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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
MARsSPEED
User ID: 2967383
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03/07/2012 07:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Doesn't seem like 1429 lost any gusto as the xray backround steady boils at C2...maybe another big X by the end of the day?
Luisport

User ID: 12092937
Portugal
03/07/2012 07:20 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Doesn't seem like 1429 lost any gusto as the xray backround steady boils at C2...maybe another big X by the end of the day?
 Quoting: MARsSPEED 2967383


It seams to... how many days it will be earth directed?
MARsSPEED
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03/07/2012 07:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
IMO today poses even a greater risk. 1429 will be in the most geoeffective position for most of the day but no one can ever know which way the bulk of plasma will be ejected. Still another 2 or 3 days of earth directed activity from 1429...
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4183151
Finland
03/07/2012 07:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi, I just wanted to point out that AA is not the original AA, look at the ID. It is just some idiot shilling with his name.. I hope this clears some things. Keep up the good work.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
IMO today poses even a greater risk. 1429 will be in the most geoeffective position for most of the day but no one can ever know which way the bulk of plasma will be ejected. Still another 2 or 3 days of earth directed activity from 1429...
 Quoting: MARsSPEED 2967383


If there are any CME'S I mean.
MARsSPEED
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03/07/2012 07:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Really looks like a large Tsunami effect on NICT right now. Like everything just got sucked away! Craziness!
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy Birthday Solar Watch !!

Thank you for all you do IWTB, Hugh, Look'n, Tomas, and especially Nin (and of course Old Guard watching over us all).

hf
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy Birthday Solar Watch !!

Thank you for all you do IWTB, Hugh, Look'n, Tomas, and especially Nin (and of course Old Guard watching over us all).

hf
 Quoting: TS66


^This!
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow! One year for this thread. Way to go guys and gals. Thanks for keeping us informed.
Luisport

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03/07/2012 07:43 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy bithday!!! applause2
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 4183151
Finland
03/07/2012 07:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi, I just wanted to point out that AA is not the original AA, look at the ID. It is just some idiot shilling with his name.. I hope this clears some things. Keep up the good work.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4183151


people please look into this... this (these) douchebags are trying to ruin his name. The original astro has not posted since 2/14/12.
Doobie
drifting in space

User ID: 10762989
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03/07/2012 07:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Happy Birthday, and many Happy Returns!

moshpit
Earth does not belong to man, man belongs to Earth
Wallie
User ID: 1311144
Netherlands
03/07/2012 07:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hi, I just wanted to point out that AA is not the original AA, look at the ID. It is just some idiot shilling with his name.. I hope this clears some things. Keep up the good work.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4183151


people please look into this... this (these) douchebags are trying to ruin his name. The original astro has not posted since 2/14/12.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4183151


I think everybody had figured that out already Finland.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 07:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Pretty quiet since I went to bed last night (not a bad thing!), and I see "C" is the new "B" and EVE is still out. After last nights 1 year celebration ... wonder what today will bring ?
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 12094494
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03/07/2012 07:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 03/07/12 at 1246utc/0746est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
aether

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03/07/2012 07:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow! One year for this thread. Way to go guys and gals. Thanks for keeping us informed.
 Quoting: Rev_Mikey13


bump
Doompa Loompa

User ID: 9481145
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03/07/2012 08:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME from yesterday's X flares look to be a direct hit mid day Thursday March 8th.

[link to solarham.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12095474
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03/07/2012 08:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep , nice the radiation storm is in pogress

reporting solen info:

On March 7 the region has produced 2 X flares: X5.4/3B (associated with a fast, wide CME) at 00:24 and X1.3 at 01:14 (associated with a fast, but still significantly slower CME than the one observed less than an hour before) UTC. The latter X flare occurred in the western part of the magnetic delta structure while the X5 event was near the center of the inversion line. A radiation storm was associated with these events and is currently in progress.
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76



there was 2 Xs last night???

nerdrage88sasr

User ID: 12074848
Australia
03/07/2012 08:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME from yesterday's X flares look to be a direct hit mid day Thursday March 8th.

[link to solarham.com]
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa


Thanks Doompa...damn, thats going to be an interesting time by looking at that density!
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 12094494
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03/07/2012 08:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME from yesterday's X flares look to be a direct hit mid day Thursday March 8th.

[link to solarham.com]
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa


That's pure unadulterated highly electromagnetically charged plasma headed this way. Buckle up.

Namaste to all.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 12094494
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03/07/2012 08:12 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
Wallie
User ID: 1311144
Netherlands
03/07/2012 08:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


NiN's one years and El Q on the 500.
Against all odds.hf
Doompa Loompa

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03/07/2012 08:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep , nice the radiation storm is in pogress

reporting solen info:

On March 7 the region has produced 2 X flares: X5.4/3B (associated with a fast, wide CME) at 00:24 and X1.3 at 01:14 (associated with a fast, but still significantly slower CME than the one observed less than an hour before) UTC. The latter X flare occurred in the western part of the magnetic delta structure while the X5 event was near the center of the inversion line. A radiation storm was associated with these events and is currently in progress.
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76



there was 2 Xs last night???


 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12095474


On the backside of the main X flare (GOES X-ray flux) you can see a "hiccup" upwards so I guess they are calling that a 2nd X flare?
nerdrage88sasr

User ID: 12074848
Australia
03/07/2012 08:18 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


This is what ive been worried about....if we get a few X-Class flares pointed straight at us, all rapid fire, plus CME's out the wazoo...goodbye electricity grid...hello CHAOS!

Alot of the Solar research has examined the impacts of ONE large CME/SOlar Flare earth-directed and its potential effects on earth (power-grids etc). My fear has been multiple all at once...

Hopefully, im wrong and it wont happen, but this year looks like having a very good chance of producing another Carrington event or worse!

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 12094494
United States
03/07/2012 08:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


NiN's one years and El Q on the 500.
Against all odds.hf
 Quoting: Wallie 1311144


Thanks for your support.

birthday Solar Watchers.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12090540
Germany
03/07/2012 08:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The CME from yesterday's X flares look to be a direct hit mid day Thursday March 8th.

[link to solarham.com]
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa


just wow this is a huge massive direct hit.
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 12094494
United States
03/07/2012 08:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


This is what ive been worried about....if we get a few X-Class flares pointed straight at us, all rapid fire, plus CME's out the wazoo...goodbye electricity grid...hello CHAOS!

Alot of the Solar research has examined the impacts of ONE large CME/SOlar Flare earth-directed and its potential effects on earth (power-grids etc). My fear has been multiple all at once...

Hopefully, im wrong and it wont happen, but this year looks like having a very good chance of producing another Carrington event or worse!

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


We got something like 10 M flares and 3 X flares yesterday in less than 24 hours? Imagine 10 X flares back to back in less than 24 hours. The electric grid would get so saturated with intense electromagnetic energy it would not be able to sustain and bye bye electricity.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12066330
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03/07/2012 08:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Event Issue Date: 2012-03-06 14:18:39.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-03-08 23:59:04.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.3 Re


Thu, 8 Mar 2012 23:59:04 UTC
Fri, 9 Mar 2012 10:59:04 UTC

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


This CME is from the 2 M1-flares early on the 6th. I posted this CME arrival info just before the X-flare started. Check yesterday's posts for movies, models, etc.. It was two merging CMEs 16-20 hours before the new one.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 12094494
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03/07/2012 08:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out the proton count;

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12095474
United States
03/07/2012 08:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


This is what ive been worried about....if we get a few X-Class flares pointed straight at us, all rapid fire, plus CME's out the wazoo...goodbye electricity grid...hello CHAOS!

Alot of the Solar research has examined the impacts of ONE large CME/SOlar Flare earth-directed and its potential effects on earth (power-grids etc). My fear has been multiple all at once...

Hopefully, im wrong and it wont happen, but this year looks like having a very good chance of producing another Carrington event or worse!

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


We got something like 10 M flares and 3 X flares yesterday in less than 24 hours? Imagine 10 X flares back to back in less than 24 hours. The electric grid would get so saturated with intense electromagnetic energy it would not be able to sustain and bye bye electricity.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano




we had 3xflares yesterday?

can someone help me out here how many have we had this week?

I thought there was one on the 5th then on the 7th?

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