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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 12:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am traveling from Seattle to Paris tomorrow so over northern Canada. Horrible timing. Is the radiation going to be a huge concern in the plane?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2405841


I think in these situations most flights that might be affected are re-routed to lower latitudes but im not positive.
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa


The airlines keep pretty close tabs on space weather events. I think the Airline Pilots union requires they at least keep their pilots safe. Not to alarm you, but if a big x-flare occurs during the flight you may be exposed to a little radiation. Keep in mind that pilots and flight crews get a lot more exposure than most passengers so I would trust they will err on the side of caution. All these NOAA alerts and Warnings go directly to airports and airlines the world over, so they are fully aware of the space weather factor. Godspeed and have a safe, fun trip!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thanks for this info. Good point about the crew as they are just as concerned as I am! Maybe I can minimize the radiation by opting out of the TSA body screen? Oh wait, I do that anyways!

All this doom, specifically Israel potentially attacking Iran and now the sun events, have me really concerned about leaving my preps. I hope I do not have bad luck and something really bad happens and I am stuck on the other side of the world. But, I try to tell myself, I will be with family members of there. If something happens, so be it, at least I will be around family. Getting way from GLP will be a good thing too since I worry too much these days!
tomasgod1

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03/07/2012 12:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yee Haww!

Game On!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


OE was trying to entice you with dancing chimps the other night it must have worked. Good to see you back!
 Quoting: shadasonic


hi

Sorry I missed that!

otang
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 12:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Carrington Event: Flare or CME?
A Report

[link to climate.arm.ac.uk]
tomasgod1

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03/07/2012 12:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
happy birthday thread! from oe and the chimps..


 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4526619


That you OE? I just posted from back in the thread! Too funny! haha
_______

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
solar2004

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03/07/2012 12:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am traveling from Seattle to Paris tomorrow so over northern Canada. Horrible timing. Is the radiation going to be a huge concern in the plane?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2405841


I think in these situations most flights that might be affected are re-routed to lower latitudes but im not positive.
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa


The airlines keep pretty close tabs on space weather events. I think the Airline Pilots union requires they at least keep their pilots safe. Not to alarm you, but if a big x-flare occurs during the flight you may be exposed to a little radiation. Keep in mind that pilots and flight crews get a lot more exposure than most passengers so I would trust they will err on the side of caution. All these NOAA alerts and Warnings go directly to airports and airlines the world over, so they are fully aware of the space weather factor. Godspeed and have a safe, fun trip!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Something I didnt know many pilots already wear protective clothing if they do lots of flights over the polar regions. Also pregnant flight attendants are urged not to fly on those flights. Im sure if the protons rise too high like the flares in December flights will be re-routed to lower latitude just like in Dec.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 12:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Plasma temp and pressure still rising. Could this be the plasma from thay last flare?
 Quoting: EndOfAll


OOOH and its flattening like an Iced white Pancake :(
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 12:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How long before our sheild cracks?

Looks really bad...
EndOfAll

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03/07/2012 12:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Plasma temp and pressure still rising. Could this be the plasma from thay last flare?
 Quoting: EndOfAll


OOOH and its flattening like an Iced white Pancake :(
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1138497


Check the most recent, even the tail is white hotttt... Gettin bad.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
EndOfAll
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 12:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How long before our sheild cracks?

Looks really bad...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12074059


shield is holding, it's only warp 9
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 12:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How long before our sheild cracks?

Looks really bad...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12074059


Yes it does :(
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 12:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That you OE? I just posted from back in the thread! Too funny! haha
 Quoting: tomasgod1


it's me, otoc is hangin around too, quite the reunion and the sun giving us a show for the anniversary, congrats Ninz..
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 12:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It's fine right now. It's been like this many times before, don't worry about it for now.
tomasgod1

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03/07/2012 12:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yee Haww!

Game On!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


hell yeah it is! haha
super glad you could make it to the show :)

and, i told you the this would happen tonight! haha ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


You got it right! I made it back just in time!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Tom is here!cool2
 Quoting: finley


how's it lookin to you Tgod? G3 or G4 from this one?

good to see you back in action, now get back to work with the links:)

Finley..hi

oe..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4526619


Not sure yet. We will get a better idea when we get some more data. Once this travels a little further out and we can see it from some other perspectives I will have a better guess. The data just hasn't updated far eneough yet.
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Hugh M Eye

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03/07/2012 12:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Plasma temp and pressure still rising. Could this be the plasma from thay last flare?
 Quoting: EndOfAll


OOOH and its flattening like an Iced white Pancake :(
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1138497

The magnetopause has already crossed into geo-synchronous orbit a bit. I hope the ISS astronauts have their lead underwear handy. This could be a disastrous week for satellites. Don't trust your GPS 'til this blows over. Look at the realtime bow-shock sim.-

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

GOES Proton flux is going vertical:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NICT:

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
zacksavage
~~Unbound~~

User ID: 1410797
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03/07/2012 12:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That you OE? I just posted from back in the thread! Too funny! haha
 Quoting: tomasgod1


it's me, otoc is hangin around too, quite the reunion and the sun giving us a show for the anniversary, congrats Ninz..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4526619


It is pretty interesting,...

The timing I mean.

eq


Z
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
Corvus
User ID: 12069931
Turkey
03/07/2012 12:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Plasma temperature and density is off the charts!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 986398
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03/07/2012 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


peace
tomasgod1

User ID: 11714381
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03/07/2012 12:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


hell yeah it is! haha
super glad you could make it to the show :)

and, i told you the this would happen tonight! haha ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


You got it right! I made it back just in time!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Tom is here!cool2
 Quoting: finley


how's it lookin to you Tgod? G3 or G4 from this one?

good to see you back in action, now get back to work with the links:)

Finley..hi

oe..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4526619


Not sure yet. We will get a better idea when we get some more data. Once this travels a little further out and we can see it from some other perspectives I will have a better guess. The data just hasn't updated far eneough yet.
 Quoting: tomasgod1

But the storm that is hitting now is looking wild..

Check out the Ao/AE(nT) on this!

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Hugh M Eye

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03/07/2012 12:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NINzrez and any else near the Great Lakes region or the northern tier of US may be able to see aurora now.

Auroral oval:

[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]
TipKat

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03/07/2012 12:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
chicago nope can't see nothing here. :-(
tomasgod1

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03/07/2012 12:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That you OE? I just posted from back in the thread! Too funny! haha
 Quoting: tomasgod1


it's me, otoc is hangin around too, quite the reunion and the sun giving us a show for the anniversary, congrats Ninz..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4526619


It is pretty interesting,...

The timing I mean.

eq


Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


hi Z

I wanted to post an update on this expected filament eruption yesterday. I have been so busy with crap I couldn't do it. This was the filament that you could see rotating in off the eastern limb back from the 29th. If you go run SDO AIA 304 from the 1st thru the 5th you will see it snap in half near the polar cap off to the left and peel back to the center of the disk at the end of the 4th. You then see the ejection on Stereo Behind C2 begin by the update around 2:00 UTC on the 5th. Stereo A C2 doesnt update untill around 5 something and by then the ejection is well out from the disk in a huge mass. This also showed up on SOHO as a full halo CME. There was a CME prior to this from Region 1429 earlier around the 1200 hour if memory serves me and another one after but much smaller. A lot of the material was ejected northward but a very large amount of material was flung right back towards us.
_______

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
tomasgod1

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03/07/2012 01:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We will be reaching S1 anytime now.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


And we are there..

Space Weather Message Code: ALTPX1
Serial Number: 285
Issue Time: 2012 Mar 07 0526 UTC

ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2012 Mar 07 0510 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
tomasgod1

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03/07/2012 01:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ACE DATA

2012 03 07

0601 UT

Proton Density 18.9

Solar Wind 426.7

BynT -10.1

BznT -11.5
_______

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
nerdrage88sasr

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03/07/2012 01:17 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ACE DATA

2012 03 07

0601 UT

Proton Density 18.9

Solar Wind 426.7

BynT -10.1

BznT -11.5
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Keep us posted Tomas
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Hugh M Eye

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03/07/2012 01:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NINzrez and any else near the Great Lakes region or the northern tier of US may be able to see aurora now.

Auroral oval:

[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Oops, I forgot about the full Moon.
Hugh M Eye

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03/07/2012 01:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ACE 24 hr.Electrons and Protons:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE High-energy protons:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Kiruna Magnetometer:

[link to www.irf.se]

Tromso K-index at 6=Storm level

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

NOAA Kp Index at 4=Unsettled

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The Bz is easing north now:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

GOES magnetometer rebounding:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
tomasgod1

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03/07/2012 01:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A lot of deviation in the Kiruna Magnetometer. Both the x representing the North South componet(BznT), and the Y representing the East West(BynT)have a considerable amount of deviation as seen below. This indicates that we are getting "Wacked" hard by this storm.

[link to www.irf.se]

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 03/07/2012 01:37 AM
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 01:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A lot of deviation in the Kiruna Magnetometer. Both the x representing the North South componet(BznT), and the Y representing the East West(BynT)have a considerable amount of deviation as seen below. This indicates that we are getting "Wacked" hard by this storm.

[link to www.irf.se]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Good. Hopefully, Sun Doom is here.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 01:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A lot of deviation in the Kiruna Magnetometer. Both the x representing the North South componet(BznT), and the Y representing the East West(BynT)have a considerable amount of deviation as seen below. This indicates that we are getting "Wacked" hard by this storm.

[link to www.irf.se]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Good. Hopefully, Sun Doom is here.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9968554


Probably not tonight.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 01:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Then tomorrow. I am going to bed to dream of Sun Doom and hope to wake to the news of an X-50 with multiple CMEs, all earth directed. Sweet dreams all.

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