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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418


18:54, you must be looking at an old cached image.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418


It says 18:54 UTC, it's definitely the CME. STEREO A started updating again.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
shadasonic

User ID: 15732022
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07/12/2012 03:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Hell if thats the CME it will be here tomorrow at noon
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
PolarBear418

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07/12/2012 03:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Ahhhh, my apologies.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
controlF5 worked for me. what a whopper!
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Ahhhh, my apologies.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

No apology needed, here's a direct link for anyone who needs it
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
RTS REDUX

User ID: 8620349
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07/12/2012 03:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME UPDATE: A Coronal Mass Ejection is now visible in the latest STEREO Behind COR2 images. It does look to be Earth directed.

[link to www.solarham.net]
 Quoting: whiteangel


here's a gif of the CME

[link to oi46.tinypic.com]

looks like an anomaly in the forth frame in the upper right
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Thanks, RTS, great job! Judging from the time-stamps this is a really fast CME. It usually takes an hour or two to be visible on STEREO B. This flare peaked at 16:52 UTC and the shock-front is clearly seen at 17:10! This could get here tomorrow night or early Sat. We still need more data for a better guesstimate tho.
dynamite
explosionahhhabombsfan
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


cheers..here's an update with three additional frames

[link to oi46.tinypic.com]

Last Edited by RTS REDUX on 07/12/2012 05:27 PM
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Ahhhh, my apologies.
 Quoting: PolarBear418


don't sweat the small stuff...cool2
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NASA Goddard Space Weather Center facebook:
A CME has occurred with this as well. The forecasters are working hard on the analysis. We will post more as soon as it becomes available. Stay Tuned!
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
still at M 1.2
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
imagine if we had a climber from here.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sure hope the biggest glob of ejecta at the bottom of the flare does not hit Earth directly!tomato
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
imagine if we had a climber from here.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17828461


OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO no!
SnakeBite

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07/12/2012 03:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
CME visible on stereo A
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Check your timestamp.... thats not the CME, cant be.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

yes, yes it is check again
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


That is a different image. The one we are talking about is time stamped 14: , the one you just posted IS the cme and IS within the right time stamp.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I sure hope the biggest glob of ejecta at the bottom of the flare does not hit Earth directly!tomato
 Quoting: SpiderJones

I'm pretty sure we aren't seeing a full picture of the CME
Could have more plasma than we see here
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

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07/12/2012 03:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


yes, yes I did... 14:24 UTC
 Quoting: PolarBear418

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Ahhhh, my apologies.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

No apology needed, here's a direct link for anyone who needs it
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Got a bit confused with the two pics, does it mean the CME could still hit tomorrow night or early Saturday ?? Alot of data popping and want to make sure I am on the right track. TIA
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I posted earlier about my belief that there must be a mechanism in place to protect earth based on the behavior of SS when earth facing versus when not. So much for that theory (credit GLP effect if you please) because this bitch looks like a fast ball towards our blue marble.

No Carrington event (thank __________) but pretty impressive nonetheless.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost four hours in the M+ Range
Wild
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...

18:54 here
Hit Control F5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Ahhhh, my apologies.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

No apology needed, here's a direct link for anyone who needs it
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Got a bit confused with the two pics, does it mean the CME could still hit tomorrow night or early Saturday ?? Alot of data popping and want to make sure I am on the right track. TIA
 Quoting: whiteangel

Shes a quick one.
Soon.
shadasonic

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07/12/2012 03:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
We're gonna get a long proton ride out of this one!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I posted earlier about my belief that there must be a mechanism in place to protect earth based on the behavior of SS when earth facing versus when not. So much for that theory (credit GLP effect if you please) because this bitch looks like a fast ball towards our blue marble.

No Carrington event (thank __________) but pretty impressive nonetheless.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost four hours in the M+ Range
Wild
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Typically (and please correct me if I'm wrong), doesn't the line on the x-ray flux drop a bit faster following an X?
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost four hours in the M+ Range
Wild
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Typically (and please correct me if I'm wrong), doesn't the line on the x-ray flux drop a bit faster following an X?
 Quoting: Wash


It's a long duration event. If you check out Nin's list on page one of this thread, you'll see they can go as long as 8 or 9 hours
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
check out this real-time pix, sunspot still very bright! [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
shadasonic

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07/12/2012 03:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost four hours in the M+ Range
Wild
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Typically (and please correct me if I'm wrong), doesn't the line on the x-ray flux drop a bit faster following an X?
 Quoting: Wash


Most of the time, 1520 left the gate open
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost four hours in the M+ Range
Wild
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Typically (and please correct me if I'm wrong), doesn't the line on the x-ray flux drop a bit faster following an X?
 Quoting: Wash


It's a long duration event. If you check out Nin's list on page one of this thread, you'll see they can go as long as 8 or 9 hours
 Quoting: TS66


Interesting...thanks.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 03:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost four hours in the M+ Range
Wild
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Typically (and please correct me if I'm wrong), doesn't the line on the x-ray flux drop a bit faster following an X?
 Quoting: Wash


This was a long duration flare. If you look on google images at screenshots of other long duration flares on the flux chart you'll see they take a long time to slowly drop back down.
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

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07/12/2012 03:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Ahhhh, my apologies.
 Quoting: PolarBear418

No apology needed, here's a direct link for anyone who needs it
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Got a bit confused with the two pics, does it mean the CME could still hit tomorrow night or early Saturday ?? Alot of data popping and want to make sure I am on the right track. TIA
 Quoting: whiteangel

Shes a quick one.
Soon.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Okay, I am on track, just wanted to make sure there. No Carrington but we have a grid that has been running full speed for about a month with record highs, not sure that won't effect things.
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!
whiteangel
A Very Proud AMERICAN!!!!

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07/12/2012 03:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Almost four hours in the M+ Range
Wild
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Typically (and please correct me if I'm wrong), doesn't the line on the x-ray flux drop a bit faster following an X?
 Quoting: Wash


Yes typically, but this isn't that rare either.
AMERICA the Beautiful!!!


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