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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10498853
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03/09/2012 11:47 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
they just took ACE out of safe mode
Solar wind data is now coming in from ACE
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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03/09/2012 11:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I`ll admit I`m not the sharpest crayon in the box but some of these solar threads lately just amaze me...some of the reports on CNN, FOX and local news stations just made me laugh out loud..I guess we all have to start learning somewhere...I usually "learn" in silence so I don`t make an ass out of myself..lol... some funny threads going on right now...Not sure I could hold my sanity if it wasn`t for this thread..Good people make a big difference..
tmorais
Order out of Chaos

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03/09/2012 11:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Anybody have an idea why we haven't seen any big increase in density caused by these last CMEs?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12226168
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03/09/2012 11:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Finally, NICT is back !! hf
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/09/2012 11:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I`ll admit I`m not the sharpest crayon in the box but some of these solar threads lately just amaze me...some of the reports on CNN, FOX and local news stations just made me laugh out loud..I guess we all have to start learning somewhere...I usually "learn" in silence so I don`t make an ass out of myself..lol... some funny threads going on right now...Not sure I could hold my sanity if it wasn`t for this thread..Good people make a big difference..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


ohyeah

haha, yep noticed this too and lurking sometimes^^
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 9258796
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03/09/2012 12:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Definitely. I stick to this one and avoid the:

"OMG DOOM MAGNETOSPHERE HAS FAILED"

"SOLAR DOOM: IT'S WHAT'S FOR DINNER!!!!"

The doomtard threads from people with little to no understanding of what they're looking at get.... old.
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10498853
United States
03/09/2012 12:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I`ll admit I`m not the sharpest crayon in the box but some of these solar threads lately just amaze me...some of the reports on CNN, FOX and local news stations just made me laugh out loud..I guess we all have to start learning somewhere...I usually "learn" in silence so I don`t make an ass out of myself..lol... some funny threads going on right now...Not sure I could hold my sanity if it wasn`t for this thread..Good people make a big difference..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


i know what you mean
hf
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2012 12:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Anybody have an idea why we haven't seen any big increase in density caused by these last CMEs?
 Quoting: tmorais


its been hard to get solar wind speeds and density because of the proton storm in effect
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10498853
United States
03/09/2012 12:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
they just took ACE out of safe mode
Solar wind data is now coming in from ACE
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Finally, NICT is back !! hf
 Quoting: TS66


:)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

User ID: 10498853
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03/09/2012 12:15 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Right now we have a S2-Moderate Solar Radiation Storm in effect & a G3-Strong Geomagnetic Storm in effect
All details are included in our recent updated report
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez

Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12237134
United States
03/09/2012 12:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
From the lastest SIDC Daily Bulletin:

An unnumbered
sunspot group appeared from behind the north-east limb and produced a
CME (not a halo) this morning. C- and even M-class flares are possible
in this active region. SOHO/LASCO detected a full halo CME in
association with the M6.3 flare
in Catania sunspot group 65 (NOAA AR
1429) this morning. The CME first appeared in the LASCO C2 field of view
at 04:14 UT and had a speed around 750 km/s. We expect the CME arrival
at the Earth late on March 11 - early on March 12
. An evaluation of the
possible erupting flux rope orientation on the basis of HMI photospheric
magnetograms and AIA images of the post-eruption arcade gives the
south-east-north (SEN, left-handed) configuration. Due to the position
of the CME source region close to the solar central meridian, we expect
a nearly central encounter of the resulting ICME, which will probably be
a magnetic cloud with leading southward field. A strong geomagnetic
storm (K = 7 or higher) is probable.
The Earth is now inside the
post-shock solar wind flow generated by the ICME corresponding to the
halo CME erupted on March 7. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) is
currently southward, resulting in a severe magnetic storm (K = 7
reported by NOAA). Although the IMF magnitude is not very high (around
10 nT), it was strongly fluctuating in the past 24 hours, so a further
development of the storm is not excluded. The solar wind speed measured
by SOHO/CELIAS is currently high (around 900 km/s) and CELIAS data
exhibit two important discontinuities in the solar wind speed today (at
03:44 UT and 08:18 UT). Neither of these discontinuities seems to
correspond to a sudden increase of the IMF magnitude measured by ACE, so
they do not appear to be shock waves. The SEP event is still on-going.

[link to sidc.oma.be]

:cor3soho:
nastycme
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12237134
United States
03/09/2012 12:20 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
they just took ACE out of safe mode
Solar wind data is now coming in from ACE
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Finally, NICT is back !! hf
 Quoting: TS66


:)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Woo-Hoo! It's kinda funny but shows a pressure shock-wave just from getting the correct data again, hehe.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
psyoptics

User ID: 11578017
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03/09/2012 12:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i was just looking at this new spot coming around
[link to www.solarham.com]
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12226168
United States
03/09/2012 12:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
they just took ACE out of safe mode
Solar wind data is now coming in from ACE
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Finally, NICT is back !! hf
 Quoting: TS66


:)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Woo-Hoo! It's kinda funny but shows a pressure shock-wave just from getting the correct data again, hehe.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I know it's a necessary precaution, but I would have loved to have seen it over the last couple of days. Glad to see you Nin, Hugh, IWTB :)
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12237134
United States
03/09/2012 12:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA seems to predict an earlier arrival of next CME now.-

Event Issue Date: 2012-03-09 16:39:27.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-03-11 06:49:05.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 10 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.2 Re

CME Cygnet Model:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
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03/09/2012 12:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have a question - again - and yes it is a bit out there.

Since there seems to be a relationship between solar activity and seismic activity, is there such a thing as a 188 day solar cycle?

Does any one have proof of this?
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
acewhole777

User ID: 9925396
Canada
03/09/2012 12:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have been watching a helocopter with a large ring attatched to ot fly around the mountains that surround my house all morning.
I reserched what the ring was and found that it is a Magnetometer.
I am in the Cascade mountains BC canada
WTF are they doing with the Magnometer,,never seen an aperatus like that before
alexisj9

User ID: 1376880
United Kingdom
03/09/2012 12:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have been watching a helocopter with a large ring attatched to ot fly around the mountains that surround my house all morning.
I reserched what the ring was and found that it is a Magnetometer.
I am in the Cascade mountains BC canada
WTF are they doing with the Magnometer,,never seen an aperatus like that before
 Quoting: acewhole777


I would assume taking mid level measurements of this mornings storm, as the satellite was down.
PolarBear418

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03/09/2012 12:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X Ray Absorption you can see a faint circle appearing where the tail is I assume.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12237134
United States
03/09/2012 01:13 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This turned out to be quite a stormy week in geo-space. This disturbance is still ongoing another CME is on the way here. More red than green on the Kp chart the past 3 days. Kp Index is back down to 5 (still at storm level).

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
:K-indexx:

Satellite environment:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Also, we have to watch a huge filament which has come over the northeast limb.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Here's a pic of the post-flare loops referred to in the SIDC bulletin. This was about an hour after the M6 flare.

:postflare:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 921787
United States
03/09/2012 01:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This turned out to be quite a stormy week in geo-space. This disturbance is still ongoing another CME is on the way here. More red than green on the Kp chart the past 3 days. Kp Index is back down to 5 (still at storm level).

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
:K-indexx:

Satellite environment:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Also, we have to watch a huge filament which has come over the northeast limb.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Here's a pic of the post-flare loops referred to in the SIDC bulletin. This was about an hour after the M6 flare.

:postflare:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I`ve been watching that filament...nasty looking sucker..

a 4.8 EQ then a 5.4 ..Japan...hopefully not the start of something bigger

[link to quakes.globalincidentmap.com]

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 03/09/2012 01:15 PM
amywood71605

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03/09/2012 01:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sure wish it was dark right now! A good chance I might be able to see my very first aruora this far south!! It is on my bucket list - lol so to speak
 Quoting: whiteangel


I know how that feels. I'm in Northern Vermont, and never paid much attention to this stuff until the last few months. Saw it myself for the first time awhile back...but lower on the horizon. Last night it was too cloudy, otherwise I think I would have had a good chance.
"Live each day like it's your last, love like you've never been hurt, and dance like no one is watching."
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 921787
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03/09/2012 01:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sure wish it was dark right now! A good chance I might be able to see my very first aruora this far south!! It is on my bucket list - lol so to speak
 Quoting: whiteangel


I know how that feels. I'm in Northern Vermont, and never paid much attention to this stuff until the last few months. Saw it myself for the first time awhile back...but lower on the horizon. Last night it was too cloudy, otherwise I think I would have had a good chance.
 Quoting: amywood71605


My buddy got a great show in Idaho last night...I would love to see them
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12031867
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03/09/2012 01:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have been watching a helocopter with a large ring attatched to ot fly around the mountains that surround my house all morning.
I reserched what the ring was and found that it is a Magnetometer.
I am in the Cascade mountains BC canada
WTF are they doing with the Magnometer,,never seen an aperatus like that before
 Quoting: acewhole777


mineral exploration,
Sul-americano
User ID: 1063827
Brazil
03/09/2012 01:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
earthquake2012-03-09 18:19:03.0
15min ago 35.75 N 142.29 E 40 mb 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
[link to www.emsc-csem.org]
Another one in Japan!!
Is it finally begining!!!??banana2
NiNzrez (OP)

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03/09/2012 01:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M6.3 Flare + Earth Directed CME - March 9, 2012
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12237134
United States
03/09/2012 01:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Magnetosphere looks tired and worn-out, haha.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Realtime Bow-shock model working again also:

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

A slew of Ionospheric models. (Caution: some of these sims. use a lot of bandwidth and RAM...takes time to load data,etc.)

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I liked this Total Electron Content (TEC) Forecast model:

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12237134
United States
03/09/2012 01:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
earthquake2012-03-09 18:19:03.0
15min ago 35.75 N 142.29 E 40 mb 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
[link to www.emsc-csem.org]
Another one in Japan!!
Is it finally begining!!!??banana2
 Quoting: Sul-americano 1063827


They have a 5+ earthquake in Japan almost every day for the past year!


1dpanic
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
acewhole777

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Canada
03/09/2012 01:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Earth's magnetic field (the magnetosphere) varies both temporally (there is a daily variation of around 30 nT at mid latitudes and hundreds of nT at the poles) and spatially (from around 20,000 nT near the equator to 80,000 nT near the poles) for various reasons, such as the inhomogeneity of rocks and the interaction between charged particles from the Sun and the magnetosphere. Geomagnetic storms can cause much larger variations, but, on average, the Earth's magnetic field is relatively weak. A simple magnet from a hardware store produces a field hundreds of times stronger.
acewhole777

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Canada
03/09/2012 01:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
A magnetometer is a measuring instrument used to measure the strength or direction of magnetic fields. Some countries, such as the USA, Canada and Australia classify the more sensitive magnetometers as military technology, and control their distribution.