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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 03:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Xray FLUX rising C.1 currently
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez (OP)

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05/09/2012 04:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I guess they're still having problems at SOHO. Only 10 images on the C2 since it came back from vacation and none for today. STEREO Ahead hasn't updated since 7:54 UTC. This is a serious setback for CME detection and forecasting, especially with the Monster '76 turned toward Earth. Git your bunkers ready.

Close-up movie of M4.7 flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hey Hugh, I can't get this to load???
 Quoting: SpiderJones


try it with firefox
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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05/09/2012 04:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
its going for at least another M
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 04:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
its going for at least another M
 Quoting: NiNzrez


yup.. it has the potential to be an X flare.
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 04:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
C9.1
NiNzrez (OP)

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05/09/2012 04:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i just looked over the current magnetogram images and 1476 has potential to produce more very soon
there is currently some good movement within middle of the sunspot group

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 05/09/2012 04:59 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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05/09/2012 05:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i just looked over the current magnetogram images and 1476 has potential to produce more very soon
there is currently some good movement within middle of the sunspot group
 Quoting: NiNzrez


and here it comes
M2.1 and going fast for the X
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 05:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
another M and going up
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 05:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]


instability in the left side of the sunspot complex, ripple effect could cause more instabilities throughout the sunspot, wouldn'tr surprise me to see an X flare soon.
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
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05/09/2012 05:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i just looked over the current magnetogram images and 1476 has potential to produce more very soon
there is currently some good movement within middle of the sunspot group
 Quoting: NiNzrez


and here it comes
M2.1 and going fast for the X
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


This guy is volatile, hes going to keep us busy or definitely has the potential to. I'm also looking for a BIG long duration CME soon , possibly from a mid C flare
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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05/09/2012 05:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i just looked over the current magnetogram images and 1476 has potential to produce more very soon
there is currently some good movement within middle of the sunspot group
 Quoting: NiNzrez


and here it comes
M2.1 and going fast for the X
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


This guy is volatile, hes going to keep us busy or definitely has the potential to. I'm also looking for a BIG long duration CME soon , possibly from a mid C flare
 Quoting: shadasonic


This may be the one Gabes goats have been so worried about!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Starwind

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05/09/2012 05:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I haven't seen this graphic have a hot spot like that in a while.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
shadasonic

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05/09/2012 05:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I haven't seen this graphic have a hot spot like that in a while.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Starwind


Good catch starwind, lets see what its got
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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05/09/2012 05:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I haven't seen this graphic have a hot spot like that in a while.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Starwind


Nice, things are sparking up! Looks like a large CME from the latest flaring.

SDO 304a image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

H-alpha movie from Mauna Loa Observatory:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

I hope they get SOHO straightened out soon.
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
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05/09/2012 05:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I haven't seen this graphic have a hot spot like that in a while.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Starwind


Nice, things are sparking up! Looks like a large CME from the latest flaring.

SDO 304a image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

H-alpha movie from Mauna Loa Observatory:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

I hope they get SOHO straightened out soon.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


The clip from the Mauna observ. shows how alive this guy is,so amazing, nerve wracking, and exhilirating. These guys have the potential for critical damage, but you have to marvel at the universe
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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05/09/2012 05:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M 4.1 Flare and CME Plume.
:m4 eve:
:cme plume:
Manetogram-
:magneto-gram:
explosionahhhabomb
Hugh M Eye

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05/09/2012 05:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The last flare also produced a 10cm Radio Burst-

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 537
Issue Time: 2012 May 09 2117 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 May 09 2103 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 May 09 2104 UTC
End Time: 2012 May 09 2104 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 240 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 127 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
RadChick
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05/09/2012 06:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey NINrez I would love to have you on Nuked Radio to talk about this sunspot, would you please email me if you have time tomorrow...12 noon est for about 1/2 an hour.

Thank you! Love your work and your page!

Christinax4@yahoo.com
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 06:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How many more days will 11476 be facing the earth approx ? > 23539 5/10/12- 23546 5/17/12 9kSE
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 06:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
i have the last 2 days problems with the net with my mobile phone
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 06:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I haven't seen this graphic have a hot spot like that in a while.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Starwind


Good catch starwind, lets see what its got
 Quoting: shadasonic


Nice one hf
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 06:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How many more days will 11476 be facing the earth approx ? > 23539 5/10/12- 23546 5/17/12 9kSE
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11293621


She's already staring us in the eye .....

[link to sidc.oma.be]
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 08:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
How many more days will 11476 be facing the earth approx ? > 23539 5/10/12- 23546 5/17/12 9kSE
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11293621


She's already staring us in the eye .....

[link to sidc.oma.be]
 Quoting: TS66


Ouch- my tomato plants fried nearly to death today, and they were watered this am. Should I bring them in???lmao
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 15811307
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05/09/2012 08:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The last flare also produced a 10cm Radio Burst-

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 537
Issue Time: 2012 May 09 2117 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 May 09 2103 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 May 09 2104 UTC
End Time: 2012 May 09 2104 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 240 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 127 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Fixing to get a radio burst here shortly..checking in on doom from the 5 Finger Death Punch concert....rockon
Hugh M Eye

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05/09/2012 08:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA has extended a warning that they earlier cancelled as a mistake. To be on the safe side, I'll post it now.

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 774
Issue Time: 2012 May 09 2355 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 773
Valid From: 2012 May 09 2053 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 May 10 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

On the ACE EPAM plot you can see a spike in the red & orange proton range which mirrors the double-hump in the x-ray flux plot.

ACE Electron & Proton:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES X-Ray Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Nothing significant enough for detection on the GOES proton flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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05/09/2012 10:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Getting quite a rhythm to her [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Chance of severe geomagnetic storms in high latitudes:

50% 0-24 hrs

25% 24-48 hrs

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Good night all hf
Solar Guardian

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Malaysia
05/09/2012 11:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
woohooo things heating up now
2 M flares today so far

M4.7 & M1.8 Solar Flare from Monster Sunspot 1476 - May 9, 2012
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Nothing is heating up. 2 small flares. will not flare from now on. confidence 100%
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15783417



STFU Shill! granny goaway
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 15819556
India
05/09/2012 11:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Getting quite a rhythm to her [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Chance of severe geomagnetic storms in high latitudes:

50% 0-24 hrs

25% 24-48 hrs

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Good night all hf
 Quoting: TS66


see the x-ray flux.Rythem of staying flat.100%confident. No flares are expected out of that sunspot.

Pls anlayse . once the sunspot becomes geoeffective it loses its power. its been happenning and is happenning. why dont u accept reality.
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
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05/09/2012 11:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Getting quite a rhythm to her [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Chance of severe geomagnetic storms in high latitudes:

50% 0-24 hrs

25% 24-48 hrs

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Good night all hf
 Quoting: TS66


see the x-ray flux.Rythem of staying flat.100%confident. No flares are expected out of that sunspot.

Pls anlayse . once the sunspot becomes geoeffective it loses its power. its been happenning and is happenning. why dont u accept reality.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15819556


India you really don't understand any of this??? Good luck, and pat attention to hugh, apparently your mind hasn't went through the proper revolution yet!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
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05/09/2012 11:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Getting quite a rhythm to her [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Chance of severe geomagnetic storms in high latitudes:

50% 0-24 hrs

25% 24-48 hrs

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Good night all hf
 Quoting: TS66


see the x-ray flux.Rythem of staying flat.100%confident. No flares are expected out of that sunspot.

Pls anlayse . once the sunspot becomes geoeffective it loses its power. its been happenning and is happenning. why dont u accept reality.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15819556

“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan


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