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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/06/2011 12:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i was watching a Filament acting up in the 7 oclock position last night
this is the area right now
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I'm watching for good sized Filament lift off sometime today

I just looked on SpaceWeather and they have a write up about this Filament

UNSTABLE FILAMENT:
An active filament of solar magnetism is snaking around the sun's southeastern limb today. Measuring more than 200,000 km along its sinuous backbone, the vast structure is in a constant state of motion. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory froze it in this snapshot taken 20:16 UT on April 5th:
[link to spaceweather.com]

They also have a great photo of this ont he site

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 04/06/2011 01:04 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
OpenEnded

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04/06/2011 01:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>



k at 7..

sh..
Solar Wind / Bz - The solar wind is blowing past earth at high levels today and combined with a south tilting Bz, is stirring up minor geomagnetic storming at high latitudes.
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/06/2011 01:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
DOUBLE ASTEROID FLYBY:
It's notable when an asteroid flies past Earth closer than the Moon. Today, April 6th, two asteroids will do this. Newly-discovered space rocks 2011 GW9 and 2011 GP28 will zip through the Earth-Moon system at Earth-distances of 77,000 km and 192,000 km, respectively. Both are ten-meter class asteroids two to three times smaller than the Tunguska impactor of 1908. There is no danger of a collision.
[link to spaceweather.com]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
XP...

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04/06/2011 01:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
My money says earthquake in the Ring of Fire within 24 hours at least 7.2....
XP...
"The world will not be destroyed by evil, it will be destroyed by the ones who do nothing to stop the evil."
"Lead or follow just get the hell out of my way!"
XP...
OpenEnded

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04/06/2011 01:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
now all we need is a good sized Xray event to make it a complete RED alert day
and as i type this, the xrays are indeedn active
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


possible 3 red flagger today:)
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/06/2011 01:09 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
now all we need is a good sized Xray event to make it a complete RED alert day
and as i type this, the xrays are indeedn active
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


possible 3 red flagger today:)
 Quoting: OpenEnded


Yes :)
i was thinking of you when i wrote that hehe
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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NiNzrez (OP)

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04/06/2011 01:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
My money says earthquake in the Ring of Fire within 24 hours at least 7.2....
XP...
 Quoting: XP...


I have been expecting that as well
we will see
with the Japan quake a lot of people noticed a connection with the Global D Ionospheric replay and absorbsion map
[link to www.gdgps.net]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 04/06/2011 01:16 PM
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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04/06/2011 01:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I like how spaceweather says the fillament wouldn`t be earth directed if it blows off..lol...Them fillaments shoot off in crazy directions sometimes...and if by chance it holds on for another day or two it will be facing right at us..
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/06/2011 01:18 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I like how spaceweather says the fillament wouldn`t be earth directed if it blows off..lol...Them fillaments shoot off in crazy directions sometimes...and if by chance it holds on for another day or two it will be facing right at us..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Great point and i 100% agree
the mass they throw is sometimes so dense that they are moved in space by gravitational forces as well
Just depends on how big it is, and what direction it whips its self into space :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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zacksavage
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04/06/2011 01:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
DOUBLE ASTEROID FLYBY:
It's notable when an asteroid flies past Earth closer than the Moon. Today, April 6th, two asteroids will do this. Newly-discovered space rocks 2011 GW9 and 2011 GP28 will zip through the Earth-Moon system at Earth-distances of 77,000 km and 192,000 km, respectively. Both are ten-meter class asteroids two to three times smaller than the Tunguska impactor of 1908. There is no danger of a collision.
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Sweet!!!




Z

Last Edited by zacksavage on 04/06/2011 01:21 PM
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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04/06/2011 01:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I like how spaceweather says the fillament wouldn`t be earth directed if it blows off..lol...Them fillaments shoot off in crazy directions sometimes...and if by chance it holds on for another day or two it will be facing right at us..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Great point and i 100% agree
the mass they throw is sometimes so dense that they are moved in space by gravitational forces as well
Just depends on how big it is, and what direction it whips its self into space :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Part of it just blew off right now...

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
zacksavage
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04/06/2011 01:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I like how spaceweather says the fillament wouldn`t be earth directed if it blows off..lol...Them fillaments shoot off in crazy directions sometimes...and if by chance it holds on for another day or two it will be facing right at us..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Great point and i 100% agree
the mass they throw is sometimes so dense that they are moved in space by gravitational forces as well
Just depends on how big it is, and what direction it whips its self into space :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Part of it just blew off right now...

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Hi,...do you guys understand what determines the direction of fly off???





Z
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
Anonymous Coward
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04/06/2011 01:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Popped in to find out what is going on...Solarham says Storm...

[link to www.solarham.com]
OpenEnded

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04/06/2011 01:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi,...do you guys understand what determines the direction of fly off???

Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


less than I would like to, there are so many factors involved..
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
zacksavage
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04/06/2011 01:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
less than I would like to, there are so many factors involved..
 Quoting: OpenEnded


Thanks OE. I asked because it does not appear that we get many headed directly at us here on Earth.

It seems like even random ejections would hear our way more often,...imo.

Do you know if there are any vids showing a direct Earth hit??



Z
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
OpenEnded

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04/06/2011 02:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

Do you know if there are any vids showing a direct Earth hit??

Z
 Quoting: OpenEnded


When there is an ejection from the sun equator at 0 degree meridian and lasco sats show a full halo CME you can bet it will hit the Msphere. the farther from that point the less likely to hit us, from my observations anyway. because of the sun spin, parker spiral effect, post and prior winds and other factors it seems the science of prediciting CME direction is still not very reliable..

Hence the G2 storm we are experiencing now with absolutely no warning from the "scientists"..

By the time the CME hits us I don't believe it can be captured on film, we just see the effects on NICT and ACE, etc..

Last Edited by OpenEnded on 04/06/2011 02:02 PM
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
zacksavage
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04/06/2011 02:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
When there is an ejection from the sun equator at 0 degree meridian and lasco sats show a full halo CME you can bet it will hit the Msphere. the farther from that point the less likely to hit us, from my observations anyway. because of the sun spin, parker spiral effect, post and prior winds and other factors it seems the science of prediciting CME direction is still not very reliable..

Hence the G2 storm we are experiencing now with absolutely no warning from the "scientists"..

By the time the CME hits us I don't believe it can be captured on film, we just see the effects on NICT and ACE, etc..
 Quoting: OpenEnded


Okay OE. Thank for your information. These are fascinating times indeed. I wish we had access to all the technology paid for with our collective Tax dollars.

But the sources you guys are tapping are beyond belief. No time in human history prior to now,...could someone like me see all this stuff first hand.

spock

Z
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
HarmonyH
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04/06/2011 03:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
bump

for the 3:00PM CROWD
tomasgod1

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04/06/2011 03:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i was watching a Filament acting up in the 7 oclock position last night
this is the area right now
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I'm watching for good sized Filament lift off sometime today

I just looked on SpaceWeather and they have a write up about this Filament

UNSTABLE FILAMENT:
An active filament of solar magnetism is snaking around the sun's southeastern limb today. Measuring more than 200,000 km along its sinuous backbone, the vast structure is in a constant state of motion. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory froze it in this snapshot taken 20:16 UT on April 5th:
[link to spaceweather.com]

They also have a great photo of this ont he site
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I noticed an even bigger one while looking at Stereo B EUVI 195, yesterday. It is masive. In this image you can see it trailing off from the active high latitude region center of the disk. You can see the one mentioned above as well(lower right).
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 04/06/2011 03:25 PM
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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NiNzrez (OP)

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04/06/2011 04:08 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i was watching a Filament acting up in the 7 oclock position last night
this is the area right now
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I'm watching for good sized Filament lift off sometime today

I just looked on SpaceWeather and they have a write up about this Filament

UNSTABLE FILAMENT:
An active filament of solar magnetism is snaking around the sun's southeastern limb today. Measuring more than 200,000 km along its sinuous backbone, the vast structure is in a constant state of motion. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory froze it in this snapshot taken 20:16 UT on April 5th:
[link to spaceweather.com]

They also have a great photo of this ont he site
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I noticed an even bigger one while looking at Stereo B EUVI 195, yesterday. It is masive. In this image you can see it trailing off from the active high latitude region center of the disk. You can see the one mentioned above as well(lower right).
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


oh wow that one is massive
i had not even looked at behind for the last few days
thanks for sharing Tom!
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
tomasgod1

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04/06/2011 04:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
DOUBLE ASTEROID FLYBY:
It's notable when an asteroid flies past Earth closer than the Moon. Today, April 6th, two asteroids will do this. Newly-discovered space rocks 2011 GW9 and 2011 GP28 will zip through the Earth-Moon system at Earth-distances of 77,000 km and 192,000 km, respectively. Both are ten-meter class asteroids two to three times smaller than the Tunguska impactor of 1908. There is no danger of a collision.
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Good Catch! They are really starting to pop up fast and furious.
Thanks NiN.. :)
_______

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tomasgod1

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04/06/2011 04:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
so the IP shock at 05/1804Z was caused by the CME we saw come from 1176, right guys? Hard to believe "they" said it was not Earth directed, even saying it would miss us completely, but instead we get a nice geomag storm. Who are they? Time for chimp jokes?

banana2

we are currently in a G1 and under alert for G2..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

this by email yesterday..
SPACE WEATHER ADVISORY OUTLOOK #11- 17
2011 April 05 at 11:24 a.m. MDT (2011 April 05 1724 UTC)

**** SPACE WEATHER OUTLOOK ****

Summary For March 28-April 3
No space weather storms were observed.

Outlook For April 6-12
No space weather storms are expected.
 Quoting: OpenEnded


I am fairly certain that this Shock, and storm was caused by the high lattitude CME that can be seen lifting off on 04/04/2011 at approx 04:39 UTC Region 1183 or 84. From lift off to IP shock was 53 hrs. The polarity of the storms field is also - to + indicating that it was from the northern hemisphere.
_______

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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NiNzrez (OP)

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04/06/2011 05:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i thought i would add this here for those of you who watch the connection between solar events and earthquakes :)


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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/06/2011 05:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
also, here is a video he posted today about the Magnetic Filament we are seeing on the sun today :)


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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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nestack

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04/06/2011 06:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
also, here is a video he posted today about the Magnetic Filament we are seeing on the sun today :)


 Quoting: NiNzrez


NIN, what is your opinion on all these things going on today (sun, asteroids, etc)?
NiNzrez (OP)

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04/06/2011 06:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
also, here is a video he posted today about the Magnetic Filament we are seeing on the sun today :)


 Quoting: NiNzrez


NIN, what is your opinion on all these things going on today (sun, asteroids, etc)?
 Quoting: nestack


Each is effected by the other
cause, effect, reaction
well i have been trying to read as much as possible on the magnetic reconnection of earth, the sun and other solar bodies so i can try to understand it all better. There are a lot of things in play right now between solar events and earth events and much to understand about how they work and effect each other. Can i get another 20 years before things get more extreme? So i have time to research it all?
1rof1

Things are ramping up and will be ramping up more and more each day.
Solar Alerts Blog
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
aether

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04/06/2011 06:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i thought i would add this here for those of you who watch the connection between solar events and earthquakes :)


 Quoting: NiNzrez


listening to him reminds me of this

New Theory Regarding Solar Wind Structure
Los Alamos Sept.2010

"the spaghetti structure of the solar-wind plasma reflects the "magnetic carpet" on the surface of the Sun, with the spaghetti in the wind being loose strands of the magnetic carpet".

"We have also argued that the spectrum measured in the wind is a 'remnant' of the carpet on the Sun rather than a signature of turbulence in the wind plasma,"

[link to www.lanl.gov]

los alamos have reached the conclusion that the radiated energy (solar wind) of our sun does not structure it`s self independently

it transmits (replicates) structures formed on the sun

the narrator in that video is correct in his intuition of matching what he sees on the sun to what he expects to experience/observe on earths membrane (magnetosphere) and consequently, upon earth it`s self
aether

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04/06/2011 06:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
also, here is a video he posted today about the Magnetic Filament we are seeing on the sun today :)


 Quoting: NiNzrez


NIN, what is your opinion on all these things going on today (sun, asteroids, etc)?
 Quoting: nestack


Each is effected by the other
cause, effect, reaction
well i have been trying to read as much as possible on the magnetic reconnection of earth, the sun and other solar bodies so i can try to understand it all better. There are a lot of things in play right now between solar events and earth events and much to understand about how they work and effect each other. Can i get another 20 years before things get more extreme? So i have time to research it all?
1rof1

Things are ramping up and will be ramping up more and more each day.
 Quoting: NiNzrez


DOUBLE ASTEROID FLYBY:
It's notable when an asteroid flies past Earth closer than the Moon. Today, April 6th, two asteroids will do this. Newly-discovered space rocks 2011 GW9 and 2011 GP28 will zip through the Earth-Moon system at Earth-distances of 77,000 km and 192,000 km, respectively. Both are ten-meter class asteroids two to three times smaller than the Tunguska impactor of 1908. There is no danger of a collision.
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


that`s correct, if the asteroids flew very close to earth or attempted collision the discharge, prior to their impact , between earth and them is Tunguska effect

it`s not their impact so much as the discharge that causes the most effect, often they are fragmented by discharge to the point that impact effect is negligible
aether

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04/06/2011 07:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Tunguska Event (2)
[link to www.thunderbolts.info]


Tunguska—the Fire in the Sky
[link to www.thunderbolts.info]
OpenEnded

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04/06/2011 09:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am fairly certain that this Shock, and storm was caused by the high lattitude CME that can be seen lifting off on 04/04/2011 at approx 04:39 UTC Region 1183 or 84. From lift off to IP shock was 53 hrs. The polarity of the storms field is also - to + indicating that it was from the northern hemisphere.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


i guess NASA has it coming from..

:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY ::::::::::
SDF Number 096 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Apr 2011

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels, with an isolated minor storm period observed at mid-latitudes and major storm levels at high latitudes. The increase in activity is due to a CME associated with a B8/Sf flare at 02/2347Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road