SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
EndOfAll User ID: 2563689 United States 03/08/2012 09:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 10504593 United States 03/08/2012 09:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yep, C4.7-she's getting primed to give us another big blast soon. The C's are coming closer together. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
old guard User ID: 1405158 United States 03/08/2012 09:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
shenue User ID: 5263313 United States 03/08/2012 09:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good Night All and big big thanks to those who have been keeping us all informed. Right now I am so confused. lol I don't know if we are still in the middle of the CME effects or if the worst is over or if the worst is yet to come. I will just hope nothing fries during the night and I am able to join you all here in the morning. :-) Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
Rain-Man User ID: 12198544 Bosnia and Herzegovina 03/08/2012 09:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | New sunspot coming in our view, when come probably will be straight Earth direction .. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/08/2012 09:27 PM Thread: Most Dangerous Time for Strong Earthquakes in 2012, Super Full Moon, Alignment of Earth-Sun-Jupiter, Venus Transit, Solar Eclipse over USA & JP Thread: Strange Sounds,Strange Rumblings, Sonic Booms, The Hum, Groaning, Earthquake Connection, Electromagnetic Voices, Post Your Recordings Here EARTHQUAKE FORECAST [link to igipop.webs.com] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 10504593 United States 03/08/2012 09:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ACE solar wind data is unavailable or degraded. However, if Mag-field measurements are correct then we're seeing the passage of the negative end of the CME that Tom referred to. This is often when we see a sparking-up of aurora. Here's recent screenshot: [link to www2.nict.go.jp] 24-hr. Magnetopause simulation shows lots of ripples. However the stand-off distance is further away from Earth than the geo-storm on Tues/Wed. Of course I'm not sure if this simulator is also based on faulty ACE data or something else. Maybe Tom knows... [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] It does look like we're getting some worsening of the magnetic storm now: GOES Electron flux plummeting again: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Magnetometer falling also: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>> User ID: 1031150 United States 03/08/2012 09:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So is NASA saying the stronger CME already hit this morning? I am so confused. Do we still have a second one coming from the stronger X Flare or did it come this morning? He is so full of crap. For one thing they have not been getting the wind speed from the ACE satellite as it is down. If they have been then they intentionally falsified information having us believe that ACE shut its self down when the proton density got to high from the SEP event and we have been had. The wind data has been comming in from SOHO. Second of all, it is not impossible to predict the orientation of the magnetic field of an ICME. This can be figured by the hemisphere the CME comes from along with the configuration of the sunspot region. The reason they got this one backward is because they forgot that this CME came from a sunspot in the northern hemisphere with a reversed polarity. So they got it backwards. As you guys know I usually call the polarity of the CME before it arrives and have only ever missed one, that came frome the southern hemisphere very near the equator, I had expected it to arrive + to -. I do not know why these guys are so terrified of saying they got it wrong. Well, actually I do. They are wrong all the time. The plain fact is that this storm has had incredible speed but no connectivity or density. You have to have all three of those ingredients together at the same time to have a big geomagnetic storm. Even though this storm was oriented + to -, with wind speeds going up over 700k/s this could have produced a strong geomagnetic storm if there had been any proton density to the thing, but there was not. There is still a posibility that things could intensify but it is looking like the brunt of this is behind us now. If the IMF flips back to the - long eneough as the second weaker side that has the negative polarity lasts long eneough more significant storming could occur. Great mind there Tom I agree...great info Tom.....sure glad you are around to help with all this....thanks to all who chimmed in....always takes a team especially when they start shutting stuff down during strong storms... |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 10504593 United States 03/08/2012 09:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | New sunspot coming in our view, when come probably will be straight Earth direction .. Quoting: Rain-Man [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Hi, I was waiting a bit to see if there was more to it than one spot. :anewregion: Here's a nice close-up of AR1429. It still harnesses a lot of power. :comp1429: |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 10498853 United States 03/08/2012 09:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | So is NASA saying the stronger CME already hit this morning? I am so confused. Do we still have a second one coming from the stronger X Flare or did it come this morning? He is so full of crap. For one thing they have not been getting the wind speed from the ACE satellite as it is down. If they have been then they intentionally falsified information having us believe that ACE shut its self down when the proton density got to high from the SEP event and we have been had. The wind data has been comming in from SOHO. Second of all, it is not impossible to predict the orientation of the magnetic field of an ICME. This can be figured by the hemisphere the CME comes from along with the configuration of the sunspot region. The reason they got this one backward is because they forgot that this CME came from a sunspot in the northern hemisphere with a reversed polarity. So they got it backwards. As you guys know I usually call the polarity of the CME before it arrives and have only ever missed one, that came frome the southern hemisphere very near the equator, I had expected it to arrive + to -. I do not know why these guys are so terrified of saying they got it wrong. Well, actually I do. They are wrong all the time. The plain fact is that this storm has had incredible speed but no connectivity or density. You have to have all three of those ingredients together at the same time to have a big geomagnetic storm. Even though this storm was oriented + to -, with wind speeds going up over 700k/s this could have produced a strong geomagnetic storm if there had been any proton density to the thing, but there was not. There is still a posibility that things could intensify but it is looking like the brunt of this is behind us now. If the IMF flips back to the - long eneough as the second weaker side that has the negative polarity lasts long eneough more significant storming could occur. Great mind there Tom well said Tom Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 8998718 United States 03/08/2012 09:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12207075 India 03/08/2012 09:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 10498853 United States 03/08/2012 09:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | the Bz is now tilting south between -7 and -13 with the By at around +11 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Rain-Man User ID: 12198544 Bosnia and Herzegovina 03/08/2012 09:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hugh better post other image so we have clear view of new sunspot, I dont know how to upload .. So later we can see how sunspot develop, looks to my we will have above new sunspot active area or more little new sunspots .. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Lo0ks like Nin did not see your post .. Yes CME hit us today at 12:00 UTC, 36 hrs after eruption .. [link to umtof.umd.edu] Last Edited by Rain-Man on 03/08/2012 10:08 PM Thread: Most Dangerous Time for Strong Earthquakes in 2012, Super Full Moon, Alignment of Earth-Sun-Jupiter, Venus Transit, Solar Eclipse over USA & JP Thread: Strange Sounds,Strange Rumblings, Sonic Booms, The Hum, Groaning, Earthquake Connection, Electromagnetic Voices, Post Your Recordings Here EARTHQUAKE FORECAST [link to igipop.webs.com] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 10504593 United States 03/08/2012 09:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Aurora seen in daylight at Tromso, Norway! [link to polaris.nipr.ac.jp] Some seen behind clouds at Abisko, Sweden too. [link to www.auroraskystation.com] |
Doomalicious User ID: 1376927 United States 03/08/2012 09:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | What makes the Electron Flux plummet off the charts and stay there?? [link to n3kl.org] SMILE...you're not as stupid as they think you are! "Once a government is committed to the principal of silencing the voice of opposition, it has only one way to go and that is down the path of increasingly repressive measures, until it becomes a source of terror to all its citizens and creates a country where everyone lives in terror" - Harry S Truman "The single most inspiring source for us is the human struggle." Jared Leto “Money, without brains, always is dangerous. Properly used, it is the most important essential of civilization.” - Napoleon Hill “Failures see the hole in the donut, but do not see the donut around the hole.” - Napoleon Hill “One of the great mistakes is to judge policies and programs by their intentions rather than their results.” ― Milton Friedman Every man has a right to utter what he thinks is truth, and every other man has a right to knock him down for it. - Samuel Johnson |
EndOfAll User ID: 2563689 United States 03/08/2012 09:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Looks like protons falling steady. Down to an S2. Still on the edge. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] EndOfAll |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 10498853 United States 03/08/2012 10:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | it is so hard to tell without being able to see the solar wind speeds so much is either down or being censored looking at the current Bz and the AE/AU [link to www2.nict.go.jp] as well as the electron flux [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] i would take a stab in the dark and say we may be seeing the 2nd CME coming in, or about to come in Last Edited by NiNzrez on 03/08/2012 10:12 PM Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12191672 Brazil 03/08/2012 10:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0 Serial Number: 56 Issue Time: 2012 Mar 08 2330 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected Extension to Serial Number: 55 Valid From: 2012 Mar 07 0300 UTC Now Valid Until: 2012 Mar 09 1200 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 8998718 United States 03/08/2012 10:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 10504593 United States 03/08/2012 10:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The Kp Index is back to 5=Storm level. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] HAARP Fluxgate Magnetometer- check out the black line, it's going off the scale! [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12191672 Brazil 03/08/2012 10:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The Kp Index is back to 5=Storm level. Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] HAARP Fluxgate Magnetometer- check out the black line, it's going off the scale! [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu] |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 12094494 United States 03/08/2012 10:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The Kp Index is back to 5=Storm level. Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] HAARP Fluxgate Magnetometer- check out the black line, it's going off the scale! [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu] Click 2000 nT and update. |
tmorais User ID: 11834891 Brazil 03/08/2012 10:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Density is starting to grow up.. [link to umtof.umd.edu] And take a look at Kiruna Magnetogram: [link to solarham.com] Last Edited by God of X on 03/08/2012 10:19 PM |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 10498853 United States 03/08/2012 10:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hugh better post other image so we have clear view of new sunspot, I dont know how to upload .. Quoting: Rain-Man So later we can see how sunspot develop, looks to my we will have above new sunspot active area or more little new sunspots .. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Lo0ks like Nin did not see your post .. Yes CME hit us today at 12:00 UTC, 36 hrs after eruption .. [link to umtof.umd.edu] the 1st CME hit at 11:05 UTC March 8th the 2nd CME were still watching for Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
zacksavage User ID: 12209229 United States 03/08/2012 10:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 8998718 United States 03/08/2012 10:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | it is so hard to tell without being able to see the solar wind speeds so much is either down or being censored looking at the current Bz and the AE/AU [link to www2.nict.go.jp] as well as the electron flux [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] i would take a stab in the dark and say we may be seeing the 2nd CME coming in, or about to come in The second CME coming from the X1 or X5? |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 12094494 United States 03/08/2012 10:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 8998718 United States 03/08/2012 10:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
dettro99 User ID: 3506095 United States 03/08/2012 10:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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