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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12394735
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03/15/2012 08:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf

I remember a few months ago having C flares that began looking like an EKG.

It's looking like M's turn. An M a day keeps the suntards at play :)

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
nerdrage88sasr

User ID: 12416495
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03/15/2012 08:17 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf

I remember a few months having C flares that began looking like an EKG.

It's looking like M's turn. An M a day keeps the suntards at play :)

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


lol, nice!
ANd morning TS grinning
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
OVRANALYZE

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03/15/2012 08:19 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf

I remember a few months having C flares that began looking like an EKG.

It's looking like M's turn. An M a day keeps the suntards at play :)

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


lmao

Last Edited by OVRANALYZE on 03/15/2012 08:19 AM
MamaHasAwakened

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03/15/2012 08:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf

I remember a few months ago having C flares that began looking like an EKG.

It's looking like M's turn. An M a day keeps the suntards at play :)

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66




chuckle
WingnAPrayer

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03/15/2012 09:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out the current wind speed.....666.6
nerdrage88sasr

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03/15/2012 09:04 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out the current wind speed.....666.6
 Quoting: WingnAPrayer


violin
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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03/15/2012 09:07 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

positive Mag North took a dive

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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03/15/2012 09:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME incoming?

[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

We just got a new CME arrival calculation in from NASA.

Event Issue Date: 2012-03-13 20:18:02.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-03-15 06:20:06.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 11 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.1 Re

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

--
nerdrage88sasr

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03/15/2012 09:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out the current wind speed.....666.6
 Quoting: WingnAPrayer


up to 770 and climbing!
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
MamaHasAwakened

User ID: 5426767
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03/15/2012 09:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm guessing NICT down.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Blank screen for me.
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
03/15/2012 09:14 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning!
And congrats on 700 pages!
One of 2 personal pins on GLP, and I read first every day.
Many thanks to all who contribute, with special thanks to Nin!

moshpit
 Quoting: Doobie


bump
nerdrage88sasr

User ID: 12416495
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03/15/2012 09:20 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Interesting- just put up, not sure if anyone has seen/discussed this yet?

[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov] EG5&orb=1
[link to spaceweather.com]

On April 02nd - Comet 2012EG5 will come .7 LD from earth, 65m radius...but get this CON CODE 9!!

interesting yes? they must be going through the data still? as it changes its details reguarly?

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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03/15/2012 09:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I prefer visuals, the graphs make me nauseous (seriously !! ) This is not as user friendly as NICT, but you can see the electron flux hit around 12:15 UTC today.

UTC time right now is 3/15/12 13:19

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

So it would seem that yes we have pressure coming in from "out there" this morning.

Perhaps this (From Nin's blog)

We just got a new CME arrival calculation in from NASA.

Event Issue Date: 2012-03-13 20:18:02.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-03-15 06:20:06.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours

Disturbance Duration: 11 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.1 Re

[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
WingnAPrayer

User ID: 4808727
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03/15/2012 09:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Interesting- just put up, not sure if anyone has seen/discussed this yet?

[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov] EG5&orb=1
[link to spaceweather.com]

On April 02nd - Comet 2012EG5 will come .7 LD from earth, 65m radius...but get this CON CODE 9!!

interesting yes? they must be going through the data still? as it changes its details reguarly?

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Hmmm- It was updated just yesterday... Interesting Indeed!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 12394735
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03/15/2012 09:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Interesting- just put up, not sure if anyone has seen/discussed this yet?

[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov] EG5&orb=1
[link to spaceweather.com]

On April 02nd - Comet 2012EG5 will come .7 LD from earth, 65m radius...but get this CON CODE 9!!

interesting yes? they must be going through the data still? as it changes its details reguarly?

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Wow !! Absolutely !! Another one within the moon's orbital path. Looks like July 3 2015 within .624 AU.

[link to neo.jpl.nasa.gov]

Nice catch hf
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12557139
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03/15/2012 09:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well, it's here!

Space Weather Message Code: SUMSUD
Serial Number: 149
Issue Time: 2012 Mar 15 1314 UTC

SUMMARY: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2012 Mar 15 1309 UTC
Deviation: 27 nT
Station: Boulder

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Real-time magnetopase and bow-shock simulation:

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

ACE SW data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
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03/15/2012 10:20 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Bz heading way south and solar winds picking up.

Showing a rise in K-index:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
newyear2015
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
03/15/2012 10:21 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
thinking about it there is no scale (size) a plasma orb cannot become and if the plasma is functioning in dark mode when it leaves the sun............

Electric currents in plasma take on three basic modes -- dark, glow or arc -- depending on the voltage and charge density.
 Quoting: observation


...........it would detectable (visible) only by utilizing magnetometers and charged particle detectors

i imagine
 Quoting: aether


feedback

The Dark of the Sun
Mar 15, 2012

Dark mode plasma phenomena exist on the Sun.


The image at the top of the page is the most detailed ever taken of the Sun’s chromosphere. The smallest features are 130 kilometers in size. Each spicule is about 480 kilometers in diameter, with a length of 3200 kilometers. The largest measure as much as 8000 kilometers long. Although the light and dark regions are colorful, the colors were added in processing.............
 Quoting: observation

[link to www.thunderbolts.info]
Starwind

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03/15/2012 10:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've been out a few days, what is it we are getting now? A CME I missed?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Density/speed have risen and the BZ has went south
Hugh M Eye

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03/15/2012 10:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1567
Issue Time: 2012 Mar 15 1329 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2012 Mar 15 1329 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electron flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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03/15/2012 10:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've been out a few days, what is it we are getting now? A CME I missed?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Density/speed have risen and the BZ has went south
 Quoting: Starwind


We're getting the CME launched from the M7 flare on the 13th from 1429. Later, the coronal hole wind-streams get here; possibly followed by 2 more weak CMEs from the M-flares produced by AR 1432 (yesterday and today). Could be another stormy week in geo-space.
whiteangel

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03/15/2012 10:33 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I've been out a few days, what is it we are getting now? A CME I missed?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Density/speed have risen and the BZ has went south
 Quoting: Starwind


Yes CME for the 13th
newyear2015
Anonymous Coward
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03/15/2012 10:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GEOMAGNETIC SUDDEN IMPULSE ALERT:
A Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse measuring 27nT was detected at 13:09 UTC. This signals the passage of an IP Shock.
Geomagnetic Storm conditions may soon be possible. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com.

[link to www.solarham.com]
whiteangel

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03/15/2012 10:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 758
Issue Time: 2012 Mar 15 1425 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2012 Mar 15 1426 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Mar 15 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
newyear2015
Luisport

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03/15/2012 10:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
magnetometer values continue to rise... [link to www.n3kl.org]
Hugh M Eye

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03/15/2012 10:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

positive Mag North took a dive

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Yep, looks like this one might be strongly geo-effective.
FraudulentZodiac

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03/15/2012 10:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12031867


bumpbump

Why was the direction of the magnetic pressure flipped??? If you go back to look at the NICT it is blank for that time.

wtf
"All energy flows according to the whims of the Great Magnet" - Hunter S. Thompson

"None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." - Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

We are all just ins inside the out, and outs inside the ins.
Anonymous Coward
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03/15/2012 10:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12031867


bumpbump

Why was the direction of the magnetic pressure flipped??? If you go back to look at the NICT it is blank for that time.

wtf
 Quoting: FraudulentZodiac


hugh, ninz, tgod, anybody want to tackle this question for us?

oe..
Luisport

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03/15/2012 10:54 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
magnetometer values continue to rise... [link to www.n3kl.org]
 Quoting: Luisport


Very big spike now!!!
Anonymous Coward
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03/15/2012 11:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
aurora sim is back up now btw..

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

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