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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 9624053
United States
02/02/2012 12:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M and X flare chances increased tp 15%
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 9238369
Australia
02/02/2012 01:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
K index is really high now. I have extreme ringing in my ears. It is strange because everything else is quiet.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

(would embed image, but don't know how to)

Not even on the 27/1 I was having such extreme ear ringing.

D-rap is low

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Starwind

User ID: 4546990
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02/03/2012 01:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

why is the leading edge separated like that?


Edit: It changed but I grabbed a copy of what I'm talking about.

[link to imgur.com]

Last Edited by Starwind on 02/03/2012 01:33 AM
shenue

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02/03/2012 10:16 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
zacksavage
~~Unbound~~

User ID: 685161
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02/03/2012 11:52 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning
 Quoting: shenue


Goodmorning Sunshine.





Z
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 881092
United Kingdom
02/03/2012 02:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
K index is really high now. I have extreme ringing in my ears. It is strange because everything else is quiet.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

(would embed image, but don't know how to)

Not even on the 27/1 I was having such extreme ear ringing.

D-rap is low

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Alpha Leona


Can you explain about the ringing in your ears cause mine is constant now, it's a constant high tone. I'd like to know your thoughts on it. Thanks
old guard

User ID: 1405158
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02/03/2012 08:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
something is going on..far side of the sun has been active.
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10068170
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02/04/2012 12:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A filament eruption has produced a CME which appears to be somewhat Earth-directed. While most of the plasma seems to be directed above the ecliptic, STEREO A & B show a significant event.

STEREO A movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

STEREO B movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
explosionhiding

There are several filaments which bear watching still remaining on the Earth-side disk. Otherwise, solar activity is extremely low.
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10068170
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02/04/2012 01:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:cme2/4:

In the GONG H-Alpha movie notice the center-most filament in the northern hemisphere partially breaks up. Also prominences on the eastern limb can be seen erupting and producing "coronal rain".

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

More info on coronal rain here:

[link to news.discovery.com]


"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10068170
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02/04/2012 03:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Gaps in the GOES X-Ray Flux and other data caused by GOES 15 satellite's "Spring Eclipse" until April 27th. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Topic: GOES Spring 2012 Eclipse and Keep Out Zone/Stray Light Exclusion
Schedules

Date/Time Issued: February 2, 2012 1915 UTC

Product(s) or Data Impacted: GOES-13 (GOES-East), GOES-15 (GOES-West),
and GOES-12 (GOES-South America) Imager and Sounder Data

Date/Time of Initial Impact: February 2, 2012 0327 UTC

Date/Time of Expected End: April 27, 2012 0926 UTC

Length of Outage: See tables in detail.

Details/Specifics of Change: The Spring 2012 Eclipse and Keep Out Zone
(KOZ)/Stray Light Exclusion (SLZ) schedules are now available on our
mail web page at [link to www.ospo.noaa.gov]

[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]

NOAA Satellite Operations Center:

[link to www.oso.noaa.gov]

alien11 farside
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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02/04/2012 06:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Sun in VERY quiet today...
JustOneGuy

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02/04/2012 08:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi Nin,

The file I mentioned a bit ago is final now. I really don't't beleive there is a way to post it on the blog itself though...3400+ lines. Is perchance there somewhere here at GLP where large articles might be posted for all to access? If so, please let me know. Also, if you might want it as a pre-post, same applies...let me know.
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
nexuseditor

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Australia
02/04/2012 08:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Very quiet sun, but lots of quakes going off in the last 24 hours, all over 5.0M.

Maybe the pressure lifting off the plates is causing it?
"The nature of the universe is such that ends can never justify the means. On the contrary, the means always determine the end."
(Aldous Huxley)
old guard

User ID: 1405158
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02/04/2012 08:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar activity remains at very low levels. Sunspots 1410 and 1413 remain stable.

2 faraside CME'S were observed. Big ones.

[link to www.solarham.com]
El Quisqueyano

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02/04/2012 09:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/05/12 at 0145utc/2045est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
Anonymous Coward
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Germany
02/05/2012 11:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi allgrouphug,


im back nice to see ya around
Luisport

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02/05/2012 11:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi allgrouphug,


im back nice to see ya around
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Hi my friend!hf
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 9777192
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02/05/2012 11:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi allgrouphug,


im back nice to see ya around
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


5a
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
MamaHasAwakened

User ID: 7779224
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02/05/2012 12:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi allgrouphug,


im back nice to see ya around
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


cheer
Nacht im Walde

User ID: 10207122
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02/05/2012 12:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar activity remains at very low levels. Sunspots 1410 and 1413 remain stable.

2 faraside CME'S were observed. Big ones.

[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: old guard


We might very well have a spotless sun in 2 days if things don`t get heated up! With the xray chart posted above it is clear that this cycle is far weaker than SC23. I kind of doubt we will have a massive solar max...

[link to www.solarham.com]

On Stereo Behind there is almost no activity:

[link to www.solarham.com]
We don't see things as they are, we see things as we are. - Anais Nin
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 9777192
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02/05/2012 12:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar activity remains at very low levels. Sunspots 1410 and 1413 remain stable.

2 faraside CME'S were observed. Big ones.

[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: old guard


We might very well have a spotless sun in 2 days if things don`t get heated up! With the xray chart posted above it is clear that this cycle is far weaker than SC23. I kind of doubt we will have a massive solar max...

[link to www.solarham.com]

On Stereo Behind there is almost no activity:

[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: Nacht im Walde


Little Ice Age. Prepare yourselves.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 10049191
United States
02/05/2012 12:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar activity remains at very low levels. Sunspots 1410 and 1413 remain stable.

2 faraside CME'S were observed. Big ones.

[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: old guard


We might very well have a spotless sun in 2 days if things don`t get heated up! With the xray chart posted above it is clear that this cycle is far weaker than SC23. I kind of doubt we will have a massive solar max...

[link to www.solarham.com]

On Stereo Behind there is almost no activity:

[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: Nacht im Walde


Added 2/3/2012 @ 16:20 UTC
Farside Activity
The Earth facing side of the Sun may be quiet, however the farside of the Sun appears to be a different story. Yesterday there were two Coronal Mass Ejections, including this one which was directed to the north and away from Earth.

[link to www.solarham.com]

This was also on the Solarham site below .... so, no , its not weaking by any means.....
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10202623
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02/05/2012 03:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A very large filament is lifting off near the solar north pole. Be alert for signs of a large CME in the next hour or two. Mauna Loa Observatory has motion pictures of the action here:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]


explosionhiding
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 9493633
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02/05/2012 03:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
maybe the sun is on vacation??
Ozark

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02/05/2012 07:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi allgrouphug,


im back nice to see ya around
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


IWTB, how are you and your country doing with all of the snow and freezing temps? Glad you are back!
Favorite quote or Haiku,
Nikos Kazantzakis

" I said to the Almond tree, "Sister, speak to me of God..."
And the Almond tree blossomed...
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10202623
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02/05/2012 11:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A very large filament is lifting off near the solar north pole. Be alert for signs of a large CME in the next hour or two. Mauna Loa Observatory has motion pictures of the action here:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]


explosionhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


It's taken forever for any updates, but there is indeed a large CME seen on SOHO now.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

The filament was extremely large and seemed to snap in two as it lifted off in divergent directions. I theorize that this is why it looks like two CMEs. You can see it well on the SDO AIA 304a movie if you use the time from 20:00 to 23:58 UTC for Feb. 5.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Also, sunspot #1410 has some trailing spots quickly blooming which may bring us some long-awaited flaring soon.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10202623
United States
02/06/2012 06:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Double-header partial halo CME may have some Earth-directed elements.

SEEDS/SOHO movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

STEREO Ahead movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Stay tuned for the experts to announce "a possible glancing blow".
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
MamaHasAwakened

User ID: 7779224
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02/06/2012 08:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Double-header partial halo CME may have some Earth-directed elements.

SEEDS/SOHO movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

STEREO Ahead movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Stay tuned for the experts to announce "a possible glancing blow".
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Good Morning and thank you Hugh for posting that!
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10202623
United States
02/06/2012 11:13 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
UPDATE: CME Not Directed toward Earth.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Active Region 1410 is showing signs of increased activity with 6 B-flares so far today and X-ray background levels are rising. However, region will be rotating beyond the limb soon (2-3 days).

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]

[link to www.lmsal.com]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
JustOneGuy

User ID: 917684
United States
02/06/2012 02:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
FYI All,

After having went through the ENTIRETY of the NOAA X-ray plots
from mid-96 to date there were:

1996 July to December 3 M-Class, 1 X-Class Flares

1997 27 M-Class, 3 X-Class Flares

1998 90 M-Class, 15 X-Class Flares

1999 149 M-Class, 4 X-Class Flares

2000 156 M-Class, 11 X-Class Flares

2001 274 M-Class, 19 X-Class Flares

2002 190 M-Class, 9 X-Class Flares

2003 192 M-Class, 21 X-Class Flares

2004 111 M-Class, 10 X-Class Flares

2005 87 M-Class, 16 X-Class Flares

2006 11 M-Class, 2 X-Class

2007 12M-Class, 0 X-Class

2008 2 M-Class, 0 X-Class

2009 No Events >= M1

2010 18 M-Class 0 X-Class

2011 85 M-Class 8 X-Class

2012 5 M-Class 1 X-Class


Period----1387 M-Class 120 X-Class Since Mid 1996
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......

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