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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
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11/03/2011 03:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we just had a C4.5 flare
the Xray flux dropped to C3 level, and is holding
looking like it might go back up
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

chances of flares has not changed in a while

Sunspot 1339:
60% chance of produching a M Flare
63% chance of produching a X Flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 03:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i would also like to note on here what NOAA has to say about the CME we are expecting to arrive early tomorrow, Nov 4th

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through the period (03 -
05 November) with a chance for active levels on 05 November due to a
coronal hole high-speed stream. The CME mentioned in yesterdays
report is expected to arrive at Earth early on 04 November, but is
not expected to significantly disturb the field.


we will see...
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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Hugh M Eye

User ID: 4570006
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11/03/2011 03:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we just had a C4.5 flare
the Xray flux dropped to C3 level, and is holding
looking like it might go back up
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

chances of flares has not changed in a while

Sunspot 1339:
60% chance of produching a M Flare
63% chance of produching a X Flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Other than 1339 & 1338, things been calming down. Region 1330 has gone beyond the limb. 1332 is shrinking; 1334 has lost its trailing spots; 1335 is gone completely; 1336 is fading fast, and 1337 is hanging in there. A couple tiny new spots can be seen to the southeast of 1338 and haven't been numbered yet.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Avalon70

User ID: 3521063
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11/03/2011 04:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here we go!!!

[link to www.solarham.com]
Avalon70

User ID: 3521063
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11/03/2011 04:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X 1 and still going!!!
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
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11/03/2011 04:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we have our 1st X flare of November
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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Anonymous Coward
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Germany
11/03/2011 04:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and rising woohooooooo

X 1.2 and climbing holy
Avalon70

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11/03/2011 04:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That shot up like a rocket. FAST!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4549581
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11/03/2011 04:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X 1 and still going!!!
 Quoting: Avalon70


Up .........
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
11/03/2011 04:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
will upload a vid soon....SDO looks also great
Anonymous Coward
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11/03/2011 04:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks X2 and probably will be elongated. Bring me on some more low latitude auroras please!
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
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11/03/2011 04:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X1.9 and now doing a slow RISE!
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The global D alread lit up Red
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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Anonymous Coward
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Germany
11/03/2011 04:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Global Absorption Chart

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


nice
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1492929
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11/03/2011 04:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So thats the 4th strongest of SC24 and she just turned the corner. I wonder if this spot will die out like the last big spot a few weeks ago.
Arnie

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11/03/2011 04:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Global Absorption Chart

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


nice
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


frizz
AKA Auntie Arnie
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
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11/03/2011 04:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So thats the 4th strongest of SC24 and she just turned the corner. I wonder if this spot will die out like the last big spot a few weeks ago.
 Quoting: MARsSPEED


no way with this one IMO
she is a MONSTER sized sunspot
biggest one seen yet in solar cycle 24
she is just getting warmed up
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 04:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X flare was from sunspot region 1339
confirmed
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 3519980
New Zealand
11/03/2011 04:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X flare was from sunspot region 1339
confirmed
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That region is huge, reminds me of 2001
NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 04:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Global Absorption Chart

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


nice
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


i keep refreshing to see your new thread made on this
hehehe
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 04:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X flare was from sunspot region 1339
confirmed
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That region is huge, reminds me of 2001
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


hey DM
nice to see you pop in around these parts :)
yeah this one is a biggie
also reminds of the some of the larger spots in the last SC
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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Anonymous Coward
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New Zealand
11/03/2011 04:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X flare was from sunspot region 1339
confirmed
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That region is huge, reminds me of 2001
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


hey DM
nice to see you pop in around these parts :)
yeah this one is a biggie
also reminds of the some of the larger spots in the last SC
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Looks like NZ is in the firing line for the next few hours, maybe time to do some backups incase I get my X20+, lol
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 1135433
United States
11/03/2011 04:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X flare was from sunspot region 1339
confirmed
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That region is huge, reminds me of 2001
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


hey DM
nice to see you pop in around these parts :)
yeah this one is a biggie
also reminds of the some of the larger spots in the last SC
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Looks like NZ is in the firing line for the next few hours, maybe time to do some backups incase I get my X20+, lol
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


i would that that is a for sure
you see this report?

Region 11339 [N19E72] rotated fully into view. This is a compact region with a very high flare potential. X class flares are possible, even X10+ events. The region has a significant magnetic delta structure in the central part and several small deltas elsewhere
[link to www.solen.info]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 04:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
even with this X flare, sunspot 1339 has not lost any power

right now-

Sunspot 1339:
60% chance of producing a M Flare
63% chance of producing a X Flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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Anonymous Coward
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11/03/2011 04:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Not really elongated...huffy
Anonymous Coward
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New Zealand
11/03/2011 04:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


That region is huge, reminds me of 2001
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


hey DM
nice to see you pop in around these parts :)
yeah this one is a biggie
also reminds of the some of the larger spots in the last SC
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Looks like NZ is in the firing line for the next few hours, maybe time to do some backups incase I get my X20+, lol
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


i would that that is a for sure
you see this report?

Region 11339 [N19E72] rotated fully into view. This is a compact region with a very high flare potential. X class flares are possible, even X10+ events. The region has a significant magnetic delta structure in the central part and several small deltas elsewhere
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


This pic shows the complexity quite nicly, [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Im not so graet at reading all the science stuff, but I've been following the sun for yeaaars and I find pictures speak a thousand words :)

Oh.. and how are you doing after your fishtank fail, (sorry fishing for jokes) rofl
NiNzrez (OP)

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United States
11/03/2011 04:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
this X caused a R3 radio black out and a 10cm Radio Burst
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


NOAA ALERTS:

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 521
Issue Time: 2011 Nov 03 2043 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2011 Nov 03 2016 UTC
Maximum Time: 2011 Nov 03 2027 UTC
End Time: 2011 Nov 03 2032 UTC
Duration: 16 minutes
Peak Flux: 620 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 154 sfu

------------------------------------------------------------

Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 162
Issue Time: 2011 Nov 03 2022 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2011 Nov 03 2021 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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NiNzrez (OP)

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United States
11/03/2011 05:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


hey DM
nice to see you pop in around these parts :)
yeah this one is a biggie
also reminds of the some of the larger spots in the last SC
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Looks like NZ is in the firing line for the next few hours, maybe time to do some backups incase I get my X20+, lol
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


i would that that is a for sure
you see this report?

Region 11339 [N19E72] rotated fully into view. This is a compact region with a very high flare potential. X class flares are possible, even X10+ events. The region has a significant magnetic delta structure in the central part and several small deltas elsewhere
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


This pic shows the complexity quite nicly, [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Im not so graet at reading all the science stuff, but I've been following the sun for yeaaars and I find pictures speak a thousand words :)

Oh.. and how are you doing after your fishtank fail, (sorry fishing for jokes) rofl
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


thanks for adding that image
it does speak for it's self, thats for sure

haha love the jokes, there not getting old, just yet ^^
I'm progressing ok and now getting into physical therapy starting this next week :)
staying positive this with help me started back on the road to my old self :)
thanks for asking
hf
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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Germany
11/03/2011 05:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW im totally flashed...^^

Video is uploading NINz :D
NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 05:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
this X sure is dropping slow
i am waiting for updated images to see if there was a CME with this
and if so, it's direction of ejection
i will update you all on this the sek i have the needed info
ohhhh the waiting game sucks!
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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Anonymous Coward
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Germany
11/03/2011 05:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space.com reports now..:

Largest Sunspot in Years Observed on the Sun


One of the largest sunspots in years has appeared on the sun, darkening part of its glowing face.

The massive sunspot, called AR1339, is about 50,000 miles (80,000 km) long, and 25,000 miles (40,000 km) wide, reports SpaceWeather.com. For comparison, Earth itself is only 8,000 miles (12,800 km) wide.

The behemoth isn't yet facing our planet, but was spotted today (Nov. 3) by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) satellite. When it does turn our way in the days ahead, it should be an "easy target for backyard solar telescopes," according to SpaceWeather.com.

The sunspot is actually a group of nearby darkened spots on the sun, some of which are individually wider than planet Earth...

ReadMore:
[link to www.space.com]

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