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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 4280449
United States
10/29/2011 10:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
On this Lasco COR 2 movie of the last big CME check out the laser-beam straight line in the middle of the plasma mass on the color images. I don't think I've seen that before-has anyone else ? Could it be from a powerful M or X class flare on the backside ? A proton beam maybe? Glad it wasn't pointed at me, lol.

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
wtfhiding
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 4280449
United States
10/29/2011 10:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
HAARP Induction magnetometer graph from Mon/Tues aurora storm w/sound.

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4297411
United States
10/30/2011 08:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here's NOAA's new CME prediction model. It shows the second CME narrowly missing Earth. The first, however, is due any time now.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NICT Magnetosphere simulation:

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

NOAA plots here:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
pump2popcornpump2
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Nice find, thank you Hugh !!! Being able to control the speed of the CME tool helps tremendously. hf
ConverseAllTards
User ID: 1364113
United Kingdom
10/30/2011 10:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
New Comet heading toward the Sun.. [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Quite Faint..Watch from the 5'O'Clock Position..around the same area all the other recent Comets have been coming from.
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 1364113
United Kingdom
10/30/2011 10:17 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
New Comet heading toward the Sun.. [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Quite Faint..Watch from the 5'O'Clock Position..around the same area all the other recent Comets have been coming from.
 Quoting: ConverseAllTards 1364113


Hello..?
Is there anybody in here!?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Gabriel

User ID: 1342977
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10/30/2011 10:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
New Comet heading toward the Sun.. [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Quite Faint..Watch from the 5'O'Clock Position..around the same area all the other recent Comets have been coming from.
 Quoting: ConverseAllTards 1364113


Hello..?
Is there anybody in here!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


hi

thanks for your post
Gabriel

User ID: 1342977
United States
10/30/2011 10:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We may be at the beginning of something incoming:

[link to www2.nict.go.jp.]
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 1364113
United Kingdom
10/30/2011 10:41 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We may be at the beginning of something incoming:

[link to www2.nict.go.jp.]
 Quoting: Gabriel


Yep..I think you are correct : )

All the Graphs are starting to plot higher and the Field Lines look like they are being pulled toward an Incoming..

Should see spaghetti in the Field Lines soon.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 1364113
United Kingdom
10/30/2011 10:43 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Spaghetti Junction in a few.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 1364113
United Kingdom
10/30/2011 10:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This may just be a glancing blow.. [link to www2.nict.go.jp.]

But at least their are some Vital Signs out there..been very quite.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
10/30/2011 11:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi allgrouphug, back in buisness...much to read

Sunspot Update:


One new group rotated into view over the north-east limb and another new group emerged rapidly from about 1800z on the north-east quadrant

:newspotsoct30:
Enlarge:
[link to www.solarham.com]


Five C class solar flares took place yesterday, two from the north-east limb. Further C class solar flares are expected today

NewRegionsOverview:
[link to www.solarham.com]













INFO FROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM Sun Oct 30 2011, 1234 UT

The Sun has produced four small C-flares in the last 24 hours. C-flares are probable within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for an M-flare, especially from NOAA regions 11330, 11324 and an unnumbered region displaying fast flux emergence at about E40N12.

ACE solar wind data indicate that a sector boundary crossing occurred around 21h UT on October 29. The ACE instruments also observed a small shock in the solar wind at 08:55 UT on October 30. The solar wind jumped from 282 to 302 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field strength (IMF) went from 3 to 5 nT. This shock is probably linked to the arrival of one or more of the CMEs first seen by LASCO C2 around October 26, 10h UT; October 27, 12h UT; and October 28, 21h UT. Currently, solar wind speed and the IMF are still rising. Active geomagnetic conditions are expected on the second half of October 30, with a chance for a minor geomagnetic storm. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are likely for October 31 and November 1.

[link to sidc.oma.be]


WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
10/30/2011 12:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We may be at the beginning of something incoming:

[link to www2.nict.go.jp.]
 Quoting: Gabriel


Yep..I think you are correct : )

All the Graphs are starting to plot higher and the Field Lines look like they are being pulled toward an Incoming..

Should see spaghetti in the Field Lines soon.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


A weak solar wind shock was observed at 09:52 UTC at ACE

This could be the arrival of the CME observed on October 27 Unsettled to active conditions are possible for the remainder of the day


More:
[link to www.solen.info]
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/30/2011 12:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This may just be a glancing blow.. [link to www2.nict.go.jp.]

But at least their are some Vital Signs out there..been very quite.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


this is more than likely the front shock of the incoming CME due to hit today

it is over due according to the calculated arrival time

Event Issue Date: 2011-10-26 16:50:56.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2011-10-30 02:23:14.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.5 Re


they had a + - 6hr window on there arrival time of 02:23 UTC
adding 6hrs it would be 08:23 UTC
and it's now 16:54 UTC

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 10/30/2011 12:55 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/30/2011 12:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi allgrouphug, back in buisness...much to read

Sunspot Update:


One new group rotated into view over the north-east limb and another new group emerged rapidly from about 1800z on the north-east quadrant

:newspotsoct30:
Enlarge:
[link to www.solarham.com]


Five C class solar flares took place yesterday, two from the north-east limb. Further C class solar flares are expected today

NewRegionsOverview:
[link to www.solarham.com]



INFO FROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM Sun Oct 30 2011, 1234 UT

The Sun has produced four small C-flares in the last 24 hours. C-flares are probable within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for an M-flare, especially from NOAA regions 11330, 11324 and an unnumbered region displaying fast flux emergence at about E40N12.

ACE solar wind data indicate that a sector boundary crossing occurred around 21h UT on October 29. The ACE instruments also observed a small shock in the solar wind at 08:55 UT on October 30. The solar wind jumped from 282 to 302 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field strength (IMF) went from 3 to 5 nT. This shock is probably linked to the arrival of one or more of the CMEs first seen by LASCO C2 around October 26, 10h UT; October 27, 12h UT; and October 28, 21h UT. Currently, solar wind speed and the IMF are still rising. Active geomagnetic conditions are expected on the second half of October 30, with a chance for a minor geomagnetic storm. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are likely for October 31 and November 1.

[link to sidc.oma.be]


WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


welcome back IWTB :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
10/30/2011 12:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi allgrouphug, back in buisness...much to read

Sunspot Update:


One new group rotated into view over the north-east limb and another new group emerged rapidly from about 1800z on the north-east quadrant

:newspotsoct30:
Enlarge:
[link to www.solarham.com]


Five C class solar flares took place yesterday, two from the north-east limb. Further C class solar flares are expected today

NewRegionsOverview:
[link to www.solarham.com]



INFO FROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM Sun Oct 30 2011, 1234 UT

The Sun has produced four small C-flares in the last 24 hours. C-flares are probable within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for an M-flare, especially from NOAA regions 11330, 11324 and an unnumbered region displaying fast flux emergence at about E40N12.

ACE solar wind data indicate that a sector boundary crossing occurred around 21h UT on October 29. The ACE instruments also observed a small shock in the solar wind at 08:55 UT on October 30. The solar wind jumped from 282 to 302 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field strength (IMF) went from 3 to 5 nT. This shock is probably linked to the arrival of one or more of the CMEs first seen by LASCO C2 around October 26, 10h UT; October 27, 12h UT; and October 28, 21h UT. Currently, solar wind speed and the IMF are still rising. Active geomagnetic conditions are expected on the second half of October 30, with a chance for a minor geomagnetic storm. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are likely for October 31 and November 1.

[link to sidc.oma.be]


WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


welcome back IWTB :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


kiss

big thx, missed ya, and all the others here too
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
10/30/2011 01:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sunspot 1330:
52% chance for a M Flare
41% chance for a X Flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 4280449
United States
10/30/2011 02:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi,everyone...I thought this one was gonna miss us after all, but I see things are starting to happen. Electron flux is taking a dive.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solar wind increasing.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Hp Index is getting jumpy, too.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Hey, IWTB76! Good to see you. Did you see any auroras Mon. night in Deutchland ?
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4297411
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10/30/2011 02:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1548
Issue Time: 2011 Oct 30 1657 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2011 Oct 30 1654 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC
Station: Boulder
Active Warning: Yes
tomasgod1

User ID: 1494107
United States
10/30/2011 02:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
USAF WING Kp model has been down since the 28th. Isn't that nice.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The observed index is there but the predicted is gone.

POES showed a mid latitude aurora earlier but things have settled now with a N Bz.

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 10/30/2011 02:19 PM
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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[link to www.youtube.com]

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FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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Germany
10/30/2011 02:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi,everyone...I thought this one was gonna miss us after all, but I see things are starting to happen. Electron flux is taking a dive.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solar wind increasing.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Hp Index is getting jumpy, too.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Hey, IWTB76! Good to see you. Did you see any auroras Mon. night in Deutchland ?
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


HI Hugh!hf

Mhh, did u mean last monday or tomorrow? Last Monday i didnt see any...
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 4280449
United States
10/30/2011 02:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1548
Issue Time: 2011 Oct 30 1657 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2011 Oct 30 1654 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC
Station: Boulder
Active Warning: Yes
 Quoting: TS66


Nice catch, TS66! Here's the NOAA Kp Index graphs:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Tromso, Norway is also reporting level 4:

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 4280449
United States
10/30/2011 02:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi,everyone...I thought this one was gonna miss us after all, but I see things are starting to happen. Electron flux is taking a dive.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solar wind increasing.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Hp Index is getting jumpy, too.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Hey, IWTB76! Good to see you. Did you see any auroras Mon. night in Deutchland ?
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


HI Hugh!hf

Mhh, did u mean last monday or tomorrow? Last Monday i didnt see any...
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I meant this Monday past- I somehow missed them, too. I'm sure you saw all the wild photos on Spaceweather.com. They say it was the strongest display since 2004.

Aurororas In The USA story w/pics.:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

More pics on today's page too:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

TRICK OR TREAT!
pump2monsterpump2dancepump2
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1517751
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10/30/2011 03:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks everyone

Happy Halloweenyoda
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 4280449
United States
10/30/2011 03:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
USAF WING Kp model has been down since the 28th. Isn't that nice.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The observed index is there but the predicted is gone.

POES showed a mid latitude aurora earlier but things have settled now with a N Bz.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Howdy, Tom, we've missed you lately. Those graphs are very odd-maybe they gave up predicting on weekends, lol. I found a neat NASA data center that makes it easy to check on different charts, images, CMEs,etc.

[link to hesperia.gsfc.nasa.gov]

And there's a flare-tracker/browser at Berkely (which stopped working in realtime today)-you can go to any date to view x-ray flux and spectrograph data. You can customize some of the parameters. Fun!

[link to sprg.ssl.berkeley.edu]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4297411
United States
10/30/2011 03:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just found this on another thread, thought you here on the solar page may find it interesting ....

[link to stevengoddard.wordpress.com]

hiding
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2011 03:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Scientists find link between magnetic reversal and tectonic plate movements


October 30, 2011 – The Earth’s magnetic field is produced by the flow of liquid iron within its core, three thousand kilometers below our feet. What made researchers think of a link between plate tectonics and the magnetic field? The discovery that convective liquid iron flows play a role in magnetic reversals: experiments and modeling work carried out over the last five years have in fact shown that a reversal occurs when the movements of molten metal are no longer symmetric with respect to the equatorial plane....


ReadMore:
[link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 4280449
United States
10/30/2011 03:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just found this on another thread, thought you here on the solar page may find it interesting ....

[link to stevengoddard.wordpress.com]

hiding
 Quoting: TS66


Wow, great article, I've never read a firsthand account of the great quake and that it brought about a religious revival. I notice by dates that back then it took over a month to make a blog posting, lol.
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4297411
United States
10/30/2011 04:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just found this on another thread, thought you here on the solar page may find it interesting ....

[link to stevengoddard.wordpress.com]

hiding
 Quoting: TS66


Wow, great article, I've never read a firsthand account of the great quake and that it brought about a religious revival. I notice by dates that back then it took over a month to make a blog posting, lol.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


The fact I was raised a pentecostal christian (I'd like to think I've spiritually grown since then) I would have believed it were truly the end of times had I been present.

It also blew my mind that 1811 was 200 years ago !!?? Feels like we celebrated the bicentennial not too long ago ... oops, my age is showing

oops2
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1679900
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10/30/2011 04:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just found this on another thread, thought you here on the solar page may find it interesting ....

[link to stevengoddard.wordpress.com]

hiding
 Quoting: TS66


Wow, great article, I've never read a firsthand account of the great quake and that it brought about a religious revival. I notice by dates that back then it took over a month to make a blog posting, lol.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


The fact I was raised a pentecostal christian (I'd like to think I've spiritually grown since then) I would have believed it were truly the end of times had I been present.

It also blew my mind that 1811 was 200 years ago !!?? Feels like we celebrated the bicentennial not too long ago ... oops, my age is showing

oops2
 Quoting: TS66


My age is showing too. I remember the bicentennial celebration too. And you are right, it doesn't seem that long ago. But, omgoodness, it was 35 years ago..wow. I think I'll go take my Geritol and take a nap. lol
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2011 05:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Bright Kreutz-group comet now entering the lower-right of SOHO/LASCO C2

Have a look:



:comet3010:






Enlarge:
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]


StereoMovie at the end:
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76



Thread:
Thread: Bright Kreutz-group comet now entering the lower-right of SOHO/LASCO C2

News