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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 02:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
protons flux go up again
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19141775


The big proton event and severe geomagnetic storm we had in March was from an M8 flare directly Earth-facing w/ a 7-hr. LDE/CME. I think we'll see something similar here, maybe stronger. Due to the source location in the southern hemisphere we could even see a K=8 or 9. Because of the summer heat waves the US power grid is probably already under strain, so we could get hit with a "perfect storm" for power-grid-doom. I hope those guys are ready. Expect at least some brown-outs this weekend

If you need to, stock up a few gallons of bottled water and get your cash from the ATM's now just in case.
:pinkDoomsday:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


hi happy to see you Hugh !!

I can't give you any green today Nin, but thank you for all your hard work.
shadasonic

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07/12/2012 02:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
protons flux go up again
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19141775


The big proton event and severe geomagnetic storm we had in March was from an M8 flare directly Earth-facing w/ a 7-hr. LDE/CME. I think we'll see something similar here, maybe stronger. Due to the source location in the southern hemisphere we could even see a K=8 or 9. Because of the summer heat waves the US power grid is probably already under strain, so we could get hit with a "perfect storm" for power-grid-doom. I hope those guys are ready. Expect at least some brown-outs this weekend

If you need to, stock up a few gallons of bottled water and get your cash from the ATM's now just in case.
pinkDoomsday
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I remember the LDE from march,and good call on staying prepared. Those electric grids have been pushed awful hard for awhile. Keep our eyes open for another event happening soon!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
El Quisqueyano

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07/12/2012 02:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
That's one long duration X Flare.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 02:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
For what it's worth, I have 2 outdoor dogs, and 2 outdoor cats who all refuse to go outside .... lol.
Wash

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07/12/2012 02:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'd say it looks like a climb is about to start...again.
 Quoting: Wash


looks like I jumped the gun.
Roll Tide Roll.
amywood71605

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07/12/2012 02:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Was feeling very "off" and now I see we had an x-flare. haha. Thanks for all the updates - you guys do a great job!
"Live each day like it's your last, love like you've never been hurt, and dance like no one is watching."
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 02:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
protons flux go up again
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19141775


The big proton event and severe geomagnetic storm we had in March was from an M8 flare directly Earth-facing w/ a 7-hr. LDE/CME. I think we'll see something similar here, maybe stronger. Due to the source location in the southern hemisphere we could even see a K=8 or 9. Because of the summer heat waves the US power grid is probably already under strain, so we could get hit with a "perfect storm" for power-grid-doom. I hope those guys are ready. Expect at least some brown-outs this weekend

If you need to, stock up a few gallons of bottled water and get your cash from the ATM's now just in case.
pinkDoomsday
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


i always say "Fill your bathtub!"
if electric goes out, so will the water as it is pumped to you via a electric pump
it's no biggie if you fill it, and nothing happens
but if you fill it and something does happen, then thet water will be like gold
hurts nothing to do this small prep
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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07/12/2012 02:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
protons flux go up again
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19141775


The big proton event and severe geomagnetic storm we had in March was from an M8 flare directly Earth-facing w/ a 7-hr. LDE/CME. I think we'll see something similar here, maybe stronger. Due to the source location in the southern hemisphere we could even see a K=8 or 9. Because of the summer heat waves the US power grid is probably already under strain, so we could get hit with a "perfect storm" for power-grid-doom. I hope those guys are ready. Expect at least some brown-outs this weekend

If you need to, stock up a few gallons of bottled water and get your cash from the ATM's now just in case.
pinkDoomsday
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I got plenty of water and canned foods...but what is cash?? he he he...House payment is due today..think I may wait just a day or two before I make it..lol..Good to see ya Hugh
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 02:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
For what it's worth, I have 2 outdoor dogs, and 2 outdoor cats who all refuse to go outside .... lol.
 Quoting: TS66


i guess i will add that my 2 pups are usually playing outside all day at this time
right now, they are sleeping sound inside at my feet and when i call them to get them outside, they just look at me and then lay their heads back down
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

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07/12/2012 02:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]


Im still new to this all, but from this view CME appears to be missing low.
 Quoting: PolarBear418


The real bright part is just the densest part of the mass ejected. The CME plasma cloud will expand to probably 2x the Sun's diameter and the Earth is the size of a pixel or less in comparison. There's no way this one's gonna miss us. The severity of effects is largely unpredictable, but I can guarantee some spectacular aurora. This would be a great weekend to go camping out in the wilderness where it's real dark. And if you're camping you won't even notice if there's a blackout,LOL.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 02:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
For what it's worth, I have 2 outdoor dogs, and 2 outdoor cats who all refuse to go outside .... lol.
 Quoting: TS66


i guess i will add that my 2 pups are usually playing outside all day at this time
right now, they are sleeping sound inside at my feet and when i call them to get them outside, they just look at me and then lay their heads back down
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Exactly, the one dog is rolling over on his back like he did something wrong ...
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 02:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
It is not yet known whether the flare was accompanied by a coronal mass ejection (CME) - an outburst of particles that can trigger a geomagnetic storm on Earth and damage the electrical grid.

Joe Kunches of NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder said one of the NASA satellites tasked with watching for solar weather, SOHO, was “on maneuvers” when the flare launched.

That will make the task of predicting the course of any subsequent CME more difficult.

“The home plate umpire wasn’t paying any attention,” said Kunches.

[link to www.washingtonpost.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18880906

Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
whiteangel

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07/12/2012 02:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
So we have 12-48 hours depending on speed? How long before we know if it will be a really big deal?? I know we are all feeling a bit stress just sitting here waiting and not knowing, but any "guesstimates?"
WAXmas3WAXmas20WAXmas3
Glory to God in the highest, and on earth peace, good will toward men.
Luke 2:14
PolarBear418

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07/12/2012 02:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]


Im still new to this all, but from this view CME appears to be missing low.
 Quoting: PolarBear418


The real bright part is just the densest part of the mass ejected. The CME plasma cloud will expand to probably 2x the Sun's diameter and the Earth is the size of a pixel or less in comparison. There's no way this one's gonna miss us. The severity of effects is largely unpredictable, but I can guarantee some spectacular aurora. This would be a great weekend to go camping out in the wilderness where it's real dark. And if you're camping you won't even notice if there's a blackout,LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Ahhh, thank you for the explaination :)
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 02:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Update @ 18:32 UTC July 12, 2012
A CME can now be seen on STEREO B. This CME does appear to be earth directed. STEREO A has not updated since 14:24 UTC today
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
images at link
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 02:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
4 hr plus event. hope the light show comes low this wknd.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 02:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We tried the reverse-GLP effect the other night and talked some smack about the sun.

We are sorry.
shadasonic

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07/12/2012 02:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We tried the reverse-GLP effect the other night and talked some smack about the sun.

We are sorry.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


scared
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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07/12/2012 02:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
We tried the reverse-GLP effect the other night and talked some smack about the sun.

We are sorry.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


scared
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
SnakeBite

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07/12/2012 02:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just got back from the dentist, HOLY! All i can say is here we go!burnit5a
El Quisqueyano

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07/12/2012 02:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have a funny feeling it will shoot back up again into X territory.
zacksavage
~~Unbound~~

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07/12/2012 02:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]


Im still new to this all, but from this view CME appears to be missing low.
 Quoting: PolarBear418


The real bright part is just the densest part of the mass ejected. The CME plasma cloud will expand to probably 2x the Sun's diameter and the Earth is the size of a pixel or less in comparison. There's no way this one's gonna miss us. The severity of effects is largely unpredictable, but I can guarantee some spectacular aurora. This would be a great weekend to go camping out in the wilderness where it's real dark. And if you're camping you won't even notice if there's a blackout,LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I just got out of the woods Hugh,...tonight,

I sing the body electric in town. ohyeah



Z
Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one.

--- Albert Einstein
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 02:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
2hours M duration
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 02:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I have a funny feeling it will shoot back up again into X territory.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


It's not going to take much to do it ....
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Sorry if someone already posted this .........

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


yup, that would be you Nin , sorry.
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 03:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just got back from the dentist, HOLY! All i can say is here we go!burnit5a
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Welcome to the show :)


Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GOES seems to be leveling again
RTS REDUX

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07/12/2012 03:03 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME UPDATE: A Coronal Mass Ejection is now visible in the latest STEREO Behind COR2 images. It does look to be Earth directed.

[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: whiteangel


here's a gif of the CME

[link to oi46.tinypic.com]

looks like an anomaly in the forth frame in the upper right
"If one understands that socialism is not a share-the-wealth programme, but is in reality a method to consolidate and control the wealth, then the seeming paradox of super-rich men promoting socialism becomes no paradox at all. Instead, it becomes logical, even the perfect tool of power-seeking megalomaniacs.

Communism or more accurately, socialism, is not a movement of the downtrodden masses, but of the economic elite."

Gary Allen

NONE DARE CALL IT CONSPIRACY
~~~~~~~~~~~~
Hitler was a leftist

[link to constitutionalistnc.tripod.com]

siggif2
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
the sun is hot, but NIN maybe hotter, she is with her predictions anyway
Kael

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07/12/2012 03:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Damn i've missed a LDE X Flare :(
I've just come back from my aikido training fighter1
Here's some dancing for solar fun :D
dancedancedance
"Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are.
One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield"

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