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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
IMO today poses even a greater risk. 1429 will be in the most geoeffective position for most of the day but no one can ever know which way the bulk of plasma will be ejected. Still another 2 or 3 days of earth directed activity from 1429...
 Quoting: MARsSPEED 2967383


If there are any CME'S I mean.
MARsSPEED
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03/07/2012 07:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Really looks like a large Tsunami effect on NICT right now. Like everything just got sucked away! Craziness!
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy Birthday Solar Watch !!

Thank you for all you do IWTB, Hugh, Look'n, Tomas, and especially Nin (and of course Old Guard watching over us all).

hf
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy Birthday Solar Watch !!

Thank you for all you do IWTB, Hugh, Look'n, Tomas, and especially Nin (and of course Old Guard watching over us all).

hf
 Quoting: TS66


^This!
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow! One year for this thread. Way to go guys and gals. Thanks for keeping us informed.
Luisport

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03/07/2012 07:43 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy bithday!!! applause2
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4183151
Finland
03/07/2012 07:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi, I just wanted to point out that AA is not the original AA, look at the ID. It is just some idiot shilling with his name.. I hope this clears some things. Keep up the good work.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4183151


people please look into this... this (these) douchebags are trying to ruin his name. The original astro has not posted since 2/14/12.
Doobie
drifting in space

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03/07/2012 07:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy Birthday, and many Happy Returns!

moshpit
Earth does not belong to man, man belongs to Earth
Wallie
User ID: 1311144
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03/07/2012 07:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi, I just wanted to point out that AA is not the original AA, look at the ID. It is just some idiot shilling with his name.. I hope this clears some things. Keep up the good work.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4183151


people please look into this... this (these) douchebags are trying to ruin his name. The original astro has not posted since 2/14/12.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4183151


I think everybody had figured that out already Finland.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Pretty quiet since I went to bed last night (not a bad thing!), and I see "C" is the new "B" and EVE is still out. After last nights 1 year celebration ... wonder what today will bring ?
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 07:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 03/07/12 at 1246utc/0746est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
aether

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03/07/2012 07:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow! One year for this thread. Way to go guys and gals. Thanks for keeping us informed.
 Quoting: Rev_Mikey13


bump
Doompa Loompa

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03/07/2012 08:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME from yesterday's X flares look to be a direct hit mid day Thursday March 8th.

[link to solarham.com]
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep , nice the radiation storm is in pogress

reporting solen info:

On March 7 the region has produced 2 X flares: X5.4/3B (associated with a fast, wide CME) at 00:24 and X1.3 at 01:14 (associated with a fast, but still significantly slower CME than the one observed less than an hour before) UTC. The latter X flare occurred in the western part of the magnetic delta structure while the X5 event was near the center of the inversion line. A radiation storm was associated with these events and is currently in progress.
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76



there was 2 Xs last night???

nerdrage88sasr

User ID: 12074848
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03/07/2012 08:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME from yesterday's X flares look to be a direct hit mid day Thursday March 8th.

[link to solarham.com]
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa


Thanks Doompa...damn, thats going to be an interesting time by looking at that density!
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 08:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME from yesterday's X flares look to be a direct hit mid day Thursday March 8th.

[link to solarham.com]
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa


That's pure unadulterated highly electromagnetically charged plasma headed this way. Buckle up.

Namaste to all.
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 08:12 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
Wallie
User ID: 1311144
Netherlands
03/07/2012 08:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


NiN's one years and El Q on the 500.
Against all odds.hf
Doompa Loompa

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03/07/2012 08:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep , nice the radiation storm is in pogress

reporting solen info:

On March 7 the region has produced 2 X flares: X5.4/3B (associated with a fast, wide CME) at 00:24 and X1.3 at 01:14 (associated with a fast, but still significantly slower CME than the one observed less than an hour before) UTC. The latter X flare occurred in the western part of the magnetic delta structure while the X5 event was near the center of the inversion line. A radiation storm was associated with these events and is currently in progress.
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76



there was 2 Xs last night???


 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12095474


On the backside of the main X flare (GOES X-ray flux) you can see a "hiccup" upwards so I guess they are calling that a 2nd X flare?
nerdrage88sasr

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03/07/2012 08:18 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


This is what ive been worried about....if we get a few X-Class flares pointed straight at us, all rapid fire, plus CME's out the wazoo...goodbye electricity grid...hello CHAOS!

Alot of the Solar research has examined the impacts of ONE large CME/SOlar Flare earth-directed and its potential effects on earth (power-grids etc). My fear has been multiple all at once...

Hopefully, im wrong and it wont happen, but this year looks like having a very good chance of producing another Carrington event or worse!

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 08:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


NiN's one years and El Q on the 500.
Against all odds.hf
 Quoting: Wallie 1311144


Thanks for your support.

birthday Solar Watchers.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME from yesterday's X flares look to be a direct hit mid day Thursday March 8th.

[link to solarham.com]
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa


just wow this is a huge massive direct hit.
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 08:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


This is what ive been worried about....if we get a few X-Class flares pointed straight at us, all rapid fire, plus CME's out the wazoo...goodbye electricity grid...hello CHAOS!

Alot of the Solar research has examined the impacts of ONE large CME/SOlar Flare earth-directed and its potential effects on earth (power-grids etc). My fear has been multiple all at once...

Hopefully, im wrong and it wont happen, but this year looks like having a very good chance of producing another Carrington event or worse!

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


We got something like 10 M flares and 3 X flares yesterday in less than 24 hours? Imagine 10 X flares back to back in less than 24 hours. The electric grid would get so saturated with intense electromagnetic energy it would not be able to sustain and bye bye electricity.
Hugh M Eye

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03/07/2012 08:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Event Issue Date: 2012-03-06 14:18:39.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-03-08 23:59:04.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.3 Re


Thu, 8 Mar 2012 23:59:04 UTC
Fri, 9 Mar 2012 10:59:04 UTC

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


This CME is from the 2 M1-flares early on the 6th. I posted this CME arrival info just before the X-flare started. Check yesterday's posts for movies, models, etc.. It was two merging CMEs 16-20 hours before the new one.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 08:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out the proton count;

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


This is what ive been worried about....if we get a few X-Class flares pointed straight at us, all rapid fire, plus CME's out the wazoo...goodbye electricity grid...hello CHAOS!

Alot of the Solar research has examined the impacts of ONE large CME/SOlar Flare earth-directed and its potential effects on earth (power-grids etc). My fear has been multiple all at once...

Hopefully, im wrong and it wont happen, but this year looks like having a very good chance of producing another Carrington event or worse!

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


We got something like 10 M flares and 3 X flares yesterday in less than 24 hours? Imagine 10 X flares back to back in less than 24 hours. The electric grid would get so saturated with intense electromagnetic energy it would not be able to sustain and bye bye electricity.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano




we had 3xflares yesterday?

can someone help me out here how many have we had this week?

I thought there was one on the 5th then on the 7th?
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep , nice the radiation storm is in pogress

reporting solen info:

On March 7 the region has produced 2 X flares: X5.4/3B (associated with a fast, wide CME) at 00:24 and X1.3 at 01:14 (associated with a fast, but still significantly slower CME than the one observed less than an hour before) UTC. The latter X flare occurred in the western part of the magnetic delta structure while the X5 event was near the center of the inversion line. A radiation storm was associated with these events and is currently in progress.
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76



there was 2 Xs last night???


 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12095474


On the backside of the main X flare (GOES X-ray flux) you can see a "hiccup" upwards so I guess they are calling that a 2nd X flare?
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa



so then we did have 2 last night on the 7th?
wow im so confused...
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 08:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


This is what ive been worried about....if we get a few X-Class flares pointed straight at us, all rapid fire, plus CME's out the wazoo...goodbye electricity grid...hello CHAOS!

Alot of the Solar research has examined the impacts of ONE large CME/SOlar Flare earth-directed and its potential effects on earth (power-grids etc). My fear has been multiple all at once...

Hopefully, im wrong and it wont happen, but this year looks like having a very good chance of producing another Carrington event or worse!

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


We got something like 10 M flares and 3 X flares yesterday in less than 24 hours? Imagine 10 X flares back to back in less than 24 hours. The electric grid would get so saturated with intense electromagnetic energy it would not be able to sustain and bye bye electricity.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano




we had 3xflares yesterday?

can someone help me out here how many have we had this week?

I thought there was one on the 5th then on the 7th?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12095474


My bad, 1 on the 5th and 2 on the 7th.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:sdoaia131X5.4m62:

:sdocompogifmarch:
Notice the activity after the flare(below down)...

RWC BELGIUM Wed Mar 7 2012, 0614 UT

Two X-class flares in Catania sunspot group 65 (NOAA AR 1429) were detected by GOES today. The X5.4 flare peaking at 00:24 UT was located at N17E27. The X1.3 flare peaking at 01:14 UT (during the declining phase of the X5.4 flare) was located at N22E12. According to the SDO/AIA data, each flare was accompanied by coronal dimmings, an EIT wave and a post-eruption arcade, indicating the eruption of two CMEs. At least one of the CMEs was detected by SECCHI/COR2 coronagraph onboard STEREO B. At the moment of writing the SECCHI data is too fragmented and no SOHO/LASCO data is available, so the CME speed cannot be determined reliably. Both flares were accompanied by type II radio bursts. The SEP flux at energies above 10 MeV started to rise shortly before 02:00 UT and crossed the SEP event threshold shortly before 06:00 UT. The contemporary rise of the proton flux at energies above 50 and 100 MeV indicates that the protons are mostly accelerated at the CME-driven shock associated with the (either of) the two X-ray flares today. A contribution from a possible shock that was detected by ACE at 03:35 UT (most probably associated with the halo CME on March 4) and from the halo CME on March 5 is not excluded. The SEP event spectrum looks rather hard. No SOHO/CELIAS data is available at the moment to confirm the shock detection by ACE. The solar wind speed is currently around 420 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is around 18 nT, with the north-south Bz component negative during extended intervals. Disturbed geomagnetic conditions up to the minor storm level are expected.
[link to sidc.oma.be]


Latest Lasco Gif(shows the cme from the X5.4 and the first particles(radiation storm)
:lascovidmarch7:

StereoBehindC2
:stereovidmarch7g:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]




:latestsunspotani:
Latest Quick-Look colorized and intesity Gif

The central portion of the group is the most magnetically complex with a strong east-west polarity inversion lines. Regions with polarity inversion lines that run east-west as opposed to a north-south inversion line in general produce more and larger solar flares
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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03/07/2012 08:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have never seen GLP so torn over sundoom..mass hysteria..mass confusion..Mass deception ....LMAO...I`m sticking to this thread primarily...Crazy stuff..absorption map filling up and SOHO is still peppered..rockon

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

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