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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/16/2012 11:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sunspot Region 1402:
Chance of M Flare - 62%
Chance of X Flare - 57%

keep an eye on the Xray Flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


yup
there it is, watch that flux rise
it sure wants to give us an M or higher

C7.7 and still rising

now a M1.0

WE HAVE A M FLARE

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 01/16/2012 11:54 PM
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
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Anonymous Coward
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01/16/2012 11:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Go baby go!!!
Hugh M Eye

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01/17/2012 12:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Chance of M-flare 100%....looks like 1401 again.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/17/2012 12:21 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.1 from region 1401
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

waiting to see if there was a produced CME with this event
looking at the SDO Magnetogram, 1402 looks like its ready to give us something as well

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 01/17/2012 12:27 AM
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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Hugh M Eye

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01/17/2012 01:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.1 from region 1401
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

waiting to see if there was a produced CME with this event
looking at the SDO Magnetogram, 1402 looks like its ready to give us something as well
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Good call, NIN. That little bump appears to be indeed from 1402.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

WTF? Can't post any custom smilies:(
Hugh M Eye

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01/17/2012 02:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Colorful close-up movie of M-flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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01/17/2012 07:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I`m always curious to see if the action slows down as it turns to face earth...it`s been the trend for a while now..Then as soon as the sunspots rotate out of our view they start blasting again. Sure wish somebody could put that piece of the puzzle together...Just seems like it is "more than luck" to me
zacksavage
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01/17/2012 09:27 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I`m always curious to see if the action slows down as it turns to face earth...it`s been the trend for a while now..Then as soon as the sunspots rotate out of our view they start blasting again. Sure wish somebody could put that piece of the puzzle together...Just seems like it is "more than luck" to me
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


If anybody can put it all together,...it will be you good folks here.

rockon


Z
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
Anonymous Coward
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01/17/2012 01:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
bump
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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01/17/2012 02:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.1 from region 1401
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

waiting to see if there was a produced CME with this event
looking at the SDO Magnetogram, 1402 looks like its ready to give us something as well
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Any word on a CME with the latest M-flare..I can`t find anything stating that there was..

Check out the prominence on the eastern limb...

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 01/17/2012 02:28 PM
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/17/2012 05:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1.1 from region 1401
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

waiting to see if there was a produced CME with this event
looking at the SDO Magnetogram, 1402 looks like its ready to give us something as well
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Any word on a CME with the latest M-flare..I can`t find anything stating that there was..

Check out the prominence on the eastern limb...

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


i have been super busy all day
i have some free time now
so i will look into it now :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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NiNzrez (OP)

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01/17/2012 05:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Everyone! GLP will be going dark for 24hrs starting tonight at midnight

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]


any updates for solar activity can be found on the blog that TomasGod1, IWTB and myself run
you can find the link in my sig :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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NiNzrez (OP)

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01/17/2012 06:39 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Everyone! GLP will be going dark for 24hrs starting tonight at midnight

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]


any updates for solar activity can be found on the blog that TomasGod1, IWTB and myself run
you can find the link in my sig :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


i was just watching the news and a TON of websites are doing this!
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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01/17/2012 08:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now a 50 percent chance for more M flares and 5 percent for an X....
old guard

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01/17/2012 08:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We can see looking here at the Wing Kp Model..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
that our magnetosphere was fairly well disturbed throughout the day.

POES, the Aurora Oval has been lit up throught the day as well.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Again we see the disturbance measured by ground based magnetometers...

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
and the GOES magnetometer..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The ACE Satellite measured the disturbance, and we can see the data visually interpreted at NICT. A combination of a CHHSS that was coupled with some of the material ejected from the CME on the 12th combines in a visual seen here.
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

The CME was imaged by Stereo and SOHO.

Stereo B Cor2
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
and SOHO LC2
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

If those last two images look familiar they should. That CME was produced from the Active Region that produced todays CME; now having rotated a little nearer our direction.

Finally, for comparison, here is todays SOHO LC2 image of the CME that accompanied the LDE C6.5 flare from late night > early this morning.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

I would expect that we will see a slight geomagnetic disturbance from this event sometime on the 19th into the 20th.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Hi Tom...good to see you posting!
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/17/2012 09:03 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now a 50 percent chance for more M flares and 5 percent for an X....
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


i bet!
1401 is looking pertty nasty
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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01/17/2012 09:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now a 50 percent chance for more M flares and 5 percent for an X....
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


i bet!
1401 is looking pertty nasty
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Im feeling kinda doomy tonight...watching 2012 with the family. He he he...bookmarked your blog...will keep an eye on it tomorrow...
old guard

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01/17/2012 09:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Trinity is blacking out GLP tomarrow
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/17/2012 10:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Trinity is blacking out GLP tomarrow
 Quoting: old guard


everything is blacking out tomorrow :/
lots of reports of net issues, cell phones not working right, the walmart servers are down, now safeways servers being reported down, credit card machines down in parts of australia, gas station credit card machines down, the northside of the white house on lock down

not a pretty picture being painted here today :/
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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TheOracle

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01/17/2012 10:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Trinity is blacking out GLP tomarrow
 Quoting: old guard


everything is blacking out tomorrow :/
lots of reports of net issues, cell phones not working right, the walmart servers are down, now safeways servers being reported down, credit card machines down in parts of australia, gas station credit card machines down, the northside of the white house on lock down

not a pretty picture being painted here today :/
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Not a pretty picture at all.

Nice to see you NiNzrez. Will keep an eye on solar information on your site tomorrow.
Kindness is in our power, even when fondness is not. --Samuel Johnson
Anonymous Coward
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01/17/2012 11:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hows the sun today?????
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/17/2012 11:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Trinity is blacking out GLP tomarrow
 Quoting: old guard


everything is blacking out tomorrow :/
lots of reports of net issues, cell phones not working right, the walmart servers are down, now safeways servers being reported down, credit card machines down in parts of australia, gas station credit card machines down, the northside of the white house on lock down

not a pretty picture being painted here today :/
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Not a pretty picture at all.

Nice to see you NiNzrez. Will keep an eye on solar information on your site tomorrow.
 Quoting: TheOracle


heyy nice to see you oracle :)
hope the new year is treating you well so far
hf
Solar Alerts Blog
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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NiNzrez (OP)

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01/17/2012 11:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hows the sun today?????
 Quoting: gogo


i ran through all the monitors i have on my list (and i have a lot)
and found nothing odd looking that stood out

though i will say, the sounds in the sky being reported all over, sound very much like magnetosphere compressions


i just wrote this on another thread, but i will add it here as well


there has been recordings of the magnetosphere "breathing" for years. and sounds of space particles being caught in the van allen belt
the magnetosphere compressions are like breathing
they have a pattern to them
like breathing in, then out
its been in sad shape for a long time, so anything is possible
here is the thing, for us to get signals for our credit card machines, ATMs, netflix, cable, cell phones etc. to all work, they come from satellites and the signal then has to go through our magnetosphere to reach us.
the downed services are from various places all over. this tells us it is not due to a paricular locolized malfunction

they are already saying that the walmart downed machines is from a satellite
so whats the reason for ALL the others going down?

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 01/17/2012 11:47 PM
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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01/17/2012 11:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1 word imo: Beglegeuse.
TheOracle

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01/17/2012 11:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hows the sun today?????
 Quoting: gogo


i ran through all the monitors i have on my list (and i have a lot)
and found nothing odd looking that stood out

though i will say, the sounds in the sky being reported all over, sound very much like magnetosphere compressions


i just wrote this on another thread, but i will add it here as well


there has been recordings of the magnetosphere "breathing" for years. and sounds of space particles being caught in the van allen belt
the magnetosphere compressions are like breathing
they have a pattern to them
like breathing in, then out
its been in sad shape for a long time, so anything is possible
here is the thing, for us to get signals for our credit card machines, ATMs, netflix, cable, cell phones etc. to all work, they come from satellites and the signal then has to go through our magnetosphere to reach us.
the downed services are from various places all over. this tells us it is not due to a paricular locolized malfunction

they are already saying that the walmart downed machines is from a satellite
so whats the reason for ALL the others going down?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


If you are still here NiN, consider a discussion tomorrow on your blog for this. I have been doing a lot of research and handed it over to Idgits and IWTB because I don't have the real time to devote to it. I would love to hear more about your theory because I believe the same.
Kindness is in our power, even when fondness is not. --Samuel Johnson
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/17/2012 11:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
glp is about to go down, sooooooo
see everyone day after tomorrow.. i hope hehe
or over at the blog :)
Solar Alerts Blog
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 6459914
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01/17/2012 11:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hows the sun today?????
 Quoting: gogo


i ran through all the monitors i have on my list (and i have a lot)
and found nothing odd looking that stood out

though i will say, the sounds in the sky being reported all over, sound very much like magnetosphere compressions


i just wrote this on another thread, but i will add it here as well


there has been recordings of the magnetosphere "breathing" for years. and sounds of space particles being caught in the van allen belt
the magnetosphere compressions are like breathing
they have a pattern to them
like breathing in, then out
its been in sad shape for a long time, so anything is possible
here is the thing, for us to get signals for our credit card machines, ATMs, netflix, cable, cell phones etc. to all work, they come from satellites and the signal then has to go through our magnetosphere to reach us.
the downed services are from various places all over. this tells us it is not due to a paricular locolized malfunction

they are already saying that the walmart downed machines is from a satellite
so whats the reason for ALL the others going down?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


If you are still here NiN, consider a discussion tomorrow on your blog for this. I have been doing a lot of research and handed it over to Idgits and IWTB because I don't have the real time to devote to it. I would love to hear more about your theory because I believe the same.
 Quoting: TheOracle


its a deal!
i will start it when i wake up :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1547413
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01/17/2012 11:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hows the sun today?????
 Quoting: gogo


i ran through all the monitors i have on my list (and i have a lot)
and found nothing odd looking that stood out

though i will say, the sounds in the sky being reported all over, sound very much like magnetosphere compressions


i just wrote this on another thread, but i will add it here as well


there has been recordings of the magnetosphere "breathing" for years. and sounds of space particles being caught in the van allen belt
the magnetosphere compressions are like breathing
they have a pattern to them
like breathing in, then out
its been in sad shape for a long time, so anything is possible
here is the thing, for us to get signals for our credit card machines, ATMs, netflix, cable, cell phones etc. to all work, they come from satellites and the signal then has to go through our magnetosphere to reach us.
the downed services are from various places all over. this tells us it is not due to a paricular locolized malfunction

they are already saying that the walmart downed machines is from a satellite
so whats the reason for ALL the others going down?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


If you are still here NiN, consider a discussion tomorrow on your blog for this. I have been doing a lot of research and handed it over to Idgits and IWTB because I don't have the real time to devote to it. I would love to hear more about your theory because I believe the same.
 Quoting: TheOracle


its a deal!
i will start it when i wake up :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


See you there! Thanks.
Anonymous Coward
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01/18/2012 05:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M1 [link to www.solarham.com]
NiNzrez (OP)

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01/18/2012 05:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
welcome back everyone :)
Solar Alerts Blog
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?

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