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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
learner
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12/10/2011 10:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
amid all the low solar activity, the earth's magfield has been doing some very weird stuff:

ever since 11.20 we've been in a protracted chaotic rhythm (means the daily .1% normal variation is largely gone). The over all activity is nearly 2X normal, but behaving in a way that doesn't seem to register on the K index (which is just an algorithm that looks for particular behavior).

and ever since 12.05 the over all amplitudes in every vector direction is way up and doesn't look like it's coming down any time soon.

if you look at the most recent data, you can actually see an effect that must be caused by the lunar eclipse: nothing else seems to be changing... all the indicies (well: Russian and HAARP) made a jump. we'll have to see if they come down as the eclipse passes. if any of you guys have other real time geomag feed access, i'd love to know if they also show this activity. Try and look at the data over at least a month....

and finally: the cosmic ray count continues to slowly rise... which it should not be doing. it's supposed to fall during a solar summer.
and also, i just noticed a daily rhythm in the particle count! this rhythm is reflected in all the stations.

so we got a diurnal rhythm in both the geomagfield (roughly .1%) and the cosmic ray count (2% ish).

i wonder what the phase relationship between these cycles are....?


all i seem to ever find are more questions.....
Hugh M Eye

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12/10/2011 09:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The sun has been exceedingly quiescent of late. Only 10 C-flares total in the past 5+ days. Eight of the ten have been from two newest regions 1374 & 1375.
All this lack of activity with 12 NOAA active regions on the disk! The sun seems hypnotized or in deep meditation.

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]

There's still several filaments to keep an eye on:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
12/10/2011 10:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
so we got a diurnal rhythm in both the geomagfield (roughly .1%) and the cosmic ray count (2% ish).
 Quoting: learner


if the geomagfield rhythm manifests a terrestrial lightening rhythm it would link the gamma rhythm
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
12/10/2011 10:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
so we got a diurnal rhythm in both the geomagfield (roughly .1%) and the cosmic ray count (2% ish).
 Quoting: learner


if the geomagfield rhythm manifests a terrestrial lightening rhythm it would link the gamma rhythm

 Quoting: aether


a rhythm within slowly increasing global lightening would give you:

and finally: the cosmic ray count continues to slowly rise... which it should not be doing. it's supposed to fall during a solar summer.
 Quoting: learner


a slowly increasing gamma ray count
Professor Mobiius
User ID: 1324715
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12/10/2011 10:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
amid all the low solar activity, the earth's magfield has been doing some very weird stuff:

ever since 11.20 we've been in a protracted chaotic rhythm (means the daily .1% normal variation is largely gone). The over all activity is nearly 2X normal, but behaving in a way that doesn't seem to register on the K index (which is just an algorithm that looks for particular behavior).

and ever since 12.05 the over all amplitudes in every vector direction is way up and doesn't look like it's coming down any time soon.

if you look at the most recent data, you can actually see an effect that must be caused by the lunar eclipse: nothing else seems to be changing... all the indicies (well: Russian and HAARP) made a jump. we'll have to see if they come down as the eclipse passes. if any of you guys have other real time geomag feed access, i'd love to know if they also show this activity. Try and look at the data over at least a month....

and finally: the cosmic ray count continues to slowly rise... which it should not be doing. it's supposed to fall during a solar summer.
and also, i just noticed a daily rhythm in the particle count! this rhythm is reflected in all the stations.

so we got a diurnal rhythm in both the geomagfield (roughly .1%) and the cosmic ray count (2% ish).

i wonder what the phase relationship between these cycles are....?


all i seem to ever find are more questions.....
 Quoting: learner 6656225


and finally: the cosmic ray count continues to slowly rise... which it should not be doing. it's supposed to fall during a solar summer.
and also, i just noticed a daily rhythm in the particle count! this rhythm is reflected in all the stations.

so we got a diurnal rhythm in both the geomagfield (roughly .1%) and the cosmic ray count (2% ish).

i wonder what the phase relationship between these cycles are....?


No one will figure it out - because much of science is all wrong - carefully wrong -

To be able to understand why, and what, etc... is too far from what is currently accepted... and still actively rooted out of the mainstream scientific community...

It took me awhile to realize that I can't just show or tell anyone what is going on, as it is too far to leap for them...

even my hints are graciously ignored... (additionally this forum is not a place to exchange ideas etc...it is carefully and tightly managed and controlled, for specific reasons...)

you say you are a learner - have you figured out that much of the solar activity is focused in one way or another on a particular region of the Earth?

Do you understand why so many Earth-bound CME's -- that should cause more damage, etc... rarely do anything of the sort? Have you figured out what it is these CMEs are doing instead?
Hugh M Eye

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12/10/2011 10:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Best Aurora Borealis movie I've seen:


[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1301383
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12/10/2011 11:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
even my hints are graciously ignored... (additionally this forum is not a place to exchange ideas etc...it is carefully and tightly managed and controlled, for specific reasons...)

you say you are a learner - have you figured out that much of the solar activity is focused in one way or another on a particular region of the Earth?

Do you understand why so many Earth-bound CME's -- that should cause more damage, etc... rarely do anything of the sort? Have you figured out what it is these CMEs are doing instead?
 Quoting: Professor Mobiius 1324715


Interesting post Professor. As much as I would dearly love to hear a explaination, you are right, I doubt I would even begin to understand. I am very curious about all three of the above statements?
WildStyle

User ID: 6918342
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12/10/2011 11:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and finally: the cosmic ray count continues to slowly rise... which it should not be doing. it's supposed to fall during a solar summer.
and also, i just noticed a daily rhythm in the particle count! this rhythm is reflected in all the stations.

so we got a diurnal rhythm in both the geomagfield (roughly .1%) and the cosmic ray count (2% ish).

i wonder what the phase relationship between these cycles are....?


No one will figure it out - because much of science is all wrong - carefully wrong -

To be able to understand why, and what, etc... is too far from what is currently accepted... and still actively rooted out of the mainstream scientific community...

It took me awhile to realize that I can't just show or tell anyone what is going on, as it is too far to leap for them...

even my hints are graciously ignored... (additionally this forum is not a place to exchange ideas etc...it is carefully and tightly managed and controlled, for specific reasons...)

you say you are a learner - have you figured out that much of the solar activity is focused in one way or another on a particular region of the Earth?

Do you understand why so many Earth-bound CME's -- that should cause more damage, etc... rarely do anything of the sort? Have you figured out what it is these CMEs are doing instead?
 Quoting: Professor Mobiius 1324715


All right... so that's an interesting post you've made just there Professor Mobiius.. certainly peaked my interest.

Any chance you can elaborate more on your theories or point us to another place where we can understand more? hmm

//WildStyle
We are all the walking wounded in a world that is a war zone. Everything that we love will be taken from us, everything, last of all life itself. - DK
Squatting Cat

User ID: 1301383
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12/10/2011 11:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and finally: the cosmic ray count continues to slowly rise... which it should not be doing. it's supposed to fall during a solar summer.
and also, i just noticed a daily rhythm in the particle count! this rhythm is reflected in all the stations.

so we got a diurnal rhythm in both the geomagfield (roughly .1%) and the cosmic ray count (2% ish).

i wonder what the phase relationship between these cycles are....?


No one will figure it out - because much of science is all wrong - carefully wrong -

To be able to understand why, and what, etc... is too far from what is currently accepted... and still actively rooted out of the mainstream scientific community...

It took me awhile to realize that I can't just show or tell anyone what is going on, as it is too far to leap for them...

even my hints are graciously ignored... (additionally this forum is not a place to exchange ideas etc...it is carefully and tightly managed and controlled, for specific reasons...)

you say you are a learner - have you figured out that much of the solar activity is focused in one way or another on a particular region of the Earth?

Do you understand why so many Earth-bound CME's -- that should cause more damage, etc... rarely do anything of the sort? Have you figured out what it is these CMEs are doing instead?
 Quoting: Professor Mobiius 1324715


All right... so that's an interesting post you've made just there Professor Mobiius.. certainly peaked my interest.

Any chance you can elaborate more on your theories or point us to another place where we can understand more? hmm

//WildStyle
 Quoting: WildStyle


Sigh! I don't think we will get an answer, at this moment. Here's a few choices (guesses):

1. Divine intervention.
2. Mankind's interference.
3. Interference from a Being from another planet.
4. Electric Universe Theory.

These being the most common GLp choices and pretty much my limitations! Again, sigh!

I'll check back, later.

Good to see you posting again, Nin!
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 6918679
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12/11/2011 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
even my hints are graciously ignored... (additionally this forum is not a place to exchange ideas etc...it is carefully and tightly managed and controlled, for specific reasons...)

you say you are a learner - have you figured out that much of the solar activity is focused in one way or another on a particular region of the Earth?

Do you understand why so many Earth-bound CME's -- that should cause more damage, etc... rarely do anything of the sort? Have you figured out what it is these CMEs are doing instead?
 Quoting: Professor Mobiius 1324715


Interesting post Professor. As much as I would dearly love to hear a explaination, you are right, I doubt I would even begin to understand. I am very curious about all three of the above statements?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1301383

Well I'll throw in my 2 cents real quick. I can't speak to the first point really, but I have seen no place else that's a freer place to exchange ideas. I've seen some pretty wacky stuff here, LOL.

Secondly, the solar activity is "focused" toward the magnetic poles-actually the auroral zones to be specific. That's just how the magnetosphere works.

[link to www.phy6.org]

Thirdly, we haven't had many Earth-bound CMEs recently. Even the big auroral event Oct. 24 was a side-swipe which was largely unpredicted. We've been pointing out how most all of the big CMEs have been on the far-side or pointing 90 degree away from Earth. And they SHOULDN'T be causing any damage normall-just pretty auroras. The Earth's magnetosphere repels the solar wind effects in most cases. Rare, strong events can compress the magnetosphere to the point where satellites could be damaged. And VERY rare, very strong events could cause power blackouts (maybe once or twice a decade). Extremely rare solar mega-storms (a la Carrington Event) could cause severe damage to both satellites and power grids--possibly with devastating side-effects(like Fukushima). Fortunately, these only happen every 75-100 years or more (we really don't know).

[link to news.nationalgeographic.com]
Hugh M Eye

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12/11/2011 12:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Old SOL is really in a batting slump. Look at this 27 rotation chart. Two rotations ago we had 10 M1 or stronger flares, and the last rotation only 4. We've had no M or X flares since Nov. 15th. This level of activity is puzzling to me since we've had increase in the number of sunspots-including a number of very large active regions.

[link to translate.google.de]

Here's a still from yesterday's picturesque C-flare from 1374:
:shroom1209:
Professor Mobiius
User ID: 1324715
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12/11/2011 01:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
even my hints are graciously ignored... (additionally this forum is not a place to exchange ideas etc...it is carefully and tightly managed and controlled, for specific reasons...)

you say you are a learner - have you figured out that much of the solar activity is focused in one way or another on a particular region of the Earth?

Do you understand why so many Earth-bound CME's -- that should cause more damage, etc... rarely do anything of the sort? Have you figured out what it is these CMEs are doing instead?
 Quoting: Professor Mobiius 1324715


Interesting post Professor. As much as I would dearly love to hear a explaination, you are right, I doubt I would even begin to understand. I am very curious about all three of the above statements?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1301383


have you figured out that much of the solar activity is focused in one way or another on a particular region of the Earth?


The most active flare (and other) producing regions seem to come from only a few active spots... I can't recall the numbers right now... Why? Why are they not even slightly more randomly placed? Hypothetically - the spot that is producing the flare is tied to a region on Earth... a specific region/hemisphere/side etc...





Do you understand why so many Earth-bound CME's -- that should cause more damage, etc... rarely do anything of the sort?


How can so many major flares and CME's fire off at the Earth and have what seems like little or no impact at all - and this has been going on for almost a year now?

Someone mentioned Electric Universe Theory and this is part of this; still - that is a lot of energy thrown at the planet -- where is it going? One part is to boost the proton levels, the other is to feed the magnetosphere...but the bulk of it is still unaccounted for....?

Have you figured out what it is these CMEs are doing instead?

Things are not what they seem - there is a question hidden here - why is it that solar and cosmic events no longer act in the ways that they did before?

Lets assume the Universe, or at least locally, is electrically oriented... Stars - and the Sun and planets run on some type of current (though, better to not equate this with human electrical systems) that runs through this system...

So you have stars - that are connected via some sort of power ...and there are many, just in this galaxy...

Now - here is a circuit board, and a microchip... power runs through lines to logic gates or is stored in a matrix - memory...etc..

Given the size of just this galaxy, the time-spans and more - especially if you understand that the Speed of Light is not fixed or constant (this from GRB research among other things)... Perhaps the posibility that the Sun and the Stars and the Galaxy are - not what you think they are or have be told...

I am only using the computer analogy because it is familiar to most everyone here....


Something to ponder... ;)
Professor Mobiius
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12/11/2011 01:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What's this?

[link to helios.izmiran.rssi.ru]

Cosmic rays way up over the last several days. Anyone know what to make of this? Trouble?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1087542




So - here is the Earth...

Even one direct impact? From how many lightyears away?

Here is a tiny mote - and here are Stars that are very very far away --- one hit, okay

Two? Sure...

or not... this is not random.
Professor Mobiius
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12/11/2011 02:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and finally: the cosmic ray count continues to slowly rise... which it should not be doing. it's supposed to fall during a solar summer.
and also, i just noticed a daily rhythm in the particle count! this rhythm is reflected in all the stations.

so we got a diurnal rhythm in both the geomagfield (roughly .1%) and the cosmic ray count (2% ish).

i wonder what the phase relationship between these cycles are....?


No one will figure it out - because much of science is all wrong - carefully wrong -

To be able to understand why, and what, etc... is too far from what is currently accepted... and still actively rooted out of the mainstream scientific community...

It took me awhile to realize that I can't just show or tell anyone what is going on, as it is too far to leap for them...

even my hints are graciously ignored... (additionally this forum is not a place to exchange ideas etc...it is carefully and tightly managed and controlled, for specific reasons...)

you say you are a learner - have you figured out that much of the solar activity is focused in one way or another on a particular region of the Earth?

Do you understand why so many Earth-bound CME's -- that should cause more damage, etc... rarely do anything of the sort? Have you figured out what it is these CMEs are doing instead?
 Quoting: Professor Mobiius 1324715


All right... so that's an interesting post you've made just there Professor Mobiius.. certainly peaked my interest.

Any chance you can elaborate more on your theories or point us to another place where we can understand more? hmm

//WildStyle
 Quoting: WildStyle


Thank you - I'll see if I can find some links, mostly this is about observing events and data and making connections, and such...without applying any sort of scientifically accepted theory at first...

Some things are easy to hide, or manipulate... some things are not...
Professor Mobiius
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12/11/2011 02:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and finally: the cosmic ray count continues to slowly rise... which it should not be doing. it's supposed to fall during a solar summer.
and also, i just noticed a daily rhythm in the particle count! this rhythm is reflected in all the stations.

so we got a diurnal rhythm in both the geomagfield (roughly .1%) and the cosmic ray count (2% ish).

i wonder what the phase relationship between these cycles are....?


No one will figure it out - because much of science is all wrong - carefully wrong -

To be able to understand why, and what, etc... is too far from what is currently accepted... and still actively rooted out of the mainstream scientific community...

It took me awhile to realize that I can't just show or tell anyone what is going on, as it is too far to leap for them...

even my hints are graciously ignored... (additionally this forum is not a place to exchange ideas etc...it is carefully and tightly managed and controlled, for specific reasons...)

you say you are a learner - have you figured out that much of the solar activity is focused in one way or another on a particular region of the Earth?

Do you understand why so many Earth-bound CME's -- that should cause more damage, etc... rarely do anything of the sort? Have you figured out what it is these CMEs are doing instead?
 Quoting: Professor Mobiius 1324715


All right... so that's an interesting post you've made just there Professor Mobiius.. certainly peaked my interest.

Any chance you can elaborate more on your theories or point us to another place where we can understand more? hmm

//WildStyle
 Quoting: WildStyle


Thank you - I'll see if I can find some links, mostly this is about observing events and data and making connections, and such...without applying any sort of scientifically accepted theory at first...

Some things are easy to hide, or manipulate... some things are not...
 Quoting: Professor Mobiius 1324715



NASA usually just stops posting data - and do not even bother to explain why?

Good guess is that the data that the public sees, might be filtered from time to time...

Anomalous events are easier to discard than to explain
Just my 0.2ct worth
Nacht im Walde

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12/11/2011 05:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Old SOL is really in a batting slump. Look at this 27 rotation chart. Two rotations ago we had 10 M1 or stronger flares, and the last rotation only 4. We've had no M or X flares since Nov. 15th. This level of activity is puzzling to me since we've had increase in the number of sunspots-including a number of very large active regions.

[link to translate.google.de]

Here's a still from yesterday's picturesque C-flare from 1374:
:shroom1209:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Two things I`ve been noticing as well:

Sunspots as of late are very quiet (but there are more filaments). I am no expert on this, but would anybody find it reasonable to explain this with the Ap index at a record low at the moment?

apindex10

With the sun having a weak magnetic field (what the Ap index measures) the plasma on the photosphere might be able to more easily "drift" into the corona- making more filaments appear (this is a guess on my side).

This might in turn also make sunspots less active.


The other significant anomaly is the already pointed out upward trend in cosmic rays which should not be happening this far into solar max. The explanation again would be the decreasing strength of sun`s magnetic field (as this allows more cosmic rays to reach earth). There has been a major shift in November (note that this correlates very well with the last 2 dots on the chart above)

craystep
We don't see things as they are, we see things as we are. - Anais Nin
Anonymous Coward
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12/11/2011 09:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thank you - I'll see if I can find some links, mostly this is about observing events and data and making connections, and such...without applying any sort of scientifically accepted theory at first...

Some things are easy to hide, or manipulate... some things are not...
 Quoting: Professor Mobiius 1324715


Yes that would be most helpful Professor Mobiius. A friend and myself are most interested in what you are posting here.

We appreciate your efforts on pointing us in a direction where we may learn more and gain a broader perspective.

Thank you!
Anonymous Coward
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12/11/2011 11:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi all,


im back but much to read now...:D
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 6918679
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12/11/2011 12:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Old SOL is really in a batting slump. Look at this 27 rotation chart. Two rotations ago we had 10 M1 or stronger flares, and the last rotation only 4. We've had no M or X flares since Nov. 15th. This level of activity is puzzling to me since we've had increase in the number of sunspots-including a number of very large active regions.

[link to translate.google.de]

Here's a still from yesterday's picturesque C-flare from 1374:
:shroom1209:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Two things I`ve been noticing as well:

Sunspots as of late are very quiet (but there are more filaments). I am no expert on this, but would anybody find it reasonable to explain this with the Ap index at a record low at the moment?

apindex10

With the sun having a weak magnetic field (what the Ap index measures) the plasma on the photosphere might be able to more easily "drift" into the corona- making more filaments appear (this is a guess on my side).

This might in turn also make sunspots less active.


The other significant anomaly is the already pointed out upward trend in cosmic rays which should not be happening this far into solar max. The explanation again would be the decreasing strength of sun`s magnetic field (as this allows more cosmic rays to reach earth). There has been a major shift in November (note that this correlates very well with the last 2 dots on the chart above)

craystep
 Quoting: Nacht im Walde

Hello, Nacht, I'm sorry to have to correct you, friend, but the Ap Index does not measure the sun's magnetic field. It's a measurement of variations in Earth's magnetic field--sort of a planetary-wide Kp index. As you probably know the Kp Index is localized and varies from station to station. Of course it's very much influenced by the solar wind, CMEs, etc.
[link to www.nwra.com]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I wouldn't put much stock into that Russian Cosmic Ray chart. If you go back in this thread to Nov. 21 or 22 there was a whole "panic" over this cosmic ray variation spike--it was "the biggest in 60 years!"-it was off the charts. Well look at it now--the giant spike of Nov. 21 isn't there anymore.
[link to helios.izmiran.rssi.ru]

If you're interested in cosmic rays the best site is the ICETOP South Pole Neutron Monitor. If you scroll down you'll see nothing noteworthy in the neutron counts.
[link to www.bartol.udel.edu]

[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]

We must realize solar winds and solar coronal weather are much like our weather--one day is calm and sunny, then BAM!-you have a devastating tornado. It's somewhat unpredictable, which is why it's so exciting to observe.
You're correct about the increase in filaments. To my knowledge, there's a general lack of understanding among heliophysicist eggheads as to how these are formed. More research must be gathered in this area. They can cause bigger CMEs than solar flares sometimes and again they are unpredictable.

[link to solar.physics.montana.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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12/11/2011 12:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
from spaceweather: "Earth is entering a minor solar wind stream that could spark auroras around the Arctic Circle."
Hugh M Eye

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi all,


im back but much to read now...:D
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Howdy, friend, you ain't missed much. NINzrez checked in yesterday and disappeared again. Keep an eye out for filament eruptions, eh.
rockon
Hugh M Eye

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12/11/2011 01:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi all,


im back but much to read now...:D
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Howdy, friend, you ain't missed much. NINzrez checked in yesterday and disappeared again. Keep an eye out for filament eruptions, eh.
rockon
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Speaking of filament eruptions, we've had a couple overnight. An Earth-facing CME has been detected on both STEREO spacecraft.
STEREO Ahead(Earth to left):
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

STEREO Behind(Earth to right):
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

On the GONG movie loop two filaments-one in the NW and one north-central disappear.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
takecover!
Anonymous Coward
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12/11/2011 01:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi all,


im back but much to read now...:D
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Howdy, friend, you ain't missed much. NINzrez checked in yesterday and disappeared again. Keep an eye out for filament eruptions, eh.
rockon
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Speaking of filament eruptions, we've had a couple overnight. An Earth-facing CME has been detected on both STEREO spacecraft.
STEREO Ahead(Earth to left):
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

STEREO Behind(Earth to right):
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

On the GONG movie loop two filaments-one in the NW and one north-central disappear.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
:takecover!:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hi my friend...well i read that and i have to say you and all the other's around here made a great job here!


Upload a SolarWach vid soon here...^^

Im happy and glad to see ya all (holiday now till 1/3/11, hehe)
Anonymous Coward
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12/11/2011 01:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SolarWatch--Large Filament Eruption--12/11/11




[link to www.youtube.com]
Hugh M Eye

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12/11/2011 01:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SOHO Cor 2 imagery-which is the main resource for CME modeling- has been dark for 33 HOURS!!! WTF? This CME may hit us in the nuts with NASA's pants down again. After they just held another doom-filled space weather conference last week. As I've said too many times, if a Carrington-type event happens it will be pure serendipity if NASA's monitoring network is working as designed. Keep in mind the Carrington Event plasma blast hit Earth in less than 18 hours! If NASA's on holiday or hung-over or holding a fancy luncheon we'll never know what hit us--and all of this solar monitoring was a huge waste of time and money.
Hugh M Eye

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12/11/2011 02:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SOHO Cor 2 imagery-which is the main resource for CME modeling- has been dark for 33 HOURS!!! WTF? This CME may hit us in the nuts with NASA's pants down again. After they just held another doom-filled space weather conference last week. As I've said too many times, if a Carrington-type event happens it will be pure serendipity if NASA's monitoring network is working as designed. Keep in mind the Carrington Event plasma blast hit Earth in less than 18 hours! If NASA's on holiday or hung-over or holding a fancy luncheon we'll never know what hit us--and all of this solar monitoring was a huge waste of time and money.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I must apologize to NASA, their webmaster at SOHO public website must have the day off, but at least the military has SOHO data ( I feel safer now).
[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]

:cmediff1211:
Above image timestamp 06:36. Below is much later at 15:54. There are still big gaps in data.
:cme1211c3:

SEEDS has a CME movie based on the STEREO Ahead data:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

It looks to me that this may become geo-effective although most of the mass is blasted above the ecliptic.
explosionahhh
Hugh M Eye

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12/11/2011 02:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SOHO Cor 2 imagery-which is the main resource for CME modeling- has been dark for 33 HOURS!!! WTF? This CME may hit us in the nuts with NASA's pants down again. After they just held another doom-filled space weather conference last week. As I've said too many times, if a Carrington-type event happens it will be pure serendipity if NASA's monitoring network is working as designed. Keep in mind the Carrington Event plasma blast hit Earth in less than 18 hours! If NASA's on holiday or hung-over or holding a fancy luncheon we'll never know what hit us--and all of this solar monitoring was a huge waste of time and money.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I must apologize to NASA, their webmaster at SOHO public website must have the day off, but at least the military has SOHO data ( I feel safer now).
[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]

:cmediff1211:
Above image timestamp 06:36. Below is much later at 15:54. There are still big gaps in data.
:cme1211c3:

SEEDS has a CME movie based on the STEREO Ahead data:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

It looks to me that this may become geo-effective although most of the mass is blasted above the ecliptic.
explosionahhh
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


SIDC's latest alert notes the first filament eruption at 06:00UTC and predicts it will NOT be geo-effective.

[link to sidc.oma.be]

We' ll know for sure Tues. or Wed.
Anonymous Coward
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12/11/2011 02:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hehe


yep, sidc was wrong also in the last time...


It will be a flank impact for sure

Well done Hugh!cheers
Hugh M Eye

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12/11/2011 03:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SolarWatch--Large Filament Eruption--12/11/11




[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Excellent job, IWTB, we've missed your famous videos.
Anonymous Coward
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12/11/2011 03:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thx Hugh!

but its the work from us all together


i will upload the Intro file, everyone from this team here can use it then if she or he wants

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