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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Luisport

User ID: 9418506
Portugal
01/23/2012 05:41 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The temp is begining to rise... [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 9342471
Ireland
01/23/2012 05:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
An Open Question To The Forum:

If A CME Was Active And A Large Magnitude Flare
Occurred Simultaneously (Say X-Grade) What Would
Be The Net Observable Effect. Would A Shock Wave
In The Mass Constituting The Body Of The CME Be
Evident? Would Any Net Full Mass Effect Be Observed,
Such As An Acceleration Of Same Resulting In Increased
Overall Velocity? I Haven't Ever Thought Of The Case
Of The Two Events Simultaneously Occuring In A Geo-
Effective Context - CME Followed By A Large Magnitude
Flare. Has This Ever Happened (In Recent Years) To
Anyone's Knowledge?
 Quoting: JustOneGuy


wow, your post strikes me as odd.But i dont quite know why...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9342471


Looks like some kind of code hidden in them capitol letters.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


theres something hidden in there alright.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1492929
United States
01/23/2012 05:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm pretty impressed how long these protons have stayed up. I must say the next few days will be interesting. These NOAA/NASA solar meteorologist seem to be less accurate than weather meteorologists...
 Quoting: MARSpeed 1492929


hahaha true story
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Does the length of time that the proton levels stay elevated correlate with how long the geomagnetic storm will last?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9409409


Kinda/sorta. Just says there is a ton of energy associated w/this CME. A direct hit would have cooked some eggs, thats for sure.
Luisport

User ID: 9418506
Portugal
01/23/2012 05:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The temp is begining to rise... [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Luisport


It's arriving or not yet?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 6459914
United States
01/23/2012 05:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i just went to check this weeks weather, and there it is the #4 story on weather.com

Strongest Solar Storm Since 2005 Hitting Earth
by weather.com and The Associated Press

[link to www.weather.com]

they actually put a bit of time into that article
nice load of info in one place
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 6459914
United States
01/23/2012 06:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The temp is begining to rise... [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Luisport


It's arriving or not yet?
 Quoting: Luisport


it could be....
still to early to tell
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 6459914
United States
01/23/2012 06:03 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm pretty impressed how long these protons have stayed up. I must say the next few days will be interesting. These NOAA/NASA solar meteorologist seem to be less accurate than weather meteorologists...
 Quoting: MARSpeed 1492929


hahaha true story
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Does the length of time that the proton levels stay elevated correlate with how long the geomagnetic storm will last?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9409409


no direct correlation that i know of
we can only guess at how long the geomagnetic storm from a CME will last
we base it on the direction it was ejected, how much material was ejected, how fast it was etc.
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
01/23/2012 06:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
could be also from the latest coronal hole (CH495) was in earth facing position on jan20
Luisport

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01/23/2012 06:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Strongest radiation storm seen in 7 years erupts from the Sun January 23, 2012 – SUN – A powerful solar eruption is expected to blast a stream of charged particles toward Earth tomorrow (Jan. 24), as the strongest radiation storm since 2005 rages on the sun. Early this morning (0359 GMT Jan. 23, which corresponds to late Sunday, Jan. 22 at 10:59 p.m. EST), NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory caught an extreme ultraviolet flash from a huge eruption on the sun, according to the skywatching website Spaceweather.com. The solar flare spewed from sunspot 1402, a region of the sun that has become increasingly active lately. Several NASA satellites, including the Solar Dynamics Observatory, the Solar Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO), and the Stereo spacecraft observed the massive sun storm. A barrage of charged particles triggered by this morning’s solar flare is expected to hit Earth tomorrow at around 9 a.m. EST (1400 GMT), according to experts at the Space Weather Prediction Center, a division of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. According to NOAA, this is the strongest solar radiation storm since May 2005, and as a precaution, polar flights on Earth are expected to be re-routed within the next few hours, Kathy Sullivan, deputy administrator of NOAA, said today at the 92nd annual American Meteorological Society meeting in New Orleans, La. –Space.com [link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 6459914
United States
01/23/2012 06:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wind speed, and density are not registering on the nict data right now
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

anyone wanting to see what that data is, here is a direct link to the 1&5 min data
just open in a new tab, and click refresh each 1min

(looking for that funny F5 smilie haha and not finding it)

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 01/23/2012 06:09 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 6459914
United States
01/23/2012 06:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
could be also from the latest coronal hole (CH495) was in earth facing position on jan20
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


we sure do have to add that to the equasion
i had forgotten that
thanks for reminding us of this
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Slade

User ID: 6644170
United States
01/23/2012 06:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
could be also from the latest coronal hole (CH495) was in earth facing position on jan20
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


we sure do have to add that to the equasion
i had forgotten that
thanks for reminding us of this
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Spaceweather has upped M class from 30% to 60% and X from 1% to 10%
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 9427960
United States
01/23/2012 06:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
An Open Question To The Forum:

If A CME Was Active And A Large Magnitude Flare
Occurred Simultaneously (Say X-Grade) What Would
Be The Net Observable Effect. Would A Shock Wave
In The Mass Constituting The Body Of The CME Be
Evident? Would Any Net Full Mass Effect Be Observed,
Such As An Acceleration Of Same Resulting In Increased
Overall Velocity? I Haven't Ever Thought Of The Case
Of The Two Events Simultaneously Occuring In A Geo-
Effective Context - CME Followed By A Large Magnitude
Flare. Has This Ever Happened (In Recent Years) To
Anyone's Knowledge?
 Quoting: JustOneGuy


wow, your post strikes me as odd.But i dont quite know why...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9342471


Looks like some kind of code hidden in them capitol letters.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Damn aliens..... He he he....
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 6459914
United States
01/23/2012 06:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The temp is begining to rise... [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Luisport


It's arriving or not yet?
 Quoting: Luisport


it could be....
still to early to tell
 Quoting: NiNzrez


watch the AU/AE graphs that are under the main simulations
the AU/AE will show the CME arrival before the top images do
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
learner
User ID: 8531500
United States
01/23/2012 06:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wind speed, and density are not registering on the nict data right now
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

anyone wanting to see what that data is, here is a direct link to the 1&5 min data
just open in a new tab, and click refresh each 1min

(looking for that funny F5 smilie haha and not finding it)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


what this tells me is that the proton storm has knocked out the solar wind density and velocity metrics.. i was just gonna post something to that effect but this confirms and makes unnecessary...

still. based on that ACE HAARP composite i did, its the hard Bz flips that really rings out bell, that plus high density... lol, but we know we got that, right: freaking knocked the sensors offline...

so we look for hard Bz shifts? and watch HAARP?
learner
User ID: 8531500
United States
01/23/2012 06:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
also might be a good time to clock transits.
given that Bz shift happened just under 2 hours ago and Haarp shoes all calm right now...

first blip on HAARP gives us a phase offset calibration?

?
JustOneGuy

User ID: 1123947
United States
01/23/2012 06:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yah, dat me, Alien I be...
Sorry all; ex-military, accustomed to formatting
EAM messages thus...becomes habitual, like breathing.
Seriously though, the question remains. Anyone thought
about it?
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
El Quisqueyano
Chief Caonabo

User ID: 9148797
United States
01/23/2012 07:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i just went to check this weeks weather, and there it is the #4 story on weather.com

Strongest Solar Storm Since 2005 Hitting Earth
by weather.com and The Associated Press

[link to www.weather.com]

they actually put a bit of time into that article
nice load of info in one place
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Excerpt for future reference;

A solar eruption is followed by a one-two-three punch, said Antti Pulkkinen, a physicist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland and Catholic University.

First comes electromagnetic radiation, followed by radiation in the form of protons.

Then, finally the coronal mass ejection - that's the plasma from the sun itself - hits. Usually that travels at about 1 or 2 million miles per hour, but this storm is particularly speedy and is shooting out at 4 million miles per hour, Biesecker said.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 9427960
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01/23/2012 07:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yah, dat me, Alien I be...
Sorry all; ex-military, accustomed to formatting
EAM messages thus...becomes habitual, like breathing.
Seriously though, the question remains. Anyone thought
about it?
 Quoting: JustOneGuy


Just having fun brutha...best wishes....peace
El Quisqueyano
Chief Caonabo

User ID: 9148797
United States
01/23/2012 07:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yah, dat me, Alien I be...
Sorry all; ex-military, accustomed to formatting
EAM messages thus...becomes habitual, like breathing.
Seriously though, the question remains. Anyone thought
about it?
 Quoting: JustOneGuy


hf All in good faith.

Namaste.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 6459914
United States
01/23/2012 07:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wind speed, and density are not registering on the nict data right now
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

anyone wanting to see what that data is, here is a direct link to the 1&5 min data
just open in a new tab, and click refresh each 1min

(looking for that funny F5 smilie haha and not finding it)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


what this tells me is that the proton storm has knocked out the solar wind density and velocity metrics.. i was just gonna post something to that effect but this confirms and makes unnecessary...

still. based on that ACE HAARP composite i did, its the hard Bz flips that really rings out bell, that plus high density... lol, but we know we got that, right: freaking knocked the sensors offline...

so we look for hard Bz shifts? and watch HAARP?
 Quoting: learner 8531500


i have seen CME's hit without a Bz flip
the Bz is the north / south direction of the solar wind
so, the direction of the Bz has everything to do with the direction of hit the CME takes when it arrives
if the CME is northward, it will arrive on our northside and we will see the winds shift north (green +)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
learner
User ID: 8531500
United States
01/23/2012 07:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wind speed, and density are not registering on the nict data right now
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

anyone wanting to see what that data is, here is a direct link to the 1&5 min data
just open in a new tab, and click refresh each 1min

(looking for that funny F5 smilie haha and not finding it)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


what this tells me is that the proton storm has knocked out the solar wind density and velocity metrics.. i was just gonna post something to that effect but this confirms and makes unnecessary...

still. based on that ACE HAARP composite i did, its the hard Bz flips that really rings out bell, that plus high density... lol, but we know we got that, right: freaking knocked the sensors offline...

so we look for hard Bz shifts? and watch HAARP?
 Quoting: learner 8531500


i have seen CME's hit without a Bz flip
the Bz is the north / south direction of the solar wind
so, the direction of the Bz has everything to do with the direction of hit the CME takes when it arrives
if the CME is northward, it will arrive on our northside and we will see the winds shift north (green +)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


huh.

ok

does that mean that the polarity of the CME drives the polarity of the EMF? that would make sense.

what i understand about south Bz is that it allows for strong energy transfer between our field and the IMF: is this correct?

plus according to recent charts, a CME hits with strong waves of alternating Bz polarity. Was that true for previous CME impacts?
learner
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01/23/2012 07:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i think i'm seeing the first signs of geofield wobble on HAARP now... already got somethin on the Russian magnometer
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 7986368
New Zealand
01/23/2012 07:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
wind speed, and density are not registering on the nict data right now
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

anyone wanting to see what that data is, here is a direct link to the 1&5 min data
just open in a new tab, and click refresh each 1min

(looking for that funny F5 smilie haha and not finding it)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Found it :)

:f5f5:

You just needed to refesh your smilie page rofl
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
01/23/2012 07:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LOL great one


:solaralertsimg:
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 9433941
United States
01/23/2012 07:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Storm Threat Analysis-a easy to read, yet thorough overview of Solar Particle Events' effects on Earth and infrastructure. Besides insights into power grids, etc., the author (James Marusek) had this to say about LEO satellite risks:

" A high-energy particle from an SPE can penetrate the wall of a satellite and deposit sufficient charge to cause an electrical upset to a circuit switch, false command, memory state change or loss. As the nuclear particles collide
within the spacecraft, they release electrons that build up an internal dielectric charge. This static charge can destroy circuitry on electronic boards. The particles can also change data and instructions stored in computer memory.

Some of the memory damage is soft causing Single Event Upset (SEU). Generally, this anomaly can be corrected by a computer reboot. But some of the damage can be hard causing unrepairable physical damage to the junction of
the microcircuit. These types of failures can be fatal."

[link to www.breadandbutterscience.com]

From what I can tell from my limited research, the GOES electron flux detector suffered one of these temporary upsets due to the accumulated charge of 24-hour magnetic storm and not from the proton event. Of course the proton event may have been the straw that broke the camel's back. It looks like they got it to re-boot (maybe).

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Another good read on the Earth effects of extreme solar storms here:

[link to www.solarstorms.org]

Photo of fried transformer from 1989's mag-storm from New Jersey's Salem Nuclear plant. These transformers are as big as a house, cost over $10 million apiece, and take up to a year to replace under good conditions. Hundreds of these babies could be at risk in an extreme ground-current event.

[link to science.nasa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
amywood71605

User ID: 1422833
United States
01/23/2012 08:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
added this to my personal pins, awesome info!
 Quoting: amywood71605


thanks :)
all about team work in here
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I see that =) Hope you don't mind someone just reading/watching and trying to learn though, haha. Been trying to follow the sun stuff for a bit now, and trying to understand it all...
"Live each day like it's your last, love like you've never been hurt, and dance like no one is watching."
learner
User ID: 8531500
United States
01/23/2012 08:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Storm Threat Analysis-a easy to read, yet thorough overview of Solar Particle Events' effects on Earth and infrastructure. Besides insights into power grids, etc., the author (James Marusek) had this to say about LEO satellite risks:

" A high-energy particle from an SPE can penetrate the wall of a satellite and deposit sufficient charge to cause an electrical upset to a circuit switch, false command, memory state change or loss. As the nuclear particles collide
within the spacecraft, they release electrons that build up an internal dielectric charge. This static charge can destroy circuitry on electronic boards. The particles can also change data and instructions stored in computer memory.

Some of the memory damage is soft causing Single Event Upset (SEU). Generally, this anomaly can be corrected by a computer reboot. But some of the damage can be hard causing unrepairable physical damage to the junction of
the microcircuit. These types of failures can be fatal."

[link to www.breadandbutterscience.com]

From what I can tell from my limited research, the GOES electron flux detector suffered one of these temporary upsets due to the accumulated charge of 24-hour magnetic storm and not from the proton event. Of course the proton event may have been the straw that broke the camel's back. It looks like they got it to re-boot (maybe).


 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


huh.nice.

makes sense too.
be nice to have that density meter up again.

lots of energy out there, to be sure...
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 9433941
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01/23/2012 08:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yah, dat me, Alien I be...
Sorry all; ex-military, accustomed to formatting
EAM messages thus...becomes habitual, like breathing.
Seriously though, the question remains. Anyone thought
about it?
 Quoting: JustOneGuy


There's a lot of high-falootin' physics papers to wade through here in cyber-space (and lots of 'em ya gotta pay for). Anyway, after much research I've determined the answer is.....wait for it.......
.......YES.

Yes there have been observations of these in the past. Evidently, this is a very complicated circumstance that is dependent on the angles of the CMEs/flares, their velocities, and the latitude of their respective origins. In the scenario you suggest, we would see an intensifying effect of the solar energetic particles.

Also, as El Q seemed to suggest, the coronal hole may also have an effect on CMEs and SEPs. I'm no physicist so my knowledge is quite limited in this....but there's lots of difficult-to-read heliophysics research on this stuff out there.

Here's one:
"The intensity variation due to CME interaction reported in [1] is confirmed by expanding the investigation to all the large SEP events of solar cycle 23. The large SEP events are separated into two groups, one associated with CMEs running into other CMEs, and the other with CMEs running into the ambient solar wind. SEP events with CME interaction generally have a higher intensity. New possibilities such as the influence of coronal holes on the SEP intensity are also discussed. For example, the presence of a large coronal hole between a well-connected eruption and the solar disk center may render the shock poorly connected because of the interaction between the CME and the coronal hole. This point is illustrated using the 2004 December 3 SEP event delayed by about 12 hours from the onset of the associated CME. There is no other event at the Sun that can be associated with the SEP onset. This event is consistent with the possibility that the coronal hole interaction influences the connectivity of the CMEs that produce SEPs, and hence the intensity of the SEP event."

Links here to this and other related papers:
[link to cdaw.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Other papers on CMEs and predicted effects:

[link to iopscience.iop.org]

[link to iopscience.iop.org]

[link to www.agu.org]

Enjoy!
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
learner
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01/23/2012 08:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
nice 'voice' here :

[link to midnightwatcher.wordpress.com]

"A powerful solar eruption is expected to blast a stream of charged particles toward Earth tomorrow (Jan. 24), as the strongest radiation storm since 2005 rages on the sun."