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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 921787
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03/06/2012 02:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Activity is sure slowing down...tomato
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 5369266
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03/06/2012 02:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12018235


Wow!?

Crazy looking Coronal Ejections!?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11850216
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03/06/2012 02:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
DOUBLE-WHAMMY-Upon further analysis, I believe there were two CMEs launched early on the 6th. A CME from an M1-flare at approx. 04:00 utc and and the second from another M1 @ approx. 08:00 utc. The second CME blasted underneath the expanding canopy of the first CME. They'll most likely be merged together before they reach the Earth. The two separate pulses are most easily observed on the STEREO B movie.

SEEDS STEREO A Cor 2 movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

SEEDS STEREO B Cor 2 movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

NASA projected track of CME:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

hidingtomatohiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Nice catch, you can really see it on 0-1 speed.hf
Spittin'Cesium

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03/06/2012 02:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
this video spans two days - up until about 2 1/2 hours ago



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Is that your YT Channel!?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11850216
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03/06/2012 02:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Activity is sure slowing down...tomato
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


It's only becuase you said that you know .... lol. C2.7 and ^^


C2.7
RTS REDUX

User ID: 8620349
United States
03/06/2012 02:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
this video spans two days - up until about 2 1/2 hours ago



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Is that your YT Channel!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


yup :/

I never used it up until about last December. I'd like to change my handle on that account but I guess YT doesn't allow that unless you cancel ALL your Google accounts and start over for some reason
"If one understands that socialism is not a share-the-wealth programme, but is in reality a method to consolidate and control the wealth, then the seeming paradox of super-rich men promoting socialism becomes no paradox at all. Instead, it becomes logical, even the perfect tool of power-seeking megalomaniacs.

Communism or more accurately, socialism, is not a movement of the downtrodden masses, but of the economic elite."

Gary Allen

NONE DARE CALL IT CONSPIRACY
~~~~~~~~~~~~
Hitler was a leftist
[link to constitutionalistnc.tripod.com]

01sigao
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 5369266
United Kingdom
03/06/2012 02:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think in this image you can see 1429 strting to onnect more with 1430..the loop around the bottom of 29 looks like it's feeding toward 30 and the arc above 30 going toward 29: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I think that's what I'm seeing..anyone else?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 5369266
United Kingdom
03/06/2012 03:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
this video spans two days - up until about 2 1/2 hours ago



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Is that your YT Channel!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


yup :/

I never used it up until about last December. I'd like to change my handle on that account but I guess YT doesn't allow that unless you cancel ALL your Google accounts and start over for some reason
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


I know..YT and Googles policies suck egss hard..but anyhoo,I just subbed to your Channel : )

BL2.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 5369266
United Kingdom
03/06/2012 03:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
DOUBLE-WHAMMY-Upon further analysis, I believe there were two CMEs launched early on the 6th. A CME from an M1-flare at approx. 04:00 utc and and the second from another M1 @ approx. 08:00 utc. The second CME blasted underneath the expanding canopy of the first CME. They'll most likely be merged together before they reach the Earth. The two separate pulses are most easily observed on the STEREO B movie.

SEEDS STEREO A Cor 2 movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

SEEDS STEREO B Cor 2 movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

NASA projected track of CME:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

hidingtomatohiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Nice catch, you can really see it on 0-1 speed.hf
 Quoting: TS66


Strange little blob for a CME!?

It's a dead on strike though,I think: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

I'll just check again and see if it's going over or below us.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/06/2012 03:03 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 5369266
United Kingdom
03/06/2012 03:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think it's just clipping above us..though I'm not positive.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/06/2012 03:06 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
RTS REDUX

User ID: 8620349
United States
03/06/2012 03:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
this video spans two days - up until about 2 1/2 hours ago



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Is that your YT Channel!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


yup :/

I never used it up until about last December. I'd like to change my handle on that account but I guess YT doesn't allow that unless you cancel ALL your Google accounts and start over for some reason
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


I know..YT and Googles policies suck egss hard..but anyhoo,I just subbed to your Channel : )

BL2.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


cheers

btw..just checked the date on my first upload and it was actually back in the first part of January, so I'm still learning about editing etc. I really need to work on those skills. IWTB is a good role model IMO. I aspire to get 1/2 as good as he is at editing assuming I ever get around to it chuckle
"If one understands that socialism is not a share-the-wealth programme, but is in reality a method to consolidate and control the wealth, then the seeming paradox of super-rich men promoting socialism becomes no paradox at all. Instead, it becomes logical, even the perfect tool of power-seeking megalomaniacs.

Communism or more accurately, socialism, is not a movement of the downtrodden masses, but of the economic elite."

Gary Allen

NONE DARE CALL IT CONSPIRACY
~~~~~~~~~~~~
Hitler was a leftist
[link to constitutionalistnc.tripod.com]

01sigao
Hugh M Eye

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03/06/2012 03:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
From NOAA-

Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to active for day 1 (06 Mar) due to combined effects from the M4/CME event observed on 04 March and a favorably positioned coronal hole high speed stream. Active conditions with a chance for minor storm periods are forecast for the second day (07 Mar) due to a expected glancing blow from today's X1/full halo CME. Predominantly unsettled levels are expected for the third day (08 Mar).
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The ENLIL CME Model appears to show CME arrival (glancing blow) at approx. 05:00 UTC on the 7th (+/- 6 hrs.). NASA's forecast was way off again. The most recent CMEs have not been added to the forecast yet.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

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United Kingdom
03/06/2012 03:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think we are about to see another long(ish)duration Flare: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Climbing slowly,horizontally.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 5369266
United Kingdom
03/06/2012 03:29 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think we are about to see another long(ish)duration Flare: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Climbing slowly,horizontally.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Or not : )

Think it just topped out.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
PolarBear418

User ID: 1167185
United States
03/06/2012 03:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think we are about to see another long(ish)duration Flare: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Climbing slowly,horizontally.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Or not : )

Think it just topped out.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


looks to be trending back up
El Quisqueyano

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03/06/2012 03:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We are already experiencing the internet outages. I have never seen the internet so choppy, goes in and out very frequently. Especially during the day. Has got to be energetic neutron proton raining in as we speak.
Hugh M Eye

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03/06/2012 03:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Simultaneous flaring again from 1427 (on west limb!) and 1429. She's getting ready to pop a big one soon.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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03/06/2012 03:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
a small summery
takes me a bit longer..busy at real life..
The Sun woke up--X-flare and 8 M flares last 24hours--03/06/2012


[link to www.youtube.com]
PolarBear418

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03/06/2012 03:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We are already experiencing the internet outages. I have never seen the internet so choppy, goes in and out very frequently. Especially during the day. Has got to be energetic neutron proton raining in as we speak.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


I work in tech support and I just had a call where the site lost network and cell phones for a couple of mins, they have no idea why.
truz1980

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03/06/2012 03:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Not sure how many keep track but wanted you to see what Gab has posted on his theard.

"Quick window for posting: please pay attention to Nin's thread... they are starting to tell the story.... initial clues to incoming will be internet outages, satellite, eventually cell phone... last and most damaging, electrical grids..."

Thread: F.O.G. (Page 321)
Anonymous Coward
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03/06/2012 03:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Simultaneous flaring again from 1427 (on west limb!) and 1429. She's getting ready to pop a big one soon.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


oh yep,

i noticed on sdo aia 171 some pre flaring loops...
El Quisqueyano

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03/06/2012 03:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We are already experiencing the internet outages. I have never seen the internet so choppy, goes in and out very frequently. Especially during the day. Has got to be energetic neutron proton raining in as we speak.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


I work in tech support and I just had a call where the site lost network and cell phones for a couple of mins, they have no idea why.
 Quoting: PolarBear418


Well then, get yourself a promotion and let them know.
Rain-Man

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03/06/2012 03:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sunspot Region 1429-
Chance for Solar Flares at This Time- 16:00 UTC:

63% chance of producing a M Flare

66% chance of producing a X Flare


[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

keep watch on the 1min Xray flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


March 7-11, 2011 solar flares and sunspots ..

I expect in next 12 days earthquake of M 7.0 + to time Sun leave our view ..

[link to s1206.photobucket.com]
 Quoting: Rain-Man


Here you can see how develops of the sunspots, put 480p ..



February 2012 Sunspot Rotation



Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/06/2012 04:09 PM
Rain-Man

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03/06/2012 03:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

PolarBear418

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03/06/2012 04:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We are already experiencing the internet outages. I have never seen the internet so choppy, goes in and out very frequently. Especially during the day. Has got to be energetic neutron proton raining in as we speak.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


I work in tech support and I just had a call where the site lost network and cell phones for a couple of mins, they have no idea why.
 Quoting: PolarBear418


Well then, get yourself a promotion and let them know.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


5a
PolarBear418

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03/06/2012 04:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X Ray Flux going up again
Anonymous Coward
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03/06/2012 04:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C9.7 .... thought for sure it would be an M
zacksavage
~~Unbound~~

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03/06/2012 04:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
a small summery
takes me a bit longer..busy at real life..
The Sun woke up--X-flare and 8 M flares last 24hours--03/06/2012


[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


You pack quite a bit into that little minuet. Sweet!!



Z
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
PolarBear418

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03/06/2012 04:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C9.7 .... thought for sure it would be an M
 Quoting: TS66


Maybe its not done
Anonymous Coward
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03/06/2012 04:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C9.7 .... thought for sure it would be an M
 Quoting: TS66


Maybe its not done
 Quoting: PolarBear418


nice another M flare...

M 1.3 woohoo
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

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