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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Isis7
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01/27/2012 09:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good night allgrouphug
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Later buddy

grouphug
JustOneGuy

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01/27/2012 09:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Tanx Hugh, wasn't sure why there should be much of anything going on after such a pissin'....appreciate the heads-up.
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
solar2004

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01/27/2012 09:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm amazed to see that there arent 10 threads going on about the X-Flare + CME on GLP.
Maybe people are getting tired of solar events or these events are waring people down so they dont care.
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 09:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


[link to www.youtube.com]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 10:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm amazed to see that there arent 10 threads going on about the X-Flare + CME on GLP.
Maybe people are getting tired of solar events or these events are waring people down so they dont care.
 Quoting: solar2004


Hi, solar2004, this thread was pinned earlier and should be re-pinned considering some of the usual junk on pg.1. If you're looking to catch up with events, there's a lot of info there. Vote for a pin.

Thread: X Class Solar Flare in progress Max X1.7

Also NIN's blog has good updates.

[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Or just stay here for awhile.
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 10:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
News from Moscow--Solar Flare May have Doomed Phobos-Grunt Mission

The device may have ended up in a cloud of plasma released during the solar event, and this is the main theory being considered by the commission investigating the probe's technical failure, the source said.

Read more: [link to www.themoscowtimes.com]
The Moscow Times


explosionalien11
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
zacksavage
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01/27/2012 10:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
News from Moscow--Solar Flare May have Doomed Phobos-Grunt Mission

The device may have ended up in a cloud of plasma released during the solar event, and this is the main theory being considered by the commission investigating the probe's technical failure, the source said.

Read more: [link to www.themoscowtimes.com]
The Moscow Times


explosionalien11
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


And there you have it.




Z
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 11:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow, another snow-blizzard proton storm on SOHO confirmed; though not as intense as the first one. I wonder if this has ever occurred twice in the same week before.
SOHO Cor 3 images:

[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]

Lataest Cor 2:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

GOES Proton Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2012 04:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2012 07:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The proton storm is still ongoing...
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2012 07:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar Energetic Particles (SEP) are high-energy particles coming from the Sun which had been first observed in the early 1940s. They consist of protons, electrons and heavy ions with energy ranging from a few tens of keV to GeV (the fastest particles can reach speed up to 80% of the speed of light). They are of particular interest and importance because they can endanger life in outer space (especially particles above 40 MeV). Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) can originate from two processes: energetization at a solar flare site or by shock waves associated with Coronal Mass Ejection (CMEs). However, only about 1% of the CMEs produce strong SEP events.

SEPs are also of interest because they provide a good sample of solar material. Despite the nuclear fusion occurring in the core, the majority of solar material is representative of the material which formed our solar system. By studying the isotopic composition of SEPs, scientists can obtain an indirect measurement of the material which formed the solar system, and thus learn about its origins.

Two main mechanisms of acceleration are possible: diffusive shock acceleration (DSA, sometimes referred as first-order Fermi acceleration) or shock-drift mechanism. SEPs can be accelerated to energies of several tens of MeV within 5-10 solar radii (0.05% of the Sun-Earth distance) and can reach Earth in a matter of a few hours after a flare or an ejection. This makes prediction and warning of SEP events quite challenging. The seed population and composition of these SEP events is also an active area of research.


[link to en.wikipedia.org]
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2012 07:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The article above from Wikipedia says:


"They are of particular interest and importance because they can endanger life in outer space (especially particles above 40 MeV)."



40 MeV???


According to the proton flux chart:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


We are experiencing a surge in the amount of protons above 50 MeV...



This means that the lives of people in the ISS are endangered?
solar2004

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01/28/2012 07:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The article above from Wikipedia says:


"They are of particular interest and importance because they can endanger life in outer space (especially particles above 40 MeV)."



40 MeV???


According to the proton flux chart:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


We are experiencing a surge in the amount of protons above 50 MeV...



This means that the lives of people in the ISS are endangered?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9737937


The data on the proton flux chart adheres to the table Solar Radiation Storms. Right now it is almost reaching S3 levels. Last week we almost made it to S4 levels which was the strongest it has been since 2005.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Rain-Man

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01/28/2012 09:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
..

Thread: The Sun is Entering Solar Maximum, Period of Greatest Activity Expected to Peak in 2013 ..

..
El Quisqueyano

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01/28/2012 09:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


But that period of Solar max intense activity is expected to be at the lowest level ever, compared to most solar max cycles. As a matter of fact scientist have reported that this solar max cycle will be at 50% less than a normal solar max cycle. Possibly plunging us into a little ice age.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
El Quisqueyano

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01/28/2012 09:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


But that period of Solar max intense activity is expected to be at the lowest level ever, compared to most solar max cycles. As a matter of fact scientist have reported that this solar max cycle will be at 50% less than a normal solar max cycle. Possibly plunging us into a little ice age.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Here you can see the recent solar max cycle, compared to the last solar max cycle, is at 50% less. Notice the top of both curves;

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2012 10:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


But that period of Solar max intense activity is expected to be at the lowest level ever, compared to most solar max cycles. As a matter of fact scientist have reported that this solar max cycle will be at 50% less than a normal solar max cycle. Possibly plunging us into a little ice age.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Here you can see the recent solar max cycle, compared to the last solar max cycle, is at 50% less. Notice the top of both curves;

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Hum note that in one week we have had two storms falling into the 1 in a 100 category.... Yea something major different... And our magnetosphere is 1/3rd the strength it was last 4 cycles... Mmmmhhhhmmmm
Hugh M Eye

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01/28/2012 10:09 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The article above from Wikipedia says:


"They are of particular interest and importance because they can endanger life in outer space (especially particles above 40 MeV)."



40 MeV???


According to the proton flux chart:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


We are experiencing a surge in the amount of protons above 50 MeV...



This means that the lives of people in the ISS are endangered?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9737937


Thanks for posting, Brazil. NOAA has extended the warning for particles >100MeV. And , yes, I think the cosmonauts, taikonauts, and astronuts are in danger. Keep looking for info on this.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0
Serial Number: 52
Issue Time: 2012 Jan 28 0634 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 51
Valid From: 2012 Jan 27 1900 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 Jan 28 1630 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Rain-Man

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01/28/2012 10:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


But that period of Solar max intense activity is expected to be at the lowest level ever, compared to most solar max cycles. As a matter of fact scientist have reported that this solar max cycle will be at 50% less than a normal solar max cycle. Possibly plunging us into a little ice age.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Tell them my friend .. xD

I only believe in my data and what I see with my eyes, we will see already in this year ..

To match deformation have online and from scientist circles ..

All is relative ..

What I believe is that they dont know for this solar maximum what to expect ..

Also I think we entering stronger earthquake activities worldwide and stronger solar storms activity ..

Because our magnetic field weakening we will have more damage or danger for everything on Earth including life form health more extreme weather, earthquakes etc ..

Solar or radiation from space is very unpleasant thing and affects ALL ..

Last Edited by Rain-Man on 01/28/2012 10:44 AM
Hugh M Eye

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01/28/2012 10:32 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The article above from Wikipedia says:


"They are of particular interest and importance because they can endanger life in outer space (especially particles above 40 MeV)."



40 MeV???


According to the proton flux chart:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


We are experiencing a surge in the amount of protons above 50 MeV...



This means that the lives of people in the ISS are endangered?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9737937


Thanks for posting, Brazil. NOAA has extended the warning for particles >100MeV. And , yes, I think the cosmonauts, taikonauts, and astronuts are in danger. Keep looking for info on this.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0
Serial Number: 52
Issue Time: 2012 Jan 28 0634 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 51
Valid From: 2012 Jan 27 1900 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 Jan 28 1630 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


NASA claims astronauts are safe from radiation storm.

"An intense solar flare unleashed the biggest radiation storm in years today (Jan. 23), but astronauts aboard the International Space Station are not in any danger, NASA officials say."
[link to www.space.com]
Maybe they borrowed the EPA's technique and raised the "safe levels" of radiation. Either wikipedia is wrong or NASA is lying....probably both, lol.
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2012 10:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is a new vid and some update...



[link to www.youtube.com]
Hugh M Eye

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01/28/2012 10:58 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ACE solar wind data is still corrupted. SOHO measures SW velocity at 440 km/s.

SOHO Solar wind data:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

ACE SWEPAM:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
spock
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

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01/28/2012 11:06 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Here is a new vid and some update...



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Nice work! Is the opening soundtrack Klaus Schultze or Tangerine Dream?
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2012 11:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
First soundtrack:
"Nightbreak"

Second

"ImpactAndante"

both from Kevin MacLeod
[link to incompetech.com]
Hugh M Eye

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01/28/2012 12:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA extends high-energy proton warning AGAIN.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0
Serial Number: 53
Issue Time: 2012 Jan 28 1626 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 52
Valid From: 2012 Jan 27 1900 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 Jan 28 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Do you prefer your astronauts medium-rare or well-done?
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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Germany
01/28/2012 12:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA extends high-energy proton warning AGAIN.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0
Serial Number: 53
Issue Time: 2012 Jan 28 1626 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 52
Valid From: 2012 Jan 27 1900 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 Jan 28 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Do you prefer your astronauts medium-rare or well-done?
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


haha nice one hugh! mhh... i prefer well done :)
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2012 01:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
snow storm guys look!

[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]




[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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01/28/2012 01:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ACE solar wind data may be coming back to nominal.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Still not reflected on NICT sim though-

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2012 02:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
RADIATION STORM: Accelerated by yesterday's X-flare, energetic protons from the sun are swarming around Earth on Jan. 28th. The radiation storm ranks S2 on NOAA scales, which means this is not a severe storm. Nevertheless, it can still affect spacecraft and satellites at the nuisance level. For instance, this coronagraph image from SOHO is clouded by protons hitting SOHO's onboard digital camera.

[link to spaceweather.com]
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2012 02:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
what say you

start :40

[link to www.youtube.com]