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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
old guard

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01/30/2012 10:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
how about.. go to the top of the page where they have "users online". There is usually a moderator. Just click the mod, and ask them what's up.
WhiteEagleFeather
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01/31/2012 12:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Stephi or anyone have an idea of what is happening in these images.

What is this white bubble around the Sun here:
[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]

And what do these dark patches represent?
[link to secchi.nrl.navy.mil]

And this dark patch especially so close to the Sun?
[link to secchi.nrl.navy.mil]

What does this darkness represent? Is it something that is actually in space or is the camera and image processing interpreting something and showing it as dark patches?

Thanks, Jeff
Anonymous Coward
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01/31/2012 08:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Had a dream this morning of a X-42...blew the grids,cell phones,etc...every suntards dream...rockon
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

I had a dream about people being rebooted like a computer people were turned off then turned back on with a whole new brain everything got erased from before =S
must have been the cold meds hehehehe
 Quoting: gogo


That dream is going to happen.
That's what is going to bring the new golden age of peace.
imjustsayin

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01/31/2012 09:07 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow is she blinding bright this morning. No chemtrails yet. Sw Florida.
Love & Light...
Anonymous Coward
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01/31/2012 01:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow I don't know if it will last, but today after sending Trin the e-mail I am able to get back online. Microsoft says it's a problem with the web page.

The sun has been hot and active as of late. The cme last night, was only a glancing blow.

Please no X 40's earth directed. Where it's hard to get the actual numbers for what really happens anyway, that would be a worldwide emp for sure. The Carrington event actually had reported railroad ties blowing up. I have more to do here. :)

I didn't have any big ill effects from the cme as is the case when it's long lasting and strong.

Glad to be on this thread again.
imjustsayin

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01/31/2012 04:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow I don't know if it will last, but today after sending Trin the e-mail I am able to get back online. Microsoft says it's a problem with the web page.

The sun has been hot and active as of late. The cme last night, was only a glancing blow.

Please no X 40's earth directed. Where it's hard to get the actual numbers for what really happens anyway, that would be a worldwide emp for sure. The Carrington event actually had reported railroad ties blowing up. I have more to do here. :)

I didn't have any big ill effects from the cme as is the case when it's long lasting and strong.

Glad to be on this thread again.
 Quoting: finley


My aircard for pc took a hit last Thursday. Had to order a new one. hf
Love & Light...
Anonymous Coward
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01/31/2012 05:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
looks like a CME!
Anonymous Coward
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01/31/2012 05:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872

Seems earth directed, but no updates from stereo B make it hard to tell, hopefully it updates soon
Anonymous Coward
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01/31/2012 05:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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01/31/2012 05:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA'a THEMIS mission collaborates with NOAA's GOES and POES satellites to study the mysterious behavior of the Van Allen Radiation Belts and its response to solar activity.

"...the study of particle losses in the belts has so far provided more mystery and potential theories than concrete information. But understanding the radiation belts - and how they change as particles and energy come in or go out - is a crucial part of protecting satellites that fly through the region.

The Van Allen belts fit into a larger system that stretches from the sun to Earth. The sun sends out a constant stream of solar wind, not to mention occasional much larger bursts - such as explosions from the sun's atmosphere called coronal mass ejections (CMEs) or shock fronts caused by fast solar winds overtaking slower winds called corotating interaction regions (CIRs).

When these bursts of energy move toward Earth, they can disturb Earth's own magnetic environment, known as the magnetosphere, and create a geomagnetic storm. Sometimes these storms can cause a sudden drop in the radiation belt particles, seemingly emptying the belt in only a few hours. This "drop out" can last for days. What causes the drop out, why it lasts so long, and just how the particles even leave remain unanswered questions."

Very interesting report here:

[link to www.spacedaily.com]

In related news, two THEMIS craft have been re-purposed to study the Moon's interactions with the Sun. The new project is dubbed ARTEMIS ( Acceleration, Reconnection, Turbulence, Electrodynamics and the Moon's Interaction with the Sun)--what a mouthful,no wonder they abbreviate, lol.

According to NASA,"The ARTEMIS mission uses two of the five in-orbit spacecraft from another NASA Heliophysics constellation of satellites (THEMIS) that were launched in 2007 and successfully completed their mission earlier in 2010. The ARTEMIS mission allowed NASA to repurpose two in-orbit spacecraft to extend their useful science mission, saving tens of millions of taxpayer dollars instead of building and launching new spacecraft."

NASA is always thinking of the taxpayers.

Both missions can be explored here:

[link to www.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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01/31/2012 07:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A partial filament lift-off in the southwest has produced a modest CME. Almost 3/4 of the filament seems to remain so further eruptions are possible.

STEREO Ahead:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO Cor 2 image:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Big Bear Observatory movie (note several more filaments on disk):

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
old guard

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01/31/2012 08:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Hugh, I need to read that.
El Quisqueyano

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01/31/2012 09:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 01/31/12 at 0159utc/2059est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
old guard

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01/31/2012 09:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks El Q
El Quisqueyano

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01/31/2012 09:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks El Q
 Quoting: old guard


Your welcome. We all have our duties that we all must perform. The more of us wake up to this fact the better off the world would be.

Namaste.
Southern OR

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01/31/2012 10:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow I don't know if it will last, but today after sending Trin the e-mail I am able to get back online. Microsoft says it's a problem with the web page.

The sun has been hot and active as of late. The cme last night, was only a glancing blow.

Please no X 40's earth directed. Where it's hard to get the actual numbers for what really happens anyway, that would be a worldwide emp for sure. The Carrington event actually had reported railroad ties blowing up. I have more to do here. :)

I didn't have any big ill effects from the cme as is the case when it's long lasting and strong.

Glad to be on this thread again.
 Quoting: finley


I have a problem with this page when I try to log in from work...something like page has been reset, tab error, for an error message. Perfectly fine from home though.

Last Edited by Southern OR on 01/31/2012 10:14 PM
"Well-behaved women seldom make history." —Laurel Thatcher Ulrich

I am only one, but I am one. I cannot do everything, but I can do something. And I will not let what I cannot do interfere with what I can do. ~Edward Everett Hale
Southern OR

User ID: 7410435
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01/31/2012 10:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 01/31/12 at 0159utc/2059est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Hi El Q ~ if you get something like this along the Oregon coast line, as in Cascadia Subduction Zone, please message me. I do think you have shown enough data for correlation. As always, I appreciate your work!
"Well-behaved women seldom make history." —Laurel Thatcher Ulrich

I am only one, but I am one. I cannot do everything, but I can do something. And I will not let what I cannot do interfere with what I can do. ~Edward Everett Hale
El Quisqueyano

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01/31/2012 10:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 01/31/12 at 0159utc/2059est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Hi El Q ~ if you get something like this along the Oregon coast line, as in Cascadia Subduction Zone, please message me. I do think you have shown enough data for correlation. As always, I appreciate your work!
 Quoting: Southern OR


Unfortunately I can not pin point an exact location yet. Just be wary and follow the instructions in the event of an earthquake.
Southern OR

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01/31/2012 11:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 01/31/12 at 0159utc/2059est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Hi El Q ~ if you get something like this along the Oregon coast line, as in Cascadia Subduction Zone, please message me. I do think you have shown enough data for correlation. As always, I appreciate your work!
 Quoting: Southern OR


Unfortunately I can not pin point an exact location yet. Just be wary and follow the instructions in the event of an earthquake.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Will do. I know this is new science but I trust your gut instints. I have been watching this thread since the beginning and have the utmost respect for your research. My youngest daughter (17 years old) asked for an "earthquake prep box" for Christmas. We do not live in an area prone to quakes! But, if you do see a precursor for our area, please message me!
"Well-behaved women seldom make history." —Laurel Thatcher Ulrich

I am only one, but I am one. I cannot do everything, but I can do something. And I will not let what I cannot do interfere with what I can do. ~Edward Everett Hale
Too Dark Park

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02/01/2012 03:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar spot 1410 looks like a doughnut


:giorgiosunntd:
Nacht im Walde

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02/01/2012 07:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
looks awfully quiet on behind:

[link to www.solarham.com]
We don't see things as they are, we see things as we are. - Anais Nin
aether

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02/01/2012 07:58 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X Marks the Spot
Feb 1, 2012

An X-2 class solar flare recently missed a direct impact with Earth.

Heliophysicists classify solar flares according to their brightness in X-ray wavelengths. C-class flares are the smallest on the scale, with X-ray measurements in the 10^-6 watts per square meter range (W/m^2), while X-class flares can exceed 10^-4 W/m^2. Why is that important?

An X-2 solar flare has enough energy to overload satellite circuits and disrupt other forms of communication should its full force be directed at Earth.

Modern astronomers believe that solar flares, or coronal mass ejections (CME), occur when magnetic reconnection events in the Sun’s atmosphere cause a short circuit in “magnetic field lines”. According to one theory, ‘magnetic energy” then accelerates the superheated gases into space. Although no one knows what “magnetic reconnection” is, it is the only explanation offered.........................
 Quoting: observation

[link to www.thunderbolts.info]
El Quisqueyano

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02/01/2012 08:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 01/31/12 at 0159utc/2059est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


2012-02-01 07:14:20.4 3.71 S 102.38 E 10 mb 6.3 A SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA GSRC
Hugh M Eye

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02/01/2012 10:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
While poking around on the web, I found this X-Ray Flux chart from Nov. 1998. There's 4 X-flares and 3 M-flares within 72 hours. This was more than a year before the Solar Maximum of Cycle 23 in 2000. This is the type of activity we should soon be seeing in Cycle 24. I thought it would be good to keep things in perspective when folks claim the Sun's activity is at "unprecedented" or "catastrophic" levels. Actually, Cycle 24 has been an under-achiever so far. We should expect 50 or more X-flares this year.
x-ray11/98

Ironically, the NOAA 3-day forecast for the above dates was--
"SOLAR ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT LOW LEVELS"


[link to www.spacetoday.org]
Hugh M Eye

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02/01/2012 11:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA's IBEX (Interstellar Boundary Explorer) reveals new observations of interstellar matter:


'In a series of science papers appearing in the Astrophysics Journal on Jan. 31, scientists report finding 74 oxygen atoms for every 20 neon atoms in the interstellar wind. In our own solar system, there are 111 oxygen atoms for every 20 neon atoms. This translates to more oxygen in any part of the solar system than in nearby interstellar space.

"Our solar system is different than the space right outside it, suggesting two possibilities," says David McComas, IBEX principal investigator, at the Southwest Research Institute in San Antonio. "Either the solar system evolved in a separate, more oxygen-rich part of the galaxy than where we currently reside, or a great deal of critical, life-giving oxygen lies trapped in interstellar dust grains or ices, unable to move freely throughout space." '

More from NASA here:

[link to www.nasa.gov]

IBEX Mission homepage:

[link to www.nasa.gov]

spock
aether

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02/01/2012 12:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA's IBEX (Interstellar Boundary Explorer) reveals new observations of interstellar matter:


'In a series of science papers appearing in the Astrophysics Journal on Jan. 31, scientists report finding 74 oxygen atoms for every 20 neon atoms in the interstellar wind. In our own solar system, there are 111 oxygen atoms for every 20 neon atoms. This translates to more oxygen in any part of the solar system than in nearby interstellar space.

"Our solar system is different than the space right outside it, suggesting two possibilities," says David McComas, IBEX principal investigator, at the Southwest Research Institute in San Antonio. "Either the solar system evolved in a separate, more oxygen-rich part of the galaxy than where we currently reside, or a great deal of critical, life-giving oxygen lies trapped in interstellar dust grains or ices, unable to move freely throughout space." '

More from NASA here:

[link to www.nasa.gov]

IBEX Mission homepage:

[link to www.nasa.gov]

spock
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


add that to this:

Magnetoastrocoolness: How Cosmic Magnetic Fields Shape Planetary Systems

Jan 13 2012

When all else fails, introduce a magnetic field,” exoplanet theorist Dimitar Sasselov of Harvard University told an audience at the American Astronomical Society meeting this week.

Judging from his and others’ talks, all else has been failing a lot lately.
 Quoting: observation

[link to blogs.scientificamerican.com]
aether

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02/01/2012 12:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA's IBEX (Interstellar Boundary Explorer) reveals new observations of interstellar matter:


'In a series of science papers appearing in the Astrophysics Journal on Jan. 31, scientists report finding 74 oxygen atoms for every 20 neon atoms in the interstellar wind. In our own solar system, there are 111 oxygen atoms for every 20 neon atoms. This translates to more oxygen in any part of the solar system than in nearby interstellar space.

"Our solar system is different than the space right outside it, suggesting two possibilities," says David McComas, IBEX principal investigator, at the Southwest Research Institute in San Antonio. "Either the solar system evolved in a separate, more oxygen-rich part of the galaxy than where we currently reside, or a great deal of critical, life-giving oxygen lies trapped in interstellar dust grains or ices, unable to move freely throughout space." '

More from NASA here:

[link to www.nasa.gov]

IBEX Mission homepage:

[link to www.nasa.gov]

spock
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


How The Earth Got Its Water

There is only one place in the known universe that is capable of covering a planet sized object in a body of water. - The plasma coma of a brown dwarf star.

Brown dwarf stars exhibit spectral bands that show they are nothing but a huge pile of methane and water, with a photosphere temperature of only 1250.6 ºF. Some brown dwarfs have been detected with temperatures as low as 350ºF.

To put that in perspective, the temperatures in the upper thermosphere of the Earth can range from about 500° C (932° F) to 2,000° C (3,632° F) or higher. A planet like Earth could literally orbit inside the photosphere of a brown dwarf quite comfortably - Which is precisely where the Earth got its massive bodies of water from.

If the Earth was to orbit inside the plasma coma of a brown dwarf star, it would be shrouded in a constant red glow (perfect for plant growth), while a constant water/hydrocarbon rain poured down on the planet. Gee, that would also explain how the earth got its vast oil and gas reserves too!
 Quoting: observation

[link to www.libertariannews.org]
 Quoting: aether

Thread: Rogue Failed Star Is One of Smallest Ever Seen
Hugh M Eye

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02/01/2012 02:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:1413HMI:

Active regions 1410 and 1413 are growing in size and complexity. Both are directly facing Earth for the next few days. I expect we'll see some increased flaring soon from 1413.

Latest SDO HMI image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO sunspots image:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 02/01/2012 02:34 PM
dak

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02/01/2012 08:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
While poking around on the web, I found this X-Ray Flux chart from Nov. 1998. There's 4 X-flares and 3 M-flares within 72 hours. This was more than a year before the Solar Maximum of Cycle 23 in 2000. This is the type of activity we should soon be seeing in Cycle 24. I thought it would be good to keep things in perspective when folks claim the Sun's activity is at "unprecedented" or "catastrophic" levels. Actually, Cycle 24 has been an under-achiever so far. We should expect 50 or more X-flares this year.
x-ray11/98

Ironically, the NOAA 3-day forecast for the above dates was--
"SOLAR ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT LOW LEVELS"


[link to www.spacetoday.org]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


That's fascinating Hugh, thanks for sharing. Is there a way to find out about the effects of those flares...k index, proton flux, etc? I'm especially interested in how it compared with last week's proton events.

Count me another long time lurker who is sincerely grateful for what all of you do to inform and educate the rest of us. Thank you :)
Anonymous Coward
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02/02/2012 12:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M and X flare chances increased tp 15%
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

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