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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
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03/12/2012 04:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay, I have a question or two or three and for those who have been solar watching for years (only a year here) it is going to seem dumb, and I should have asked it a long long time ago but I didn't.

SS1429 is rotating away from us.

1) When it comes back around it will be given a new number - correct?

2) How long does it take to cycle back around, exactly?

3) Will it be bigger or do you think after all it unleased and might unleash on the backside, that it will still be BGD? I know this one is a guess but your best guesses will mean something to me.
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
whiteangel

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03/12/2012 05:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Bz is dipping slightly south and winds are around 650
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 8722941
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03/12/2012 05:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
whiteangel

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03/12/2012 05:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
And I do have the answer on the sun rotation = 25 days
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
El Quisqueyano

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03/12/2012 05:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Bz is dipping slightly south and winds are around 650
 Quoting: whiteangel


popcorn
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12391523
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03/12/2012 05:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay, I have a question or two or three and for those who have been solar watching for years (only a year here) it is going to seem dumb, and I should have asked it a long long time ago but I didn't.

SS1429 is rotating away from us.

1) When it comes back around it will be given a new number - correct?

2) How long does it take to cycle back around, exactly?

3) Will it be bigger or do you think after all it unleased and might unleash on the backside, that it will still be BGD? I know this one is a guess but your best guesses will mean something to me.
 Quoting: whiteangel


Solar rotation period is about 27 days. It rotates faster near the equator and slower at high latitudes. If an active regions returns it would be 13.5 days after it crosses the limb. Here's a chart of the activity for the past 2 cycles.

[link to translate.google.de]

SWAP rotation animation:

[link to sidc.oma.be]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12394735
United States
03/12/2012 05:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay, I have a question or two or three and for those who have been solar watching for years (only a year here) it is going to seem dumb, and I should have asked it a long long time ago but I didn't.

SS1429 is rotating away from us.

1) When it comes back around it will be given a new number - correct?

2) How long does it take to cycle back around, exactly?

3) Will it be bigger or do you think after all it unleased and might unleash on the backside, that it will still be BGD? I know this one is a guess but your best guesses will mean something to me.
 Quoting: whiteangel


1) yes a new number
2) there is no guarantee it will come back around at all, it may degrade to nothing, that is why they give it a new number. It could be nothing to a speck, or 10X bigger, we'll have to watch and see :)
Luisport

User ID: 12395113
Portugal
03/12/2012 05:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The official Solar Flux value for March 12, 2012 is 115.

What exactly does Solar Flux indicate?

The 10.7 cm (2800 MHz) radio flux is the amount of solar noise (light) that is emitted by the sun at 10.7 cm wavelengths. The solar flux is measured and reported at approximately 1700 UT daily by the Penticton Radio Observatory in British Columbia, Canada. Values are not corrected for variations resulting from the eccentric orbit of the Earth around the Sun.

The solar flux is used as a basic indicator of solar activity. It can vary from values below 50 to values in excess of 300 (representing very low solar activity and high to very high solar activity respectively). Values in excess of 200 occur typical during the peak of the solar cycles.

The solar flux is closely related to the amount of ionization taking place at F2 layer heights (heights sensitive to long-distance radio communication). High solar flux values generally provide good ionization for long-distance communications at higher than normal frequencies. Low solar flux values can restrict the band of frequencies which are usable for long distance communications. The solar flux is measured in "solar flux units" (s.f.u.). One s.f.u. is equivalent to 10^-22 Wm^-2 Hz^-1. [link to www.facebook.com]
whiteangel

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03/12/2012 06:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks TS and Hugh!!
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
Luisport

User ID: 12395113
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03/12/2012 06:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I can't access to realtime simulation ... anyone more or it's only me? [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Starwind

User ID: 12283057
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03/12/2012 06:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I can't access to realtime simulation ... anyone more or it's only me? [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Luisport


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Here's the data that feeds it (in case you didn't know)

Looks like the density has completely bottomed out and speed may or may not be ticking down.
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
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03/12/2012 06:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yall have probably already seen this. It is still funny looking even if it is a huge coronal hole.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
zacksavage

User ID: 1222417
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03/12/2012 06:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yall have probably already seen this. It is still funny looking even if it is a huge coronal hole.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


I was going to post that too whiteangel,...interesting days we are having.

My thinking is,...we have not seen nothing yet.



Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
MamaHasAwakened

User ID: 5426767
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03/12/2012 06:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yall have probably already seen this. It is still funny looking even if it is a huge coronal hole.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


I was going to post that too whiteangel,...interesting days we are having.

My thinking is,...we have not seen nothing yet.



Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


That's my thinking too!
MrAC2U

User ID: 1045262
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03/12/2012 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X-Ray flux back up to c
MamaHasAwakened

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03/12/2012 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have a C and rising!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
MamaHasAwakened

User ID: 5426767
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03/12/2012 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have a C and rising!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


ok,maybe not!
MrAC2U

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03/12/2012 06:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have a C and rising!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


ok,maybe not!
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


Maxed at C 1.0
MamaHasAwakened

User ID: 5426767
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03/12/2012 06:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have a C and rising!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


ok,maybe not!
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


Maxed at C 1.0
 Quoting: MrAC2U


I saw that!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12394735
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03/12/2012 06:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
EVE is out again redface

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
El Quisqueyano

User ID: 12094494
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03/12/2012 06:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NICT down again.
MrAC2U

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03/12/2012 06:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Flux edging up again, gonna keep going this time?
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12391523
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03/12/2012 06:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Flux edging up again, gonna keep going this time?
 Quoting: MrAC2U


Nice catch, MrAC2U, looks like 1430 and 1429 may be stirring again. Let's keep an eye on them for more activity. They seem to magnetically very connected.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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03/12/2012 06:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It be nice to see which SS is waking up ...
whiteangel

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03/12/2012 07:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Flux going up and Bz heading south.

We passed the 60 degree mark, right? :)
I can see how it might be possible for a man to look down upon the earth and be an atheist, but I cannot conceive how a man could look up into the heavens and say there is no God.

--Abraham Lincoln
El Quisqueyano

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03/12/2012 07:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Flux going up and Bz heading south.

We passed the 60 degree mark, right? :)
 Quoting: whiteangel


NICT is still down.
zacksavage

User ID: 1222417
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03/12/2012 07:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So,... let me get this straight. There is this huge triangular coronal hole coming round the bend and all the cool monitors are down? The C count rising?

No,...really??chuckle

Hey, sun-people take care. Unfortunately, I have to run now with all this drama in play. I have been trying to run all day, But stuff keeps happening.

See y'all later.



Z

Last Edited by zacksavage on 03/12/2012 07:09 PM
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Anonymous Coward
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Austria
03/12/2012 07:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i want a "no shit sherlock" event happen there
wohoooooo
Anonymous Coward
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Brazil
03/12/2012 07:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So,... let me get this straight. There is this huge triangular coronal hole coming round the bend and all the cool monitors are down? The C count rising?

No,...really??chuckle

Hey, sun-people take care. Unfortunately, I have to run now with all this drama in play. I have been trying to run all day, But stuff keeps happening.

See y'all later.



Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


bump
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12408222
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03/12/2012 07:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That is one huge coronal hole! Also, it's bordered by a giant filament in the north and northwest. Filaments near coronal holes often erupt spectacularly.

SDO composite:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

The GONG H-alpha movies are excellent for keeping tabs on filament activity.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

The Big Bear observatory movie from today shows the filament extending from 1429 looking unstable. Also, the one near center-disk looks restless. These bear close observation as filament eruptions can often produce bigger CMEs than strong flares.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]


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