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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 11054450
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02/19/2012 01:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm still mystified by the slow solar wind speed.

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Here's one possibility:

When the high-speed solar wind emanating from the coronal holes runs into the slower solar wind, the interaction leads to a compression of the plasma and magnetic fields, forming corotating interaction regions (CIR) (Crooker et al., 1999). The CIRs seldom have fast shocks or continuous, strongly southward IMF Bz, and thus drive only moderate magnetospheric activity

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]

Found an index of 111 papers relating to coronal holes and I'm hard-pressed to find any mention of a slow SW speed coronal hole. They're practically synonymous with a high-speed stream (500km/s-800km/s). Also, the big spike in density is out of character for a coronal hole. This disturbance and the one 3 days ago are most unusual. We may see some groundbreaking heliophysics papers coming out next year if somebody figures it out.

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 01:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
t loos like NOAA has changes their Alert Reports a bit, adding some new info

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 676
Issue Time: 2012 Feb 19 0601 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2012 Feb 19 0600 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

------------------------------------------------------------

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 747
Issue Time: 2012 Feb 19 0424 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2012 Feb 19 0425 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Feb 19 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees
Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier
of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.


------------------------------------------------------------

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1560
Issue Time: 2012 Feb 19 0150 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2012 Feb 19 0147 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees
Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and
Alaska.


------------------------------------------------------------

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1867
Issue Time: 2012 Feb 19 0042 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2012 Feb 19 0041 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Feb 19 1241 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees
Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and
Alaska.
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 01:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
As usual very reactive ..
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 01:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm still mystified by the slow solar wind speed.

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Here's one possibility:

When the high-speed solar wind emanating from the coronal holes runs into the slower solar wind, the interaction leads to a compression of the plasma and magnetic fields, forming corotating interaction regions (CIR) (Crooker et al., 1999). The CIRs seldom have fast shocks or continuous, strongly southward IMF Bz, and thus drive only moderate magnetospheric activity

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]

Found an index of 111 papers relating to coronal holes and I'm hard-pressed to find any mention of a slow SW speed coronal hole. They're practically synonymous with a high-speed stream (500km/s-800km/s). Also, the big spike in density is out of character for a coronal hole. This disturbance and the one 3 days ago are most unusual. We may see some groundbreaking heliophysics papers coming out next year if somebody figures it out.

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


all this in normal conditions
this CH in question is of a southern position
the winds from it hit in a negative/southward direction
doing so, they connect with earths magnetic field and cause a storm
some CH winds are super slow, some are super fast
some winds dont connect or cause much differance
some connect and stir up a storm

it all depends on the compasition and location of the coronal hole
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 01:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
As usual very reactive ..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11072609


?
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 01:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Density has dropped significantly and SW velocity has increased. This is more in line with what's expected from a coronal hole. I anticipate the SW speed will increase further.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Kp index has risen to 5= Storm.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

K index of 6 at Tromso and maintaining a 7 at Dombas:

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

GOES Electron flux looking like spaghetti:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 02:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm still mystified by the slow solar wind speed.

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Here's one possibility:

When the high-speed solar wind emanating from the coronal holes runs into the slower solar wind, the interaction leads to a compression of the plasma and magnetic fields, forming corotating interaction regions (CIR) (Crooker et al., 1999). The CIRs seldom have fast shocks or continuous, strongly southward IMF Bz, and thus drive only moderate magnetospheric activity

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]

Found an index of 111 papers relating to coronal holes and I'm hard-pressed to find any mention of a slow SW speed coronal hole. They're practically synonymous with a high-speed stream (500km/s-800km/s). Also, the big spike in density is out of character for a coronal hole. This disturbance and the one 3 days ago are most unusual. We may see some groundbreaking heliophysics papers coming out next year if somebody figures it out.

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


all this in normal conditions
this CH in question is of a southern position
the winds from it hit in a negative/southward direction
doing so, they connect with earths magnetic field and cause a storm
some CH winds are super slow, some are super fast
some winds dont connect or cause much differance
some connect and stir up a storm

it all depends on the compasition and location of the coronal hole
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 10498853


Coronal hole SW speeds are never super-slow. Have you any citations?
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 02:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm still mystified by the slow solar wind speed.

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Here's one possibility:

When the high-speed solar wind emanating from the coronal holes runs into the slower solar wind, the interaction leads to a compression of the plasma and magnetic fields, forming corotating interaction regions (CIR) (Crooker et al., 1999). The CIRs seldom have fast shocks or continuous, strongly southward IMF Bz, and thus drive only moderate magnetospheric activity

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]

Found an index of 111 papers relating to coronal holes and I'm hard-pressed to find any mention of a slow SW speed coronal hole. They're practically synonymous with a high-speed stream (500km/s-800km/s). Also, the big spike in density is out of character for a coronal hole. This disturbance and the one 3 days ago are most unusual. We may see some groundbreaking heliophysics papers coming out next year if somebody figures it out.

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


all this in normal conditions
this CH in question is of a southern position
the winds from it hit in a negative/southward direction
doing so, they connect with earths magnetic field and cause a storm
some CH winds are super slow, some are super fast
some winds dont connect or cause much differance
some connect and stir up a storm

it all depends on the compasition and location of the coronal hole
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 10498853


Coronal hole SW speeds are never super-slow. Have you any citations?
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


they are low a lot of the time
the speeds have a lot to do with the size and location of the coronal holes
this because of how and where the winds come from within and around the coronal holes
just look at the last, lets say 10 coronal holes that we have had earth facing
out of those 10, how many of them have had Fast winds associated with them?
how about, lets say, over 500Km?
i will look up the exact number in the morning, but its 1-2 if that
the CH we have facing us right now is only producing wind speeds just above 400km
this is to be expected as solar max arrives
coronal holes act differantly in solar minimum, compaired to solar max
as i said a few days ago, there is a LOT we still have to learn about coronal holes
but, i believe they are the key to knowing exactly when we will see the peak of this solar max. this is why i have been spending most of my spare time researching coronal holes

slower transient coronal holes appear at solar maximum in lower latitudes
[link to docs.google.com (secure)]

coronal holes at solar max
[link to docs.google.com (secure)]


Fast and Slow Wind from Solar Coronal Holes
S. BRAVO AND G. A. STEWART
"Coronal holes have been identified as the sources of high-speed streams that appear in the solar wind, but comparisons of the coronal structure and solar wind observations suggest that they may also be the sources of slow wind, which could be emerging from the bordering, highly divergent regions of the hole."
"In particular, it has been observed that some properties of the solar wind depend on its velocity regime, being clearly different for fast and slow winds. The high-speed wind (u 650 km s-1) is characterized by a high temperature, a low density, and a low mass flux, while the low-speed wind (u 400 km s-1) is cooler, denser, and has a larger mass flux."
[link to iopscience.iop.org]
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 02:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: resignations
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 04:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C class flare
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 04:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: a weird dream last night

this was a recent strange dream about solar flares

weird stuff going on early people 2012
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 08:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
bump

i wanna see northern lights!!
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
02/19/2012 08:27 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
maybe good for visuals:

A 3-D way to release magnetic energy... fast!


Experiments discover a 3-D process by which magnetic reconnection can release energy faster than expected by classical theories.

Scientists at the U.S. Department of Energy's Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory (PPPL) have discovered a new process at work in a mysterious magnetic phenomenon that occurs both in the earth's atmosphere and in space, playing a role in events such as the aurora borealis and solar flares.

............................

.............cont.
 Quoting: observation

[link to www.physorg.com]

'Field lines' do not exist any more than elevation lines on topographical maps exit or isobars on weather maps exist as material objects in real 3-dimensional space. Elevation lines do not store 'earthquake energy' nor release it when they change rapidly during an earthquake. Isobars do not store 'storm energy' nor release it during a storm.

Magnetic fields are generated by electric currents. Period. When a current is steady, the field lines are steady. When the currents change, the field changes and the lines must be redrawn. The only way to get magnetic field lines to change is to change the underlying current systems. THAT is what's going on. The current circuit is disrupted, and the circuit impulsively 'unloads' into the breach point. There's your energy release, the change in the current system thus the change in the fields thus the change in the field lines.
 Quoting: observation


Last Edited by aether on 02/19/2012 08:31 AM
Gabriel

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02/19/2012 08:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
maybe good for visuals:

A 3-D way to release magnetic energy... fast!


Experiments discover a 3-D process by which magnetic reconnection can release energy faster than expected by classical theories.

Scientists at the U.S. Department of Energy's Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory (PPPL) have discovered a new process at work in a mysterious magnetic phenomenon that occurs both in the earth's atmosphere and in space, playing a role in events such as the aurora borealis and solar flares.

............................

.............cont.
 Quoting: observation

[link to www.physorg.com]

'Field lines' do not exist any more than elevation lines on topographical maps exit or isobars on weather maps exist as material objects in real 3-dimensional space. Elevation lines do not store 'earthquake energy' nor release it when they change rapidly during an earthquake. Isobars do not store 'storm energy' nor release it during a storm.

Magnetic fields are generated by electric currents. Period. When a current is steady, the field lines are steady. When the currents change, the field changes and the lines must be redrawn. The only way to get magnetic field lines to change is to change the underlying current systems. THAT is what's going on. The current circuit is disrupted, and the circuit impulsively 'unloads' into the breach point. There's your energy release, the change in the current system thus the change in the fields thus the change in the field lines.
 Quoting: observation

 Quoting: aether


For you Aether:


But if we suppose that the cosmic-ray particles are driven by electric and magnetic fields in space, in the same way as we accelerate particles in big laboratory accelerators, it is easy to see how they could reach very high energies indeed. We know that interstellar space is not absolutely void. Although the matter in it is very thin, certainly not more than an average of one atom per cubic centimeter, in the vastness of the universe it adds up to an enormous amount of material. In at least some regions the interstellar matter is ionized, so that it is a good electrical conductor. Furthermore, there are good arguments for assuming that a weak magnetic field (some millions of a gauss) pervades all of space. It is likely, therefore, that magnetohydrodynamic waves roam ceaselessly througlr space, generating weak but very extensive electric fields, especially near the stars. If so, we can picture charged atomic nuclei being propelled across electrified space, gathering speed as they go and crashing into the earth's atmosphere with energies far beyond any that could ever be generated within any star or planet.
zacksavage
~~Unbound~~

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02/19/2012 10:27 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
bump





Z
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 11092028
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02/19/2012 11:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm still mystified by the slow solar wind speed.

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Here's one possibility:

When the high-speed solar wind emanating from the coronal holes runs into the slower solar wind, the interaction leads to a compression of the plasma and magnetic fields, forming corotating interaction regions (CIR) (Crooker et al., 1999). The CIRs seldom have fast shocks or continuous, strongly southward IMF Bz, and thus drive only moderate magnetospheric activity

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]

Found an index of 111 papers relating to coronal holes and I'm hard-pressed to find any mention of a slow SW speed coronal hole. They're practically synonymous with a high-speed stream (500km/s-800km/s). Also, the big spike in density is out of character for a coronal hole. This disturbance and the one 3 days ago are most unusual. We may see some groundbreaking heliophysics papers coming out next year if somebody figures it out.

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


all this in normal conditions
this CH in question is of a southern position
the winds from it hit in a negative/southward direction
doing so, they connect with earths magnetic field and cause a storm
some CH winds are super slow, some are super fast
some winds dont connect or cause much differance
some connect and stir up a storm

it all depends on the compasition and location of the coronal hole
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 10498853


Coronal hole SW speeds are never super-slow. Have you any citations?
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


they are low a lot of the time
the speeds have a lot to do with the size and location of the coronal holes
this because of how and where the winds come from within and around the coronal holes
just look at the last, lets say 10 coronal holes that we have had earth facing
out of those 10, how many of them have had Fast winds associated with them?
how about, lets say, over 500Km?
i will look up the exact number in the morning, but its 1-2 if that
the CH we have facing us right now is only producing wind speeds just above 400km
this is to be expected as solar max arrives
coronal holes act differantly in solar minimum, compaired to solar max
as i said a few days ago, there is a LOT we still have to learn about coronal holes
but, i believe they are the key to knowing exactly when we will see the peak of this solar max. this is why i have been spending most of my spare time researching coronal holes

slower transient coronal holes appear at solar maximum in lower latitudes
[link to docs.google.com (secure)]

coronal holes at solar max
[link to docs.google.com (secure)]


Fast and Slow Wind from Solar Coronal Holes
S. BRAVO AND G. A. STEWART
"Coronal holes have been identified as the sources of high-speed streams that appear in the solar wind, but comparisons of the coronal structure and solar wind observations suggest that they may also be the sources of slow wind, which could be emerging from the bordering, highly divergent regions of the hole."
"In particular, it has been observed that some properties of the solar wind depend on its velocity regime, being clearly different for fast and slow winds. The high-speed wind (u 650 km s-1) is characterized by a high temperature, a low density, and a low mass flux, while the low-speed wind (u 400 km s-1) is cooler, denser, and has a larger mass flux."
[link to iopscience.iop.org]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 10779902


Thank you, NIN! OK, normal it is. I searched for two hours for a reference such as this and couldn't find one. I appreciate the info and stand corrected. It seems the edges of the holes interact with the adjacent coronal fields which causes "highly-divergent" and slower streams of SW. To quote the authors-

"An inverse dependence of the velocity of the wind on the divergence of the open field lines (near the Sun) along which the wind flows out into the interplanetary medium was first established by Levine, Altschuler, & Harvey (1977) by comparing observations with potential field models of the solar corona. More recently, Wang & Sheeley (1990), using a better coronal magnetic field model, reached the same conclusion. According to these models, low-divergence field lines emanate from the inner part of coronal holes and highly diverging ones from the borders"

[link to iopscience.iop.org]
ac
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02/19/2012 11:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So, we are in agreement, nothing to see here, move along? For now anyway?
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 11:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Two nice montages of the last big Earth-facing CME from the STEREO Behind pov:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

We also have a fast-growing active region (1422?) in the northern hemisphere. This region has produced the first C-flare in many days and we'll likely see many more. It's already the largest active region on the disk and still growing bigger.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 12:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Does anyone know what's causing this huge spike in protons on ACE?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


hidingwtf
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10779902
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02/19/2012 12:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Does anyone know what's causing this huge spike in protons on ACE?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


hidingwtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


im going to do a good run through of all data and see what i can find on this, or anything else i see out of place
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 01:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hello, NINzrezworshipsun4454 SDO spotted a large eruption in the NW polar region. It should look dramatic whenever SOHO and/or STEREO updates.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
El Quisqueyano

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02/19/2012 01:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Does anyone know what's causing this huge spike in protons on ACE?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


hidingwtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


im going to do a good run through of all data and see what i can find on this, or anything else i see out of place
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I said there would be another hit today same as yesterday, maybe stronger due to this GRB of the 12th;

[link to grb.sonoma.edu]

IMHO this is what is causing this strange energy waves.
NiNzrez (OP)

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02/19/2012 01:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Two nice montages of the last big Earth-facing CME from the STEREO Behind pov:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

We also have a fast-growing active region (1422?) in the northern hemisphere. This region has produced the first C-flare in many days and we'll likely see many more. It's already the largest active region on the disk and still growing bigger.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


if your talking about the new sunspot to the northeast of 1420, then yes i agree and it is growing Fast today
it should be numbered
looking over the latest SDO images, im suspecting this region produced a CME
it a bit harder to tell when the region is facing us directly on, but it sure looks like it

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 02/19/2012 01:33 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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02/19/2012 03:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
this new growing sunspot is going to wake up the Xray flux
keep an eye out
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

New Fast Growing Sunspot
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 02/19/2012 03:28 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 03:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
this new growing sunspot is going to wake up the Xray flux
keep an eye out
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

New Fast Growing Sunspot
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I checked the SDO movie (Intensitygram) and that sunspot was not even visible until approx. 40 hours ago...that is extremely fast growth. Try starting on Feb. 18:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO image of NW CME, not Earth-directed:

[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]
Hugh M Eye

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02/19/2012 04:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A BLAST FROM THE PAST...X28!!!


[link to www.youtube.com]

MEGA-FLARE: Giant sunspot 486 unleashed yet another powerful solar flare today (Nov. 4th, 1950 UT), and this one could be historic. The blast saturated X-ray detectors onboard GOES satellites at X17.4 for 11 minutes.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
old guard

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02/19/2012 06:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Another storm
solar wind at 464, Mag BZ at -5.7
Anonymous Coward
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02/19/2012 06:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ahhhhh i wanna c the northern lights soooo bad lol

is there a chance tonightÉÉÉ

im in southern ontario
solar2004

User ID: 7581004
Canada
02/19/2012 07:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ahhhhh i wanna c the northern lights soooo bad lol

is there a chance tonightÉÉÉ

im in southern ontario
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1282684


You could have seen it yesterday for it reached some parts of the US. Tonight there will be a very low chance. If the Bz goes back into the negative there will be a better chance for aurora. The solar winds are still high as we are still going though the coronal hole.

Link below for ovation aurora forecast.
[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10779902
United States
02/19/2012 07:03 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Another storm
solar wind at 464, Mag BZ at -5.7
 Quoting: old guard


ahhhhh i wanna c the northern lights soooo bad lol

is there a chance tonightÉÉÉ

im in southern ontario
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1282684


we have to keep watch on the Bz
if it turns far south (negative) then you have a good chance
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
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