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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 19372178
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07/11/2012 12:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Question:

Do sun spots loop around ? Why do they keep naming them incrementally...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16691062


It's just a tradition I think. Before we had satellites and fancy cameras, astronomers just peered through a telescope and drew a sketch of what they saw. Galileo eventually went blind from looking at the Sun w/o solar filters. SIDC still does a daily sketch of sunspot configurations. Quaint, ain't it?

[link to web.ct.astro.it]

norespect
shadasonic

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07/11/2012 12:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Question:

Do sun spots loop around ? Why do they keep naming them incrementally...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16691062


It's just a tradition I think. Before we had satellites and fancy cameras, astronomers just peered through a telescope and drew a sketch of what they saw. Galileo eventually went blind from looking at the Sun w/o solar filters. SIDC still does a daily sketch of sunspot configurations. Quaint, ain't it?

[link to web.ct.astro.it]

norespect
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Very oldfashionly cool!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 12:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
dear aliens, please fry the humans.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 16691062
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07/11/2012 12:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Question:

Do sun spots loop around ? Why do they keep naming them incrementally...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 16691062


It's just a tradition I think. Before we had satellites and fancy cameras, astronomers just peered through a telescope and drew a sketch of what they saw. Galileo eventually went blind from looking at the Sun w/o solar filters. SIDC still does a daily sketch of sunspot configurations. Quaint, ain't it?

[link to web.ct.astro.it]

norespect
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Very oldfashionly cool!
 Quoting: shadasonic


MOTHER OF GOD YOU ARE NOT JOKING
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 19372178
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07/11/2012 01:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GIGANTOR has grown slightly in the past 24 hours.

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 193 Issued at 0030Z on 11 Jul 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 10 Jul
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 10/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1518 N09W13 116 0020 Bxo 03 04 Beta
1519 S16W04 107 0060 Hsx 02 01 Alpha
1520 S16E19 084 1370 Fkc 23 60 Beta-Gamma-Delta
1521 S22E05 098 0190 Dsi 09 17 Beta

It looks like the umbra of the largest spot has indeed divided into two positive-polarity regions. If these two spots continue to move apart and grow I expect to see some violent flaring in the next 36-48 hours (or less). I'm only basing this on what we saw with 1515 which pulled a similar trick and all hell broke loose afterwards with dozens of M-flares. We may not see as many flares, but they could be 10x more powerful. I think it depends how much the negative-polarity regions can keep up the pace....just speculating-this is my first solar max, too.

In this HMI Magnetogram, the positive (north) polarity is blue/green and the negative (south) is red/yellow.
:1520_HMIBC:

AR1520 Splitting-Recent HMI Intensitygram-
:1520split:
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 13658852
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07/11/2012 01:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Flatline then back up? neener What a teaser!
joinca

User ID: 8793176
United States
07/11/2012 01:51 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good list of links to stay up to date with Sun information:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.leif.org]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
[link to sidc.oma.be]
[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
[link to mlso.hao.ucar.edu]
[link to www.bartol.udel.edu]
[link to umbra.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to umbra.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to obs.astro.ucla.edu]
[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
[link to www.solarham.net]
[link to umtof.umd.edu]
[link to umtof.umd.edu]
[link to umtof.umd.edu]
[link to www.lmsal.com]
[link to www.solarmonitor.org]
[link to www.n3kl.org]
[link to solarimg.org]
[link to sidc.oma.be]
[link to www.sidc.oma.be]
[link to www.solen.info]
[link to mms.rice.edu]
[link to www.n3kl.org]
[link to www.bbso.njit.edu]
[link to stereo.ssl.berkeley.edu]
[link to www.spaceweather.com]
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
cool2

Last Edited by joinca on 07/11/2012 01:54 AM
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson
SnakeBite

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07/11/2012 01:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)


:O WOW! Thanks for this!!!rockon
Hugh M Eye

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07/11/2012 01:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't want to freak out any Doomers out there, but last night I was playing around with the SDO composite image of 1520; trying to bring out some unseen details. Alas, I saw this demonic skull with blood coming out of its eyes and mouth (not a good omen IMO). Does anyone else see this or have I been staring at the sun too long?
:bloody skull ss:

Here's the original image (I just checked and I didn't see it there anymore)-
:1520closeup:
SnakeBite

User ID: 13658852
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07/11/2012 02:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't want to freak out any Doomers out there, but last night I was playing around with the SDO composite image of 1520; trying to bring out some unseen details. Alas, I saw this demonic skull with blood coming out of its eyes and mouth (not a good omen IMO). Does anyone else see this or have I been staring at the sun too long?
:bloody skull ss:

Here's the original image (I just checked and I didn't see it there anymore)-
:1520closeup:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


O.O I actually think i see it, Infact i think i see more than one. I hope ive just been staring too long :O :ahhh:

Last Edited by SnakeBite on 07/11/2012 02:03 AM
Hugh M Eye

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07/11/2012 02:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out this movie of the EVE X-Ray images--after June 29 it looks like a strobe light!

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Nice pic of yesterday's aurora near the South Pole, Antarctica:

[link to spaceweather.com]

The amazing arc between 1515 & 1513 is still a prominent feature on the west limb:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest HMI Color Intensitygram:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest color magnetogram:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 02:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't want to freak out any Doomers out there, but last night I was playing around with the SDO composite image of 1520; trying to bring out some unseen details. Alas, I saw this demonic skull with blood coming out of its eyes and mouth (not a good omen IMO). Does anyone else see this or have I been staring at the sun too long?
:bloody skull ss:

Here's the original image (I just checked and I didn't see it there anymore)-
:1520closeup:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


O.O I actually think i see it, Infact i think i see more than one. I hope ive just been staring too long :O :ahhh:
 Quoting: SnakeBite


you guys need to chill out for a while :D
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 02:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Look ar your shit man. For sure you will see also face on it.
SnakeBite

User ID: 13658852
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07/11/2012 02:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't want to freak out any Doomers out there, but last night I was playing around with the SDO composite image of 1520; trying to bring out some unseen details. Alas, I saw this demonic skull with blood coming out of its eyes and mouth (not a good omen IMO). Does anyone else see this or have I been staring at the sun too long?
:bloody skull ss:

Here's the original image (I just checked and I didn't see it there anymore)-
:1520closeup:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


O.O I actually think i see it, Infact i think i see more than one. I hope ive just been staring too long :O :ahhh:
 Quoting: SnakeBite


you guys need to chill out for a while :D
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19534065


:P I cant get enough! This is my first week staring at the sun like this, Its so exciting!!!!
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 02:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hugh - Do u think she will give us a good performance atleast something equivalent to 1515 ?

Seems flatlined now.
Solar Guardian

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Malaysia
07/11/2012 02:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hugh - Do u think she will give us a good performance atleast something equivalent to 1515 ?

Seems flatlined now.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2031276


It's storing up energy. Its flatlining also means that it's in the process of growing bigger, perhaps.
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 03:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Finally we see it, the second sun jupiter

:1520jupiter:
RTS REDUX

User ID: 8620349
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07/11/2012 03:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't want to freak out any Doomers out there, but last night I was playing around with the SDO composite image of 1520; trying to bring out some unseen details. Alas, I saw this demonic skull with blood coming out of its eyes and mouth (not a good omen IMO). Does anyone else see this or have I been staring at the sun too long?
:bloody skull ss:

Here's the original image (I just checked and I didn't see it there anymore)-

 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


interesting..

this is a 4D rendering of that image flipped horizontally mirrored and stacked on top of the 180 image..

[link to oi50.tinypic.com]
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 19372178
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07/11/2012 03:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't want to freak out any Doomers out there, but last night I was playing around with the SDO composite image of 1520; trying to bring out some unseen details. Alas, I saw this demonic skull with blood coming out of its eyes and mouth (not a good omen IMO). Does anyone else see this or have I been staring at the sun too long?
:bloody skull ss:

Here's the original image (I just checked and I didn't see it there anymore)-

 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


interesting..

this is a 4D rendering of that image flipped horizontally mirrored and stacked on top of the 180 image..

[link to oi50.tinypic.com]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Striking image, RTS, kaleidoscopic like your avatar. You might want start a series for some art exhibitions.
RTS REDUX

User ID: 8620349
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07/11/2012 03:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I don't want to freak out any Doomers out there, but last night I was playing around with the SDO composite image of 1520; trying to bring out some unseen details. Alas, I saw this demonic skull with blood coming out of its eyes and mouth (not a good omen IMO). Does anyone else see this or have I been staring at the sun too long?
:bloody skull ss:

Here's the original image (I just checked and I didn't see it there anymore)-

 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


interesting..

this is a 4D rendering of that image flipped horizontally mirrored and stacked on top of the 180 image..

[link to oi50.tinypic.com]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Striking image, RTS, kaleidoscopic like your avatar. You might want start a series for some art exhibitions.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I actually sent a sample image (a very striking image via google street view) to the library of Congress photography dept and heard nothing but crickets

same with everyone else I tried to get an explanation from :(

others are starting to duplicate the effect though which is good :)

Last Edited by RTS REDUX on 07/11/2012 04:03 AM
RTS REDUX

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07/11/2012 04:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
same image flipped vertically

[link to oi50.tinypic.com]

Last Edited by RTS REDUX on 07/11/2012 09:32 AM
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 04:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Potential M flare happening now.
dettro99

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07/11/2012 04:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Xray flux rising fast

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 04:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like it will be a low M class.
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 04:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ah peaked at C9.9, almost made it.
dettro99

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07/11/2012 04:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like it will be a low M class.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5819228


not even lol... it maxed out at C 9.9
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 04:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like it will be a low M class.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5819228


not even lol... it maxed out at C 9.9
 Quoting: dettro99

what's with all the 9.9s lately
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 07:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf
WeAreOne

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07/11/2012 07:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf
 Quoting: TS66


Afternoon cool2
Be the change you want the World to be. Be with someone that makes you happy.
Anonymous Coward
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07/11/2012 07:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Space Weather

ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2012 Jul 11 1055 UTC
Station: GOES-13
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2012 Jul 11 1035 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Jul 11 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


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