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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
tomasgod1

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03/08/2012 10:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
magnetosphere sim. looks weird to me right now; why does the backside/tail pressure look stronger than the main side?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5240732


I was thinking the same thing. Although i am somewhat new to that simulation, i thought it looked weird,
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 8998718


It is in safety mode. The data is missing. Only the magnetometer is functioning.
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dettro99

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03/08/2012 10:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[EVE] X-Ray

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 9258796
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03/08/2012 10:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
what are the implications of this flare at this time? are we in serious trouble?
zacksavage
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03/08/2012 11:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What would an X do right now while we're getting hit by this next CME
 Quoting: shadasonic


I don't think anyone really knows for sure,...but, I do not think it would be a good thing. These constant hits on the magnetosphere at this time of stark mass media coverage of sun activity is not a coincidence IMO.

We are building toward a solar max and everybody knows it.


Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 11:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
EVE X-Ray
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

scroll down to end
Hugh M Eye

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03/08/2012 11:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Auroral oval is lighting stronger now.

[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]

Live aurora over Yellowknife, Canada:

[link to www.asc-csa.gc.ca]

And in Iceland at the Imagine Peace Tower:

[link to www.earthcam.com]
whiteangel
Joy

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03/08/2012 11:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M6.4
but then they made it M6.3
hahahaha
!!!!!!!!

i watched that happen live on the fulx
wtf
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Looked like a M6.4 to me too, I was watching it also!
RTS REDUX

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03/08/2012 11:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i have an idea
we dont have solar wind data
this we need a bit to see how severe anything going on is

but i have a fun idea
can i ask that ANYONE who lives in any northern US states, or northern countries
please step outside a sek now and then tonight and please report back in here if you see any auroras
 Quoting: NiNzrez


46 degrees north in Idaho...7:45 pm PST No aurouras
 Quoting: old guard


1 degree N of you in E. Washington

same here

the Moon looks sort of trippy though cool2
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 11:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What would an X do right now while we're getting hit by this next CME
 Quoting: shadasonic


I don't think anyone really knows for sure,...but, I do not think it would be a good thing. These constant hits on the magnetosphere at this time of stark mass media coverage of sun activity is not a coincidence IMO.

We are building toward a solar max and everybody knows it.


Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


I guess what I really mean is this it? Or is this likely not enough to cause massive grid damage?
Veresanctus

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03/08/2012 11:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: dettro99


Hmm, that is on the large side

Last Edited by Veresanctus on 03/08/2012 11:04 PM
GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION?

"For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another.

This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law.

Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts.

If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26
OVRANALYZE

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03/08/2012 11:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
its like clockwork this thing. every 48 hours it strikes
Hugh M Eye

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03/08/2012 11:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
H-alpha movie loop of M-flare from Udaipur Observatory:

Slow it down for better view-

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Now to wait and see if have another CME bullseye.

takecover!
zacksavage
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03/08/2012 11:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I guess what I really mean is this it? Or is this likely not enough to cause massive grid damage?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9258796


I personally do not think this is it. I do think solar activity will progressively increase as we move into the future.
But then, I am basically just a stupid chimp with a keyboard in these matters.

What does your gut tell you?


Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 11:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
now says mid-lat auroras on the vhf band...
tomasgod1

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03/08/2012 11:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This M6.3 flare shows up great on EVE SAM. Sunspot Region 1429.

evemar9

A CME from this Region now would be directly earth facing. We will be looking for the first signs of a eruption from around the solar disk.
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 11:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I guess what I really mean is this it? Or is this likely not enough to cause massive grid damage?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9258796


I personally do not think this is it. I do think solar activity will progressively increase as we move into the future.
But then, I am basically just a stupid chimp with a keyboard in these matters.

What does your gut tell you?


Z
 Quoting: zacksavage

Gut feeling is that this CME will only prolong the amount of time we are a little vulnerable to a MASSIVE Flare+CME combo, but we probably won't suffer massive damage for a while. Thinking by the end of this year.
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 11:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hmm... come to think of it the EVE image kind of reminds me of the...... "Death Star" <Creepy>
Centella

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03/08/2012 11:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Take a look at The Ionosphere - Southern Hemisphere RED HOT!!!
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Veresanctus

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03/08/2012 11:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hmm... come to think of it the EVE image kind of reminds me of the...... "Death Star" <Creepy>
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9849234


wow, strange size correlations, and odd that the word star is in it... damned
GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION?

"For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another.

This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law.

Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts.

If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26
tomasgod1

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03/08/2012 11:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
H-alpha movie loop of M-flare from Udaipur Observatory:

Slow it down for better view-

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Now to wait and see if have another CME bullseye.

takecover!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


That is fantastic. I love these GONG H Alpha images. What I wouldn't give to own that telescope. The slideshow images always remind me of an early embryonic development.

Side bets on a CME or not? I say yes!
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 11:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
What would an X do right now while we're getting hit by this next CME
 Quoting: shadasonic


I don't think anyone really knows for sure,...but, I do not think it would be a good thing. These constant hits on the magnetosphere at this time of stark mass media coverage of sun activity is not a coincidence IMO.

We are building toward a solar max and everybody knows it.


Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


I guess what I really mean is this it? Or is this likely not enough to cause massive grid damage?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9258796


here is an account of the effects of a 1989 flare on Quebec, Canada

[link to www.solarstorms.org]
zacksavage
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03/08/2012 11:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Gut feeling is that this CME will only prolong the amount of time we are a little vulnerable to a MASSIVE Flare+CME combo, but we probably won't suffer massive damage for a while. Thinking by the end of this year.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9258796


I tend to agree with you. We are lucky to have such a fine collection of people breaking down every aspect of sun data for us to digest in real time here.

Very few humans have had the pleasure past or present.

"The future is uncertain and the end is always near."
~~Morrison

Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
whiteangel
Joy

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03/08/2012 11:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I say yes on CME
El Quisqueyano

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03/08/2012 11:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 03/09/12 at 0400utc/2300est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan and Haiti are also likely targets. Be wary.
whiteangel
Joy

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03/08/2012 11:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
My local news is again giving major coverage on the solar storm
RTS REDUX

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03/08/2012 11:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This M6.3 flare shows up great on EVE SAM. Sunspot Region 1429.

evemar9

A CME from this Region now would be directly earth facing. We will be looking for the first signs of a eruption from around the solar disk.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


and this is an M2 from 6-7-2011



[link to www.youtube.com]

makes me kinda wonder what SDO could see if there was another satellite positioned off to the side
Hugh M Eye

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03/08/2012 11:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
H-alpha movie loop of M-flare from Udaipur Observatory:

Slow it down for better view-

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Now to wait and see if have another CME bullseye.

takecover!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


That is fantastic. I love these GONG H Alpha images. What I wouldn't give to own that telescope. The slideshow images always remind me of an early embryonic development.

Side bets on a CME or not? I say yes!
 Quoting: tomasgod1

I love the idea behind the GONG network. Usually, they update once-a-minute not every 7-9 hours like SOHO, haha. Some of first astronomical experience as a child was looking at the sun through a large telescope. On those school trips to the science museum (Franklin Institute in Philly); there were no stars or planets in the daytime so they always had us look at sunspots. GONG reminds me of those.
Here's a link for everyone to bookmark their main page:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Oh, and besides being fast, it's the best place to keep track of filaments.

I can't wager with you as I, too, feel a CME is probable w/ a flare of this size. May be a small one or may be a big one.
nerdrage88sasr

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03/08/2012 11:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost looks like the Electron Flux is 'bleeding'....

[link to www.n3kl.org]
hiding

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
El Quisqueyano

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03/08/2012 11:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost looks like the Electron Flux is 'bleeding'....

[link to www.n3kl.org]
hiding

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


hiding
whiteangel
Joy

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03/08/2012 11:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost looks like the Electron Flux is 'bleeding'....

[link to www.n3kl.org]
hiding

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


When the Electron Flux looks like that, could explain what it means?

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