Godlike Productions - Conspiracy Forum
Users Online Now: 2,173 (Who's On?)Visitors Today: 950,974
Pageviews Today: 1,271,510Threads Today: 295Posts Today: 6,019
11:36 AM


Rate this Thread

Absolute BS Crap Reasonable Nice Amazing
 

SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/04/2012 05:50 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
guess which region^^

New active 1429:
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

M 1.9 so far
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/04/2012 06:02 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay it was at max M2.0 now its M1.8 still in pogress
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Latest SAM

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

We can confirm Region 1429


There is also a CME seen on Stereo Images but this belongs to another event on the farside
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Watch latest Stereo Behind EUVI 195 VID
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

You can see close behind the east limb (bit north) a eruption and another one left side
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11888647
Japan
03/04/2012 06:23 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
5a
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11888363
India
03/04/2012 06:25 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay it was at max M2.0 now its M1.8 still in pogress
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Latest SAM

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

We can confirm Region 1429


There is also a CME seen on Stereo Images but this belongs to another event on the farside
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Watch latest Stereo Behind EUVI 195 VID
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

You can see close behind the east limb (bit north) a eruption and another one left side
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Do we have multiple erruptions???? Is it earth directed???
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/04/2012 06:30 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay it was at max M2.0 now its M1.8 still in pogress
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Latest SAM

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

We can confirm Region 1429


There is also a CME seen on Stereo Images but this belongs to another event on the farside
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Watch latest Stereo Behind EUVI 195 VID
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

You can see close behind the east limb (bit north) a eruption and another one left side
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Do we have multiple erruptions???? Is it earth directed???
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11888363


We can see now on StereoBehind EUVI
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

that the flare triggered some cme around 1429, its to early

The CME we seen on Stereo Ahead C2 earlier todaywas not earth directed and belongs to a farside event
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Stereo Ahead earth is to the left
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/04/2012 07:03 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay it was at max M2.0 now its M1.8 still in pogress
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Latest SAM

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

We can confirm Region 1429


There is also a CME seen on Stereo Images but this belongs to another event on the farside
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Watch latest Stereo Behind EUVI 195 VID
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

You can see close behind the east limb (bit north) a eruption and another one left side
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Okay we have another Long duration M-flare and its still in pogress

LMSAL confirms Region 1429:


2012/03/04 10:29:00 10:52:00 10:45:00 M2.0 N16E64 ( 1429 )

[link to www.lmsal.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11889982
India
03/04/2012 07:12 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is the CME earth facing???
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/04/2012 07:13 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and we can see now a CME from this event on Stereo imagery:


Stereo Behind C2
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Stereo Ahead C2
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Region 1429 is not in earth view but the cme looks very bright so i guess a portion of it could hit us

But lets wait a bit for more data
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 11847183
United States
03/04/2012 07:26 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and we can see now a CME from this event on Stereo imagery:


Stereo Behind C2
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Stereo Ahead C2
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Region 1429 is not in earth view but the cme looks very bright so i guess a portion of it could hit us

But lets wait a bit for more data
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Hey...wow...good morning. Wild-looking cme there. Here's sdo close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

Need to go back to sleep now....will check back later..
hiding
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/04/2012 07:36 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and we can see now a CME from this event on Stereo imagery:


Stereo Behind C2
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Stereo Ahead C2
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


Region 1429 is not in earth view but the cme looks very bright so i guess a portion of it could hit us

But lets wait a bit for more data
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Hey...wow...good morning. Wild-looking cme there. Here's sdo close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

Need to go back to sleep now....will check back later..
hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye



hey hugh and big thx will put it in :)

come back soon !
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11850216
United States
03/04/2012 08:02 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning IWTB ... and to the M that is still a C 2 hrs later. This one's progression will be interesting to watching in the coming days !!!





SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 Mar 04 1126 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Mar 04 1135 UTC
End Time: 2012 Mar 04 1212 UTC
Duration: 46 minutes
Peak Flux: 750 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/04/2012 08:05 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning IWTB ... and to the M that is still a C 2 hrs later. This one's progression will be interesting to watching in the coming days !!!
 Quoting: TS66


Hiya TS66,

oh yepohyeah and we should also keep an eye on the filament next to it
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11889982
India
03/04/2012 08:11 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning IWTB ... and to the M that is still a C 2 hrs later. This one's progression will be interesting to watching in the coming days !!!
 Quoting: TS66


Hiya TS66,

oh yepohyeah and we should also keep an eye on the filament next to it
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Yes its a long duration one with a bright CME.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11850216
United States
03/04/2012 08:23 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So the filament is the energy that flails around like a whip, yes ??? I haven't identified it yet on the latest images (if I'm even looking for the right thing) on Solarham.

I did find this little snippet of interest also :

Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1 (04 March) as a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) is expected to become
geoeffective. Mostly quiet conditions are expected on day 2 (05
March). On day 3 (06 March) another CH HSS is expected to move into
geoeffective position causing quiet to unsettled conditions.

III. Event Probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar
Class M 55/55/55
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green

Now, would that be the coronal hole center south on this image ????

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
shadasonic

User ID: 10309055
United States
03/04/2012 08:45 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

[link to www.youtube.com]

this will be a intersting week hehe

i need some

:doomjuiceiwan:
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Mark my words. The sun will be quite this week.100%confident.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11877170


Well it got loud awful quick LOL
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/04/2012 09:36 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay we have a new LDE Flare


:samgiflongdurati:

A long duration M2.0 Solar Flare peaked this morning at 10:45 UTC

and its still in pogress

:xraymarch4:
check X-ray:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

We noticed also a radioburst (Tenflare)
It reached 750 pfu


What is a Tenflare:

A tenflare is associated with optical and x-ray flares. Solar flares emit radiation over a very wide range of frequencies. One of the more significant frequencies observed is the 10.7 cm wavelength band (2695 MHz). When a solar flare erupts, "noise" from the flare is received over this very wide range of frequencies.

When the noise received on the 10.7 cm wavelength band surpasses 100% of the background noise level during a solar flare, a Tenflare is said to be in progress. The more intense solar flares are associated with tenflares. Almost all major flares are associated with tenflares.

Generally, the greater the intensity of the burst of noise observed at the 10.7 cm wavelength band, the more significant the flare is said to be. The duration of the tenflare can also be used to determine the severity of the flare.

Other important flare characteristics are also determined from the radio data observed from flares, which are closely related to the various physical processes which occur in flares. These characteristics are far beyond the scope of this document.
[link to www.sci.fi]



:sdo131mflaremarc:
Enlarge:
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]


A CME was also inbounded as we can see on Stereo images
:CMEstereoaheadm2:

:StereoBehindcmem:

Latest StereoBehind C2:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Region 1429 is not in earthview right now but the CME looks bright. A portion of this cme could be geoeffective



[link to www.youtube.com]


Edit:


Current Sunspots 15:21UTC 03/04/2012

[link to i1220.photobucket.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11850216
United States
03/04/2012 10:23 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can't wait to see how it all plays out.
Luisport

User ID: 11891956
Portugal
03/04/2012 10:27 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can't wait to see how it all plays out.
 Quoting: TS66

I never see a so long event... we continue in a c territory.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 10770979
United States
03/04/2012 10:29 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
sunspot numbers are dropping when they should be rising. While this drop in SSN number might appear to some as a signal for a possible peaking of cycle 24, there is other evidence that suggests otherwise. For example the Solar Polar Field Strength. Usually the polarity of the North and South solar hemispheres flips at solar max. As you can see in the graph we are close but not quite there yet. And, it has flattened out compared with previous recent transitions.


[link to wattsupwiththat.com]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 11842072
United States
03/04/2012 10:34 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Mornning all...coffe and sundoom....rockon
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11898272
India
03/04/2012 10:53 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can't wait to see how it all plays out.
 Quoting: TS66


I am sure it is not going to have any effect on earth.BTW once it becomes earth side it will lose its power to produce solar flares 100% confident
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11850216
United States
03/04/2012 11:07 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can't wait to see how it all plays out.
 Quoting: TS66


I am sure it is not going to have any effect on earth.BTW once it becomes earth side it will lose its power to produce solar flares 100% confident
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11898272


Mark my words. The sun will be quite this week.100%confident.


Unless you have some direct connection with a "higher power" I'm not sure where you coming up with your conclusions, not to mention, incorrect ones.
Luisport

User ID: 11891956
Portugal
03/04/2012 11:08 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can't wait to see how it all plays out.
 Quoting: TS66

I never see a so long event... we continue in a c territory.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Luisport


This is going on for five hours and it's rising again!!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11458371
United Kingdom
03/04/2012 11:09 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
climbing again!
[link to www.solarham.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/04/2012 11:14 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
climbing again!
[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11458371



C 1.9
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/04/2012 11:28 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A filament in the northern hemisphere, east side of the solar disk, erupted around 1UT, March 04. The active region 1429, located near one end of the filament was at that moment flaring in the B-level. This active region was the source of 2 M-flares and several C-flares from March 02 onwards. With the M2.0 flare peaking at 10:45 this morning, another CME is associated. Because of the location of the source region on the solar disk, the CME's are probably not ejected straight to Earth. More M-flares are likely. There might be a small geomagnetic influence (K=3-4) from the long stretched coronal hole in the southern hemisphere from tomorrow onwards.
[link to sidc.oma.be]



Mar 04 1601 UTC CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 5369266
United Kingdom
03/04/2012 11:44 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Look at this drop in the Electron Flux: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Swoosh!
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The electron flux has been following this basic pattern for over twelve years now
 Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1111005


Actually you are wrong..this is choppy..it usually flows alot more smoothly than this.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 11898933
United States
03/04/2012 11:47 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay we have a new LDE Flare


:samgiflongdurati:

A long duration M2.0 Solar Flare peaked this morning at 10:45 UTC

and its still in pogress

:xraymarch4:
check X-ray:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

We noticed also a radioburst (Tenflare)
It reached 750 pfu


What is a Tenflare:

A tenflare is associated with optical and x-ray flares. Solar flares emit radiation over a very wide range of frequencies. One of the more significant frequencies observed is the 10.7 cm wavelength band (2695 MHz). When a solar flare erupts, "noise" from the flare is received over this very wide range of frequencies.

When the noise received on the 10.7 cm wavelength band surpasses 100% of the background noise level during a solar flare, a Tenflare is said to be in progress. The more intense solar flares are associated with tenflares. Almost all major flares are associated with tenflares.

Generally, the greater the intensity of the burst of noise observed at the 10.7 cm wavelength band, the more significant the flare is said to be. The duration of the tenflare can also be used to determine the severity of the flare.

Other important flare characteristics are also determined from the radio data observed from flares, which are closely related to the various physical processes which occur in flares. These characteristics are far beyond the scope of this document.
[link to www.sci.fi]



:sdo131mflaremarc:
Enlarge:
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]


A CME was also inbounded as we can see on Stereo images
:CMEstereoaheadm2:

:StereoBehindcmem:

Latest StereoBehind C2:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Region 1429 is not in earthview right now but the CME looks bright. A portion of this cme could be geoeffective



[link to www.youtube.com]


Edit:


Current Sunspots 15:21UTC 03/04/2012

[link to i1220.photobucket.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


What are you seeing at the end of the video? Was that a filament eruption B4 the M-flare? That CME seemed to have a backside and frontside projection.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO has a crucial 5-hour data gap:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 5369266
United Kingdom
03/04/2012 11:53 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks to those who answered my earlier questions.. i was just wondering if there is a program where you can go back and see the orbit of the moon and earth etc on a ceratin date in the past.. i think i remember seeng something from jpl i think it was.. maybe i was wrong.. if someone can help me with a link that would be awesome
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11802684


I just had a quick look for a program for you but to no avail..If you have'nt already you could search 'Cornell University,Moon Orbit is Wrong'..I can remember seeing that a little while back.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10498853
United States
03/04/2012 11:54 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A filament in the northern hemisphere, east side of the solar disk, erupted around 1UT, March 04. The active region 1429, located near one end of the filament was at that moment flaring in the B-level. This active region was the source of 2 M-flares and several C-flares from March 02 onwards. With the M2.0 flare peaking at 10:45 this morning, another CME is associated. Because of the location of the source region on the solar disk, the CME's are probably not ejected straight to Earth. More M-flares are likely. There might be a small geomagnetic influence (K=3-4) from the long stretched coronal hole in the southern hemisphere from tomorrow onwards.
[link to sidc.oma.be]



Mar 04 1601 UTC CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76

this is something i posted on another thread that was talking about the sunspot number
so many of us will see all over the place how the sunspot number is so low and because of this, were expecting a weak peak to this solar cycle, and that it could be a few more years before we event see the solar max

its not the sunspots that we need to worrie about
they wont really do much damage to us here on Earth
what we need to be watching is the CME's and Filaments
the mass the sun flings at earth is what will do major damage here on the ground

you know, before this solar cycle, they use to say that Filaments on the sun were a rare thing
now we see them all over the sun and they snap and lift off almost as much as we see ordinary CME's

We are in solar cycle 24 right now with this cycle about to peak
just a quick look back at the time directly before solar cycle 23 peaked, in 2001, will tell a story

"Sept. 13, 2000 -- On Monday, Sept. 11, the sunspot number dropped to its lowest value of the year. The face of the Sun looked remarkably blank with only a few tiny spots visible in telescopes."

"You don't need sunspots to have filaments, so these types of explosions can occur even when the sunspot number is low."
[link to science.nasa.gov]

only 7 months after the above report, we seen the 2nd largest solar flare ever recorded
"a very large solar flare occurred on April 2, 2001, an X20-class, but the blast was directed away from Earth. This flare was the second most powerful ever recorded"
[link to en.wikipedia.org]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?

News