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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


This is what ive been worried about....if we get a few X-Class flares pointed straight at us, all rapid fire, plus CME's out the wazoo...goodbye electricity grid...hello CHAOS!

Alot of the Solar research has examined the impacts of ONE large CME/SOlar Flare earth-directed and its potential effects on earth (power-grids etc). My fear has been multiple all at once...

Hopefully, im wrong and it wont happen, but this year looks like having a very good chance of producing another Carrington event or worse!

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


We got something like 10 M flares and 3 X flares yesterday in less than 24 hours? Imagine 10 X flares back to back in less than 24 hours. The electric grid would get so saturated with intense electromagnetic energy it would not be able to sustain and bye bye electricity.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano




we had 3xflares yesterday?

can someone help me out here how many have we had this week?

I thought there was one on the 5th then on the 7th?
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
yep , nice the radiation storm is in pogress

reporting solen info:

On March 7 the region has produced 2 X flares: X5.4/3B (associated with a fast, wide CME) at 00:24 and X1.3 at 01:14 (associated with a fast, but still significantly slower CME than the one observed less than an hour before) UTC. The latter X flare occurred in the western part of the magnetic delta structure while the X5 event was near the center of the inversion line. A radiation storm was associated with these events and is currently in progress.
[link to www.solen.info]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76



there was 2 Xs last night???


 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12095474


On the backside of the main X flare (GOES X-ray flux) you can see a "hiccup" upwards so I guess they are calling that a 2nd X flare?
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa



so then we did have 2 last night on the 7th?
wow im so confused...
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 08:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

66% chance of another X!
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


This is what ive been worried about....if we get a few X-Class flares pointed straight at us, all rapid fire, plus CME's out the wazoo...goodbye electricity grid...hello CHAOS!

Alot of the Solar research has examined the impacts of ONE large CME/SOlar Flare earth-directed and its potential effects on earth (power-grids etc). My fear has been multiple all at once...

Hopefully, im wrong and it wont happen, but this year looks like having a very good chance of producing another Carrington event or worse!

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


We got something like 10 M flares and 3 X flares yesterday in less than 24 hours? Imagine 10 X flares back to back in less than 24 hours. The electric grid would get so saturated with intense electromagnetic energy it would not be able to sustain and bye bye electricity.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano




we had 3xflares yesterday?

can someone help me out here how many have we had this week?

I thought there was one on the 5th then on the 7th?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12095474


My bad, 1 on the 5th and 2 on the 7th.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
:sdoaia131X5.4m62:

:sdocompogifmarch:
Notice the activity after the flare(below down)...

RWC BELGIUM Wed Mar 7 2012, 0614 UT

Two X-class flares in Catania sunspot group 65 (NOAA AR 1429) were detected by GOES today. The X5.4 flare peaking at 00:24 UT was located at N17E27. The X1.3 flare peaking at 01:14 UT (during the declining phase of the X5.4 flare) was located at N22E12. According to the SDO/AIA data, each flare was accompanied by coronal dimmings, an EIT wave and a post-eruption arcade, indicating the eruption of two CMEs. At least one of the CMEs was detected by SECCHI/COR2 coronagraph onboard STEREO B. At the moment of writing the SECCHI data is too fragmented and no SOHO/LASCO data is available, so the CME speed cannot be determined reliably. Both flares were accompanied by type II radio bursts. The SEP flux at energies above 10 MeV started to rise shortly before 02:00 UT and crossed the SEP event threshold shortly before 06:00 UT. The contemporary rise of the proton flux at energies above 50 and 100 MeV indicates that the protons are mostly accelerated at the CME-driven shock associated with the (either of) the two X-ray flares today. A contribution from a possible shock that was detected by ACE at 03:35 UT (most probably associated with the halo CME on March 4) and from the halo CME on March 5 is not excluded. The SEP event spectrum looks rather hard. No SOHO/CELIAS data is available at the moment to confirm the shock detection by ACE. The solar wind speed is currently around 420 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is around 18 nT, with the north-south Bz component negative during extended intervals. Disturbed geomagnetic conditions up to the minor storm level are expected.
[link to sidc.oma.be]


Latest Lasco Gif(shows the cme from the X5.4 and the first particles(radiation storm)
:lascovidmarch7:

StereoBehindC2
:stereovidmarch7g:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]




:latestsunspotani:
Latest Quick-Look colorized and intesity Gif

The central portion of the group is the most magnetically complex with a strong east-west polarity inversion lines. Regions with polarity inversion lines that run east-west as opposed to a north-south inversion line in general produce more and larger solar flares
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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03/07/2012 08:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have never seen GLP so torn over sundoom..mass hysteria..mass confusion..Mass deception ....LMAO...I`m sticking to this thread primarily...Crazy stuff..absorption map filling up and SOHO is still peppered..rockon

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
imjustsayin

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03/07/2012 08:37 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks Nin for the info you put together on flare counts compared to last year. I greatly appreciate the time you have given up to keep us informed! hf

Let's hope power grid isn't affected long term. Lots of powers plants to be concerned about if they did go down.
Love & Light...
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 08:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have never seen GLP so torn over sundoom..mass hysteria..mass confusion..Mass deception ....LMAO...I`m sticking to this thread primarily...Crazy stuff..absorption map filling up and SOHO is still peppered..rockon

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Think of transformers, the more electricity is pumped into them the louder they Hum and Resonate. See all that energy coming in at lower frequencies? That is a lot of low frequency resonance. On a planetary level that is big and the more comes in the more the planet resonates, something will give and pop a large quake.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have never seen GLP so torn over sundoom..mass hysteria..mass confusion..Mass deception ....LMAO...I`m sticking to this thread primarily...Crazy stuff..absorption map filling up and SOHO is still peppered..rockon

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


That's why, as much as this thread should be pinned, I never do. Seems to keep most of the rif~raf out.
alexisj9

User ID: 1376880
United Kingdom
03/07/2012 08:47 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have never seen GLP so torn over sundoom..mass hysteria..mass confusion..Mass deception ....LMAO...I`m sticking to this thread primarily...Crazy stuff..absorption map filling up and SOHO is still peppered..rockon

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Think of transformers, the more electricity is pumped into them the louder they Hum and Resonate. See all that energy coming in at lower frequencies? That is a lot of low frequency resonance. On a planetary level that is big and the more comes in the more the planet resonates, something will give and pop a large quake.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Do you think that is what's causing all those strange sounds people keep hearing?
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
doom or no doom? can someone brief me up please?
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No doom. X-rays have flatlined.
El Quisqueyano

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03/07/2012 08:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have never seen GLP so torn over sundoom..mass hysteria..mass confusion..Mass deception ....LMAO...I`m sticking to this thread primarily...Crazy stuff..absorption map filling up and SOHO is still peppered..rockon

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Think of transformers, the more electricity is pumped into them the louder they Hum and Resonate. See all that energy coming in at lower frequencies? That is a lot of low frequency resonance. On a planetary level that is big and the more comes in the more the planet resonates, something will give and pop a large quake.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Do you think that is what's causing all those strange sounds people keep hearing?
 Quoting: alexisj9


Not sure of that one.
[link to skreened.com]

The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the iniquities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men. Blessed is he who in the name of charity and good will shepherds the weak through the valley of darkness, for he is truly his brother's keeper and the finder of lost children. And I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers! And you will know my name is the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon thee!" Ezekiel 25:17

"Worst come to worst, my PEOPLES come first" Dilated Peoples
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
shit. back to work :(

No doom. X-rays have flatlined.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888
Luisport

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03/07/2012 08:54 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
doom or no doom? can someone brief me up please?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12092071


For me it will be difficult to don't happen some power outrages and blown transformers... i think that with much less our magnetosphere were breached and sun material come to ground level so...
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No doom. X-rays have flatlined.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


wait for the cme...

[link to solarham.com]

thx to kevin: the solar wind is expected to increase to over 800 km/s and Strong Geomagnetic Storming will be possible

after that or days...watch in Q's thread


Will put this in the new Vid(solar laerts)

The new ISWA Cygnet Streamer (you can pause and much more)
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
when was the last time the sun had 3Xs in a few days time?
Luisport

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03/07/2012 08:55 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No doom. X-rays have flatlined.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


It's too soon! This x flare only arrive tomorrow!
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No doom. X-rays have flatlined.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


It's too soon! This x flare only arrive tomorrow!
 Quoting: Luisport


well, i guess you mean the cmehf

the flare reached us after 8minutes
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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03/07/2012 08:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No doom. X-rays have flatlined.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


It's too soon! This x flare only arrive tomorrow!
 Quoting: Luisport


well, i guess you mean the cmehf

the flare reached us after 8minutes
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I liked "flaer" better..he he he..What`s up brother? Going to be busy for another week or so i`m afraid..Tomorrow should be real interesting
Luisport

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03/07/2012 08:58 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No doom. X-rays have flatlined.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


It's too soon! This x flare only arrive tomorrow!
 Quoting: Luisport


well, i guess you mean the cmehf

the flare reached us after 8minutes
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Yes, sorry!hiding
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 08:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
In the event of a geomagnetic storm, the National Grid in the UK plans to stop all repair work and switch every circuit on in an attempt to dissipate its effect. Will be interesting to see if it works.

maybe it's just my memory, but i'm sure that 25/30 years ago lightning storms were a lot more common. I haven't seen a decent lightning storm for years
WeAreOne

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03/07/2012 09:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It's my understanding that although this is an X5 it can go 28+ so it's on the low end of the X-scale.

The question I'd love answered is does anyone know at what level the grids start straining/breaking?
Be the change you want the World to be. Be someone that makes you happy.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 09:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
No doom. X-rays have flatlined.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12097888


It's too soon! This x flare only arrive tomorrow!
 Quoting: Luisport


well, i guess you mean the cmehf

the flare reached us after 8minutes
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I liked "flaer" better..he he he..What`s up brother? Going to be busy for another week or so i`m afraid..Tomorrow should be real interesting
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


damn i could swear someone has noticed it, haha

Yep, busy around the clock now..dont have a clue to put all this stuff in but this are exiting times and since a long time...i wasnt so fascinated in expecting a cme

and further whats next...there is coming a huge coronal hole soon on the east limb you know that for sure from last rotation (on sdo it seems like a nose or a smiley^^)

Stereo Behind EUVI shows the coronal hole(darker zone)
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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03/07/2012 09:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


It's too soon! This x flare only arrive tomorrow!
 Quoting: Luisport


well, i guess you mean the cmehf

the flare reached us after 8minutes
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I liked "flaer" better..he he he..What`s up brother? Going to be busy for another week or so i`m afraid..Tomorrow should be real interesting
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


damn i could swear someone has noticed it, haha

Yep, busy around the clock now..dont have a clue to put all this stuff in but this are exiting times and since a long time...i wasnt so fascinated in expecting a cme

and further whats next...there is coming a huge coronal hole soon on the east limb you know that for sure from last rotation (on sdo it seems like a nose or a smiley^^)

Stereo Behind EUVI shows the coronal hole(darker zone)
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Yup--and to add to the CME that is suppose to hit tomorrow are the solar winds from the coronal hole facing us now..They are supposed to hit the 8th and the 9th..Going to be a nice mix of excitement and anticipation...
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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03/07/2012 09:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Curious---I don`t recall seeing this dark area under 1429 yesterday until after the flare...any ideas?? Is that a filament or the start of a coronal hole...If ya watch it on the kiosk movies on SDO it looks to appear right after the CME lift off.

man I got a bad Karma after all my comments to AA last night..I am now "possible" dis info agent...lmfao

[link to spaceweather.com]

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 03/07/2012 09:11 AM
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 09:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Curious---I don`t recall seeing this dark area under 1429 yesterday until after the flare...any ideas?? Is that a filament or the start of a coronal hole...If ya watch it on the kiosk movies on SDO it looks to appear right after the CME lift off.

man I got a bad Karma after all my comments to AA last night..I am now "possible" dis info agent...lmfao

[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Wow ... that is impressive. I didn't even notice.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 09:15 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Curious---I don`t recall seeing this dark area under 1429 yesterday until after the flare...any ideas?? Is that a filament or the start of a coronal hole...If ya watch it on the kiosk movies on SDO it looks to appear right after the CME lift off.

man I got a bad Karma after all my comments to AA last night..I am now "possible" dis info agent...lmfao

[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


thats what i wanted to show you on my above posting
:sdocompogifmarch:
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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03/07/2012 09:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Curious---I don`t recall seeing this dark area under 1429 yesterday until after the flare...any ideas?? Is that a filament or the start of a coronal hole...If ya watch it on the kiosk movies on SDO it looks to appear right after the CME lift off.

man I got a bad Karma after all my comments to AA last night..I am now "possible" dis info agent...lmfao

[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Wow ... that is impressive. I didn't even notice.
 Quoting: TS66


If ya watch the SDO movie look real close towards the end of the current movie...it looks like most of the plasma lifted off between the two sunspots and left this dark coloration..perhaps it was just a cooled spot after the plasma ripped away..almost like a scar from a wound..

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 03/07/2012 09:17 AM
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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03/07/2012 09:18 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Curious---I don`t recall seeing this dark area under 1429 yesterday until after the flare...any ideas?? Is that a filament or the start of a coronal hole...If ya watch it on the kiosk movies on SDO it looks to appear right after the CME lift off.

man I got a bad Karma after all my comments to AA last night..I am now "possible" dis info agent...lmfao

[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


thats what i wanted to show you on my above posting
:sdocompogifmarch:
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Sweet----what is your thoughts on that??
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 09:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Curious---I don`t recall seeing this dark area under 1429 yesterday until after the flare...any ideas?? Is that a filament or the start of a coronal hole...If ya watch it on the kiosk movies on SDO it looks to appear right after the CME lift off.

man I got a bad Karma after all my comments to AA last night..I am now "possible" dis info agent...lmfao

[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


thats what i wanted to show you on my above posting
:sdocompogifmarch:
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


What do you think it is IWTB ??

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