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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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03/12/2012 04:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
2012-03-12 12:50 UTC Geomagnetic Storm Underway

Geomagnetic storming reaching the G2 (Moderate) level is underway. Continued geomagnetic activity reaching the G3 (Strong) level is likely between now and the end of March 13 as the parade of recent coronal mass ejections affect Earth. Meanwhile, the Solar Radiation Storm continues its decay and is currently at the S1 (Minor) level. Region 1429 remains complex, but is showing signs of weakening. No significant Radio Blackout events have been observed in the last 24 hours, so no further significant activity is currently expected after March 13. That said, continued activity is possible and any subsequent events would change that outlook. Updates here as conditions warrant.

__________

POES data products will be temporarily unavailable beginning February 29th while SWPC upgrades IT systems. This upgrade will ensure the long term security and robustness of our operations. In the meantime, please refer to the Ovation Auroral Forecast test product which provides similar information to the POES Auroral plots and is also predictive. You can find Ovation at: [link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]

__________

Due to recent and ongoing space weather activity, SWPC is under a moratorium for changes to operational systems. As a result, the following change will be postponed one week to Monday, March 19: Beginning Monday, March 12, 2012, the Weekly Bulletin will now be issued and available on the SWPC web page every Monday morning by 1500 UT (10am EST). The Weekly is currently issued on Tuesdays.
Conspiracynut1

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03/12/2012 04:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ninz, what in the hell was that black sphere that looked like it was drawing energy from the sun last night?
PolarBear418

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03/12/2012 04:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
On the topic of the unknown dark sphere... didn't we see something similar months back with a dark spherical object possibly "cloaked" near mercury... anyone know how the size/shape matches up?
Anonymous Coward
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03/12/2012 04:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I would like to take this momment to thank a few people
thank you Rome,Spain,England,France and USA.
Thanks for deystroying our world history and leaving us in the dark as to WTF is going on right now on our planet.
 Quoting: acewhole777


this is a solar thread
lets keep the talk in here revolved around that subject
thanks
 Quoting: NiNzrez


With all due respect Nin, I thought he made a very valid and pertinant comment there.
Can you imagine how much invaluable astronomical information was burned by the spanish in south america or lost in the Library of Alexandria fire? Or for that matter what is hidden away beneath the vatican. Thousands of years of historical observations, wisdom and knowledge unavailable to our generation......we are truly living in another dark age just because of a few shortsighted, greedy psycopathic rulers.
shadasonic

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03/12/2012 04:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
On the topic of the unknown dark sphere... didn't we see something similar months back with a dark spherical object possibly "cloaked" near mercury... anyone know how the size/shape matches up?
 Quoting: PolarBear418


Yes we did and there wasn't a real good explanation for that one either.We really know so little about our galaxy,kids learning to read and write
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
whiteangel
Joy

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03/12/2012 04:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay, I have a question or two or three and for those who have been solar watching for years (only a year here) it is going to seem dumb, and I should have asked it a long long time ago but I didn't.

SS1429 is rotating away from us.

1) When it comes back around it will be given a new number - correct?

2) How long does it take to cycle back around, exactly?

3) Will it be bigger or do you think after all it unleased and might unleash on the backside, that it will still be BGD? I know this one is a guess but your best guesses will mean something to me.
Find your light and shine
whiteangel
Joy

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03/12/2012 05:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Bz is dipping slightly south and winds are around 650
Find your light and shine
Anonymous Coward
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03/12/2012 05:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
whiteangel
Joy

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03/12/2012 05:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
And I do have the answer on the sun rotation = 25 days
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El Quisqueyano

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03/12/2012 05:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Bz is dipping slightly south and winds are around 650
 Quoting: whiteangel


popcorn
Hugh M Eye

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03/12/2012 05:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay, I have a question or two or three and for those who have been solar watching for years (only a year here) it is going to seem dumb, and I should have asked it a long long time ago but I didn't.

SS1429 is rotating away from us.

1) When it comes back around it will be given a new number - correct?

2) How long does it take to cycle back around, exactly?

3) Will it be bigger or do you think after all it unleased and might unleash on the backside, that it will still be BGD? I know this one is a guess but your best guesses will mean something to me.
 Quoting: whiteangel


Solar rotation period is about 27 days. It rotates faster near the equator and slower at high latitudes. If an active regions returns it would be 13.5 days after it crosses the limb. Here's a chart of the activity for the past 2 cycles.

[link to translate.google.de]

SWAP rotation animation:

[link to sidc.oma.be]
Anonymous Coward
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03/12/2012 05:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Okay, I have a question or two or three and for those who have been solar watching for years (only a year here) it is going to seem dumb, and I should have asked it a long long time ago but I didn't.

SS1429 is rotating away from us.

1) When it comes back around it will be given a new number - correct?

2) How long does it take to cycle back around, exactly?

3) Will it be bigger or do you think after all it unleased and might unleash on the backside, that it will still be BGD? I know this one is a guess but your best guesses will mean something to me.
 Quoting: whiteangel


1) yes a new number
2) there is no guarantee it will come back around at all, it may degrade to nothing, that is why they give it a new number. It could be nothing to a speck, or 10X bigger, we'll have to watch and see :)
Luisport

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03/12/2012 05:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The official Solar Flux value for March 12, 2012 is 115.

What exactly does Solar Flux indicate?

The 10.7 cm (2800 MHz) radio flux is the amount of solar noise (light) that is emitted by the sun at 10.7 cm wavelengths. The solar flux is measured and reported at approximately 1700 UT daily by the Penticton Radio Observatory in British Columbia, Canada. Values are not corrected for variations resulting from the eccentric orbit of the Earth around the Sun.

The solar flux is used as a basic indicator of solar activity. It can vary from values below 50 to values in excess of 300 (representing very low solar activity and high to very high solar activity respectively). Values in excess of 200 occur typical during the peak of the solar cycles.

The solar flux is closely related to the amount of ionization taking place at F2 layer heights (heights sensitive to long-distance radio communication). High solar flux values generally provide good ionization for long-distance communications at higher than normal frequencies. Low solar flux values can restrict the band of frequencies which are usable for long distance communications. The solar flux is measured in "solar flux units" (s.f.u.). One s.f.u. is equivalent to 10^-22 Wm^-2 Hz^-1. [link to www.facebook.com]
whiteangel
Joy

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03/12/2012 06:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks TS and Hugh!!
Find your light and shine
Luisport

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03/12/2012 06:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I can't access to realtime simulation ... anyone more or it's only me? [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Starwind

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03/12/2012 06:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I can't access to realtime simulation ... anyone more or it's only me? [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Luisport


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Here's the data that feeds it (in case you didn't know)

Looks like the density has completely bottomed out and speed may or may not be ticking down.
whiteangel
Joy

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03/12/2012 06:12 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yall have probably already seen this. It is still funny looking even if it is a huge coronal hole.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Find your light and shine
zacksavage
~~Unbound~~

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03/12/2012 06:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yall have probably already seen this. It is still funny looking even if it is a huge coronal hole.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


I was going to post that too whiteangel,...interesting days we are having.

My thinking is,...we have not seen nothing yet.



Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
MamaHasAwakened

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03/12/2012 06:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Yall have probably already seen this. It is still funny looking even if it is a huge coronal hole.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


I was going to post that too whiteangel,...interesting days we are having.

My thinking is,...we have not seen nothing yet.



Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


That's my thinking too!
MrAC2U

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03/12/2012 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
X-Ray flux back up to c
MamaHasAwakened

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03/12/2012 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have a C and rising!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
MamaHasAwakened

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03/12/2012 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have a C and rising!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


ok,maybe not!
MrAC2U

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03/12/2012 06:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have a C and rising!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


ok,maybe not!
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


Maxed at C 1.0
MamaHasAwakened

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03/12/2012 06:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We have a C and rising!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


ok,maybe not!
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


Maxed at C 1.0
 Quoting: MrAC2U


I saw that!
Anonymous Coward
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03/12/2012 06:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
EVE is out again redface

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
El Quisqueyano

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03/12/2012 06:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NICT down again.
MrAC2U

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03/12/2012 06:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Flux edging up again, gonna keep going this time?
Hugh M Eye

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03/12/2012 06:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Flux edging up again, gonna keep going this time?
 Quoting: MrAC2U


Nice catch, MrAC2U, looks like 1430 and 1429 may be stirring again. Let's keep an eye on them for more activity. They seem to magnetically very connected.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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03/12/2012 06:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It be nice to see which SS is waking up ...
whiteangel
Joy

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03/12/2012 07:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Flux going up and Bz heading south.

We passed the 60 degree mark, right? :)
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