Godlike Productions - Conspiracy Forum
Users Online Now: 1,447 (Who's On?)Visitors Today: 256,789
Pageviews Today: 343,120Threads Today: 75Posts Today: 1,530
02:51 AM


Rate this Thread

Absolute BS Crap Reasonable Nice Amazing
 

SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10498853
United States
02/10/2012 11:00 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi Ya Nin....watching and waiting for the big show.... hope its painless
 Quoting: Gabriel


you and me both Gabe
i will always do my best to give heads up on any major event i see :)
hope your doing well!
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10498853
United States
02/10/2012 11:02 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sunspot 1416 right now
52% chance for M flare
41% chance for X flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]


SUNSPOT OF INTEREST:
For the second day in a row, sunspot AR1416 has doubled in size: movie. Moreover, it has developed a "beta-gamma" magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares.
Any such eruptions this weekend would be Earth directed as the sunspot turns to face our planet.

[link to spaceweather.com]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 02/10/2012 11:04 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10526491
United States
02/10/2012 11:18 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sunspot 1416 right now
52% chance for M flare
41% chance for X flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]


SUNSPOT OF INTEREST:
For the second day in a row, sunspot AR1416 has doubled in size: movie. Moreover, it has developed a "beta-gamma" magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares.
Any such eruptions this weekend would be Earth directed as the sunspot turns to face our planet.

[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hello, NIN, hugs,I hope you're feeling better tonight.

SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 10 Feb 2012, 1237UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 10 Feb 2012 until 12 Feb 2012)
SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet

COMMENT: Solar activity has been low, new NOAA AR 1416 (Catania 38) has
produced a series of B-class flares but is evolving fast and has
potential for more powerful events (up to the M level). There are two AR
rotating over the east limb which produced M-class flares during their
last transit.
:1416HMI:

Looks like ol' 1402 can be seen bubbling like a volcano on the northeast limb in a recent SDO image.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Southern OR

User ID: 7410435
United States
02/11/2012 12:42 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:sunartfeb2012:

New Solar Art Exhibit Opening

The new Sun as Art exhibit offers artistic interpretations of the Sun (with captions) based on solar images from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). This 20-piece show opens on Feb. 9. 2012 at the Maryland Science Center for three months to start its nationwide tour. The solar images were made possible by advances in imaging technology and sophisticated spacecraft engineering. Each of the framed and matted pieces is an impressive 36” x 30”...
[link to plus.google.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


This is beyond cool...
"Well-behaved women seldom make history." —Laurel Thatcher Ulrich

I am only one, but I am one. I cannot do everything, but I can do something. And I will not let what I cannot do interfere with what I can do. ~Edward Everett Hale
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10558811
United States
02/11/2012 09:50 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
He's baaack! Five straight flares from the NE limb including a C7.9.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

[link to www.lmsal.com]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

eqscared

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 02/11/2012 09:51 AM
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10558811
United States
02/11/2012 11:04 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME ALERT ! Arrival expected on 13th or 14th (depending which model is correct). NOAA's Enlil Model shows an almost direct hit and a later ETA than the NASA Cygnet model.

NOAA Enlil:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NASA Cygnet:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

SIDC Daily report:

SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 11 Feb 2012, 1236UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 11 Feb 2012 until 13 Feb 2012)
SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 111 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 113 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 116 / AP: 010
COMMENT: Solar activity has been low, new AR 1417 produced a C7.9 flare
with peak at 10:04 UT. This AR can produce more C-class flares and it
has lower chances of M-class flares. NOAA AR 1416 (Catania 38) has
increased in size and turned into a beta gamma magnetic configuration,
it has potential for M-class flares. There were two halo CMEs yesterday.
The first one, first seen at 13:48 UT, originating from a filament
eruption in the northwest limb is most likely not going to be
geoeffective, although a shock from this CME may hit the Earth. The
second one (20:00 UT) started also from a long filament eruption,
located in the northern hemisphere. This CME is expected to arrive to
the Earth around February 13, its travel time was estimated to be around
500km/s. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and expected to remain
so, unsettled levels (with possible isolated active periods) are
expected for tomorrow as the solar wind from a recurrent coronal hole
arrives to the Earth.
[link to sidc.oma.be]

sfan

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 02/11/2012 11:05 AM
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10498853
United States
02/11/2012 11:19 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
He's baaack! Five straight flares from the NE limb including a C7.9.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

[link to www.lmsal.com]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

eqscared
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


not back just yet ^^
the regions still lie over the limb
they should be popping over sometime tomorrow
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10563753
United States
02/11/2012 11:38 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
He's baaack! Five straight flares from the NE limb including a C7.9.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

[link to www.lmsal.com]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

eqscared
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


not back just yet ^^
the regions still lie over the limb
they should be popping over sometime tomorrow
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yes, I meant to point out SIDC has attributed the C7.9 to AR1417 in error. 1417 is the smaller sunspot group in the foreground, the flare originated beyond the limb. SDO close-up movie of C7.9 limb flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10575569
United States
02/11/2012 03:46 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
New region (the artist formerly known as 1402) hasn't lost much in its two week rotation on the far side. Another large flare (C7.7) and a possible CME. Both of these C7+ events would surely be M-class if the region wasn't occulted just over the limb....fasten your seatbelts, kids.

Recent SDO images:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Movie of latest C7.7 flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
hiding
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10575569
United States
02/11/2012 03:49 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ENLIL tracking model for yesterday's CME.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:Enlil2/14:
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10498853
United States
02/11/2012 05:02 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i just got a new blog post up
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Southern OR

User ID: 7410435
United States
02/12/2012 12:53 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i just got a new blog post up
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Why do they renumber the sunspots when they come back around?
"Well-behaved women seldom make history." —Laurel Thatcher Ulrich

I am only one, but I am one. I cannot do everything, but I can do something. And I will not let what I cannot do interfere with what I can do. ~Edward Everett Hale
shadasonic

User ID: 10309055
United States
02/12/2012 01:04 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Msn states the sun is pointing a loaded gun at us (sunspots), they know somethings coming down the line
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
02/12/2012 07:37 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i just got a new blog post up
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Goofy Thum

nice, new picture NINz

kiss me
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
02/12/2012 10:38 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Region 1416 increased in size from 100 to 400 millionths and is now a DHI type group


:region1416feb122:
Image from SDO shows region 1416 in white light and a magnetogram colour
The green (weak) and blue (strong) is positive polarity and yellow (weak) and red (strong) is negative polarity








:sunfulldiscfeb11:
Nice shot from the Dutch Observatory Feb11
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 10635262
Brazil
02/12/2012 10:44 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
bump
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
02/12/2012 10:59 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Star photos, and other cool time lapse vids...just wow

Check it out:
[link to www.astrosurf.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1535996
United States
02/12/2012 11:23 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Star photos, and other cool time lapse vids...just wow

Check it out:
[link to www.astrosurf.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


hf
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 10633381
United States
02/12/2012 12:28 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/12/12 at 1715utc/1215est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1540313
United States
02/12/2012 02:40 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i just got a new blog post up
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Wonderful!!! It's on my favs. now, thanks!!!5a5a
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1540313
United States
02/12/2012 02:42 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Star photos, and other cool time lapse vids...just wow

Check it out:
[link to www.astrosurf.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


thanks- WOW !
sunshine4mealwayz

User ID: 2698905
United States
02/12/2012 02:44 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It must be a bad one cause all our tv channels are totally screwed up today.
shenue

User ID: 5263313
United States
02/12/2012 03:39 PM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ENLIL tracking model for yesterday's CME.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:Enlil2/14:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I was just looking at Enlil and then saw you had posted this yesterday. It looks like we are going to take a hit. Is there anyway of knowing in advance how big of a hit it might be?
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1331430
United States
02/12/2012 06:26 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It must be a bad one cause all our tv channels are totally screwed up today.
 Quoting: sunshine4mealwayz


Netflix keeps going in and out for us, both through the Wii and the Roku. Came here to see what you guys know : )
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10580157
United States
02/12/2012 11:59 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ENLIL tracking model for yesterday's CME.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

:Enlil2/14:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I was just looking at Enlil and then saw you had posted this yesterday. It looks like we are going to take a hit. Is there anyway of knowing in advance how big of a hit it might be?
 Quoting: shenue


Hi, Shenue. hf
We can make guesses but no,not really. Sometimes when we expect a good hit we see little or no effect and when we expect a minor disturbance we get slammed. There are so many variables it's impossible to predict with any certainty; which is why NIN and her helpers keep close tabs on CMEs when they're incoming. It keeps life interesting, LOL.

Until the launches of ACE and STEREO, we hardly had a clue what was going on up there. Now we have a tenuous early warning system, but predictions as to effects are at best educated guesses. Science has learned a great deal more about the nature of solar-geomagnetic interactions in the past 15 years, but there are still many hidden mysteries yet to be unravelled.
cool2
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10580157
United States
02/13/2012 12:09 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA has updated their solar region summary, adding regions 1418, 1419, & 1420. AR1419 has been the most active and is the reincarnation of the X-flare producing region 1402 from last month.

:Product: Solar Region Summary
:Issued: 2012 Feb 13 0030 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 44 Issued at 0030Z on 13 Feb 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 12 Feb
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 12/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1416 S19W15 287 0380 Eki 11 16 Beta
1417 N18E32 240 0030 Cso 04 05 Beta
1418 S24E13 259 0010 Bxo 03 04 Beta
1419 N28E69 203 0080 Cso 04 04 Beta
1420 N13E69 203 0050 Hsx 04 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 12/2400Z Feb
Nmbr Location Lo
None
II. Regions Due to Return 13 Feb to 15 Feb
Nmbr Lat Lo
1408 N08 153
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Soteria flare predictor map:

[link to sidc.oma.be]

SDO HMI Intensitygram image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 10633381
United States
02/13/2012 07:53 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/13/12 at 1115utc/0615est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 10380641
United States
02/13/2012 08:05 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I went to Tellus Science Museum yesterday. They have a planetarium where they show movies on a big screen. The movie we watched was called Solar Storms. It was about the twin stereo satellites that monitor the storms coming from the sun. Unfortunately it didn't give any more information than you guys here give. It was interesting though and had some pretty cool animations showing how the storms come off the sun and impact earth. This thread gives way more information than the movie did. Keep up the good work everyone.
FyreStorm

User ID: 1244220
United States
02/13/2012 09:44 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning everyone

I see we have 5 spots rotating into view today

[link to www.lmsal.com]

gonna be a fun week for sure
Mindless Baseball Entertainment
[link to www.cheaprooftoptickets.com]

If you need any web work done
[link to www.intelligentdynamicsllc.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
02/13/2012 09:47 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The long sunspot cycle 23 predicts a significant temperature decrease in cycle 24

by Jan-Erik Solheim, Kjell Stordahl, Ole Humlum

Cornell University


Relations between the length of a sunspot cycle and the average temperature in the same and the next cycle are calculated for a number of meteorological stations in Norway and in the North Atlantic region. No significant trend is found between the length of a cycle and the average temperature in the same cycle, but a significant negative trend is found between the length of a cycle and the temperature in the next cycle. This provides a tool to predict an average temperature decrease of at least 1.0 "C from solar cycle 23 to 24 for the stations and areas analyzed...

[link to xxx.lanl.gov]

News