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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 07:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This is the new update i just added to the 2nd post on the very 1st page of this thread
if i may have missed anything, please let me know :)

we just had the 1st X flare of November 2011
X1.9 Flare on 11/03/2011 @ 20:27 UTC - sunspot 1339

New sunspot 1339 is a beast!
it is the largest sunspot region yet of Solar Cycle 24
[link to www.solen.info]

MAGNIFICENT SUNSPOT:
One of the largest sunspots in years is rotating over the sun's northeastern limb.
Measuring some 40,000 km wide and at least twice that in length, the sprawling sunspot group is an easy target for backyard solar telescopes. Two or three of the sunspot's dark cores are wider than Earth itself.
Future CMEs could have greater effect as AR1339 turns toward Earth in the days ahead
[link to spaceweather.com]


Region 11339 [N19E72] rotated fully into view. This is a compact region with a very high flare potential. X class flares are possible, even X10+ events. The region has a significant magnetic delta structure in the central part and several small deltas elsewhere
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: NiNzrez

Space.com reports now..:

Largest Sunspot in Years Observed on the Sun

One of the largest sunspots in years has appeared on the sun, darkening part of its glowing face.

The massive sunspot, called AR1339, is about 50,000 miles (80,000 km) long, and 25,000 miles (40,000 km) wide, reports SpaceWeather.com. For comparison, Earth itself is only 8,000 miles (12,800 km) wide.

The behemoth isn't yet facing our planet, but was spotted today (Nov. 3) by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) satellite. When it does turn our way in the days ahead, it should be an "easy target for backyard solar telescopes," according to SpaceWeather.com.

The sunspot is actually a group of nearby darkened spots on the sun, some of which are individually wider than planet Earth...

ReadMore:
[link to www.space.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I just want to take a second to bring to everyones attention what we are dealing with when it comes to NOAA. This is from their forcast prepared yesterday the 2nd.


IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be lowthrough the period (03 - 05 November) with a chance for an M-class
flare from Region 1339.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1



[link to www.youtube.com]


[link to www.youtube.com]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 11/03/2011 07:33 PM
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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Hugh M Eye

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11/03/2011 07:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow, looks like 4 more c-flares since the X- getting bigger, too. Lockheed and NASA better start training more chimps for solar maximum duty. C9.2 for the latest flare and we'll probably see quite a few M's & X's from this Hyper-active region.
shocked

Here we go up again.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
tomasgod1

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11/03/2011 07:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Massive backside CME now showing up on Stereo A..This is NOT an Earth directed CME, thankfully..haha

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
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NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 07:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
at a M1 now and still rising
can someone put on the coffee
coffee4
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NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 07:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
on a side note-
am i the only one whos a bit worried how super quiet the quakes got?
only 1 above a 2.5 in almost 8hrs..
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
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Anonymous Coward
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11/03/2011 07:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here i go again. The other day i reported my sun headache coming on. Its usually associated with M+ or x+. When I mentioned it the other day Hugh attached a chart which I didnt understand, then a couple of C class events happened & the headache was gone. Only to return the next day which was within 24 hours of a couple of M class events. Now my headache is throbbing and Im thinking it has everything to do with something that will be headed our way. Not sure how large, but the headache I have now is not an ordinary sun headache. Just throwin it out there. Never had headaches in my life til the middle of this year. This sucks
tomasgod1

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11/03/2011 07:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
at a M1 now and still rising
can someone put on the coffee
coffee4
 Quoting: NiNzrez


For sure! Just from experience, after this large eruption from the back side of the disk. We know that there is often a chain reaction of events. I would not be suprised to see an eruption anytime now following any flare from 1339.
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Hugh M Eye

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11/03/2011 08:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Somebody woke up SOHO and it looks like there was a partial-halo CME with the X-flare.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 08:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Somebody woke up SOHO and it looks like there was a partial-halo CME with the X-flare.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


that would be from the backside CME that Tom spoke about
here are the STEREO A nad B images of this CME

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 08:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
the last SDO images we can see were updates at 21:22
just a little after the X flare
they have not updates since :/
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
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NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 08:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
thought you all might like to see how were Above level in the predicted solar cycle values
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

hmmm, does this mean that NOAA and NASA will be changing their story? yet again
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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Anonymous Coward
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11/03/2011 08:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here i go again. The other day i reported my sun headache coming on. Its usually associated with M+ or x+. When I mentioned it the other day Hugh attached a chart which I didnt understand, then a couple of C class events happened & the headache was gone. Only to return the next day which was within 24 hours of a couple of M class events. Now my headache is throbbing and Im thinking it has everything to do with something that will be headed our way. Not sure how large, but the headache I have now is not an ordinary sun headache. Just throwin it out there. Never had headaches in my life til the middle of this year. This sucks
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1055324


There is a connection:

[link to www.migrainereliefblog.com]

And I have had a killer headache since about Noon today. Tylenol is of no help... This usually happens when these big sunspots swing our way, and the last time I had one this bad the Japan quake happened. I pray that does not happen again.
Hugh M Eye

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11/03/2011 08:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow, I'm glad that CME's not heading this way tonight. Here (finally) is the X-flare motion picture in glorious color.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
5abanana25abanana25a
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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11/03/2011 09:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M2.1

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Looking at soho movie theater I don't think I've ever seen so many things wizzing by as the last two days. Anyone else notice this?
NiNzrez (OP)

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11/03/2011 09:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M2.1

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Looking at soho movie theater I don't think I've ever seen so many things wizzing by as the last two days. Anyone else notice this?
 Quoting: finley


You should take a peek at all the latest stereo A images with the backside CME on them

here is for the 3rd
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
here is for the 4th
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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Anonymous Coward
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11/03/2011 09:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yea WOW!! Thanks.
Fredlove1
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11/03/2011 09:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
isn't this in the region where flares are 'slingshotted' to earth? I recall something about this.....
Anonymous Coward
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11/03/2011 10:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Goodnight all, Be safe. peace

NiN you have a pm.
Hugh M Eye

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11/03/2011 11:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Noticed a jump in the GOES Proton Flux graph.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
spock
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Kal Dani

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11/03/2011 11:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Do these type flares not happen time to time without much ado?
Prince William's occulted numbers:

An eclipse on his birthday, 19th, 38th, 57th and 76th birthdays.

3y,3m,3d old when he started nursery.
8y, 8m, 8d old on first public duty.
5555 days old on Diana's funeral.

and more...

[link to kaldanis.blogspot.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/03/2011 11:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
About to break an M
Hugh M Eye

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11/04/2011 12:12 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That CME is a real fast mover and it's gonna toast Venus and Mercury good. If this was headed to Earth we'd have about 36 hours to hide the satellites and power-down the grid. Maybe they should hold a "drill" for this. Cygnet streamer model:

: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
burnithiding
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
tomasgod1

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11/04/2011 12:18 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well I thought I would toss my hat in and give this a try.



Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 11/06/2011 08:46 PM
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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11/04/2011 12:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Tom that was excellent!hf
NiNzrez (OP)

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11/04/2011 12:34 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Noticed a jump in the GOES Proton Flux graph.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
spock
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


your fast Hugh
I just poped on to post that
a proton event from the X flare
it will probaly rise quite a bit more by morning
as well, im sure the NOAA will post an event alert on this once it reaches levels sometime tomorrow
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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NiNzrez (OP)

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11/04/2011 12:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Do these type flares not happen time to time without much ado?
 Quoting: Kal Dani


sometimes :)
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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NiNzrez (OP)

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11/04/2011 12:41 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well I thought I would toss my hat in and give this a try.


 Quoting: tomasgod1


great video put together Tom!
next, we need to get you talking on it and telling people what your showing
you would beat out Dr strong anyday ^^
xo
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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tomasgod1

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11/04/2011 12:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Tom that was excellent!hf
 Quoting: finley


Well I thought I would toss my hat in and give this a try.


 Quoting: tomasgod1


great video put together Tom!
next, we need to get you talking on it and telling people what your showing
you would beat out Dr strong anyday ^^
xo
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thanks..:)
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Cisco805

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11/04/2011 12:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is my mini version....enjoy.


[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]


hf


bump
Hugh M Eye

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11/04/2011 01:22 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well I thought I would toss my hat in and give this a try.


 Quoting: tomasgod1


That was great, Tom! Your zoom-in technique is enviable, haha. I look forward to more in the days/months ahead.

I found some more interesting images since SOHO, SDO, and STEREO images have been spotty of late. Here's the GOES-15 X-ray imager recent pic.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

And a scary-looking LASCO EIT Difference gif:

[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]

And the Cor 2 Difference shows strange ripples or shockwaves from that CME:

[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein

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