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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
nerdrage88sasr

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05/31/2012 09:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I liked the Inverted Sun so much I made a video of it. This was back on the 29th.


 Quoting: TBar1984


Certainly helps give the sun the impression of impending doom !!! :)
 Quoting: TS66

It does look more Doomish this way. I thought with poor old Sol looking like he's on life support, this might make him look healthier.

groucho
 Quoting: TBar1984


LOL, nice Tbar
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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05/31/2012 11:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow, some action here :

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
nerdrage88sasr

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05/31/2012 11:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow, some action here :

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


lol, you beat me to it TS66 applause2 Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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05/31/2012 12:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow, some action here :

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: TS66


lol, you beat me to it TS66 applause2 Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


sun
WingnAPrayer

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05/31/2012 12:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
STAND BACK!! CLEAR!!!................ ZAP!!!..... Phew! We have a heart beat again.....
Hugh M Eye

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05/31/2012 02:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
There's been another filament eruption in the west equatorial region (just south of AR1486). Any CME from this event could be Earth-directed. Wait for STEREO A and SOHO to update to see if there's a CME. The filament can be seen lifting off on the Mauna Loa H-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

SDO image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

explosion
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

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05/31/2012 03:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Two new active regions are emerging in the southeast at approximately 25 and 55 degrees east. Both of these regions are west of the Little Buddy spot. Boy, it looks like the Numbers Dept. will be busy today.

Latest SDO/HMI hi-res intensitygram:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Spittin'Cesium

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05/31/2012 07:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
While researching the timing of the Carrington Event of 1859, I came across this interesting graph:

[link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)]
Try this link instead: [link to en.wikipedia.org]

Our limited observations show that THE SOLAR CYCLE HAS NEVER BEEN 11 YEARS! Solar cycles in recent centuries have varied from 9.0 years to 13.7 years: yet has NEVER been 11 years! The closest was 2 cycles which lasted 11.3 years. This 11-year-cycle is just an average, or maybe complete bullshit like so much else we've been told.

THEY REALLY DON'T KNOW SHIT! WE WATCH- because,collectively, we're doing the job (for free!) that the corporate-government can't get a handle on. Every year, last year's theory gets trashed and replaced by new hypotheses.
drevil
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Yep,yep and triple yep!

Solar Science is not a closed case,no-where near infact that is why all the sleuthing and watching done by all the great Folks here on this thread is just as valuable as the data we receive back from those who's profession it is to interpret and then predict future conditions from the same Solar Data and Images we trawl through.

This thread is a Solar blessing.

Original Respect to NiNz for starting it.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 05/31/2012 07:23 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
eclectic mind

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05/31/2012 08:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
While researching the timing of the Carrington Event of 1859, I came across this interesting graph:

[link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)]
Try this link instead: [link to en.wikipedia.org]

Our limited observations show that THE SOLAR CYCLE HAS NEVER BEEN 11 YEARS! Solar cycles in recent centuries have varied from 9.0 years to 13.7 years: yet has NEVER been 11 years! The closest was 2 cycles which lasted 11.3 years. This 11-year-cycle is just an average, or maybe complete bullshit like so much else we've been told.

THEY REALLY DON'T KNOW SHIT! WE WATCH- because,collectively, we're doing the job (for free!) that the corporate-government can't get a handle on. Every year, last year's theory gets trashed and replaced by new hypotheses.
drevil
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Yep,yep and triple yep!

Solar Science is not a closed case,no-where near infact that is why all the sleuthing and watching done by all the great Folks here on this thread is just as valuable as the data we receive back from those who's profession it is to interpret and then predict future conditions from the same Solar Data and Images we trawl through.

This thread is a Solar blessing.

Original Respect to NiNz for starting it.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



and to you SC, HME, TS66 and the rest that also keep this thread updated like it is..
i thoroughly 'enjoy' this thread guys.. eventhough i'm not the solar wizz that others are, i already was very interested in our sun , this thread also turned me into a 'suntard' if i may use that expression... hf

Last Edited by eclectic mind on 05/31/2012 09:53 PM
nerdrage88sasr

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05/31/2012 10:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
While researching the timing of the Carrington Event of 1859, I came across this interesting graph:

[link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)]
Try this link instead: [link to en.wikipedia.org]

Our limited observations show that THE SOLAR CYCLE HAS NEVER BEEN 11 YEARS! Solar cycles in recent centuries have varied from 9.0 years to 13.7 years: yet has NEVER been 11 years! The closest was 2 cycles which lasted 11.3 years. This 11-year-cycle is just an average, or maybe complete bullshit like so much else we've been told.

THEY REALLY DON'T KNOW SHIT! WE WATCH- because,collectively, we're doing the job (for free!) that the corporate-government can't get a handle on. Every year, last year's theory gets trashed and replaced by new hypotheses.
drevil
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Yep,yep and triple yep!

Solar Science is not a closed case,no-where near infact that is why all the sleuthing and watching done by all the great Folks here on this thread is just as valuable as the data we receive back from those who's profession it is to interpret and then predict future conditions from the same Solar Data and Images we trawl through.

This thread is a Solar blessing.

Original Respect to NiNz for starting it.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium



and to you SC, HME, TS66 and the rest that also keep this thread updated like it is..
i thoroughly 'enjoy' this thread guys.. eventhough i'm not the solar wizz that others are, i already was very interested in our sun , this thread also turned me into a 'suntard' if i may use that expression... hf
 Quoting: eclectic mind


LOL- AInt we all? tantrum
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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05/31/2012 10:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thanks for the shout out, but we are missing Nin, IWTB76, and TG1 (pops in now and then) . Hope to see them soon, would love to know their interpretation of this lull, and hope that all is well for them.

hf
nerdrage88sasr

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05/31/2012 10:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hubble shows Milky Way is destined for head-on collision with Andromeda galaxy

May 31, 2012

"After nearly a century of speculation about the future destiny of Andromeda and our Milky Way, we at last have a clear picture of how events will unfold over the coming billions of years," said Sangmo Tony Sohn of STScI.

The scenario is like a baseball batter watching an oncoming fastball. Although Andromeda is approaching us more than 2,000 times faster, it will take 4 billion years before the strike.

Computer simulations derived from Hubble's data show that it will take an additional two billion years after the encounter for the interacting galaxies to completely merge under the tug of gravity and reshape into a single elliptical galaxy similar to the kind commonly seen in the local universe.

Full Story-- [link to phys.org]
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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05/31/2012 10:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Enceladus plume is a new kind of plasma laboratory

May 31, 2012



(Phys.org) -- Recent findings from NASA's Cassini mission reveal that Saturn's geyser moon Enceladus provides a special laboratory for watching unusual behavior of plasma, or hot ionized gas. In these recent findings, some Cassini scientists think they have observed "dusty plasma," a condition theorized but not previously observed on site, near Enceladus.

Full story--- [link to phys.org]
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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05/31/2012 10:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Science nugget: Catching solar particles infiltrating Earth's atmosphere

May 31, 2012 by Karen C. Fox

(Phys.org) -- On May 17, 2012 an M-class flare exploded from the sun. The eruption also shot out a burst of solar particles traveling at nearly the speed of light that reached Earth about 20 minutes after the light from the flare. An M-class flare is considered a "moderate" flare, at least ten times less powerful than the largest X-class flares, but the particles sent out on May 17 were so fast and energetic that when they collided with atoms in Earth's atmosphere, they caused a shower of particles to cascade down toward Earth's surface. The shower created what's called a ground level enhancement (GLE).
full story-- [link to phys.org]
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Hugh M Eye

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06/01/2012 03:21 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Three of the four new active regions have now been numbered officially. The returning 1476 is now 1493 and the large spot on the Southeast limb is 1494. Between the limb and mid-disk in the south are two emerging spots, and the one nearest to 1492 has been numbered 1495. The other one remains un-numbered.

:Product: Solar Region Summary
:Issued: 2012 Jun 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 153 Issued at 0030Z on 01 Jun 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 31 May
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 31/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1490 S13W36 309 0110 Dso 09 06 Beta
1492 S13W11 284 0100 Eso 11 09 Beta
1493 N15E64 208 0040 Dso 05 02 Beta
1494 S16E69 204 0050 Hsx 03 01 Alpha
1495 S12E19 254 0030 Cro 03 05 Beta

IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 31/2400Z May
Nmbr Location Lo
1488 N12W73 346
1489 S30W72 345
II. Regions Due to Return 01 Jun to 03 Jun
Nmbr Lat Lo
1477 S17 157
1478 S24 145


As 1493 turns towards us we can see more spots.
:AR1493:

AR1494 has been classified as Alpha, but at least one more small spot can be seen trailing. I predict NOAA will correct this to Beta if the spot lingers or grows.
:Little Buddy2:
From left to right, this HMI image shows 1494, 1496(?), & 1495.
:1494-95:
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

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06/01/2012 04:19 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Science nugget: Catching solar particles infiltrating Earth's atmosphere

May 31, 2012 by Karen C. Fox

(Phys.org) -- On May 17, 2012 an M-class flare exploded from the sun. The eruption also shot out a burst of solar particles traveling at nearly the speed of light that reached Earth about 20 minutes after the light from the flare. An M-class flare is considered a "moderate" flare, at least ten times less powerful than the largest X-class flares, but the particles sent out on May 17 were so fast and energetic that when they collided with atoms in Earth's atmosphere, they caused a shower of particles to cascade down toward Earth's surface. The shower created what's called a ground level enhancement (GLE).
full story-- [link to phys.org]
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Thanks, Nerdrage, this explains the spike in the neutron monitors someone posted about that night. Surprisingly, they state that this was the first GLE of the current solar cycle. I would've guessed that those two huge proton storms we saw earlier this year produced measurable GLE's as well. This tells me that maybe other factors are playing a role.

I found the plots from the ICETOP Neutron Monitor for May 17:

[link to www.bartol.udel.edu]

They're also Beta-testing a GLE Alarm which sends you an e-mail alert--sign up here:
[link to www.bartol.udel.edu]

PEACE.
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
Hugh M Eye

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06/01/2012 05:22 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The giant coronal hole now has the appearance of.....

a) Big Bird from Sesame St.

b) the San Diego Chicken mascot

c) Howard the Duck

d) Grampa Simpson

e) Other-What do you see?

bigbird-chicken
:howard duck:

SDO 211a image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SDO composite images:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life."
Frank Zappa

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein
nerdrage88sasr

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06/01/2012 05:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The giant coronal hole now has the appearance of.....

a) Big Bird from Sesame St.

b) the San Diego Chicken mascot

c) Howard the Duck

d) Grampa Simpson

e) Other-What do you see?

bigbird-chicken
:howard duck:

SDO 211a image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SDO composite images:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


LMAOohno
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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06/01/2012 06:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The giant coronal hole now has the appearance of.....

a) Big Bird from Sesame St.

b) the San Diego Chicken mascot

c) Howard the Duck

d) Grampa Simpson

e) Other-What do you see?

bigbird-chicken
:howard duck:

SDO 211a image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SDO composite images:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Definately chicken man...lol..Good morning all
eclectic mind

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06/01/2012 06:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The giant coronal hole now has the appearance of.....

a) Big Bird from Sesame St.

b) the San Diego Chicken mascot

c) Howard the Duck

d) Grampa Simpson

e) Other-What do you see?

bigbird-chicken
:howard duck:

SDO 211a image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SDO composite images:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Definately chicken man...lol..Good morning all
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


agree, it looks like an angry chicken man.. and a good evening to you...
Wallie
User ID: 1311144
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06/01/2012 06:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Da Purple Chicken, you here?hf
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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06/01/2012 07:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Da Purple Chicken, you here?hf
 Quoting: Wallie 1311144


Heeeeey Wallie..How are ya?
Wallie
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06/01/2012 07:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Da Purple Chicken, you here?hf
 Quoting: Wallie 1311144


Heeeeey Wallie..How are ya?
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Heeeeey GoodLook'n thru You!
I'm fine thanks!
At home a lot because of the sick dog.
Out now for golflessons.
Hope you're fine too!
Bye handsome!smile_hear
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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06/01/2012 08:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Da Purple Chicken, you here?hf
 Quoting: Wallie 1311144


Heeeeey Wallie..How are ya?
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Heeeeey GoodLook'n thru You!
I'm fine thanks!
At home a lot because of the sick dog.
Out now for golflessons.
Hope you're fine too!
Bye handsome!smile_hear
 Quoting: Wallie 1311144


By golly wallie I hope you are a woman...rofl....What is wrong with your dog? Golf lessons?? he he he..I was always great at sports---well except for golf..lol..best wishes

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 06/02/2012 12:59 PM
NasaLies

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06/01/2012 08:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Anonymous Coward
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06/01/2012 08:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 Quoting: NasaLies


great catch!
Anonymous Coward
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06/01/2012 08:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf

1493 (old 1476) is back and definitely banging some out.
[link to www.lmsal.com] ,
shooting out some 12 of the last 15 flares May 31st-today, 10 of them Cs.
[link to www.lmsal.com]

1492 is a Beta class with 5 spots, and although showing more potential than the other numbered regions currently earth facing, spaceweather predicts low probability of an M or X flare for the next 3 days.

:Product: Summary of Space Weather Observations dayobs.txt
:Issued: 2012 Jun 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
#
# Summary of Space Weather Observations
#
:Solar_Region_Summary: 2012 May 31
# Region Location Sunspot Characteristics
# Helio Spot Spot Mag.
# Num Lat.,CMD Long. Area Extent class count class
1486 N17W0* 19 90 2 HSX 1 A
1490 S13W36 309 110 9 DSO 6 B
1492 S13W11 284 100 11 ESO 9 B
1493 N15E64 208 40 5 DSO 2 B
1494 S16E69 204 50 3 HSX 1 A
1495 S12E19 254 30 3 CRO 5 B

Going camping for the first time in my life this weekend in Western Mass !!! Wish me luck, looks like a wash out ... LOL

Keep safe and see you soon.
nerdrage88sasr

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06/01/2012 09:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf

1493 (old 1476) is back and definitely banging some out.
[link to www.lmsal.com] ,
shooting out some 12 of the last 15 flares May 31st-today, 10 of them Cs.
[link to www.lmsal.com]

1492 is a Beta class with 5 spots, and although showing more potential than the other numbered regions currently earth facing, spaceweather predicts low probability of an M or X flare for the next 3 days.

:Product: Summary of Space Weather Observations dayobs.txt
:Issued: 2012 Jun 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
#
# Summary of Space Weather Observations
#
:Solar_Region_Summary: 2012 May 31
# Region Location Sunspot Characteristics
# Helio Spot Spot Mag.
# Num Lat.,CMD Long. Area Extent class count class
1486 N17W0* 19 90 2 HSX 1 A
1490 S13W36 309 110 9 DSO 6 B
1492 S13W11 284 100 11 ESO 9 B
1493 N15E64 208 40 5 DSO 2 B
1494 S16E69 204 50 3 HSX 1 A
1495 S12E19 254 30 3 CRO 5 B

Going camping for the first time in my life this weekend in Western Mass !!! Wish me luck, looks like a wash out ... LOL

Keep safe and see you soon.
 Quoting: TS66


lol, enjoy mate, camping scrub is pretty much my life.
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shenue

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06/01/2012 12:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good Morning
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned on me.
whiteangel

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06/01/2012 03:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Any one else having trouble bringing up GOES x-rays?
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain

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