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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 12:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like we get a glancing blow or is this from earlier??

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 12:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SDO/AIA 3-wave blend movie of strong M flare from 1342. Beautiful.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 12:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Recent NASA video explaining the difference between the Sunspot Cycle and the Solar Cycle. One of their better educational vids, IMHO:

[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 12:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like we get a glancing blow or is this from earlier??

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: finley


I'm not sure if this is both CMEs or just the first one. The second blast was extremely violent and very fast-you can already see two tendrils of plasma on the STEREO HI 1 imagers (Ahead and Behind).

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 12:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CYA all monday have to work and im off a while....grouphug





[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 01:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Solar Eruptive Event Detection System (SEEDS) CME movie based on STEREO B images...STEREO A and SOHO images are missing or late.

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 01:12 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CYA all monday have to work and im off a while....grouphug





[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Be well, sir, and keep an eye out for the auroras! Nice job on the videos.
aether

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11/10/2011 06:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
WOW

I would expect major revelations since he was almost ready to present his theory to the world, and firmly believed that relativity was a total blunder that misdirected from the true state of the universe. You have already seen what relativity has lead to, Black Holes, Neutron Stars, Dark Matter, Dark Energy and the avoidance of any description of electrical forces acting in the universe. Tesla never presented any theory without experimentation first, I therefore expect he had at the least diagrams for machines to test this theory. A theory that could only have one consequence, dispute relativity. If it did not dispute relativity he would not have believed it was rubbish. The proof that electrical forces rule the universe would change science as we know it, with perhaps even devices that would enable one to control those forces.
 Quoting: observation


This is a huge misrepresentation of Special Relativity. Avoidance of electrical forces? Au contraire, SR says that electrical forces are the very things which define distance and time. Special Relativity says that Electric forces are more important to us than any preconceived concept of absolute space, in fact shaping our entire view of what is reality. If you wish for proof that electrical forces rule the universe look up "meter" or "second" in the dictionary. You will see that these most fundamental of all physical concepts are defined with electric forces. Dark energy? Neutron stars? No, relativity is about clocks and meter sticks and careful use of coordinates to record observations.. taking into account that it is electromagnetic forces which hold our world and our brains together.
 Quoting: nasa themis 10th nov 2011


wow
 Quoting: aether

Thread: Marko Rodin - Smart Lazer Technology (Page 117)
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 1528083
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11/10/2011 07:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
There is a HUGE filament coming around the bend...need to keep an eye on it...

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 11/10/2011 07:07 AM
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 07:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning Everyone...peace
(:-DeeZe

User ID: 5020895
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11/10/2011 11:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Update 11-10-11



(:-DeeZe

"The love that you withhold is the pain that you carry"

“To live content with small means; to seek elegance rather than luxury, and refinement rather than fashion, to be worthy, not respectable, and wealthy, not rich; to study hard, think quietly, talk gently, act frankly, to listen to stars and birds, to babes and sages, with open heart, to bear all cheerfully, to all bravely await occasions, hurry never. In a word, to let the spiritual unbidden and unconscious grow up through the common. This is to be my symphony.”
.........William Henry Channing
zacksavage

User ID: 5100410
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11/10/2011 11:21 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning Everyone...peace
 Quoting: Shenue


Is this still considered morning?? Hm,...

Guess so.hi




Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 2159872
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11/10/2011 12:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like two cmes will merge to hit us! Shit!
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Onthehook
User ID: 4136818
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11/10/2011 01:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just wait until Dec. It looks like we will in the same stream or close by then.
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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11/10/2011 01:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like another possible rising now?? Lets see how hi she goes

[link to www.solarham.com]

Not going to make it to M class...pretty good C tho..something is waking up out there..

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 11/10/2011 01:31 PM
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 01:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like two cmes will merge to hit us! Shit!
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872



thanks I like that model.

Thanks.
MamaHasAwakened

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11/10/2011 02:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Update 11-10-11



 Quoting: (:-DeeZe


Thanks Deeze!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4629908
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11/10/2011 02:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like another possible rising now?? Lets see how hi she goes

[link to www.solarham.com]

Not going to make it to M class...pretty good C tho..something is waking up out there..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Each are almost and hour long in C range. LDE ??
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1550846
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11/10/2011 02:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like another possible rising now?? Lets see how hi she goes

[link to www.solarham.com]

Not going to make it to M class...pretty good C tho..something is waking up out there..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Each are almost and hour long in C range. LDE ??
 Quoting: TS66


stars
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 5109178
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11/10/2011 02:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SOHO C3 movie of 2 CMEs yesterday:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]


CACTus movie of 2nd CME- based on SOHO C2 images:


[link to www.sidc.oma.be]
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 02:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Welcome back Hugh .... were have you been ???
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 04:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like two cmes will merge to hit us! Shit!
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


check arrival time and date

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

11.00pm on 11-11-11

tidy
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1679900
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11/10/2011 04:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning Everyone...peace
 Quoting: Shenue


Is this still considered morning?? Hm,...

Guess so.hi

Well it was when I posted it at 7:30 this morning. lol






Z
 Quoting: zacksavage
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1679900
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11/10/2011 05:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like two cmes will merge to hit us! Shit!
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


check arrival time and date

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

11.00pm on 11-11-11

tidy
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 3846034


Tidy? What?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1679900
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11/10/2011 05:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like two cmes will merge to hit us! Shit!
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


check arrival time and date

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

11.00pm on 11-11-11

tidy
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 3846034


Tidy? What?
 Quoting: Shenue


11-11 approx. 18:00 = 6:00 P.M.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1319430
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11/10/2011 06:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is that 18:00 UTC?
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2011 06:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is that 18:00 UTC?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1319430


I think so but not 100% sure. Most likely it is.
tomasgod1

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11/10/2011 06:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Generally with a CME Eruption this far off on the limb the effects on Earth are minimal if at all. Because of some recent suprises I am interested to see what if anything we get out of this. The plasma density seen on Stereo HI1 doesn't look very heavy but because of the speed this ICME is traveling I would expect to see a rather dramatic shock, with a sudden and significant increase in the Solar Wind Speed. Because of the location this CME erupted from I expect it to be oriented S to N increasing connectivity, further increasing the levels of storming even with low density.

Presto Message.....

:Issued: 2011 Nov 10 0837 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
Yesterday's M1.1 flare peaking at 13:35 UT was accompanied by a full
halo CME detected by CACTus in the SOHO/LASCO data. The CME was first
visible in the LASCO C2 field of view at 13:36 UT and had a speed around
1000 km/s. The CME source region (filament situated between Catania
sunspot groups 34 and 36, NOAA ARs 1342 and 1343 respectively) was
located around N25E35. The arrival of the CME-asssociated interplanetary
disturbance at the Earth is expected on November 12. Most probably only
the CME-driven shock will arrive at the Earth, although the arrival of
the ICME is not excluded. Depending on the orientation of the
interplanetary magnetic field in the post-shock sheath and in the
possible ICME, a geomagnetic disturbance (probably around K = 5 or 6)
may occur.
:Issued: 2011 Nov 10 0837 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
Yesterday's M1.1 flare peaking at 13:35 UT was accompanied by a full
halo CME detected by CACTus in the SOHO/LASCO data. The CME was first
visible in the LASCO C2 field of view at 13:36 UT and had a speed around
1000 km/s. The CME source region (filament situated between Catania
sunspot groups 34 and 36, NOAA ARs 1342 and 1343 respectively) was
located around N25E35. The arrival of the CME-asssociated interplanetary
disturbance at the Earth is expected on November 12. Most probably only
the CME-driven shock will arrive at the Earth, although the arrival of
the ICME is not excluded. Depending on the orientation of the
interplanetary magnetic field in the post-shock sheath and in the
possible ICME, a geomagnetic disturbance (probably around K = 5 or 6)
may occur.

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Here is NOAAs latest geomagnetic storm watch Alert...

Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 481
Issue Time: 2011 Nov 10 1707 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic A-index of 20 or greater predicted
NOAA Scale: Periods reaching the G1 (Minor) Level Likely
Valid for UTC Day: 2011 Nov 12

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 11/11/2011 02:51 AM
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1517751
United States
11/10/2011 08:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Generally with a CME Eruption this far off on the limb the effects on Earth are minimal if at all. Because of some recent suprises I am interested to see what if anything we get out of this. The plasma density seen on Stereo HI1 doesn't look very heavy but because of the speed this ICME is traveling I would expect to see a rather dramatic shock, with a sudden and significant increase in the Solar Wind Speed. Because of the location this CME erupted from I expect it to be oriented - to + increasing connectivity, further increasing the levels of storming even with low density.

Presto Message.....

:Issued: 2011 Nov 10 0837 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
Yesterday's M1.1 flare peaking at 13:35 UT was accompanied by a full
halo CME detected by CACTus in the SOHO/LASCO data. The CME was first
visible in the LASCO C2 field of view at 13:36 UT and had a speed around
1000 km/s. The CME source region (filament situated between Catania
sunspot groups 34 and 36, NOAA ARs 1342 and 1343 respectively) was
located around N25E35. The arrival of the CME-asssociated interplanetary
disturbance at the Earth is expected on November 12. Most probably only
the CME-driven shock will arrive at the Earth, although the arrival of
the ICME is not excluded. Depending on the orientation of the
interplanetary magnetic field in the post-shock sheath and in the
possible ICME, a geomagnetic disturbance (probably around K = 5 or 6)
may occur.
:Issued: 2011 Nov 10 0837 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
Yesterday's M1.1 flare peaking at 13:35 UT was accompanied by a full
halo CME detected by CACTus in the SOHO/LASCO data. The CME was first
visible in the LASCO C2 field of view at 13:36 UT and had a speed around
1000 km/s. The CME source region (filament situated between Catania
sunspot groups 34 and 36, NOAA ARs 1342 and 1343 respectively) was
located around N25E35. The arrival of the CME-asssociated interplanetary
disturbance at the Earth is expected on November 12. Most probably only
the CME-driven shock will arrive at the Earth, although the arrival of
the ICME is not excluded. Depending on the orientation of the
interplanetary magnetic field in the post-shock sheath and in the
possible ICME, a geomagnetic disturbance (probably around K = 5 or 6)
may occur.

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Here is NOAAs latest geomagnetic storm watch Alert...

Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 481
Issue Time: 2011 Nov 10 1707 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic A-index of 20 or greater predicted
NOAA Scale: Periods reaching the G1 (Minor) Level Likely
Valid for UTC Day: 2011 Nov 12

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Thanks Tom. Love your new eye!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4629908
United States
11/10/2011 08:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Generally with a CME Eruption this far off on the limb the effects on Earth are minimal if at all. Because of some recent suprises I am interested to see what if anything we get out of this. The plasma density seen on Stereo HI1 doesn't look very heavy but because of the speed this ICME is traveling I would expect to see a rather dramatic shock, with a sudden and significant increase in the Solar Wind Speed. Because of the location this CME erupted from I expect it to be oriented - to + increasing connectivity, further increasing the levels of storming even with low density.

Presto Message.....

:Issued: 2011 Nov 10 0837 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
Yesterday's M1.1 flare peaking at 13:35 UT was accompanied by a full
halo CME detected by CACTus in the SOHO/LASCO data. The CME was first
visible in the LASCO C2 field of view at 13:36 UT and had a speed around
1000 km/s. The CME source region (filament situated between Catania
sunspot groups 34 and 36, NOAA ARs 1342 and 1343 respectively) was
located around N25E35. The arrival of the CME-asssociated interplanetary
disturbance at the Earth is expected on November 12. Most probably only
the CME-driven shock will arrive at the Earth, although the arrival of
the ICME is not excluded. Depending on the orientation of the
interplanetary magnetic field in the post-shock sheath and in the
possible ICME, a geomagnetic disturbance (probably around K = 5 or 6)
may occur.
:Issued: 2011 Nov 10 0837 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
Yesterday's M1.1 flare peaking at 13:35 UT was accompanied by a full
halo CME detected by CACTus in the SOHO/LASCO data. The CME was first
visible in the LASCO C2 field of view at 13:36 UT and had a speed around
1000 km/s. The CME source region (filament situated between Catania
sunspot groups 34 and 36, NOAA ARs 1342 and 1343 respectively) was
located around N25E35. The arrival of the CME-asssociated interplanetary
disturbance at the Earth is expected on November 12. Most probably only
the CME-driven shock will arrive at the Earth, although the arrival of
the ICME is not excluded. Depending on the orientation of the
interplanetary magnetic field in the post-shock sheath and in the
possible ICME, a geomagnetic disturbance (probably around K = 5 or 6)
may occur.

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Here is NOAAs latest geomagnetic storm watch Alert...

Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 481
Issue Time: 2011 Nov 10 1707 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic A-index of 20 or greater predicted
NOAA Scale: Periods reaching the G1 (Minor) Level Likely
Valid for UTC Day: 2011 Nov 12

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Looking at this simulation:
@ 11/12/11 0200 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
the plasma density looks like it's going to wack us pretty hard. Am I wrong in assuming radial velocity is the same as solar wind speed and measured in KMs ???


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