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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
joinca

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01/23/2012 02:55 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The global Xray flux has lots of RED now.
Can someone post an image of it?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
11 Red attenuation bars maxed out and counting.

popcorn popcorn

Last Edited by joinca on 01/23/2012 03:04 AM
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson
tomasgod1

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01/23/2012 03:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA Goddard has issued the predicted arrival and duration for this latest CME as follows.

Event Issue Date: 2012-01-23 06:26:50.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-01-24 14:18:19.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 7 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.6 Re


Tue, 24 Jan 2012 14:18:19 UTC
Tue, 24 Jan 2012 22:18:19 UTC


[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Time conversion = Tue, 24 Jan 2012 9:18AM EST
through Tue, 24 Jan 2012 5:19PM EST
+ or - 6 hrs.

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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tomasgod1

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01/23/2012 03:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The global Xray flux has lots of RED now.
Can someone post an image of it?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
11 Red attenuation bars maxed out and counting.

popcorn popcorn
 Quoting: joinca


Here ya go. It may take a while before it shows up.



sepgdsat





kittypop
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 June 6, 1799)
tomasgod1

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01/23/2012 03:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ACE HE Protons on the rise again..

Looks like a S3 Solar Radiation Storm for us.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 01/23/2012 03:16 AM
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 June 6, 1799)
joinca

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01/23/2012 03:16 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Tomas!! It is late here on the west coast.
sleep time
popcorn

Last Edited by joinca on 01/23/2012 03:16 AM
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson
tomasgod1

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01/23/2012 03:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Tomas!! It is late here on the west coast.
sleep time
popcorn
 Quoting: joinca


You are welcome! It is late hear too central time, but I am wrestless.
_______

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Anonymous Coward
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01/23/2012 03:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey, have you ever felt much better at outdoor when proton is extremely high(above 100)?
As if it energizes and relaxes us?
Just a thought.
Starwind

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01/23/2012 03:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How long does it take for the magnetosphere to recover from a strong hit?

I'm curious how that fast CME will effect us, but I don't know if the hit we got today will last that long. How long do they usually last and what specific measure is it that makes the dual hit so bad? (Carrington)
Anonymous Coward
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01/23/2012 03:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?t​imestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
hiding
Anonymous Coward
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01/23/2012 03:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
JustOneGuy

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01/23/2012 03:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
TG,
Just Checked The JSOC HMI Color Magnetogram/
Doppler Pics...1402 Is Developing ADDITINAL
High Gradient Area's As Are 1407 (Haven't
Previously Seen Any Such On It To Date) Also
The Spot (Far) Trailing 1401 IS Showing Same
...These Things Seem To Be Reinforcing Each
Other By Proximity. Thoughts?
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
Anonymous Coward
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01/23/2012 03:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
bump
Anonymous Coward
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01/23/2012 03:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
tomasgod1

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01/23/2012 04:04 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
TG,
Just Checked The JSOC HMI Color Magnetogram/
Doppler Pics...1402 Is Developing ADDITINAL
High Gradient Area's As Are 1407 (Haven't
Previously Seen Any Such On It To Date) Also
The Spot (Far) Trailing 1401 IS Showing Same
...These Things Seem To Be Reinforcing Each
Other By Proximity. Thoughts?
 Quoting: JustOneGuy


We saw a lot of interaction today between the various Sunspot Regions. When 1402 flared with that M8.7 there was a large CME that can be seen being released from between both 1401 and 1402. Yesterday we noticed a lot of magnetic interaction between the two regions. At the same time 1405, just off to the left of these, flared and released a small CME while this LDE was still occuring. New Region 1408 flared and released a CME and a small flare can be seen coming from a yet not numberd Sunspot that is rotating in off of the eastern limb to the south of 1408. All of this occured during the LDE event today. I zoomed in on the various Sunspot Regions in this video of SDO 304 during the event.



Here is a video from yesterday of some of the magnetic interaction between Sunspot Regions 1402, 1401.



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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 June 6, 1799)
tomasgod1

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01/23/2012 04:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We are now at a level 3 Solar Radiation Storm.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTPX3
Serial Number: 24
Issue Time: 2012 Jan 23 0911 UTC

ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Begin Time: 2012 Jan 23 0855 UTC
NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 June 6, 1799)
JustOneGuy

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01/23/2012 04:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks TG,
1401 Has Been Closing Up The Gap Between Itself And
1407 (Visibly) For A Few Days As I Have Watched...A Shame
We Don't Have The Tech To Monitor Near Subsurface Magnetic's
We See The Spots At The Surface But Cannot Even Guess At The
Interactions Occurring Below. Anywho, My Lids Are Struggling
To Stay Open...Am Also Midwestern So It's Rather Late (As You
Already Know)...Schlaffen Sie Gut!...When You Finally Get There! Guten Nacht Alles.
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
JustOneGuy

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01/23/2012 04:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Shoot, Just As I Was About To Go Winky!!

Latest From The NOAA Logs,

2012 01 23 0940 55949 34800 2.48e+03 1.91e+03 1.39e+03 2.41e+02 4.90e+01 1.71e+00 2.60e+03 1.33e-01 -1.00e+05

1390+241+49+1.7=1681 p/sec/sr

Oh My......

Last Edited by JustOneGuy on 01/23/2012 05:14 AM
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
Isis7

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01/23/2012 05:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hiding
Anonymous Coward
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01/23/2012 05:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
click on lasco c2 and last 25 or so images.....been a while since I've seen that!
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
SheBear

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01/23/2012 05:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sorry I might have missed this info in the posts...How long was this event?
JustOneGuy

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01/23/2012 05:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
AC,
The Saturation "Snow"?

Last Edited by JustOneGuy on 01/23/2012 05:52 AM
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
JustOneGuy

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01/23/2012 05:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
SheBear

NOAA List 03:38 As Inception @ M1.1
And 04:34 As Terminus @ M4.9

Max @ 03:59 M8.7

ALL In UTC.
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
Anonymous Coward
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01/23/2012 06:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey, have you ever felt much better at outdoor when proton is extremely high(above 100)?
As if it energizes and relaxes us?
Just a thought.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9396977


I had today the most energetic feel good day like I haven't had one in a veeerryyy long time.
JustOneGuy

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01/23/2012 06:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Latest NOAA:

#
# 5-minute GOES-15 Solar Particle and Electron Flux
#
#
# UTC Date Time
# 2012 01 23 1105

P > 1 3.73e+03
P > 5 2.95e+03
P >10 2.02e+03
P >30 2.78e+02
P >50 4.88e+01
P >100 1.38e+00
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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01/23/2012 06:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Below is a quote from a thread I had going the other day. If ya click on the link drop down to tablle III...If Nin`s math is correct then this will be interesting


:<<LOOK`n thru
Funny I was just reading about some of this..The carrington event`s CME reached earth in 14.6 hours after the flare..Most of the stronger ones since then have taken a minimum of 17 to 21 hours to reach earth...see table III on link..alot of interesting info there

[link to www.leif.org]


Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 01/23/2012 06:45 AM
Luisport

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01/23/2012 07:41 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can anyone of you experts make a resume of what's happening and concequences, in a language everyone can understand? Thank you so much!hf
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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01/23/2012 07:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.solarham.com]

Radiation Storm: The solar proton levels are now on the rise following the solar flare. A Strong S3 Level radiation storm is now in progress. This is the strongest proton event in about 7 years.

ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Begin Time: 2012 Jan 23 0855 UTC
NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong

protons

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 01/23/2012 08:08 AM
JustOneGuy

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01/23/2012 08:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The GOES 13 Proton Flux's (All 3 Bands, 1, 50, 100)
Just Inflected And Are RISING Again. For All
Wondering...The Flare To CME Elapsed Time Of
The "Carrington Event" - Per Look N Thru You -
Was 14.6 Hrs, Implying A Wavefront Velocity Of
Roughly 2800 Km/s. It Has Been SOME Time Since
A 2000+ Km/s CME Intersected With The Earth.
Think "Getting Hit By A Sledgehammer." And No,
Probably NOT "THE END" But Certainly A BIG One. GPS,
SatCom, HF And Possibly Cell Phones Will Certainly
Be Having A VERY "Bad Hair Day" Today.

Just Rechecked GOES 13 Before Posting This; Definitely
On Rise. Oh, BTW...Thanks Look'N Was Just Discussing This
Very Point Last Night. Half-Heimer's Setting In Lately,
Couldn't Locate The File I Had Stashed Relating To The
Elapsed Transit Time.

Last Edited by JustOneGuy on 01/23/2012 08:15 AM
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
Anonymous Coward
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01/23/2012 08:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
would successive hits to the magneto weaken it a bit more with each hit?
Anonymous Coward
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01/23/2012 08:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.solarham.com]

This is the strongest proton event in about 7 years.

:protons:
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Any idea when that event occurred? Just curious to know if it corresponded with the Dec. 26, 2004 quake and tsunami.



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