well, tho.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Kp Index has now jumped to 5-STORM level.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solar Wind speed back up to 525.9 km/sec

Density back up to 13.8 protons per cubic cm.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Bz=12.1 nT south. NOAA data plots here:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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10/24/2011 05:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like a second wave is hitting us now-shields seem to holding up well, tho.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Kp Index has now jumped to 5-STORM level.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solar Wind speed back up to 525.9 km/sec

Density back up to 13.8 protons per cubic cm.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Bz=12.1 nT south. NOAA data plots here:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



Are we still within "safe" levels though? I remember about a month ago, someone said the top left simulation here ... the 'tentacles' should be wrapped tightly when we are being hit. That we don't want to see them ummm spread out like this.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Hugh M Eye

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10/24/2011 05:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like a second wave is hitting us now-shields seem to holding up well, tho.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Kp Index has now jumped to 5-STORM level.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solar Wind speed back up to 525.9 km/sec

Density back up to 13.8 protons per cubic cm.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Bz=12.1 nT south. NOAA data plots here:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



Are we still within "safe" levels though? I remember about a month ago, someone said the top left simulation here ... the 'tentacles' should be wrapped tightly when we are being hit. That we don't want to see them ummm spread out like this.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Shenue


The initial wave was pretty weak and then faded-but now things are getting bumpy. If the big CME hit us straight on we may've been in a bit of trouble, but this is just the edge of the wave so we should be fine. There's really no way of knowing when a particular satellite may malfunction or if GPS will go off-until it happens.

Kp Index at Longyearbyen, Norway is at Storm level 6-everywhere else is at 4 or 5 right now.
[link to flux.phys.uit.no]
[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

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