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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
psyoptics

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04/02/2012 02:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
when NASA states there was a crack that opens in the magnetosphere do we know where?

this last one...was it say over hawaii?

The reason for this show was the interplanetary magnetic field, or IMF. On April 1st the IMF tipped south, opening a crack in Earth's magnetospherre. Solar wind poured in to fuel the auroras. (So the sun was involved after all.)
[link to spaceweather.com]

i know the themis project has recorded a hole on the sun facing side the size the the entire planet.

i also see these cracks happening everytime we see SS 1429...connected?
 Quoting: psyoptics


does anyone have info on this...
the lastest data i can find in over 4 years old.

NASA has listed 6 cracks in the magentosphere in the last 2 months....where? how big? and how long did they last?

maybe it's just me but this seems kinda important.

cracks in our shield...
data gaps...or our satellites going off line for days...
when we would need them the most...
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
psyoptics

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04/02/2012 02:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Daily has an interesting article on the impact of the recent X5 flare/proton event/CME. They casually mention that Cycle 24 will peak in late 2014. WTF? Where did this projection come from? The 11-year cycle maximum was originally predicted for 2012; then it was pushed back to early 2013. Is this a typo or did I miss something? wtf

"Sol 'waking up'
"It's been seven years since we've had a storm like that," he said. "This is the first major storm event since the deep solar minimum of 2008-2009. We are finally seeing the Sun 'wake up' as it proceeds to the next solar maximum."

A solar maximum is a period of increased activity on the Sun, and minimum-to-maximum-to-minimum cycles generally last 11 years each. Solar activity began to pick up in 2010, is steadily increasing and should peak in late 2014.

As the Sun becomes more active, Mlynczak said, it emits more ultraviolet radiation and produces more solar flares - coronal mass ejections (CMEs) - which are absorbed in the atmosphere. "More heating results, and the atmosphere gets warmer, and the infrared emission increases," he said.

"We don't know yet how these affect weather or climate - likely there is not any direct effect," he said, "but there may be, over time, influences on ozone that affect climate."

[link to www.spacedaily.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

if i recall right solar cycle 4 was the longest at 13.7 years....at least that is what us humans have recorded.
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Nacht im Walde

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04/02/2012 05:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
11 years ago one of the most powerful Xflares was observed from Sunspot 9393: (X20)



amazing how much more active the sun was back then!! I find the Lasco C2 especially stunning...
We don't see things as they are, we see things as we are. - Anais Nin
Nacht im Walde

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04/02/2012 05:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Daily has an interesting article on the impact of the recent X5 flare/proton event/CME. They casually mention that Cycle 24 will peak in late 2014. WTF? Where did this projection come from? The 11-year cycle maximum was originally predicted for 2012; then it was pushed back to early 2013. Is this a typo or did I miss something? wtf

"Sol 'waking up'
"It's been seven years since we've had a storm like that," he said. "This is the first major storm event since the deep solar minimum of 2008-2009. We are finally seeing the Sun 'wake up' as it proceeds to the next solar maximum."

A solar maximum is a period of increased activity on the Sun, and minimum-to-maximum-to-minimum cycles generally last 11 years each. Solar activity began to pick up in 2010, is steadily increasing and should peak in late 2014.

As the Sun becomes more active, Mlynczak said, it emits more ultraviolet radiation and produces more solar flares - coronal mass ejections (CMEs) - which are absorbed in the atmosphere. "More heating results, and the atmosphere gets warmer, and the infrared emission increases," he said.

"We don't know yet how these affect weather or climate - likely there is not any direct effect," he said, "but there may be, over time, influences on ozone that affect climate."

[link to www.spacedaily.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

if i recall right solar cycle 4 was the longest at 13.7 years....at least that is what us humans have recorded.
 Quoting: psyoptics


I think the reason for the push back is due to the prolongued minimum of SC23-24(which at first wasn`t anticipated)
We don't see things as they are, we see things as we are. - Anais Nin
Anonymous Coward
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04/02/2012 06:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Decent little flare from 1450...

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Movie, red, about 18:00 to now.

SDO looks to be back in force.

Halpha looks interesting also, with a few sparks to boot..

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

--
Anonymous Coward
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04/02/2012 08:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
any thoughts on this guys? Thread: Reports of Meteor Blazing across sky [VIDEO]

April 2nd video report on this meteor blaze

[link to www.youtube.com]

Take COVER!!
 Quoting: FreedomMan 11591025

 Quoting: psyoptics


Can't wait to hear what MSMs analysis is !! LOL

It is very coincidental that the asteroid just happened to blow by in between earth and the moon around the same time.


And yes I do see the electron concentration moving westward, but still don't understand the intensity.
 Quoting: TS66


Hugh .... this is what I need to know about ... please I need to know..... if you have ant insight, please.
Hugh M Eye

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04/02/2012 08:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
any thoughts on this guys? Thread: Reports of Meteor Blazing across sky [VIDEO]

April 2nd video report on this meteor blaze

[link to www.youtube.com]

Take COVER!!
 Quoting: FreedomMan 11591025

 Quoting: psyoptics


Can't wait to hear what MSMs analysis is !! LOL

It is very coincidental that the asteroid just happened to blow by in between earth and the moon around the same time.


And yes I do see the electron concentration moving westward, but still don't understand the intensity.
 Quoting: TS66


Hugh .... this is what I need to know about ... please I need to know..... if you have ant insight, please.
 Quoting: TS66

Looks like a good-sized bolide (fireball meteor) to me. Happens all the time, tho few are caught on video. I was thinking maybe the reported "big-boom" heard in the Pocono Mtns. recently may have been a meteor also, but the weathermen claim it was thunder.
Hugh M Eye

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04/02/2012 09:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


[link to www.youtube.com]
Hugh M Eye

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04/02/2012 09:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
11 years ago one of the most powerful Xflares was observed from Sunspot 9393: (X20)



amazing how much more active the sun was back then!! I find the Lasco C2 especially stunning...
 Quoting: Nacht im Walde


Coincidentally, also on this date, 167 years ago the very first solar photographic image was processed in France.

NASA press release:

[link to solarsystem.nasa.gov]

My pooter couldn't load image, so I found it at Nat. Geographic:

[link to images.nationalgeographic.com]
nerdrage88sasr

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04/02/2012 11:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
z took a dive
[link to www.irf.se]
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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04/03/2012 02:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
lovely piccy

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Is it just me or has NICT stopped updating?
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Last Edited by nerdrage88sasr on 04/03/2012 03:11 AM
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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04/03/2012 06:15 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NICT... RIP...J/K

Saw a bolide when I was a kid. It was summer, not long after dark so lots of people saw it. It was big and slow... don't remember the tail so much, but the disk itself was well defined, glowing red, as big as a nickel held at arms length. No flash in the pan, spark and dazzle of a normal meteor, this one went on forever. I spotted it about 30 degrees above the horizon. From then until it disappeared behind trees on the opposite horizon took 5 or 6 seconds.

Reports were all over the news, people calling TV and radio stations wondering what it was. Since I was in 5th grade at the time and had taken science classes and had seen it with my own eyes, I knew it was a meteor. Others conjectured aloud, for weeks on end, that it was an alien spaceship invading planet Earth, doom was at hand, the end times were near. Kinda sound familiar...

[link to www.youtube.com]

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Anonymous Coward
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04/03/2012 07:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Double rate at SDO? The composites seem to be lagging, but the primary bands are updating images every 15 minutes instead of every 1/2 hour as it's been in the recent past.

--
shenue

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04/03/2012 09:44 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all. Been away a couple days. Have to do a catch-up here.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
shenue

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04/03/2012 09:45 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
lovely piccy

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Is it just me or has NICT stopped updating?
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


No, it's not just you. It has stopped updating. But, what else is new....eh?
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
nerdrage88sasr

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04/03/2012 10:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
lovely piccy

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Is it just me or has NICT stopped updating?
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


No, it's not just you. It has stopped updating. But, what else is new....eh?
 Quoting: shenue


lol, thank goodness for that, im not going crazy!
love the new avatar Shenue!
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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04/03/2012 11:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
INFO FROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM 03 Apr 2012, 1119UT

Solar flaring activity remains low with only B-class flares in the past day, mainly originating from NOAA AR 11451 (no Catania number yet). NOAA AR 11450 is growing and showing more sunspots and some polarity mixing. An isolated C-class flare is possible from this region. Geomagnetic conditions remain quiet. Unsettled conditions are possible tomorrow when the high speed wind stream from a small coronal hole is expected to arrive. A slow CME was observed in the STEREO/COR2 data around 01:24 UT (STEREO-A) yesterday morning. This CME is directed northwards. A glancing blow (if any) from this CME could arrive on April 6.

[link to sidc.oma.be]
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
io_stesso
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04/03/2012 11:04 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
lovely piccy

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Is it just me or has NICT stopped updating?
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr

Hi guys, about NICT check this.

[link to swc.nict.go.jp]
nerdrage88sasr

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04/03/2012 11:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
lovely piccy

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Is it just me or has NICT stopped updating?
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr

Hi guys, about NICT check this.

[link to swc.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: io_stesso 12566282


Shit, cheers mate
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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04/03/2012 11:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This is showing a bit of pressure inbound....

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

This says we are having a storm...

[link to sprg.ssl.berkeley.edu]

Yet nothing anywhere else..??

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
alexisj9

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04/03/2012 11:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ah well, lets hope they hurry up with the new stuff.
shenue

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04/03/2012 12:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow NOAA finally updated ENLIL. yeayyyy I have missed this a lot. It is slow enough that my brain can keep up with it.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NASA's is just too darn fast.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

And NASA's needs to be updated today. It isn't showing the cme that is probably going to give us a glancing blow sometime in the next couple of days.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
coffeePC
psyoptics

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04/03/2012 12:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
lovely piccy

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Is it just me or has NICT stopped updating?
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr

Hi guys, about NICT check this.

[link to swc.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: io_stesso 12566282


Abeyance (from the Old French abeance meaning "gaping")

to create the mother of all data gapes...just in time for what?

i really liked the archives. real time data was cool but to look back! compare...
many question here???
at least ACE is still up....I hanve noticed most of these satellite are running well over their project end dates. the all the budget cuts will we be getting new eyes i in the sky or are we going slowly blind?
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Veresanctus

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04/03/2012 01:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
lovely piccy

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Is it just me or has NICT stopped updating?
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr

Hi guys, about NICT check this.

[link to swc.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: io_stesso 12566282


Uh, did they REALLY have to turn this one off just to at a later time release a new one? I smell a rat!
GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION?

"For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another.

This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law.

Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts.

If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26
PolarBear418

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04/03/2012 01:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Curious as to what is in this image 2 O'clock position.

Thanks in advance.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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04/03/2012 01:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That's sad news about the NICT simulation. We shall surely miss you (sniff-sniff).
tissueviolincry

Here's an SDO close-up movie of the B-flare which sent a slow CME towards us.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

Spaceweather says CME to arrive on 4th and SIDC says the 6th. So I'll plead the 5th, LOL.

CACTus movie of CME (check out the super-slow velocity--254 km/s!):

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 04/03/2012 01:48 PM
Anonymous Coward
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04/03/2012 06:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
****************************************

quoting psyoptics "...to create the mother of all data gapes..."

****************************************

Assuming you meant data gaps, NICT going offline does no such thing. NICT is/was a computer program/model which rendered ACE satellite data in an attractive package.

Other realtime and recent ACE data representations here:

Mag and bow shock... [link to pixie.spasci.com]

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] ...3 different models to choose from, which is...

...similar to this one Nerdrage posted... [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

5 different time spans in graph form here... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Gauge format... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I'm guessing there are others besides the 11 listed above.

Plus, all the past archived ACE data one could ever desire, including browse, level 1, level 2 and level 3 here... [link to www.srl.caltech.edu]

--
Anonymous Coward
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04/03/2012 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hows Ninzrez doing ,havent seen her around ?
Veresanctus

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04/03/2012 09:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hows Ninzrez doing ,havent seen her around ?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4141853


Seems like many GLPers are MIA
GET SAVED: Thread: Are you SAVED from DAMNATION?

"For all the law is fulfilled in one word, even in this; Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. But if ye bite and devour one another, take heed that ye be not consumed one of another.

This I say then, Walk in the Spirit, and ye shall not fulfil the lust of the flesh. For the flesh lusteth against the Spirit, and the Spirit against the flesh: and these are contrary the one to the other: so that ye cannot do the things that ye would. But if ye be led of the Spirit, ye are not under the law.

Now the works of the flesh are manifest, which are these; Adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lasciviousness, Idolatry, witchcraft, hatred, variance, emulations, wrath, strife, seditions, heresies, Envyings, murders, drunkenness, revellings, and such like: of the which I tell you before, as I have also told you in time past, that they which do such things shall not inherit the kingdom of God. But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, Meekness, temperance: against such there is no law. And they that are Christ's have crucified the flesh with the affections and lusts.

If we live in the Spirit, let us also walk in the Spirit. Let us not be desirous of vain glory, provoking one another, envying one another." -- Galatians 5:14-26
PALback
For by Him All Things Were Created

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04/03/2012 09:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hows Ninzrez doing ,havent seen her around ?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4141853


Seems like many GLPers are MIA
 Quoting: Veresanctus


Spring Break
Luke 18:8I tell you that he will avenge them speedily. Nevertheless when the Son of man cometh, shall he find faith on the earth?


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