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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
SnakeBite

User ID: 13658852
Canada
07/12/2012 03:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418


Yea that cant be it, time stamp is off!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 2159872
United States
07/12/2012 03:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
07/12/2012 03:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME UPDATE: A Coronal Mass Ejection is now visible in the latest STEREO Behind COR2 images. It does look to be Earth directed.

[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: whiteangel


here's a gif of the CME

[link to oi46.tinypic.com]

looks like an anomaly in the forth frame in the upper right
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Thanks, RTS, great job! Judging from the time-stamps this is a really fast CME. It usually takes an hour or two to be visible on STEREO B. This flare peaked at 16:52 UTC and the shock-front is clearly seen at 17:10! This could get here tomorrow night or early Sat. We still need more data for a better guesstimate tho.
dynamite
explosionahhhabombsfan
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Carrington hit earth in 17 hours if I remember right?
Just because I am paranoid doesn't mean I am wrong.

Isaiah 5:20 (KJV)
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 19605629
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07/12/2012 03:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I know nothing rly new for the suncrew here :)



[link to www.youtube.com]
PolarBear418

User ID: 1167185
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07/12/2012 03:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
PolarBear418

User ID: 1167185
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07/12/2012 03:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418


Flare had literally JUST begun at that point.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 17828461
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07/12/2012 03:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
that is one LADE, long ass duration event.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 7546576
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07/12/2012 03:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418


18:54, you must be looking at an old cached image.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 13971567
United States
07/12/2012 03:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418


It says 18:54 UTC, it's definitely the CME. STEREO A started updating again.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 2159872
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07/12/2012 03:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
United States
07/12/2012 03:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Hell if thats the CME it will be here tomorrow at noon
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
PolarBear418

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07/12/2012 03:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Ahhhh, my apologies.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 17828461
United States
07/12/2012 03:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
controlF5 worked for me. what a whopper!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 2159872
United States
07/12/2012 03:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Ahhhh, my apologies.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

No apology needed, here's a direct link for anyone who needs it
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
RTS REDUX

User ID: 8620349
United States
07/12/2012 03:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME UPDATE: A Coronal Mass Ejection is now visible in the latest STEREO Behind COR2 images. It does look to be Earth directed.

[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: whiteangel


here's a gif of the CME

[link to oi46.tinypic.com]

looks like an anomaly in the forth frame in the upper right
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Thanks, RTS, great job! Judging from the time-stamps this is a really fast CME. It usually takes an hour or two to be visible on STEREO B. This flare peaked at 16:52 UTC and the shock-front is clearly seen at 17:10! This could get here tomorrow night or early Sat. We still need more data for a better guesstimate tho.
dynamite
explosionahhhabombsfan
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


cheers..here's an update with three additional frames

[link to oi46.tinypic.com]

Last Edited by RTS REDUX on 07/12/2012 05:27 PM
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Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Ahhhh, my apologies.
 Quoting: PolarBear418


don't sweat the small stuff...cool2
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA Goddard Space Weather Center facebook:
A CME has occurred with this as well. The forecasters are working hard on the analysis. We will post more as soon as it becomes available. Stay Tuned!
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
still at M 1.2
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
imagine if we had a climber from here.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sure hope the biggest glob of ejecta at the bottom of the flare does not hit Earth directly!tomato
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1540313
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07/12/2012 03:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
imagine if we had a climber from here.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17828461


OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO no!
SnakeBite

User ID: 13658852
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07/12/2012 03:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


That is a different image. The one we are talking about is time stamped 14: , the one you just posted IS the cme and IS within the right time stamp.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 2159872
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07/12/2012 03:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sure hope the biggest glob of ejecta at the bottom of the flare does not hit Earth directly!tomato
 Quoting: SpiderJones

I'm pretty sure we aren't seeing a full picture of the CME
Could have more plasma than we see here
whiteangel

User ID: 1775746
United States
07/12/2012 03:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Ahhhh, my apologies.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

No apology needed, here's a direct link for anyone who needs it
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Got a bit confused with the two pics, does it mean the CME could still hit tomorrow night or early Saturday ?? Alot of data popping and want to make sure I am on the right track. TIA
Just because I am paranoid doesn't mean I am wrong.

Isaiah 5:20 (KJV)
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I posted earlier about my belief that there must be a mechanism in place to protect earth based on the behavior of SS when earth facing versus when not. So much for that theory (credit GLP effect if you please) because this bitch looks like a fast ball towards our blue marble.

No Carrington event (thank __________) but pretty impressive nonetheless.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost four hours in the M+ Range
Wild
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 2159872
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07/12/2012 03:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Ahhhh, my apologies.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

No apology needed, here's a direct link for anyone who needs it
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Got a bit confused with the two pics, does it mean the CME could still hit tomorrow night or early Saturday ?? Alot of data popping and want to make sure I am on the right track. TIA
 Quoting: whiteangel

Shes a quick one.
Soon.
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
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07/12/2012 03:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
We're gonna get a long proton ride out of this one!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I posted earlier about my belief that there must be a mechanism in place to protect earth based on the behavior of SS when earth facing versus when not. So much for that theory (credit GLP effect if you please) because this bitch looks like a fast ball towards our blue marble.

No Carrington event (thank __________) but pretty impressive nonetheless.
Wash

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Canada
07/12/2012 03:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost four hours in the M+ Range
Wild
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Typically (and please correct me if I'm wrong), doesn't the line on the x-ray flux drop a bit faster following an X?
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